EUR/USD Mid-Session Technical Analysis for July 25, 2018

The Euro is trading higher shortly after the U.S. opening on Wednesday and ahead of a meeting between U.S. President Trump and European Commission President Jean-Claude Juncker. It’s also trading inside yesterday’s range which tends to indicate investor indecision and impending volatility.

At 1145 GMT, the EUR/USD is trading 1.1696, up 0.0015 or +0.13%.


Daily Swing Chart Technical Analysis

The main trend is up according to the daily swing chart. It turned up on Monday when buyers took out 1.1746. However, there wasn’t much follow-through buying and the rally stalled at 1.1752.

A trade through 1.1752 will signal a resumption of the uptrend. A move through 1.1575 will change the main trend to down.

The main range is 1.1851 to 1.1509. The market is currently trading inside its retracement zone at 1.1680 to 1.1720. The recent two week reaction to this zone indicates that it’s controlling the near-term direction of the EUR/USD.

The short-term range is 1.1575 to 1.1752. Its retracement zone at 1.1664 to 1.1643 is support.

Daily Swing Chart Technical Forecast

Based on the early price action, the direction of the EUR/USD the rest of the session on Wednesday will be determined by trader reaction to the 50% level at 1.1680.

A sustained move over 1.1680 will indicate the presence of buyers. If this generates enough upside momentum then look for a move into the Fibonacci level at 1.1720. Overcoming this level will indicate the buying is getting stronger. This could lead to a test of 1.1752.

Taking out 1.1752 will negate Monday’s reversal top and signal a resumption of the uptrend. This is also the trigger point for an acceleration into 1.1791. This is another trigger point for a price surge.

A sustained move under 1.1680 will signal the presence of sellers. The initial break will be labored, however, with early targets at 1.1664 and 1.1643.

The daily chart will open up to the downside under 1.1643 with the next target 1.1575.

Essentially, look for the upside bias to strengthen on a sustained move over 1.1720 and for a downside bias to develop on a sustained move under 1.1680.

Published by

James Hyerczyk

James A. Hyerczyk has worked as a fundamental and technical financial market analyst since 1982. His technical work features the pattern, price and time analysis techniques of W.D. Gann.