Silver Price Prediction – Prices Crash on Long Liquidation

Silver prices experienced a flash crash of $0.93 per ounce during the Asian trading session and rebounded during European and North American hours but were still down on the trading session. The dollar moved higher, putting downward pressure the entire precious metals complex. Treasury yields continued to rise. There continued to be a move out of precious metals and into cryptocurrencies. Hedge funds reduced short positions in futures and options according to the latest COT report.

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Technical analysis

Silver prices tumbled sharply but rebounded from session lows. Target support is seen near the November 2020 lows 21.87. Resistance is seen near former support at the March lows at 24.41. Short-term momentum has turned negative as the fast stochastic generated crossover sell signal.  Medium-term momentum has turned negative as the MACD (moving average convergence divergence) generated a crossover sell signal. This occurs as the MACD line (the 12-day moving average minus the 26-day moving average) crosses below the MACD signal line (the 9-day moving average of the MACD line).

Hedge Funds Barely Change Positions

According to the latest Commitment of Trader’s Report released by the CFTC, for the date ending 8/3/21, hedge funds reduced short positions in futures and options. Managed money open interest that is long futures and options is more than 2-times the volume that is short, which likely led to a string of stop losses that generated the flash crash in gold prices.