Natural gas markets have rallied a bit during the trading session after initially gapping lower on Monday, showing signs of confusion in choppiness yet again. The $2.65 level has offered a short-term support level, while the $2.80 level above is significant resistance. I think that given enough time we are probably going to see a lot of noisy behavior in this general vicinity, with the $3.00 level above offering a massive amount of resistance. Because of this, it is very likely that we continue to see a lot of back and forth, but it does appear that the upward trend continues. With that being the case, I do not have any interest in trying to get too cute with this trade, I simply want to buy it on short-term dips.
NATGAS Video 20.10.20
The 50 day EMA underneath will of course attract a certain amount of attention, especially as the indicator has been relatively reliable in the recent uptrend. If we can break above the 3.00$ level, then it is likely that the market can continue to go much higher. I do think that it does, as we are heading into a colder time of year for the northern hemisphere.
Furthermore, we have had a significant amount of bankruptcies in the United States, so that has taken some of the supply out of the market. Nonetheless, this is a cyclical time of year for natural gas the typically go higher, so that is something to keep in the back of your mind.
For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar.