Arista Networks Brings in Big Money

And the cloud networking solutions provider could rise even more due to its data center solutions and big customer wins. But another likely reason is Big Money lifting the stock.

Big Money Likes Arista

So, what’s Big Money? Said simply, that’s when a stock goes up in price alongside chunky volumes. It’s indicative of institutions betting on the shares.

Smart money managers are always looking for the next hot stock. And Arista has many fundamental qualities that are attractive.

This sets up well for the stock going forward. But how the shares have been trading points to more upside. As I’ll show you, the Big Money has been consistent in the shares.

You see, fund managers are always looking to bet on the next outlier stocks…the best in class. They spend countless hours sizing up companies, reading reports, speaking to analysts…you name it. When they find a company firing on all cylinders, they pounce in a big way.

That’s why I’ve learned how critical it is to gauge Big Money demand for shares. To show you what I mean, have a look at all the Big Money signals ANET has made the last year.

The last few weeks have seen Big Money activity, too. Each green bar signals big trading volumes as the stock ramped in price:

Source: www.mapsignals.com

In the last year, the stock attracted five Big Money buy signals. Generally speaking, recent green bars could mean more upside is ahead.

Now, let’s check out technical action grabbing my attention:

Outperformance is important for leading stocks.

Arista Fundamental Analysis

Next, it’s a good idea to check under the hood. Meaning, I want to make sure the fundamental story is strong too. As you can see, Arista has been growing sales and earnings at double-digit rates. Take a look:

  • 1-year sales growth rate (+27.2%)
  • 3-year EPS growth rate (+54.1%)

Source: FactSet

Marrying great fundamentals with technically superior stocks is a winning recipe over the long-term.

In fact, ANET has been a top-rated stock at my research firm, MAPsignals, for years. That means the stock has buy pressure, strong technicals, and growing fundamentals. We have a ranking process that showcases stocks like this on a weekly basis.

ANET has a lot of qualities that are attracting Big Money. It’s made this list 53 times since 2014, with its first appearance on 06/09/2015…and gaining 534.5% since. The blue bars below show the times that Arista was a top pick:

Source: www.mapsignals.com

It’s been a top stock in the technology sector according to the MAPsignals process. I wouldn’t be surprised if ANET makes additional appearances in the years to come. Let’s tie this all together.

Arista Price Prediction

The Arista rally could have further to go. Big Money buying in the shares is signaling to take notice. Shares could be positioned for further upside. Given the historical gains in share price and strong fundamentals, this stock could be worth a spot in a diversified portfolio.

Disclosure: the author holds no positions in ANET at the time of publication.

Learn more about the MAPsignals process here.

Contact

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Wall Street Week Ahead Earnings: Shopify, Baidu, Walmart, Deere and DraftKings in Focus

Investors will focus on December quarter earnings for stocks that are economically sensitive, which should show better profits than technology stocks. Increasing Treasury yields and risk aversion could hit the stock market hard over the coming months. In addition, investors will closely monitor the latest news on the rapidly spread Omicron coronavirus variant to see how it impacts earnings in 2022.

Earnings Calendar For The Week Of February 14

Monday (February 14)

TICKER COMPANY EPS FORECAST
AAP Advance Auto Parts $1.93
ALX Alexander’s $4.29
AMKR Amkor Technology $0.65
ANET Arista Networks $0.6
SRC Spirit Realty Capital $0.81
VNO Vornado Realty Trust $0.76
WEBR Weber $-0.02

Tuesday (February 15)

TICKER COMPANY EPS FORECAST
ABNB Airbnb $0.05
AKAM Akamai Technologies $1.14
DVN Devon Energy $1.24
MAR Marriott International $1.04
RPRX Royalty Pharma $0.79
VIAC ViacomCBS $0.37
WFG West Fraser Timber $3.51

 

Wednesday (February 16)

IN THE SPOTLIGHT: SHOPIFY, BAIDU

SHOPIFY: Canadian multinational e-commerce company is expected to report its fourth-quarter earnings of $0.62 per share, which represents a year-over-year decline of over 46% from $1.15 per share seen in the same period a year ago. But the e-commerce software company would post revenue growth of over 37% to $1.34 billion.

According to Barron’s report, Gary Robinson, investment manager at Baillie Gifford said that Shopify is miles ahead of its competitors in helping merchants all over the world sell their items. He added that the company’s revenue could rise sharply in the next five years.

