Crude Oil

Crude Oil Price Update – Testing Key Short-Term Retracement Zone at $69.34 to $69.71

U.S. West Texas Intermediate Crude Oil futures are trading higher shortly before the U.S. opening. The price action suggests investors are expressing concerns over a tightening supply situation and downplaying the announcement of additional U.S. tariffs on China.

At 1142 GMT, November WTI crude oil is trading $69.24, up $0.47 or +0.68%.

WTI Crude Oil
Daily November WTI Crude Oil

Daily Technical Analysis

The main trend is up according to the daily swing chart. A trade through $70.89 and $70.98 will signal a resumption of the uptrend. The main trend will change to down on a move through $66.67.

The short-term range is $66.67 to $70.89. Its retracement zone at $69.34 to $69.71 is important to the structure of the chart pattern.

Aggressive counter-trend buyers may step in on a test of this zone in an effort to form a potentially bearish secondary lower top. Trend traders are going to try to cross over to the bullish side of this area.

The main range is $63.69 to $70.98. Its retracement zone at $67.34 to $66.47 is the primary downside target. This zone provided support at $66.67 on September 7.

Daily Technical Forecast

Based on the early price action, the direction of the November WTI crude oil futures contract on Monday is likely to be determined by trader reaction to the resistance cluster at $69.34 to $69.39.

A sustained move under $69.34 will indicate the presence of sellers. This could trigger a pullback into a long-term uptrending Gann angle at $68.69. Since the trend is up, we could see a technical bounce on the first test of this angle. If it fails to hold as support then look for the selling to extend into the short-term uptrending Gann angle at $68.17.

Overtaking the downtrending Gann angle at $69.39 will signal that the buying is getting stronger. If buyers can sustain the move to create enough upside momentum then look for the rally to possible extend into a pair of downtrending Gann angles at $70.14 and $70.52. The latter is the last potential resistance angle before the $70.89 main top.

Basically, the market is testing a key short-term retracement zone. Trader reaction to this zone will set the near-term tone. Look for a bullish tone to develop on a sustained move over $69.71 and for a bearish tone to develop on a sustained move under $69.34.

Published by

James Hyerczyk

James A. Hyerczyk has worked as a fundamental and technical financial market analyst since 1982. His technical work features the pattern, price and time analysis techniques of W.D. Gann.