EOS, Stellar’s Lumen, and Tron’s TRX – Daily Analysis – September 21st, 2021

EOS

EOS tumbled by 14.58% on Monday. Following a 10.23% slump on Sunday, EOS ended the day at $4.1976.

A mixed start to the day saw EOS rise to an early morning intraday high $4.9318 before hitting reverse.

Falling short of the first major resistance level at $5.326, EOS slid to a mid-day intraday low $4.0828.

The reversal saw EOS fall through the first major support level at $4.6805 and the second major support level at $4.4471 to end the day at sub-$4.20 levels.

At the time of writing, EOS was down by 4.99% to $3.9881. A mixed start to the day saw EOS rise to an early morning high $4.2037 before falling to a low $3.8415.

EOS tested the first major support level at $3.8763 early on.

EOSUSD 210921 Hourly Chart

For the day ahead

EOS would need to move through the $4.4041 pivot to bring the first major resistance level at $4.7253 into play.

Support from the broader market would be needed to break out from $4.50 levels.

Barring a broad-based crypto rally, the first major resistance and Monday’s high $4.9318 would likely cap any upside.

In the event of an extended rally, EOS could test the second major resistance level at $5.2531 before any pullback.

Failure to move through the $4.4041 pivot would bring the first major support level at $3.8763 back into play.

Barring an extended sell-off, however, EOS should steer clear of sub-$3.50 levels. The second major support level at $3.5551 should limit the downside.

Looking at the Technical Indicators

First Major Support Level: $3.8763

First Major resistance Level: $4.7253

23.6% FIB Retracement Level: $6.52

38% FIB Retracement Level: $9.68

62% FIB Retracement Level: $14.77

Stellar’s Lumen

Stellar’s Lumen slid by 9.98% on Monday. Following a 2.73% fall on Sunday, Stellar’s Lumen ended the day at $0.2822.

A mixed start to the day saw Stellar’s Lumen rise to an early morning intraday high $0.3147 before hitting reverse.

Falling short of the first major resistance level at $0.3162, Stellar’s Lumen fell to a mid-day intraday low $0.2708.

Stellar’s Lumen fell through the day’s major support levels.

Finding late support, Stellar’s Lumen ended the day at $0.28 levels.

Late in the day, the third major support level at $0.2874 pegged Stellar’s Lumen back, however.

At the time of writing, Stellar’s Lumen was down by 3.55% to $0.2722. A mixed start to the day saw Stellar’s Lumen rise to an early morning high $0.2824 before falling to a low $0.2700.

Stellar’s Lumen left the major support and resistance levels untested early on.

XLMUSD 210921 Hourly Chart

For the day ahead

Stellar’s Lumen would need to move through the $0.2892 pivot to bring the first major resistance level at $0.3077 into play.

Support from the broader market would be needed, however, for Stellar’s Lumen to break back through to $0.30 levels.

Barring an extended rally, the first major resistance level would likely cap the upside.

In the event of a broad-based crypto rally, Stellar’s Lumen could test resistance at $0.32 levels. The second major resistance level sits at $0.3331.

Failure to move through the $0.2892 pivot would bring the first major support level at $0.2638 into play.

Barring another extended sell-off on the day, Stellar’s Lumen should steer clear of sub-$0.25 levels. The second major support level sits at $0.2453.

Looking at the Technical Indicators

First Major Support Level: $0.2638

First Major Resistance Level: $0.3077

23.6% FIB Retracement Level: $0.

38% FIB Retracement Level: $0.4277

62% FIB Retracement Level: $0.5690

Tron’s TRX

Tron’s TRX tumbled by 11.50% on Monday. Following a 2.17% loss on Sunday, Tron’s TRX ended the day at $0.09160.

A mixed start to the day saw Tron’s TRX rise to an early morning intraday high $0.1041 before hitting reverse.

Falling short of the first major resistance level at $0.1066, Tron’s TRX fell to a mid-day intraday low $0.08929.

The sell-off saw Tron’s TRX fall through the day’s major support levels.

More significantly, Tron’s TRX also fell through the 38.2% FIB of $0.09890 to end the day at $0.091 levels.

At the time of writing, Tron’s TRX was down by 4.13% to $0.08782. A mixed start to the day saw Tron’s TRX rise to an early morning high $0.09160 before falling to a low $0.08648.

Tron’s TRX left the major support and resistance levels untested early on.

TRXUSD 210921 Hourly Chart

For the Day Ahead

Tron’s TRX would need to move through the $0.09500 pivot to bring the 38.2% FIB of $0.09890 and the first major resistance level at $0.1007 into play.

Support from the broader market would be needed, however, for Tron’s TRX to break back through to $0.10 levels.

Barring an extended crypto rally, the first major resistance level and Monday’s high $0.1041 would likely cap the upside.

In the event of a broad-based crypto rally, Tron’s TRX could test resistance at $0.11 levels before any pullback. The second major resistance level sits at $0.1098.

Failure to move through $0.09500 pivot would bring the first major support level at $0.08589 into play.

Barring an extended sell-off, however, Tron’s TRX should steer clear of the 23.6% FIB of $0.07870. The second major support level at $0.08019 should limit the downside.

Looking at the Technical Indicators

First Major Support Level: $0.08589

First Major Resistance Level: $0.1007

23.6% FIB Retracement Level: $0.0787

38.2% FIB Retracement Level: $0.0989

62% FIB Retracement Level: $0.1316

Please let us know what you think in the comments below

Thanks, Bob

The Crypto Daily – Movers and Shakers – September 21st, 2021

Bitcoin, BTC to USD, slid by 8.93% on Monday. Following a 2.24% decline on Sunday, Bitcoin ended the day at $43,025.0.

A mixed start to the day saw Bitcoin rise to an early morning intraday high $47,327.0 before hitting reverse.

Falling short of the first major resistance level at $48,127, Bitcoin tumbled to a midday intraday low $42,567.0.

Bitcoin fell through the day’s major support levels before briefly revising $44,000 levels.

Coming up against the third major support level at $44,416, however, Bitcoin slid back to end the day at sub-$44,000 levels.

The near-term bullish trend remained intact, in spite of the latest return to $42,000 levels. For the bears, Bitcoin would need a sustained fall through the 62% FIB of $27,237 to form a near-term bearish trend.

The Rest of the Pack

Across the rest of the majors, it was a bearish day on Monday.

Chainlink slumped by 13.82% to lead the way down, with Bitcoin Cash SV (-12.60%) and Ripple’s XRP (-12.16%) close behind.

Things were not much better for Binance Coin (-10.91%), Cardano’s ADA (-8.87%), Crypto.com Coin (-10.28%), Ethereum (-10.58%), Litecoin (-10.55%), and Polkadot (-8.15%).

Early in the week, the crypto total market rose to a Monday high $2,122bn before sliding to a Tuesday low $1,863bn. At the time of writing, the total market cap stood at $1,870bn.

Bitcoin’s dominance fell to a Monday low 41.89% before rising to a Monday high 42.76%. At the time of writing, Bitcoin’s dominance stood at 42.38%.

This Morning

At the time of writing, Bitcoin was down by 2.51% to $41,943.0. A bearish start to the day saw Bitcoin fall from an early morning high $43,028.0 to a low $41,935.0.

Bitcoin left the major support and resistance levels untested early on.

Elsewhere, it was a bearish start to the day.

At the time of writing, Crypto.com Coin was down by 4.89% to lead the way down.

BTCUSD 210921 Hourly Chart

For the Bitcoin Day Ahead

Bitcoin would need to move through the $44,306 pivot to bring the first major resistance level at $46,046 into play.

Support from the broader market would be needed for Bitcoin to break out from $45,000 levels.

Barring a broad-based crypto rally, the first major resistance level and resistance at $47,000 would likely cap the upside.

In the event of a broad-based crypto rebound, Bitcoin could test resistance at $50,000 levels before any pullback. The second major resistance level sits at $49,066.

Failure to move through the $44,306 pivot would bring the 38.2% FIB of $41,592 and the first major support level at $41,286 into play.

Barring another extended sell-off on the day, Bitcoin should steer clear of sub-$40,000 levels. The second major support level sits at $39,546.

Ethereum, Litecoin, and Ripple’s XRP – Daily Tech Analysis – September 21st, 2021

Ethereum

Ethereum slid by 10.58% on Monday. Following a 3.14% loss on Sunday, Ethereum ended the day at $2,976.48.

A mixed start to the day saw Ethereum rise to an early morning intraday high $3,346.58 before hitting reverse.

Falling short of 23.6% FIB of $3,369 and the first major resistance level at $3,431, Ethereum slid to a mid-day intraday low $2,911.81.

Ethereum fell through day’s major support levels to end the day at sub-$3,000 levels.

Through the afternoon, Ethereum had broken back through the third major support level at $2,996 before easing back.

At the time of writing, Ethereum was down by 0.67% to $2,956.40. A mixed start to the day saw Ethereum rise to an early morning high $2,977.52 before falling to a low $2,952.09.

Ethereum left the major support and resistance levels untested early on.

ETHUSD 210921 Hourly Chart

For the day ahead

Ethereum would need to move through the $3,078 pivot to bring the first major resistance level at $3,245 into play.

Support from the broader market would be needed, however, for Ethereum to break back through to $3,200 levels.

Barring an extended crypto rally, the first major resistance level would likely cap the upside.

In the event of a broad-based crypto rally, Ethereum could test resistance at the 23.6% FIB of $3,369 before any pullback. The second major resistance level sits at $3,513.

Failure to move through the $3,078 pivot would bring the first major support level at $2,810 into play.

Barring another extended sell-off, however, Ethereum should steer clear of the second major support level at $2,644.

