Black Tesla Model S supercharging at Aventura Mall

Tesla Price Prediction: A Blow-off Top Followed by Epic Collapse

  • Hertz Announced an initial order of 100,000 Tesla’s to be filled by year-end 2022.
  • Tesla skyrocketed from a $913-billion market cap (October 22, 2021) to $1.21 trillion.
  • The bullish response added $300 billion, implying a $3-million price tag per vehicle ordered (not sold).

Tesla Daily Chart

Tesla shares skyrocketed above $1000 on the Hertz announcement. Tesla is now worth more than all the auto manufacturers combined. More on that later.

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Tesla Market Cap

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https://ycharts.com/companies/TSLA/market_cap

Gross Profit

Let’s say Tesla makes a generous $20,000 profit per vehicle ($20,000 X 100,000). That indicates a gross profit of $2 billion, far shy of the $300-billion increase. What is going on here?

Ford Motor Company

By comparison, Ford Motor Company currently sports a $72-billion market cap, so Tesla adding $300 billion in market cap is like adding four (4) Ford Motor Companies.

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https://ycharts.com/companies/F/market_cap

Major Auto Companies by Market Cap

Below is a quick rundown of all major auto manufacturers by current market cap. Tesla is worth more than all and sells less than 1% of the vehicles.

With a market cap of $1.21 trillion, TSLA is trading at a 25% premium above all auto manufacturers on the planet!

Tesla looks, acts, and smells like a bubble. The question is…when will it pop?

AG Thorson is a registered CMT and expert in technical analysis. He believes we are in the final stages of a global debt super-cycle. For regular updates, please visit here, or follow AG on Twitter at https://twitter.com/ag_thorson