USD/CAD Forecast Jan. 20, 2012, Fundamental Analysis

The USD/CAD pair dropped on Thursday as the USD lost strength after the upbeat jobless claims, as the number of Americans filing for unemployment insurances dropped by 50 thousand to 352 thousand last week, from a revised 402 thousand, the lowest in almost four year and beating analysts’ median estimates of 384 thousand. In essence, markets were filled with optimism after the Spanish and French auction went pretty well.

The sentiment improved in the market today after the Spanish and French bond auctions, as Spain sold 3.009 billion Euros of 5.85% 2022 bonds, on an average yield of 5.403%, compared with the previous of 6.975% recorded in the November auction. Demand for these bonds was 2.17 times the quantity offered compared with 1.54 times an auction earlier.

The USD/CAD pair could still rise if pessimism continues to dominate markets, as uncertainty remains the main theme in markets, and that could also lead to deep fluctuations for the USD/CAD pair.

Friday January 20:

Canada won’t release any new data, so volatile trading is expected, and eyes will be focused on Europe and the crisis that could cause any change in trading.

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