Looking at the Technical Indicators

First Major Support Level: $2,810

Pivot Level: $3,078

First Major Resistance Level: $3,245

23.6% FIB Retracement Level: $3,369

38.2% FIB Retracement Level: $2,740

62% FIB Retracement Level: $1,725

Litecoin

Litecoin slid by 10.55% on Monday. Following a 3.08% decline on Sunday, Litecoin ended the day at $157.23.

A mixed start to the day saw Litecoin rise to an early morning intraday high $176.13 before hitting reverse.

Falling short of the 23.6% FIB of $178 and the first major resistance level at $181, Litecoin slid to a mid-day intraday low $153.49.

The reversal saw Litecoin fall through the day’s major support levels.

Through the afternoon, Litecoin had broken back through the third major support level at $160 before falling back.

At the time of writing, Litecoin was down by 0.90% to $155.81. A mixed start to the day saw Litecoin rise to an early morning high $157.86 before falling to a low $155.75.

Litecoin left the major support and resistance levels untested early on.

LTCUSD 210921 Hourly Chart

For the day ahead

Litecoin would need to move through the $162 pivot to bring the first major resistance level at $171 into play.

Support from the broader market would be needed, however, for Litecoin to break out from $165 levels.

Barring an extended crypto rally, the first major resistance level would likely cap the upside.

In the event of another breakout, Litecoin could test resistance at the 23.6% FIB of $178 and $180. The second major resistance level sits at $185.

Failure to move through the $162 pivot would bring the first major support level at $148 into play.

Barring another extended sell-off, Litecoin should steer clear of sub-$140. The second major support level at $140 should limit the downside.

Looking at the Technical Indicators

First Major Support Level: $148

Pivot Level: $162

First Major Resistance Level: $171

23.6% FIB Retracement Level: $178

38.2% FIB Retracement Level: $223

62% FIB Retracement Level: $296

Ripple’s XRP

Ripple’s XRP tumbled by 12.16% on Monday. Following a 2.51% fall on Sunday, Ripple’s XRP ended the day at $0.92113.

A mixed start to the day saw Ripple’s XRP rise to an early morning intraday high $1.04991 before hitting reverse.

Falling short of the first major resistance level at $1.0312, Ripple’s XRP slid to a mid-day intraday low $0.87506.

Ripple’s XRP fell through the day’s major support levels.

Steering clear of the 23.6% FIB of $0.8533, however, Ripple’s XRP briefly revisited $0.95 levels before easing back.

At the time of writing, Ripple’s XRP was down by 1.96% to $0.9031. A bearish start to the day saw Ripple’s XRP fall from an early morning high $0.92162 to a low $0.90310.

Ripple’s XRP left the major support and resistance levels untested early on.

XRPUSD 210921 Hourly Chart

For the day ahead

Ripple’s XRP would need to move through the $0.9487 pivot to bring the first major resistance level at $1.0223 into play. Support would be needed, however, for Ripple’s XRP to move back through to $1.00 levels.

Barring an extended crypto rally, the first major resistance level and Monday’s high $1.04991 would likely cap the upside.

In the event of a broad-based crypto rally, Ripple’s XRP could test the second major resistance level at $1.1236. Ripple’s XRP would need plenty of support, however, to breakout from the 38.2% FIB of $1.0659.

Failure to move through $0.9487 pivot would bring the 23.6% FIB of $0.8533 and the first major support level at $0.8475 into play.

Barring another extended sell-off, however, Ripple’s XRP should steer clear of sub-$0.80 levels. The second major support level sits at $0.7739.

Looking at the Technical Indicators

First Major Support Level: $0.8475

Pivot Level: $0.9487

First Major resistance Level: $1.0223

23.6% FIB Retracement Level: $0.8533

38.2% FIB Retracement Level: $1.0659

62% FIB Retracement Level: $1.4096

Please let us know what you think in the comments below.

Thanks, Bob

Another Quiet Day on the Economic Calendar Leaves the FED and Risk Sentiment in the Driving Seat

Earlier in the Day:

It was a relatively quiet start to the day on the economic calendar this morning, with the China markets closed today. The Kiwi Dollar was in action in the early hours, however.

Later this morning, the RBA meeting minutes will also draw interest as the markets look to assess the impact of the latest lockdown measures on policy.

For the Kiwi Dollar

Consumer sentiment figures were in focus.

In the 3rd quarter, the Westpac Consumer Sentiment Index fell from 107.1 to 102.7.

According to the Westpac survey,

  • Confidence took a hit, with the index falling by 4.4 points as a result of the latest nationwide lockdown.
  • The decline was more modest, however, than the fall seen back in 2020.
  • While households remain secure about their personal financial situation, global supply chain disruption weighed on spending appetites.

The sub-components:

  • The Present Conditions Index fell by 2.7 points to 95.6, with the Expected Conditions Index down 5.5 points to 107.4.
  • 1-year economic outlook tumbled by 10.0 points to -5.6, with the “Good time to buy” sub-index falling by 7.2 points to -5.2.
  • 5-year economic outlook fell by 6.2 points to 11.5, while the current financial situation sub-index rose by 1.8 points to -3.6.
  • Expected financial situation saw a modest 0.6 point decline to 16.1.

The Kiwi Dollar moved from $0.70293 to $0.70260 upon release of the figures. At the time of writing, the Kiwi Dollar was down by 0.26% to $0.7009.

Elsewhere

At the time of writing, the Japanese Yen was up by 0.05% to ¥109.390 against the U.S Dollar, with the Aussie Dollar up by 0.06% to $0.7256.

The Day Ahead

For the EUR

It’s a particularly quiet day ahead on the economic calendar. There are no material stats due out of the Eurozone to provide the EUR with direction.

The lack of stats will leave the EUR in the hands of market risk appetite and sentiment towards FED monetary policy.

At the time of writing, the EUR was flat at $1.1726.

For the Pound

It’s a relatively quiet day ahead on the economic calendar. CBI Industrial Trend Orders for September are due out later today. With little else for the markets to consider, we can expect influence. The impact will be limited, however, with the Pound on the defensive ahead of Thursday’s policy decision.

At the time of writing, the Pound was up by 0.01% to $1.3658.

Across the Pond

It’s also a relatively quiet day ahead. Housing sector numbers for August are due out later in the day. With the markets focused on the FED, however, the stats are unlikely to have an impact on the day.

On Monday, the U.S Dollar Spot Index rose by 0.09% to end the day at $93.276.

For the Loonie

It’s a quiet day ahead for the Loonie. House price figures for August are due out later in the day.

We don’t expect the numbers to provide the Loonie with direction, however. Market risk sentiment will and crude oil prices will remain the key drivers on the day.

At the time of writing, the Loonie was up by 0.05% to C$1.2815 against the U.S Dollar.

For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar.

European Equities: A Quiet Economic Calendar to Test Support Further

Economic Calendar

Thursday, 23rd September

Spanish GDP (QoQ) (Q2)

French Manufacturing PMI (Sep) Prelim

French Services PMI (Sep) Prelim

German Manufacturing PMI (Sep) Prelim

German Services PMI (Sep) Prelim

Eurozone Manufacturing PMI (Sep) Prelim

Eurozone Markit Composite PMI (Sep) Prelim

Eurozone Services PMI (Sep) Prelim

Friday, 24th September

German Ifo Business Climate Index (Sep)

The Majors

It was a particularly bearish start to the week for the European majors on Monday.

The DAX30 slid by 2.31% to lead the way down, with the CAC40 and the EuroStoxx600 seeing losses of 1.74% and 1.67% respectively.

Economic data on the day was limited to wholesale inflation figures from Germany, which had a muted impact on the majors.

The lack of stats left the markets with little to avert attention away from Wednesday’s FOMC policy decision and projections.

Following Friday’s pullback, dip buyers remained on the sidelines, with FED policy uncertainty testing support for the majors.

Adding to the market angst on the day was the Evergrande crisis, which sparked contagion fears across the global financial markets.

The Stats

It’s a was a quiet day on the Eurozone economic calendar. In August, Germany’s annual wholesale rate of inflation picked up from 10.4% to 12.0%. Economists had forecast an uptick to 11.4%. Month-on-month, Germany’s producer price index rose by 1.5%, following a 1.9% increase in July. Economists had forecast a more modest 0.8% increase.

From the U.S

It was also a particularly quiet day on the economic calendar, with no major stats for the markets to consider.

The Market Movers

For the DAX: It was a bearish day for the auto sector on Monday. Continental tumbled by 5.59% to lead the way down, with Volkswagen sliding by 3.89%. BMW and Daimler weren’t far off, however, with losses of 2.73% and 2.68% respectively.

It was also a bearish day for the banks. Deutsche Bank and Commerzbank slumped by 7.67% and by 7.92% respectively.

From the CAC, it was a bearish day for the banks. Soc Gen and BNP Paribas slid by 5.70% and by 4.46% respectively, with Credit Agricole falling by 3.86%.

It was also a bearish day for the French auto sector. Stellantis NV slid by 4.47%, with Renault falling by 2.19%.

Air France-KLM bucked the trend, rallying by 5.31%, while Airbus SE slipped by 0.97%.

On the VIX Index

It was a 3rd consecutive day in the green for the VIX on Monday.

Following an 11.34% jump on Friday, the VIX surged by 23.55% to end the day at 25.71.

On Monday, the NASDAQ slid by 2.19%, with the Dow and S&P500 ending the day down by 1.78% and by 1.70% respectively.

VIX 210921 Daily Chart

The Day Ahead

It’s another particularly quiet day ahead on the Eurozone’s economic calendar.

