EUR/USD Bearish Momentum Confirms Wave 3 & Aims at 1.0750

Dear traders, the EUR/USD is showing a very strong bearish impulse. This momentum is typical for a wave 3 pattern. What are the downside targets?

4 hour chart

euro US Dollar 4 hour chart

The EUR/USD has broken below the critical 1.0880-1.09 support zone. This invalidates the previous analysis which expected a bullish reversal at 1.09. The current momentum and wave 3 is expected to push further in February. A pullback to the 21 ema zone and resistance trend line (red) might occur. But price action is expected to continue towards the 1.0750 support zone.

1 hour chart

euro US Dollar 1 hour chart

The EUR/USD is either building a minor wave 4 (light blue) or a deeper wave 4 (dark red). The shallow wave 4 (light blue) remains likely as long as price stays below the 50% Fibonacci at 1.0855. But a break above this 50% Fib makes a deeper wave 4 (dark red) and larger bear flag more likely. Price could retrace towards 1.09-1.0950 at the 38.2-50% Fibs of wave 4 vs 3. A bearish breakout is aiming for the 200% Fib at 1.0750-25.

Good trading,

Chris Svorcik

The analysis has been done with the help of SWAT method (simple wave analysis and trading)

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