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US Stock Market Plunge: Did Mnuchin’s Call to Banks Raise New Concerns for Investors?

The major U.S. stock indexes were hit hard on Monday to the surprise of many since Christmas Eve traditionally is a low volume, low volatility trading session. According to historians, the markets posted their worst Christmas Eve trading session ever. Furthermore, the sell-off drove the S&P 500 Index into bear market territory.

In the cash market, the benchmark S&P 500 Index settled at 2351.10, down 65.52 or -2.47%. The blue chip Dow Jones Industrial Average finished at 21792.20, down 653.17 or -2.66% and the NASDAQ Composite Index closed at 6192.92, down 140.08 or -1.93%.

There was no major economic news on Wednesday which likely means political uncertainty in Washington has unsettled investors. Reports that President Trump is discussing how to remove Jerome Powell from his position as chairman of the Federal Reserve arose over the week-end, but Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin repudiated the claims.

Mnuchin Tries to Soothe Investor Worries…

Additionally, Mnuchin may have rattled investors when he called the leaders of the six largest U.S. banks over the weekend in order to reassure nervous investors that the financial markets and economy were functioning properly.

“The banks all confirmed ample liquidity for lending to consumer and business markets,” said the statement from the Treasury Secretary.

“We continue to see strong economic growth in the U.S. economy with robust activity from consumers and business,” said Mnuchin added in the statement on Sunday. Furthermore, a senior Treasury official told CNBC on Monday that the purpose of Mnuchin’s call and statement was to take a “prudent, preemptive measure” after last week’s volatility.

But What Is There To Worry About?

Wall Street pros are questioning the timing and the reason for Mnuchin’s remarks. Some believe that they raised more questions than answers. As far as I can see, the sell-off in the markets has been orderly. Volatility has risen substantially since October and the markets have lost more than 50% of its two year gains. Furthermore, the S&P 500 Index and NASDAQ Composite Index have entered bear market territories. In other words …the panic selling hasn’t begun which means the markets aren’t even close to capitulation.

However, in contacting the major banks and asking them to reassure investors that there is plenty of liquidity available brings back memories of 2008 to some who remember that the lack of liquidity in the credit markets compounded the problems in the stock markets.

Prior to last weekend’s event, traders were worried about the government shutdown, rising interest rates, plunging oil prices and US-China trade relations, it now looks like some have added market liquidity to that list of concerns.

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James Hyerczyk

James A. Hyerczyk has worked as a fundamental and technical financial market analyst since 1982. His technical work features the pattern, price and time analysis techniques of W.D. Gann.