There are no major stats to provide the European majors with direction at the start of the week.

From the U.S there are also no major stats to consider later in the session, leaving the markets in limbo ahead of Wednesday’s FOMC.

The Futures

In the futures markets, at the time of writing, the Dow Mini was up by 4 points.

For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar.

Bitcoin Price Prediction – Bears Take Control and Eye sub-$44,000…

After a bearish end to the week for Bitcoin and the broader market, it’s been a particularly bearish morning.

At the time of writing, Bitcoin, BTC to USD, was down by 5.09% to $44,833.0.

A choppy start to the day saw Bitcoin rise to an early morning high $47,327.0 before hitting reverse.

Falling short of the first major resistance level at $48,127, Bitcoin slid to a mid-morning intraday low $44,833.0.

The sell-off saw Bitcoin fall through the first major support level at $46,594 and the second major support level at $45,949.

While steering clear of the third major support level at $44,416, Bitcoin failed to move back through to $45,000 levels.

BTCUSD 200921 Hourly Chart

The Rest of the Pack

It has also been a bearish morning for the broader crypto market.

Through the morning, Ripple’s XRP led the way down, sliding by 8.29%, with Chainlink (-7.96%) and Crypto.com Coin (-7.10%) close behind.

Binance Coin (-6.54%), Cardano’s ADA (-6.79%), Ethereum (-5.77%), and Litecoin (-6.49%) also saw deep red.

Bitcoin Cash SV (-4.04%) and Polkadot (-5.00%) saw relatively modest losses through the morning.

Through the early hours, the crypto total market cap rose to an early morning high $2,126bn before falling to a low $1,971bn. At the time of writing, the total market cap stood at $1,994bn.

Bitcoin’s dominance fell to an early morning low 41.89% before rising to a late morning high 42.48%. At the time of writing, Bitcoin’s dominance stood at 42.25%.

For the Afternoon Ahead

Bitcoin would need to move through the $47,482 pivot to bring the first major resistance level at $48,127 into play.

Support from the broader market will be needed, however, for Bitcoin to break back through the major support levels.

Barring a broad-based crypto rebound, resistance at $47,500 would likely leave Bitcoin short of the first major resistance level.

In the event of an extended rally through the afternoon, Bitcoin could test resistance at the 23.6% FIB of $50,473 before any pullback. The second major resistance level sits at $49,015.

Failure to move back through second major support level at $45,949 would bring the third major support level at $44,416 back into play.

Barring an extended sell-off through the afternoon, however, Bitcoin should avoid sub-$43,500.

Looking beyond the support and resistance levels, we saw the 50 EMA cross through the 100 and 200 EMAs through the morning.

We also saw the 100 EMA narrow on the 200 EMA, delivering further bearish signals.

Through the 2nd half of the day, a bearish cross of the 100 EMA through the 200 EMA would bring sub-$44,000 levels into play.

Key through the late morning and early afternoon would be to move back through the day’s support levels to avoid further losses and risk sub-$40,000 near-term.

Bitcoin and Ethereum – Weekly Technical Analysis – September 20th, 2021

Bitcoin

Bitcoin, BTC to USD, rose by 2.61% in the week ending 19th September. Partially reversing an 11.09% slide from the week prior, Bitcoin ended the week at $47,239.0.

A bearish start to the week saw Bitcoin fall to a Monday intraweek low $43,444.0 before making a move.

Steering clear of the first major support level at $41,877, Bitcoin rallied to a Saturday intraweek high $48,819.0.

Falling short of the 23.6% FIB of $50,473 and the first major resistance level at $51,545, Bitcoin slid back to sub-$47,000 levels before ending the week at $47,200 levels.

4 days in the red that included a 2.34% fall on Monday delivered the downside for the week.

For the week ahead

Bitcoin would need to avoid the $46,501 pivot to support a run the first major resistance level at $49,557 and the 23.6% FIB of $50,473.

Support from the broader market would be needed for Bitcoin to break out from last week’s high $48,819.0.

Barring an extended crypto rally, the 23.6% FIB would likely cap any upside.

In the event of an extended breakout, Bitcoin could test resistance at $52,000 before any pullback. The second major resistance level sits at $51,876.

A fall through the $46,501 pivot would bring the first major support level at $44,182 into play.

Barring an extended sell-off, Bitcoin should steer clear of the 38.2% FIB of $41,592. The second major support level sits at $41,126.

At the time of writing, Bitcoin was down by 0.29% to $47,103.0. A mixed start to the week saw Bitcoin rise to an early Monday high $47,327.0 before falling to a low $46,792.0.

Bitcoin left the major support and resistance levels untested early on.

BTCUSD 200921 Daily Chart

Ethereum

Ethereum fell by 2.21% in the week ending 20th September. Following a 13.87% slide from the previous week, Ethereum ended the week at $3,328.59.

A mixed start to the week saw Ethereum fall to a Monday intraweek low $3,111.14 before making a move.

While steering clear of the first major support level at $3,077, Ethereum fell through the 23.6% FIB of $3,369.

Finding Tuesday support, however, Ethereum rallied to a Thursday intraweek high $3,675.92 before sliding back into the red.

Ethereum broke back through the 23.6% FIB and also broke through the first major resistance level at $3,642.00 before falling back to sub-$3,320 levels.

4-days in the red that included a 4.73% slide on Friday delivered the downside in the week.

For the week ahead

Ethereum would need to move through the 23.6% FIB of $3,369 and the $3,372 pivot level to support a run at the first major resistance level at $3,633.

Support from the broader market would be needed, however, for Ethereum to break out from $3,550 levels.

Barring an extended crypto rally, the first major resistance level and last week’s high $3,675.92 would likely cap any upside.

In the event of another extended breakout, Ethereum could test resistance at $4,000 before any pullback. The second major resistance level sits at $3,937.

Failure to move through the 23.6% FIB and the $3,372 pivot would bring the first major support level at $3,068.

Barring an extended sell-off in the week, Ethereum should steer clear of sub-$3,000 support levels. The second major support level sits at $2,807.

At the time of writing, Ethereum was down by 0.54% to $3,310.78. A choppy start to the week saw Ethereum rise to an early Monday high $3,346.58 before falling to a low $3,259.03.

Ethereum left the major support and resistance levels untested at the start of the week.

ETHUSD 200921 Daily Chart

Dogecoin – Daily Tech Analysis – September 20th, 2021

Dogecoin

Dogecoin fell by 3.48% on Sunday. Reversing a 0.58% gain from Saturday, Dogecoin ended the week 6.93% to $0.2330.

A mixed start to the day saw Dogecoin rise to an early morning intraday high $0.2415 before hitting reverse.

Falling short of the first major resistance level at $0.2465, Dogecoin slid to a late intraday low $0.2308.

Dogecoin fell through the first major support level at $0.2371 and the second major support level at $0.2329.

Steering clear of sub-$0.23 levels, however, Dogecoin broke back through the second major support level to end the day at $0.233 levels.

At the time of writing, Dogecoin was down by 1.95% to $0.2284. A mixed start to the day saw Dogecoin rise to an early morning high $0.2335 before falling to a low $0.2254.

Dogecoin fell through the first major support level at $0.2287 early on.

DOGEUSD 200921 Hourly Chart

For the day ahead

Dogecoin would need to move through the $0.2351 pivot to bring the first major resistance level at $0.2394 into play.

Support from the broader market would be needed, however, for Dogecoin to break back through the first major support level to $0.235 levels.

Barring an extended crypto rally, the first major resistance level and Sunday’s high $0.2415 would likely cap the upside

In the event of a broad-based crypto rally, Dogecoin could test resistance at $0.25 levels before any pullback. The second major resistance level sits at $0.2458.

Failure to move back through the first major support level at $0.2287 would bring the second major support level at $0.2244 back into play.

Barring another extended sell-off, however, Dogecoin should avoid sub-$0.22 levels. The third major support level sits at $0.2137.

Looking at the Technical Indicators

First Major Support Level: $0.2287

Pivot Level: $0.2351

First Major Resistance Level: $0.2394

23.6% FIB Retracement Level: $0.3016

38.2% FIB Retracement Level: $0.3859

62% FIB Retracement Level: $0.5221

Please let us know what you think in the comments below.

Thanks, Bob

EOS, Stellar’s Lumen, and Tron’s TRX – Daily Analysis – September 20th, 2021

EOS

EOS slid by 10.23% on Sunday. Reversing a 4.27% gain from Saturday, EOS ended the week up by 0.69% to $4.9139.

A mixed start to the day saw EOS rise to an early morning intraday high $5.5047 before hitting reverse.

Falling short of the first major resistance level at $5.6206, EOS slid to a late intraday low $4.8592.

The reversal saw EOS fall through the first major support level at $5.2126 and the second major support level at $4.9513 to end the day at sub-$4.95 levels.

At the time of writing, EOS was down by 2.64% to $4.7843. A bearish start to the day saw EOS fall from an early morning high $4.9318 to a low $4.7293.

EOS left the major support and resistance levels untested early on.

EOSUSD 200921 Hourly Chart

For the day ahead

EOS would need to move through the $5.0926 pivot to bring the first major resistance level at $5.3260 into play.

Support from the broader market would be needed to break out from $5.20 levels.

Barring a broad-based crypto rally, the first major resistance and Sunday’s high $5.5047 would likely cap any upside.

In the event of an extended rally, EOS could test the second major resistance level at $5.7381 before any pullback.

Failure to move through the $5.0926 pivot would bring the first major support level at $4.6805 into play.

Barring an extended sell-off, however, EOS should steer clear of sub-$4.00 levels. The second major support level at $4.4471 should limit the downside.

