Major indices sold off this week one year ago when a Kirkland, Washington nursing home reported the first non-travel related COVID cases in the United States. The rest is history, with major benchmarks crashing to multiyear lows, ahead of a relentless recovery underpinned by massive government stimulus programs. Those greenbacks continue to guide price action in 2021, with banks and recovery plays outperforming while pandemic beneficiaries falter.
The next act of this real-life soap opera comes in Monday’s pre-market, when Royal Caribbean Group (RCL) is likely to report another quarter of staggering losses. Dow component Home Depot Inc. (HD) heads the week’s blue chip earnings schedule on Tuesday while rival Lowe’s Cos. Inc. (LOW) follows on Wednesday. Hot rocket NVIDIA Inc. (NVDA) also reports mid-week, with investors confident the stock will trade above 1,000 in coming years.
Royal Caribbean is expected to report a Q4 2020 loss of $4.99 per-share after posting a $1.42 profit in the same quarter last year. That was also the last quarter the cruise operator made money or had a full fleet sailing around the world. RCL has gone to the capital markets several times since then, attempt to stay afloat, which takes on special meaning in this case. As with other battered leisure segments, the company is counting on vaccines to get them back in business.
Wall Street analysts are looking for Home Depot to earn $2.37 per share on $27.1 billion in Q4 2020 revenue. The stock cleared February 2020 resistance in May and posted an all-time high at 292.95 in August. It failed an October breakout attempt and has traded in a narrow range since that time, working off 2020’s outsized share gains. With the pandemic receding, the retailer could trade higher on a booming housing market and the strengthening U.S. economic outlook.
NVIDIA is expected to report another strong quarter on Wednesday, with analysts predicting a Q4 2020 profit of $1.98 per-share on $4.82 billion in revenue. The stock just nosed above the September peak at 589.07 but a breakout will require a buy-the-news reaction after the report. That isn’t a sure thing after Advanced Micro Devices Inc. (AMD), the other beneficiary of Intel Corp. (INTC) missteps, sold off in January despite beating top and bottom line estimates.
For a look at all of this week’s economic events, check out our economic calendar.
Disclosure: the author held no positions in aforementioned securities at the time of publication.