Gold markets rallied a bit during the course of the week, but initially looked very soft as we were hanging about the $1790 level, an area that is significant support based upon action that we have seen over the last month or so. We then turned around as Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve announced that they were nowhere near tapering, so therefore gold got a bit of a boost as the US dollar got smoked. Having said that, we did not break out quite yet, and simply test at the top of the range before pulling back on Friday. It will be interesting to see whether or not we can continue to go higher, but we have a very clear area that will be crucial.
Gold Price Predictions Video 02.08.21
If we can clear the $1830 level, then it is likely the gold continues to go much higher, perhaps trying to take that huge red wipeout candle out and go looking towards the $1910 level. On the other hand, if we turn around a break down below the $1790 level, that almost certainly will open up a move down to the $1750 level, followed very closely by the double bottom down at the $1680 level. With that being the case, it is very likely that it would come along with massive US dollar strength and a lot of fear-based trading.
Even though the gold market sometimes get a little bit of a boost when people are concerned, the reality is that the gold markets play second fiddle to the US dollar sometimes, and that will be especially true if we continue to see the yield in the United States drop as people will rush towards bond.
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