Looking at the Technical Indicators

First Major Support Level: $4.6805

First Major resistance Level: $5.3260

23.6% FIB Retracement Level: $6.52

38% FIB Retracement Level: $9.68

62% FIB Retracement Level: $14.77

Stellar’s Lumen

Stellar’s Lumen fell by 2.73% on Sunday. Reversing a 0.81% gain from Saturday, Stellar’s Lumen ended the week down by 5.72% to $0.3134.

A mixed start to the day saw Stellar’s Lumen rise to a late morning intraday high $0.3248 before hitting reverse.

Falling short of the first major resistance level at $0.3284, Stellar’s Lumen fell to a late intraday low $0.3104.

Stellar’s Lumen fell through the first major support level at $0.3156 to end the day at $0.313 levels.

At the time of writing, Stellar’s Lumen was down by 1.70% to $0.3081. A bearish start to the day saw Stellar’s Lumen was fall from an early morning high $0.3147 to a low $0.3000.

Stellar’s Lumen fell through the first major support level at $0.3076 and the second major support level at $0.3018 early on.

XLMUSD 200921 Hourly Chart

For the day ahead

Stellar’s Lumen would need to move through the $0.3162 pivot to bring the first major resistance level at $0.3220 into play.

Support from the broader market would be needed, however, for Stellar’s Lumen to break back through to $0.32 levels.

Barring an extended rally, the first major resistance level and Sunday’s high $0.3248 would likely cap the upside.

In the event of a broad-based crypto rally, Stellar’s Lumen could test resistance at $0.33 levels. The second major resistance level sits at $0.3306.

Failure to move through the $0.3162 pivot would bring the first major support level at $0.3076 back into play.

Barring another extended sell-off on the day, Stellar’s Lumen should steer clear of sub-$0.30 levels. The second major support level at $0.3018 should limit the downside.

Looking at the Technical Indicators

First Major Support Level: $0.3076

First Major Resistance Level: $0.3220

23.6% FIB Retracement Level: $0.

38% FIB Retracement Level: $0.4277

62% FIB Retracement Level: $0.5690

Tron’s TRX

Tron’s TRX fell by 2.17% on Sunday. Reversing a 0.28% gain from Saturday, Tron’s TRX ended the week down by 7.89% to $0.1035.

A mixed start to the day saw Tron’s TRX rise to a mid-morning intraday high $0.1075 before hitting reverse.

Falling short of the first major resistance level at $0.1090, Tron’s TRX fell to a late intraday low $0.1022.

Finding support at the first major support level at $0.1029, however, Tron’s TRX ended the day at $0.103 levels.

At the time of writing, Tron’s TRX was down by 2.72% to $0.1007. A bearish start to the day saw Tron’s TRX fall from an early morning high $0.1041 before falling to a low 0.9973.

Tron’s TRX fell through the first major support level at $0.1013 early on.

TRXUSD 200921 Hourly Chart

For the Day Ahead

Tron’s TRX would need to move through the $0.1044 pivot to bring the first major resistance level at $0.1066 into play.

Support from the broader market would be needed, however, for Tron’s TRX to break back through the first major support level to $0.1050 levels.

Barring an extended crypto rally, the first major resistance level and Sunday’s high $0.1075 would likely cap the upside.

In the event of a broad-based crypto rally, Tron’s TRX could test resistance at $0.11 levels before any pullback. The second major resistance level sits at $0.1097.

Failure to move back through the first major support level  would bring the second major support level at $0.09910 and the 38.2% FIB of $0.9890 into play.

Barring an extended sell-off, however, Tron’s TRX should steer clear of sub-$0.0950 levels. The third major support level sits at $0.09380.

Looking at the Technical Indicators

First Major Support Level: $0.1013

First Major Resistance Level: $0.1066

23.6% FIB Retracement Level: $0.0787

38.2% FIB Retracement Level: $0.0989

62% FIB Retracement Level: $0.1316

Please let us know what you think in the comments below

Thanks, Bob

Ethereum, Litecoin, and Ripple’s XRP – Daily Tech Analysis – September 20th, 2021

Ethereum

Ethereum fell by 3.14% on Sunday. Reversing a 1.07% gain from Saturday, Ethereum ended the week down by 2.21% to $3,328.59.

A mixed start to the day saw Ethereum rise to a mid-morning intraday high $3,457.22 before hitting reverse.

Falling short of the first major resistance level at $3,530, Ethereum slid to a late intraday low $3,278.00.

Ethereum fell through the 23.6% FIB of $3,369 and the first major support level at $3,356.

Finding support at the second major support level at $3,276, Ethereum ended the day at $3,300 levels.

At the time of writing, Ethereum was down by 1.33% to $3,284.31. A mixed start to the day saw Ethereum rise to an early morning high $3,346.58 before falling to a low $3,283.01.

Ethereum left the major support and resistance levels untested early on.

ETHUSD 200921 Hourly Chart

For the day ahead

Ethereum would need to move through the $3,355 pivot and the 23.6% FIB to bring the first major resistance level at $3,431 into play.

Support from the broader market would be needed, however, for Ethereum to break back through to $3,400 levels.

Barring an extended crypto rally, the first major resistance level and Sunday’s high $3,457.22 would likely cap the upside.

In the event of a broad-based crypto rally, Ethereum could test resistance at $3,600 before any pullback. The second major resistance level sits at $3,534.

Failure to move through the $3,355 pivot would bring the first major support level at $3,252 into play.

Barring an extended sell-off, however, Ethereum should steer clear of sub-$3,100 levels. The second major support level at $3,175 should limit the downside.

Looking at the Technical Indicators

First Major Support Level: $3,252

Pivot Level: $3,355

First Major Resistance Level: $3,431

23.6% FIB Retracement Level: $3,369

38.2% FIB Retracement Level: $2,740

62% FIB Retracement Level: $1,725

Litecoin

Litecoin slid by 3.08% on Sunday. Reversing a 0.77% gain from Saturday, Litecoin ended the week down by 3.94% to $175.76.

A mixed start to the day saw Litecoin rise to an early morning intraday high $181.72 before hitting reverse.

Falling short of the first major resistance level at $186, Litecoin slid to a late intraday low $173.17.

The reversal saw Litecoin fall through the first major support level at $178 and the 23.6% FIB of $178.

Finding support at the second major support level at $174, however, Litecoin avoided sub-$170 levels.

At the time of writing, Litecoin was down by 1.95% to $172.34. A mixed start to the day saw Litecoin rise to an early morning high $176.13 before sliding to a low $171.76.

Litecoin tested the first major support level at $172 early on.

LTCUSD 200921 Hourly Chart

For the day ahead

Litecoin would need to move through the $177 pivot to bring the 23.6% FIB of $178 and the first major resistance level at $181 into play.

Support from the broader market would be needed, however, for Litecoin to break out from the 23.6% FIB.

Barring an extended crypto rally, the first major resistance level and Sunday’s high $181.72 would likely cap the upside.

In the event of another breakout, Litecoin could test resistance at $190. The second major resistance level sits at $185.

Failure to move through the $177 pivot would bring the first major support level at $172 back into play.

Barring another extended sell-off, Litecoin should steer clear of sub-$165. The second major support level at $168 should limit the downside.

Looking at the Technical Indicators

First Major Support Level: $172

Pivot Level: $177

First Major Resistance Level: $181

23.6% FIB Retracement Level: $178

38.2% FIB Retracement Level: $223

62% FIB Retracement Level: $296

Ripple’s XRP

Ripple’s XRP fell by 2.51% on Sunday. Reversing a 0.84% gain from Saturday, Ripple’s XRP ended the week down by 6.41% to $1.04805.

A mixed start to the day saw Ripple’s XRP rise to a mid-morning intraday high $1.08399 before hitting reverse.

Falling short of the first major resistance level at $1.0946, Ripple’s XRP slid to a late intraday low $1.04075.

Ripple’s XRP fell through the 38.2% FIB of $1.0659 and the first major support level at $1.0569.

Steering clear of the second major support level at $1.0379, Ripple’s XRP ended the day at $1.04 levels.

At the time of writing, Ripple’s XRP was down by 3.16% to $1.01497. A bearish start to the day saw Ripple’s XRP slide from an early morning high $1.40991 to a low $1.00001.

Ripple’s XRP fell through the first major support level at $1.0312 and briefly through the second major support level at $1.0144.

XRPUSD 200921 Hourly Chart

For the day ahead

Ripple’s XRP would need to move through the $1.0576 pivot to bring the 38.2% FIB of $1.0659 and the first major resistance level at $1.0744 into play. Support would be needed, however, for Ripple’s XRP to move back through the first major support level to $1.05 levels.

Barring an extended crypto rally, the first major resistance level would likely cap the upside.

In the event of a broad-based crypto rally, Ripple’s XRP could test the second major resistance level at $1.1008.

Failure to move back through the first major support level at $1.0312 would bring the second major support level and sub-$1.00 levels back into play.

Barring another extended sell-off, however, Ripple’s XRP should steer clear of the third major support level at $0.9711.

Looking at the Technical Indicators

First Major Support Level: $1.0312

Pivot Level: $1.0576

First Major resistance Level: $1.0744

23.6% FIB Retracement Level: $0.8533

38.2% FIB Retracement Level: $1.0659

62% FIB Retracement Level: $1.4096

Please let us know what you think in the comments below.

Thanks, Bob

The Crypto Daily – Movers and Shakers – September 20th, 2021

Bitcoin, BTC to USD, fell by 2.24% on Sunday. Reversing a 2.14% gain from Saturday, Bitcoin ended the week up by 2.61% to $47,239.0.

