Natural gas markets initially rally during the course of the week, breaking out well above the $4.00 level, only to sell off and breakdown. All things being equal, this is a market that I think will continue to see a lot of upward pressure over the longer term, but we are starting to see temperatures cool off a little bit in the United States, so that could drive down demand. Longer-term though, we still have the heat wave coming back and therefore I think buyers will return. This little bit of a pullback might be a nice opportunity to get involved at a better price, and that is how I plan on playing this market.
NATGAS Video 02.08.21
If we can break above the top of the candlestick from the week, then it allows the market to go much higher. At that point, the market is likely to go looking towards the $4.40 level. That is the measured move from the previous consolidation area and the bullish flag that shows up on the daily chart. With that being the case, I think it all the points to higher levels, but this little bit of a pullback should be a nice buying opportunity based upon value as it returns. It is not until we break down below the $3.40 level that I would be a seller of this market and at that point in time I would probably become rather aggressive. In general, this is a market that I believe continues to see upward momentum but given back some of the most recent impulsive move would not be a huge surprise.
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