Since January, we’ve been calling for Gold to reach $1700 by March. Prices hit $1691.70 on Monday before reversing sharply. The massive liquidation in stocks this week may have forced a premature top in Gold.
On Monday I wrote, Gold Nears $1700 Target as Stocks Plummet. Our Gold Cycle Indicator jumped to 405 and entered maximum topping, suggesting the 6-month cycle was nearing maturity. I assumed prices would stretch a little higher, but the ensuing market liquidation proved overwhelming.
If the gold cycle peaked at $1691.70, then I won’t expect the next 6-month low until late April or early May. Preliminary analysis supports a decline to $1480 – $1520.
What could change our outlook? If stocks continue to plummet, then the Fed will be forced to cut interest rates, and that could put gold back on its feet. With the S&P 500 down 13.40% for the week (as I write), the Fed could announce something as soon as this weekend.
Don’t Let The Bull Throw You
Despite all the volatility, precious metals and miners are in long-term bull markets. There will be pullbacks and corrections, sometimes deep – don’t let these events shake you. The bull is powerful and will do its best to throw you. Grit your teeth, cinch down that flank strap, and decide not to be thrown.
AG Thorson is a registered CMT and expert in technical analysis. He believes we are in the final stages of a global debt super-cycle. For more information, please visit https://goldpredict.com/