A mixed start to the day saw Bitcoin rise to a late morning intraday high $48,370.3 before hitting reverse.

Falling short of the first major resistance level at $49,063, Bitcoin slid to a late intraday low $46,837.0.

Bitcoin fell through the first major support level at $47,310 to end the day at sub-$47,300 levels. Finding late support, Bitcoin moved back through to $47,200 levels.

The near-term bullish trend remained intact, in spite of the latest return to $43,000 levels. For the bears, Bitcoin would need a sustained fall through the 62% FIB of $27,237 to form a near-term bearish trend.

The Rest of the Pack

Across the rest of the majors, it was a bearish day on Sunday.

Cardano’s ADA (-3.76%), Chainlink (-3.70%), and Litecoin (-3.10%) led the way down, with Crypto.com Coin (-2.29%), Ethereum (-3.13%) and Ripple’s XRP (-2.58%) also struggling.

Binance Coin (-0.58%), Bitcoin Cash SV (-1.58%), and Polkadot (-0.79%) saw modest losses, however.

It was a mixed week ending 19th September for the majors.

Crypto.com Coin bucked the trend, rising by 2.81%.

It was a bearish week for the rest of the major, however.

Cardano’s ADA slid by 11.58% to lead the way down, with Chainlink (-6.99%), Polkadot (-7.88%), and Ripple’s XRP (-6.41%) also struggling.

Binance Coin (-1.90%), Bitcoin Cash SV (-0.24%), Ethereum (-2.21%), and Litecoin (-3.94%) saw relatively modest losses, however.

In the week, the crypto total market fell to a Monday low $1,957bn before rising to a Thursday high $2,245bn. At the time of writing, the total market cap stood at $2,111bn.

Bitcoin’s dominance fell to a Monday low 40.36% before rising to a Friday high 42.30%. At the time of writing, Bitcoin’s dominance stood at 42.02%.

This Morning

At the time of writing, Bitcoin was down by 0.29% to $47,100.3. A mixed start to the day saw Bitcoin rise to an early morning high $47,327.0 before falling to a low $47,076.0.

Bitcoin left the major support and resistance levels untested early on.

Elsewhere, it was a bearish start to the day.

At the time of writing, Crypto.com Coin was down by 1.34% to lead the way down.

BTCUSD 200921 Hourly Chart

For the Bitcoin Day Ahead

Bitcoin would need to move through the $47,482 pivot to bring the first major resistance level at $48,127 into play.

Support from the broader market would be needed for Bitcoin to break out from $47,500 levels.

Barring a broad-based crypto rally, the first major resistance level and Sunday’s high $48,370.3 would likely cap the upside.

In the event of a broad-based crypto rally, Bitcoin could test resistance at $50,000 levels before any pullback. The second major resistance level sits at $49,015.

Failure to move through the $47,482 pivot would bring the first major support level at $46,594 into play.

Barring an extended sell-off on the day, Bitcoin should steer clear of sub-$45,500 levels. The second major support level at $45,949 should limit the downside.

A Quiet Economic Calendar Leaves the Dollar in the Spotlight

Earlier in the Day:

It was a quiet start to the day on the economic calendar this morning. With the China and Japan markets closed today, there were no material stats for the markets to consider in the early hours.

The lack of stats left the markets to respond to moves through the U.S session on Friday, which had left riskier assets in the red.

For the Majors

At the time of writing, the Japanese Yen was down by 0.05% to ¥109.990 against the U.S Dollar, with the Aussie Dollar down by 0.25% to $0.7261. The Kiwi Dollar was down by 0.17% to $0.7028.

The Day Ahead

For the EUR

It’s a relatively quiet day ahead on the economic calendar. Wholesale inflation figures for Germany are due out later today.

Barring a marked spike, however, we don’t expect the August figures to have a material impact on the EUR.

At the time of writing, the EUR was down by 0.01% to $1.1724.

For the Pound

It’s a particularly quiet day ahead on the economic calendar. There are no material stats due out of the UK to provide the Pound with direction.

The lack of stats will leave the Pound in the hands of market risk sentiment as the markets look ahead to Thursday’s MPC decision.

At the time of writing, the Pound was down by 0.12% to $1.3725.

Across the Pond

It’s also particularly quiet day ahead. There are no material stats due out to provide the Dollar and the broader markets with direction.

The lack of stats will leave the markets to continue to focus on the FOMC and what to expect on Wednesday.

The U.S Dollar Spot Index ended Friday up 0.28% to $93.195.

For the Loonie

It’s a particularly quiet day ahead for the Loonie, however. There are no major stats due out of Canada to provide the Loonie with direction.

The lack of stats will leave the Loonie in the hands of crude oil prices and market risk sentiment.

At the time of writing, the Loonie was down by 0.06% to C$1.2774 against the U.S Dollar.

For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar.

European Equities: A Quiet Economic Calendar Leaves the FED Monetary Policy in Focus

Economic Calendar

Monday, 20th September

German PPI m/m (Aug)

Thursday, 23rd September

Spanish GDP (QoQ) (Q2)

French Manufacturing PMI (Sep) Prelim

French Services PMI (Sep) Prelim

German Manufacturing PMI (Sep) Prelim

German Services PMI (Sep) Prelim

Eurozone Manufacturing PMI (Sep) Prelim

Eurozone Markit Composite PMI (Sep) Prelim

Eurozone Services PMI (Sep) Prelim

Friday, 24th September

German Ifo Business Climate Index (Sep)

The Majors

It was a bearish end to the week for the European majors on Friday.

The DAX30 slid by 1.03% to lead the way down, with the CAC40 and the EuroStoxx600 seeing losses of 0.79% and 0.88% respectively.

Economic data from the Eurozone was on the lighter side, leaving the markets to look ahead to this week’s FOMC meet.

Uncertainty ahead of the FOMC economic projections and monetary policy outlook weighed on the majors.

Later in the session, talk of an increase in U.S corporate tax weighed on the U.S majors, adding further pressure on the European markets.

The Stats

It’s a was a quiet day on the Eurozone economic calendar. Finalized August inflation figures for the Eurozone were in focus early in the European session.

In August, the Eurozone’s annual rate of inflation accelerated from 2.2% to 3.0%, which was in line with prelim figures.

The core annual rate of inflation held steady at 1.6%, which was also in line with prelim figures.

From the U.S

It was also a relatively quiet day on the economic calendar, with consumer sentiment figures in focus.

In September, the Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index rose from 70.3 to 71.0 versus a forecasted 72.0. The Consumer Expectations climbed from 65.1 to 67.1, according to prelim figures.

The Market Movers

For the DAX: It was a mixed day for the auto sector on Friday. BMW and Volkswagen slid by a 2.48% and by 2.75% respectively, with Daimler falling by 1.42%. Continental bucked the trend following Thursday’s sell-off, however, rising by 1.07%.

It was also a mixed day for the banks. Deutsche Bank fell by 0.23%, while Commerzbank ended the day up by 1.17%.

From the CAC, it was a bearish day for the banks. Soc Gen and BNP Paribas fell by 1.12% and by 1.14% respectively. Credit Agricole led the way down, however, with a 1.77% loss.

It was also a bearish day for the French auto sector. Stellantis NV slid by 3.45%, with Renault falling by 1.20%.

Air France-KLM ended the day up by a further 1.79%, supported by UK travel easing plans, while Airbus SE fell by 1.60%.

On the VIX Index

It was a 2nd consecutive day in the green for the VIX on Friday.

Following a 2.81% gain on Thursday, the VIX jumped by 11.34% to end the day at 20.81.

On Friday, the Dow fell by 0.48%, with the NASDAQ and S&P500 both ending the day down by 0.91% respectively.

VIX 200921 Daily Chart

The Day Ahead

It’s a particularly quiet day ahead on the Eurozone’s economic calendar.

There are no major stats to provide the European majors with direction at the start of the week. German wholesale inflation figures are due out but should have a muted impact on the majors.

With no stats from the U.S to consider later in the session, caution ahead of Wednesday’s FOMC will likely peg the majors back.

The Futures

In the futures markets, at the time of writing, the Dow Mini was down by 101 points.

For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar.

The Crypto Daily – Movers and Shakers – September 19th, 2021

Bitcoin, BTC to USD, rose by 2.14% on Saturday. Reversing a 1.02% loss from Friday, Bitcoin ended the day at $48,308.0.

A mixed start to the day saw Bitcoin fall to an early morning intraday low $47,066.0 before making a move.

Steering clear of the first major support level at $46,650, Bitcoin rallied to a mid-morning intraday high $48,819.0.

Bitcoin broke through the first major resistance level at $48,062.

Coming up against the second major resistance level at $48,829, however, Bitcoin fell back to sub-$48,000 before finding late support.

Late in the day, Bitcoin broke back through the first major resistance level to wrap up the day at $48,300 levels.

The near-term bullish trend remained intact, in spite of the latest return to $43,000 levels. For the bears, Bitcoin would need a sustained fall through the 62% FIB of $27,237 to form a near-term bearish trend.

The Rest of the Pack

Across the rest of the majors, it was a mixed day on Saturday.

Crypto.com Coin fell by 0.03% to buck the trend.

It was a bullish day for the rest of the majors, however.

Polkadot rallied by 3.41% to lead the way, with Chainlink (+2.58%) also finding strong support.

Binance Coin (+1.07%), Bitcoin Cash SV (+0.40%), Cardano’s ADA (+0.97%), Ethereum (+1.07%), Litecoin (+0.77%), and Ripple’s XRP (+0.84%) saw modest gains, however.

In the current the week, the crypto total market fell to a Monday low $1,957bn before rising to a Thursday high $2,245bn. At the time of writing, the total market cap stood at $2,176bn.