BAIDU: The Chinese tech giant is expected to report its fourth-quarter earnings of $1.89 per share, which represents a year-over-year decline of nearly 40% from $3.08 per share seen in the same period a year ago.

However, Baidu Inc, a leader in the Chinese search industry in terms of user market share, would post revenue growth of about 9% to $5.04 billion. The company has beaten consensus earnings estimates in most of the quarters in the last two years, at least.

“We maintain a “Buy” rating for Baidu (BIDU) with a target price of RMB 165. Our target price is based on the forward P/E of 18.48x and forward P/S of 0.42x for FY22. Non-GAAP EPS of RMB 56.59 ($8.98) for FY22. This provides an upside potential of 15% over the CMP of RMB 143.80,” noted Shejal Ajmera is founder and head of research at CrispIdea.

“We decrease our estimate for revenue growth to 14.3% from 19% for FY21 due to China’s low GDP growth. We estimate revenue growth of 10% for FY22 and 12% for FY23. We estimate EPS of RMB 56.19 ($8.87) and RMB 56.59 ($8.93) for FY21 and FY22, respectively.”

TAKE A LOOK AT OUR EARNINGS CALENDAR FOR THE FULL RELEASES FOR THE FEBRUARY 16

TICKER COMPANY EPS FORECAST
AMAT Applied Materials $1.85
SAM Boston Beer $2.87
H Hyatt Hotels $-0.08
MGY Magnolia Oil & Gas $0.77
MRO Marathon Oil $0.52
NVDA Nvidia $1.0
TRIP TripAdvisor $-0.04

 

Thursday (February 17)

IN THE SPOTLIGHT: WALMART

Bentonville, Arkansas-based retailer Walmart is expected to report its fourth-quarter earnings of $1.49 per share, which represents year-over-year growth of over 7% from $1.39 per share seen in the same period a year ago.

The multinational retail corporation that operates a chain of hypermarkets would post revenue growth of nearly 1% to $150.91 billion. The company has beaten consensus earnings estimates in most of the quarters in the last two years, at least.

“Latest AlphaWise data shows Walmart+ membership continues to increase, with ~15m members total (~12% household penetration) & ~1m net members added in the past quarter. Overlap between Walmart+ & Prime remains high; we’ll monitor if this changes with a Prime fee hike coming,” noted Simeon Gutman, equity analyst at Morgan Stanley.

“We expect Walmart (WMT) to sustain recent momentum in its core business in F’22/F’23 and see a growing ability to balance longer-term investments with near-term returns. Our OW rating and $170 PT are underpinned by a preference for 1) quality players with scale and 2) defensive retailers as the market undergoes a mid-cycle transition.”

TAKE A LOOK AT OUR EARNINGS CALENDAR FOR THE FULL RELEASES FOR THE FEBRUARY 17

TICKER COMPANY EPS FORECAST
AN AutoNation $4.96
DBX Dropbox $0.2
ROKU Roku $0.01

 

Friday (February 18)

IN THE SPOTLIGHT: DEERE, DRAFTKINGS

DEERE: The world’s largest maker of farm equipment, is expected to report its fiscal first-quarter earnings of $2.28 per share, which represents a year-over-year decline of over 41% from $3.87 per share seen in the same period a year ago. The agricultural, construction and forestry equipment manufacturer would post revenue growth of about 0.5% to $8.09 billion.

“Higher input and freight costs to affect FY22 margins. We downgrade our rating to “Hold” from “Buy” for Deere & Co. and upgrade our TP to $406 for FY23. We derive TP based on non-GAAP EPS to $22.30 & $25.14 for FY22 & FY23, respectively and P/E of ~16.1x for FY23. This provides an upside potential of 8.6% from CMP of $373.79,” noted Shejal Ajmera, Head of Research at Crispidea.

“Following are the reasons for the above assumptions: 1) Strong demand in farm and construction equipment to aid topline; 2) Focus on automation to ensure long term growth and 3) Short term headwinds to affect profitability.”

DRAFTKINGS: The U.S.-focused gambling operator is expected to report its fourth-quarter loss of $0.78 per share, a dime greater than the loss of $0.68 it recorded in the same period a year ago. But the revenue would grow more than 36% to $439.5 million.