Bitcoin’s dominance fell to a Monday low 40.36% before rising to a Friday high 42.30%. At the time of writing, Bitcoin’s dominance stood at 41.77%.

This Morning

At the time of writing, Bitcoin was up by 0.01% to $48,314.0. A mixed start to the day saw Bitcoin fall to an early morning low $48,251.0 before rising to a high $48,370.3.

Bitcoin left the major support and resistance levels untested early on.

Elsewhere, it was a mixed start to the day.

Bitcoin Cash SV (+0.57%) joined Bitcoin in the green to buck the broader trend.

It was a bearish start for the rest of the majors, however.

At the time of writing, Crypto.com Coin was down by 1.12% to lead the way down.

BTCUSD 190921 Hourly Chart

For the Bitcoin Day Ahead

Bitcoin would need to avoid the $48,064 pivot to bring the first major resistance level at $49,063 into play.

Support from the broader market would be needed for Bitcoin to break back through to $49,000 levels.

Barring a broad-based crypto rally, the first major resistance level would likely cap the upside.

In the event of a broad-based crypto rally, Bitcoin could test resistance at 23.6% FIB of $50,473 before any pullback. The second major resistance level sits at $49,817.

A fall through the $47,064 pivot would bring the first major support level at $47,310 into play.

Barring an extended sell-off on the day, Bitcoin should steer clear of sub-$46,000 levels. The second major support level at $46,311 should limit the downside.

The Week Ahead – Central Banks back in Focus with the BoE and the FED in Action

On the Macro

It’s a quiet week ahead on the economic calendar, with 37 stats in focus in the week ending 17th September. In the week prior, 62 stats had also been in focus.

For the Dollar:

Prelim private sector PMIs for September will be in focus on Thursday.

Expect the services PMI to be the key stat of the week.

Other stats include housing sector data that will likely have a muted impact on the Dollar and the broader market.

The main event of the week, however, is the FOMC monetary policy decision on Wednesday.

With the markets expecting the FED to stand pat, the economic and interest rate projections and press conference will be pivotal. FED Chair Powell prepped the markets for the tapering to begin this year. The markets are not expecting any hint of a shift in policy on interest rates, however…

In the week ending 17th September, the Dollar Spot Index rose by 0.66% to 93.195.

For the EUR:

It’s a relatively busy week on the economic data front.

Prelim September private sector PMIs for France, Germany, and the Eurozone will draw plenty of interest on Thursday.

While Germany’s manufacturing PMI is key, expect influence from the entire data set. Market concerns over the economic recovery have tested support for riskier assets. Softer PMI numbers would test EUR support on the day.

For the week, the EUR fell by 0.75% to $1.1725.

For the Pound:

It’s a relatively busy week ahead on the economic calendar.

On the economic data front, CBI Industrial Trend Orders and prelim private sector PMIs are due out.

Expect the services PMI for September to be the key stat on Thursday.

While the stats will influence, the BoE’s monetary policy decision on Thursday will be the main event.

Persistent inflationary pressure has raised the prospects of a sooner rather than later move by the BoE. Weak retail sales figures have made things less clear, however.

Expect any dissent to drive the Pound towards $1.40 levels.

The Pound ended the week down by 0.71% to $1.3741.

For the Loonie:

It’s another quiet week ahead on the economic calendar.

Early in the week, house price figures for August are due out. The numbers are not expected to have a material impact on the Loonie, however.

Retail sales figures for July, due out on Thursday, will influence, however. Another sharp increase in spending would deliver the Loonie with much-needed support.

The Loonie ended the week down 0.57% to C$1.2764 against the U.S Dollar.

Out of Asia

For the Aussie Dollar:

There are no major stats to provide the Aussie Dollar with direction.

While there are no major stats, the RBA monetary policy meeting minutes on Tuesday will influence. The markets will be looking for forward guidance following the latest lockdown measures.

The Aussie Dollar ended the week down by 1.05% to $0.7279.

For the Kiwi Dollar:

It’s another quiet week ahead.

Early in the week, consumer sentiment figures for the 3rd quarter will be in focus.

Trade data, due out on Friday, will be the key numbers for the week, however.

Away from the economic calendar, however, COVID-19 news updates will also be key.

The Kiwi Dollar ended the week down by 1.03% to $0.7040.

For the Japanese Yen:

It’s a relatively busy week on the economic calendar.

Inflation and prelim private sector PMIs are due out on Friday. We don’t expect the numbers to influence the Yen, however.

On the monetary policy front, the BoJ is in action on Wednesday. We aren’t expecting any surprises, however, as the Delta variant continues to deliver economic uncertainty.

The Japanese Yen rose by 0.01% to ¥109.93 against the U.S Dollar.

Out of China

There are also no major stats due out of China for the markets to consider, with the Chinese markets closed early in the week.

On the monetary policy front, the PBoC is in action. We don’t expect any changes to the Loan Prime Rates, however.

The Chinese Yuan ended the week down by 0.34% to CNY6.4661 against the U.S Dollar.

Geo-Politics

Iran, China, and Russia remain the main areas of interest for the markets. News updates from the Middle East, in particular, will need continued monitoring following recent events in Afghanistan.

U.S Mortgage Rates Fall Ahead of the FOMC Meet and Projections

Mortgage rates were relatively flat once more, with 30-year fixed rates falling by just 2 basis points. After a 1 basis point rise in the week prior, rates fell the 6th time in 11-weeks.

In the week ending 16th September, 30-year fixed rates fell by 2 basis points to 2.86%.

30-year mortgage rates have risen just once beyond the 3% mark Since 21st April.

Compared to this time last year, 30-year fixed rates were down by just 1 basis point.

30-year fixed rates were still down by 208 basis points since November 2018’s last peak of 4.94%.

Economic Data from the Week

It was a relatively busy first half of the week, with inflation figures for August in focus on Tuesday.

Softer inflation figures pegged back mortgage rates in the week.

In August, the U.S core annual rate of inflation slipped from 4.3% to 4.0%. While softer, the continued spike in inflation left a FED tapering on the table for this year.

On Wednesday, industrial production and NY Empire State Manufacturing data failed to drive yields in spite of upbeat numbers.

The NY Empire State Manufacturing Index climbed from 18.3 to 34.3 in September. Industrial production rose by 0.4% in August, following a 0.8% increase in July.

While the stats from the U.S were upbeat, economic data from China raised yet more red flags over the Chinese economic recovery.

In August, industrial production increased by 5.3%, year-on-year, which was down from 6.4% in July. Fixed asset investments also disappointed, rising by 8.9% versus 10.3% in July. Both fell short of forecasts.

Freddie Mac Rates

The weekly average rates for new mortgages as of 16th September were quoted by Freddie Mac to be:

  • 30-year fixed rates decreased by 2 basis points to 2.86% in the week. This time last year, rates had stood at 2.87%. The average fee remained unchanged at 0.7 points.
  • 15-year fixed fell by 7 basis points 2.12% in the week. Rates were down by 23 basis points from 2.35% a year ago. The average fee remained unchanged at 0.6 points.
  • 5-year fixed rates increased by 9 basis point to 2.51%. Rates were down by 45 points from 2.96% a year ago. The average fee fell from 0.3 points to 0.1 point.

According to Freddie Mac,

  • Mortgage rates continued to remain flat, reflecting the markets’ view that prospects for the economy have dimmed as a result of the latest spike in new COVID-19 cases.
  • Fundamental changes to the economy are occurring, however, which will likely lead to significant investment and new post-pandemic economic models that will spur economic growth.
  • Such changes include increased migration, a continuation of remote work, increased use of automation, and focus on a more energy efficient and resilience economy.

Mortgage Bankers’ Association Rates

For the week ending 10th September, the rates were:

  • Average interest rates for 30-year fixed with conforming loan balances remained unchanged at 3.03%. Points decreased from 0.33 to 0.32 (incl. origination fee) for 80% LTV loans.
  • Average 30-year fixed mortgage rates backed by FHA fell from 3.07% to 3.04%. Points fell from 0.30 to 0.27 (incl. origination fee) for 80% LTV loans.
  • Average 30-year rates for jumbo loan balances decreased from 3.14% to 3.13%. Points declined from 0.30 to 0.21 (incl. origination fee) for 80% LTV loans.

Weekly figures released by the Mortgage Bankers Association showed that the Market Composite Index, which is a measure of mortgage loan application volume, increased by 0.3% in the week ending 10th September. In the previous week, the index had declined by 1.9%

The Refinance Index declined by 3% and was 3% lower than the same week a year ago. The index had also fallen by 3% in the week prior.

In the week ending 10th September, the refinance share of mortgage activity fell from 66.8% to 64.9%. The share had remained unchanged at 66.8% in the week prior.

According to the MBA,

  • Purchase applications, after adjusting for the impact of Labor Day, increased over 7% to their highest level since Apr-21.
  • Compared with Sept-2020, which was in the middle of a significant upswing in home purchases, applications were down 11%.
  • The average loan size for a purchase application rose to $396,800, with a competitive purchase market pushing sales prices upwards.
  • By contrast, refinance applications fell to their slowest pace since early July.

For the week ahead

It’s a quieter week ahead on the economic data front. Economic data is limited to housing sector data that should have a muted impact on yields.

The market focus will be on the FOMC monetary policy decision and projections due late on Wednesday.

A hawkish FED would push yields northwards that should support a pickup in mortgage rates in the coming weeks.

European Equities: A Week in Review – 17/09/21

The Majors

It was another bearish week for the majors in the week ending 17th September. The CAC40 led the way down, falling by 1.40%, with the DAX30 and the EuroStoxx600 seeing losses of 0.77% and 0.96% respectively.

Economic data for the Eurozone failed to support the majors, in spite of the stats being skewed to the positive.

Mid-week, disappointing economic data from China fueled market concerns over the economic outlook.

Industrial production in China was up by 5.3%, year-on-year, in August versus a forecasted 5.8% increase. In July, production had been up by 6.4%.

Fixed asset investment was up 8.9% versus a forecasted 9.0%. In July, fixed asset investments had been up 10.3%.

While the numbers from China raised yet more red flags, economic data from the U.S impressed, raising policy uncertainty.

Market jitters ahead of next week’s FOMC policy decision and projections delivered the losses for the DAX30 at the end of the week.

The Stats

Economic data wage growth, industrial production, trade, and finalized inflation figures for the Eurozone.

Finalized inflation figures for Spain, France, and Italy were also out but had a muted impact on the majors.

In the 2nd quarter, wage fell by 0.4%, year-on-year, partially reversing a 2.1% increase recorded in the previous quarter.

Industrial production and trade data were positive, however.

Production increased by 1.5%, reversing a 0.1% fall from June, with the Eurozone’s trade surplus widening from €17.7bn to €20.7bn.

At the end of the week, finalized inflation figures for the Eurozone were in line with prelim figures. The Eurozone’s annual rate of inflation accelerated from 2.2% to 3.0% in August.

From the U.S

In August, the annual rate of core inflation softened from 4.3% to 4.0% versus a forecasted 4.2%. While softer than expected, 4% continued to sit well above the FED’s 2% target, leaving tapering on the table.

Mid-week, industrial production and NY Empire State manufacturing figures were market positive.

On Thursday, retail sales, Philly FED Manufacturing PMI, and jobless claims figures were of greater interest, however.

In August, retail sales increased by 0.7% versus a forecasted 0.2% decline. Core retail sales jumped by 1.8% versus a 0.1% decline. In July retail sales had fallen by 1.1% and core retail sales by 0.4%.

Manufacturing numbers were also upbeat, with the Philly FED Manufacturing PMI increasing from 19.4 to 30.7 in September.

Jobless claims figures failed to impress, however, with sub-300k remaining elusive. In the week ending 10th September, initial jobless claims rose from 312k to 332k. Economists had forecast an increase to 330k.

At the end of the week, consumer sentiment also improved, albeit moderately. In September, the Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index rose from 70.3 to 71.0, falling short of a forecasted 72.0.

The Market Movers

From the DAX, it was a mixed week for the auto sector. Continental slid by 10.98%, with Volkswagen ending the week down by 3.40%. BMW and Daimler ended the week up by 1.44% and by 2.88% respectively, however.

It was also a mixed week for the banking sector. Deutsche Bank rallied by 2.64%, while Commerzbank fell by 0.18%.

From the CAC, it was a mixed week for the banks. BNP Paribas rose by 1.36% to buck the trend. Credit Agricole and Soc Gen fell by 2.59% and by 1.48% respectively.

It was also a mixed week for the French auto sector. Stellantis NV rose by 0.63%, while Renault slid by 1.71%.

Air France-KLM found much needed support, rising by 2.29%, while Airbus ended the week with a 1.15% loss.

On the VIX Index

It was back into the red for the VIX in the week ending 17th September, ending a run of 2 consecutive weekly gains.

Following a 27.67% jump from the previous week, the VIX slipped by 0.67% to end the week at 20.81.

2-days in the red from 5 sessions, which included 6.58% fall on Wednesday delivered the downside. An 11.34% rise on Friday limited the downside from the week, however.

For the week, the NASDAQ fell by 0.47%, with the Dow and the S&P500 ending the week down by 0.07% and by 0.57% respectively.

VIX 180921 Weekly Chart

The Week Ahead

It’s a relatively busy week ahead on the economic calendar.

Key stats include prelim September private sector PMIs for France, Germany, and the Eurozone.

At the end of the week, German IFO business climate figures will also influence.

From the U.S, it’s a quieter but influential week ahead.

On the economic data front, prelim private sector PMIs for September and weekly jobless claims will influence.

The main event of the week, however, is the FED monetary policy decision and projections.

With the FED expected to stand pat on policy, expect the FED’s economic projections and policy outlook to be key.

Ethereum, Litecoin, and Ripple’s XRP – Daily Tech Analysis – September 18th, 2021

Ethereum

Ethereum slid by 4.73% on Friday. Following a 1.30% loss on Thursday, Ethereum ended the day at $3,400.00.

A mixed start to the day saw Ethereum rise to an early morning intraday high $3,595.00 before hitting reverse.

Falling short of the first major resistance level at $3,669, Ethereum slid to a late intraday low $3,350.06.

Ethereum fell through the first major support level at $3,476 and the second major support level at $3,383.

The extended sell-off also saw Ethereum fall through the 23.6% FIB of $3,369 before a move back through to $3,400 levels.

At the time of writing, Ethereum was down by 0.42% to $3,375.78. A mixed start to the day saw Ethereum rise to an early morning high $3,403.64 before falling to a low $3,371.00.

Ethereum left the major support and resistance levels untested early on.

ETHUSD 180921 Hourly Chart

For the day ahead

Ethereum would need to move through the $3,448 pivot to bring the first major resistance level at $3,547 into play.

Support from the broader market would be needed, however, for Ethereum to break back through to $3,500 levels.

Barring an extended crypto rally, the first major resistance level and Friday’s high $3,595.00 would likely cap the upside.

In the event of a broad-based crypto rally, Ethereum could test resistance at $3,800 before any pullback. The second major resistance level sits at $3,693.

Failure to move through the $3,448 pivot would bring the 23.6% FIB of $3,369 and the first major support level at $3,302 into play.

Barring an extended sell-off, however, Ethereum should steer clear of sub-$3,200 levels. The second major support level at $3,203 should limit the downside.

Looking at the Technical Indicators

First Major Support Level: $3,302

Pivot Level: $3,448

First Major Resistance Level: $3,547

23.6% FIB Retracement Level: $3,369

38.2% FIB Retracement Level: $2,740

62% FIB Retracement Level: $1,725

Litecoin

Litecoin fell by 2.88% on Friday. Following a 2.08% decline on Thursday, Litecoin ended the day at $180.00.

A mixed start to the day saw Litecoin rise to a late morning intraday high $190.53 before hitting reverse.

Falling short of the first major resistance level at $193, Litecoin slid to a late intraday low $177.66.

The reversal saw Litecoin fall through the first major support level at $179.

Finding support at the 23.6% FIB of $178, however, Litecoin broke back through the first major support level to end the day at $180 levels.

At the time of writing, Litecoin was down by 0.04% to $179.93. A mixed start to the day saw Litecoin rise to an early morning high $180.12 before falling to a low $178.57.

Litecoin left the major support and resistance levels untested early on.

LTCUSD 180921 Hourly Chart

For the day ahead

Litecoin would need to move through the $183 pivot to bring the first major resistance level at $188 into play.

Support from the broader market would be needed, however, for Litecoin to break back through to $185 levels.

Barring an extended crypto rally, the first major resistance level and Friday’s high $190.53 would likely cap the upside.

In the event of another breakout, Litecoin could test resistance at $200. The second major resistance level sits at $196.

Failure to move through the $183 pivot would bring the 23.6% FIB and the first major support level at $175 into play.

Barring another extended sell-off, Litecoin should steer clear of sub-$170. The second major support level at $170 should limit the downside.

Looking at the Technical Indicators

First Major Support Level: $175

Pivot Level: $183

First Major Resistance Level: $188

23.6% FIB Retracement Level: $178

38.2% FIB Retracement Level: $223

62% FIB Retracement Level: $296

Ripple’s XRP

Ripple’s XRP fell by 2.35% on Friday. Following a 2.71% loss on Thursday, Ripple’s XRP ended the day at $1.06436.

A mixed start to the day saw Ripple’s XRP rise to an early morning intraday high $1.10294 before hitting reverse.

Falling short of the first major resistance level at $1.1258, Ripple’s XRP slid to a mid-day intraday low $1.05210.

Ripple’s XRP fell through the 38.2% FIB of $1.0659 and the first major support level at $1.0612.

Finding support early afternoon support, Ripple’s XRP revisited $1.07 levels before a 2nd sell-off.

Ripple’s XRP fell back through the 38.2% FIB of $1.0659 and the first major support level at $1.0612 before a partial recovery to $1.064 levels.

At the time of writing, Ripple’s XRP was up by 0.26% to $1.06717. A mixed start to the day saw Ripple’s XRP fall to an early morning low $1.05923 before rising to a high $1.06717.

While leaving the major support and resistance levels untested, Ripple’s XRP broke back through the 38.2% FIB of $1.0659.

XRPUSD 180921 Hourly Chart

For the day ahead

Ripple’s XRP would need to move through the $1.0731 pivot to bring first major resistance level at $1.0942 into play.

Support from the broader market would be needed, however, for Ripple’s XRP to break back through to $1.09 levels.

Barring an extended crypto rally, the first major resistance level and Friday’s high $1.10294 would likely cap the upside.

In the event of a broad-based crypto rally, Ripple’s XRP could test resistance at $1.15 levels before any pullback. The second major resistance level sits at $1.1240.

Failure to move through the $1.0731 pivot would bring the 38.2% FIB of $1.0659 and the first major support level at $1.0433 into play.

Barring another extended sell-off, however, Ripple’s XRP should steer clear of sub-$1.00 levels. The second major support level at $1.0223 should limit the downside.

Looking at the Technical Indicators

First Major Support Level: $1.

Pivot Level: $1.

First Major resistance Level: $1.

23.6% FIB Retracement Level: $0.8533

38.2% FIB Retracement Level: $1.0659

62% FIB Retracement Level: $1.4096

Please let us know what you think in the comments below.

Thanks, Bob

The Crypto Daily – Movers and Shakers – September 18th, 2021

Bitcoin, BTC to USD, fell by 1.02% on Friday. Following a 0.74% decline on Thursday, Bitcoin ended the day at $47,296.0.

A mixed start to the day saw Bitcoin rise to an early morning intraday high $48,183.0 before hitting reverse.

Falling short of the first major resistance level at $48,521, Bitcoin slid to a late intraday low $46,771.0.

Bitcoin fell through the first major support level at $47,052 before a partially recovery to $47,200 levels.

The near-term bullish trend remained intact, in spite of the latest return to $43,000 levels. For the bears, Bitcoin would need a sustained fall through the 62% FIB of $27,237 to form a near-term bearish trend.

The Rest of the Pack

Across the rest of the majors, it was a mixed day on Friday.

Bitcoin Cash SV and Crypto.com Coin rose by 0.28% and by 0.37% respectively to buck the trend.

It was a bearish day for the rest of the majors, however.

Chainlink and Polkadot led the way down, with losses of 7.19% and 6.13% respectively.

Binance Coin (-4.20%), Cardano’s ADA (-2.85%), Ethereum (-4.73%), Litecoin (-2.88%), and Ripple’s XRP (-2.35%) also struggled.

In the current the week, the crypto total market fell to a Monday low $1,957bn before rising to a Thursday high $2,245bn. At the time of writing, the total market cap stood at $2,126bn.

Bitcoin’s dominance fell to a Monday low 40.36% before rising to a Friday high 42.30%. At the time of writing, Bitcoin’s dominance stood at 41.89%.

This Morning

At the time of writing, Bitcoin was down by 0.05% to $47,271.0. A mixed start to the day saw Bitcoin rise to an early morning high $47,366.0 before falling to a low $47,241.0.

Bitcoin left the major support and resistance levels untested early on.

Elsewhere, it was a bearish start to the day.

At the time of writing, Crypto.com Coin was down by 1.40% to lead the way down.

BTCUSD 180921 Hourly Chart

For the Bitcoin Day Ahead

Bitcoin would need to move through the $47,417 pivot to bring the first major resistance level at $48,062 into play.

Support from the broader market would be needed for Bitcoin to break back through to $48,000 levels.

Barring a broad-based crypto rally, the first major resistance level and Friday’s high $48,183 would likely cap the upside.

In the event of a broad-based crypto rally, Bitcoin could test resistance at $49,000 levels before any pullback. The second major resistance level sits at $48,829.

Failure to move through the $47,417 pivot would bring the first major support level at $46,650 into play.

Barring an extended sell-off on the day, Bitcoin should steer clear of sub-$46,000 levels. The second major support level at $46,005 should limit the downside.

The Weekly Wrap – Economic Data and Policy Jitters Delivered a Boost for the Greenback

The Stats

It was a busier week on the economic calendar, in the week ending 17th September.

A total of 61 stats were monitored, which was up from 42 stats in the week prior.

Of the 61 stats, 21 came in ahead forecasts, with 27 economic indicators coming up short of forecasts. There were 13 stats that were in line with forecasts in the week.

Looking at the numbers, 29 of the stats reflected an upward trend from previous figures. Of the remaining 32 stats, 30 reflected a deterioration from previous.

For the Greenback, upbeat economic data and sentiment towards monetary policy delivered support in the week. In the week ending 17th September, the Dollar Spot Index rose by 0.66% to 93.195. In the previous week, the Dollar had risen by 0.59% to 92.582.

Out of the U.S

Early in the week, inflation figures were in focus.

In August, the annual rate of core inflation softened from 4.3% to 4.0% versus a forecasted 4.2%. While softer than expected, 4% continued to sit well above the FED’s 2% target, leaving tapering on the table.

Mid-week, industrial production and NY Empire State manufacturing figures were market positive.

On Thursday, retail sales, Philly FED Manufacturing PMI, and jobless claims figures were of greater interest, however.

In August, retail sales increased by 0.7% versus a forecasted 0.2% decline. Core retail sales jumped by 1.8% versus a 0.1% decline. In July retail sales had fallen by 1.1% and core retail sales by 0.4%.

Manufacturing numbers were also upbeat, with the Philly FED Manufacturing PMI increasing from 19.4 to 30.7 in September.

Jobless claims figures failed to impress, however, with sub-300k remaining elusive. In the week ending 10th September, initial jobless claims rose from 312k to 332k. Economists had forecast an increase to 330k.

At the end of the week, consumer sentiment improved, albeit moderately. In September, the Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index rose from 70.3 to 71.0, falling short of a forecasted 72.0.

Out of the UK

It was also a busy week. Employment, inflation, and retail sales figures were in focus. The stats were skewed to the positive.

In August, claimant counts fell by a further 58.6k after having fallen by 48.9k in July. In July, the unemployment rate fell from 4.7% to 4.6%.

The UK’s annual rate of inflation accelerated from 2.0% to 3.25 in August, also delivering Pound support.

At the end of the week, retail sales disappointed, however. Month-on-month, core retail sales fell by 1.2% in August, following a 3.2% slide in July. Retail sales fell by 0.9% after having fallen by 2.8% in July. Economists had forecast a pickup in spending.

In the week, the Pound fell by 0.71% to end the week at $1.3741. In the week prior, the Pound had fallen by 0.23% to $1.3839.

The FTSE100 ended the week down by 0.93%, following a 1.53% loss from the previous week.

Out of the Eurozone

Economic data included wage growth, industrial production, trade, and finalized inflation figures for the Eurozone.

Finalized inflation figures for Spain, France, and Italy were also out but had a muted impact on the EUR.

In the 2nd quarter, wage fell by 0.4%, year-on-year, partially reversing a 2.1% increase recorded in the previous quarter.

Industrial production and trade data were positive, however.

Production increased by 1.5%, reversing a 0.1% fall from June, with the Eurozone’s trade surplus widening from €17.7bn to €20.7bn.

At the end of the week, finalized inflation figures for the Eurozone were in line with prelim figures. The Eurozone’s annual rate of inflation accelerated from 2.2% to 3.0% in August.

For the week, the EUR fell by 0.75% to $1.1725. In the week prior, the EUR had fallen by 0.56% to $1.1814.

The CAC40 slid by 1.40%, with the DAX30 and the EuroStoxx600 ending the week with losses of 0.77% and 0.96% respectively.

For the Loonie

Economic data included manufacturing sales, inflation, and wholesale sales figures.

The stats were mixed in the week.

In July, both manufacturing sales and wholesale sales disappointed with falls of 1.5% and 2.1% respectively.

Providing support, however, was a pickup in the annual rate of inflation from 3.3% to 3.5%.

The pickup in inflationary pressure and rising oil prices were not enough to support the Loonie against the Greenback.

In the week ending 17th September, the Loonie fell by 0.57% to C$1.2764. In the week prior, the Loonie had fallen by 1.34% to C$1.2692.

Elsewhere

It was another bearish week for the Aussie Dollar and the Kiwi Dollar.

The Aussie Dollar fell by 1.05% to $0.7279, with the Kiwi Dollar ending the week down by 1.03% to $0.7040.

For the Aussie Dollar

Business and consumer confidence figures were in focus in the 1st half of the week.

In spite of the latest lockdown measures, the stats were skewed to the positive.

The NAB Business Confidence Index rose from -8 to -5 in August.

More significantly, the Westpac Consumer Sentiment Index increased by 2.0% in September. The index had fallen by 4.4% in August.

On Thursday, employment figures disappointed, however.

In August, full employment fell by 68k following a 4.2k decline in July. Employment tumbled by 146.3k, however, versus a forecasted 90.0k decline. In July, employment had risen by 2.2k.

According to the ABS,

  • The unemployment rate fell from 4.6% to 4.5%, with the participation rate declining from 66.0% to 65.2%.
  • Year-on-year, the number of unemployed was down by 298,000.

For the Kiwi Dollar

It was also a mixed week on the economic data front.

2nd quarter GDP numbers impressed, with the NZ economy expanding by 2.8%, quarter-on-quarter. The economy had expanded by a more modest 1.4% in the previous quarter.

On the negative, however, was a slide in the Business PMI from 62.6 to 40.1 in August. The figures reflected the impact of the latest lockdown measures on production, justifying the RBNZ’s decision to leave the cash rate unchanged.

For the Japanese Yen

It was a relatively quiet week, with the numbers skewed to the negative.

According to finalized figures, industrial production fell by 1.5% in July. While in line with prelim figures, this was a partial reversal of a 6.5% jump from June.

In August, Japan’s trade balance fell from a ¥439.4bn surplus to a ¥635.4bn deficit. Exports rose by 26.2%, year-on-year, after having been up by 37% in July.

The Japanese Yen rose by 0.01% to ¥109.93 against the U.S Dollar. In the week prior, the Yen had fallen by 0.21% to ¥109.94.

Out of China

Fixed asset investment and industrial production figures were in focus mid-week.

There were yet more disappointing numbers from China for the markets to consider.

In August, fixed asset investment increased by 8.9%, year-on-year. This was softer than a 10.3% increase in July.

More significantly, industrial production was up by 5.3% in August versus 6.4% in July.

In the week ending 17th September, the Chinese Yuan fell by 0.34% to CNY6.4661. In the week prior, the Yuan had ended the week up by 0.18% to CNY6.4443.

The CSI300 and the Hang Seng ended the week down by 3.14% and by 4.90% respectively.