“We forecast legal US sports betting & iGaming to increase from <$1.5B in 2019 to $20.6B in 2025 as more states legalize and spend per capita rises. Forecast DKNG to maintain top tier share, 24% in OSB and 21% in iGaming in 2025. Investors question LT profits, but other developed markets have shown 25-30%+ profits for operators at maturity, esp. those with a customer acq. advantage similar to DKNG’s with its DFS database,” noted Thomas Allen, equity analyst at Morgan Stanley.

“Current valuation of 9x 2025e EBITDA does not reflect long-term margins or growth. Upside drivers include signs of profits in mature states, new product innovation and higher market share. Downside risks include higher losses, greater competition and lagging product innovation.”

TAKE A LOOK AT OUR EARNINGS CALENDAR FOR THE FULL RELEASES FOR THE FEBRUARY 18

TICKER COMPANY EPS FORECAST
ABR Arbor Realty Trust $0.39
B Barnes Group $0.49
BLMN Bloomin’ Brands $0.52
DE Deere & Co. $2.28

 

Best Oversold Growth ETFs to Buy Now

Big Money has been selling a lot recently, causing losses almost market-wide (energy being the only survivor). Fears over inflation and the Federal Reserve raising interest rates, among other worries, have spooked investors. Going to MAPsignals.com, we can scan Big Money ETF buys and sells. Recent big selling, indicated by the deep red lines in the chart below, can help explain the market drawdown:

Source: www.mapsignals.com

When markets move like this, the hysteria can entrap great assets and cause them to be sold off. To identify those “unfairly hit,” long-term investors need to look for ETFs (and their stocks) with great setups.

Remember: ETFs are just baskets of stocks, so we need to look at them in detail. MAPsignals specializes in scoring more than 6,500 stocks daily. If I know which stocks compose the ETFs, I can apply stock scores to the ETFs. Then I can rank them all from strongest to weakest.

Let’s get to the five best oversold growth ETFs to buy now.

#1 iShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF (IGV)

This ETF has been getting hammered since about mid-November of last year. Below are the buys and sells for the fund according to the Big Money process:

IGV holds several solid stocks; one example is its largest holding, Microsoft Corporation (MSFT). Here are the times MSFT was a high-ranking Big Money buy signal since 2016:

#2 First Trust Dow Jones Internet Index Fund (FDN)

FDN holds some of the biggest, most successful stocks out there. These are names we’ve all heard of and know well. Their ability to bounce back is appealing, as is the growth of FDN:

One great stock FDN holds is Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN). It’s a long-time Big Money favorite with awesome fundamentals. As the multi-year chart below shows, it’s been a monster stock for a while:

Chart, histogram Description automatically generated

#3 First Trust Cloud Computing ETF (SKYY)

Big Money started buying this ETF focused on cloud computing back in 2020, and no wonder because it holds tremendous stocks. Given its quality, I think this could be a great opportunity to get a solid growth ETF at a discount price:

One of the biggest holdings within SKYY is Arista Networks, Inc. (ANET). It’s an outlier stock that Big Money has liked for years:

#4 iShares Russell 2000 Growth ETF (IWO)

While it’s been a weaker-performing ETF of late, IWO still holds stocks with strong growth prospects. IWO has been sold hard, but this could be an opportunity:

One company within this ETF on a pullback that could flourish is Synaptics Incorporated (SYNA). Big Money loved it for years. The multi-year chart shows a lot of blue signals years ago:

#5 ARK Innovation ETF (ARKK)

While it has fallen significantly, ARKK holds innovative companies that could overturn the business world. So, it could be a potential scoop down here.

One great stock in ARKK is Tesla Inc. (TSLA). It’s held up relatively well during the growth pullback and has a phenomenal long-term trend. Big Money has loved TSLA for a long time:

Fair or not, all these ETFs have been hit hard this year due to their growth-oriented focus. But that doesn’t change the fact they hold great stocks that could rise in the future.

The Bottom Line

IGV, FDN, SKYY, IWO, and ARKK are my best oversold growth ETFs to buy now. These picks are poised to do well going forward, in my opinion, largely because they each hold great stocks. They may be experiencing selling pressure, but on quality assets, deep red days often prove to be fire sales over time.

To learn more about MAPsignals’ Big Money process please visit: www.mapsignals.com

Disclosure: the author holds no positions in IGV, FDN, SKYY, IWO, ARKK, MSFT, AMZN, ANET, SYNA, or TSLA in managed or personal accounts at the time of publication.

Investment Research Disclaimer

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