In Fresh Regulatory Move, China Tells Tech Giants to Stop Blocking Rivals’ Links

The comments, made by the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology (MIIT) at a news briefing, mark the latest step in Beijing’s broad regulatory crackdown that has ensnared sectors from technology to education and property and wiped billions of dollars off the market value of some of the country’s largest companies.

China’s internet is dominated by a handful of technology giants which have historically blocked links and services by rivals on their platforms.

Restricting normal access to internet links without proper reason “affects the user experience, damages the rights of users and disrupts market order,” said MIIT spokesperson Zhao Zhiguo, adding that the ministry had received reports and complaints from users since it launched a review of industry practices in July.

“At present we are guiding relevant companies to carry out self-examination and rectification,” he said, citing instant messaging platforms as one of the first areas they were targeting.

He did not specify what the consequences would be for companies that failed to abide with the new guidelines.

The MIIT did not name any companies, but the 21st Century Business Herald newspaper reported on Saturday that Alibaba Group Holding Ltd and Tencent Holdings Ltd were among the firms told to end the practice by an unspecified time last week.

Shares in Alibaba Group and Tencent Holdings fell on Monday by over 6% and 3% respectively against a 3% decline in the Hang Seng Tech Index.

The practice targeted by the MIIT is common.

Tencent restricts users from sharing content from ByteDance-owned short video app Douyin on Tencent’s instant messaging apps WeChat and QQ. In February, Douyin filed a complaint with a Beijing court saying that it constituted monopolistic behaviour. Tencent has called those accusations baseless.

In other cases, Alibaba’s Taobao and Tmall e-commerce marketplaces do not allow Tencent’s payment service WeChat Pay to be used as a payment option.

Tencent said it supported the MIIT’s guidance and would make the necessary changes in phases.

An Alibaba spokesperson referred Reuters to remarks made by CEO Daniel Zhang on Aug. 3, when he said rectification was “highly necessary”.

“Forced cracks in China’s walled gardens has the potential to re-write China’s digital advertising and e-commerce landscapes,” said Michael Norris, research and strategy manager at Shanghai-based consultancy AgencyChina.

“In the short term, all eyes will be on Tencent as it comes to grips with what it means to open WeChat to Alibaba and ByteDance.”

The MIIT also said on Monday that China had “too many” electric vehicle (EV) makers and the government will encourage consolidation.

For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar.

(Reporting by Brenda Ghoh and Shen Yan; Editing by Christopher Cushing, Kenneth Maxwell and Ana Nicolaci da Costa)

Global Equities Hit Record Highs; Oil Closes Higher

MSCI’s benchmark for global equity markets hit a record. The S&P 500 .SPX and Nasdaq also rose to all-time highs as dovish remarks from the Federal Reserve last week bolstered optimism in an economic rebound and eased fears of a sudden tapering in monetary stimulus.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 5.8 points, or 0.02%, to 35,461.6, the S&P 500 gained 26.47 points, or 0.59%, to 4,535.84 and the Nasdaq Composite added 154.43 points, or 1.02%, at 15,283.93 by 3:06 p.m. ET (19:06 GMT).

The Europe-wide STOXX 600 rose 0.07% and was on course to end August with a rise of more than 2% – its seventh month of gains in what would be its longest such winning run in over eight years.

Asian stocks hit a two-week high and Japan’s blue-chip Nikkei closed up 0.5%.

Positive sentiment in equity markets was underpinned by Friday’s Jackson Hole speech by Fed Chair Jerome Powell in which he said tapering of stimulus measures could begin this year, but added the central bank would remain cautious.

“The questions now should pivot from the timing of the taper to its speed. How fast will the Fed reduce its purchases from the current $120 billion monthly rate?” said Christopher Smart, chief global strategist & head of the Barings Investment Institute.

“That will likely be determined by some of the data coming in this week, including U.S. consumer confidence and jobs, but also European inflation and Chinese PMIs.”

With the market focused on the “medium-term,” traders have seen any weakness as buying opportunities, said Pictet Wealth Management strategist Frederik Ducrozet.

“We are going from great to good – the outlook is not as great as it was earlier this year but it’s still consistent with further equity market gains,” he added.

Chinese shares remained the outlier, with the U.S.-listed shares of gaming firms such as NetEase Inc dropping on signs of further regulation.

Chinese regulators cut the amount of time players under the age of 18 can spend on online games to an hour on Fridays, weekends and holidays, state media reported.

The new rules come amid a broad crackdown by Beijing on China’s tech giants, such as Alibaba Group and Tencent Holdings that has hammered Chinese shares traded at home and abroad.

OIL OFF HIGHS

Oil prices edged higher but were off a four-week high as Hurricane Ida weakened into a Category 1 hurricane within 12 hours of coming ashore.

Nearly all U.S. offshore Gulf oil production, or 1.74 million barrels per day, was suspended in advance of the storm.

Focus turned to a meeting of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies on Wednesday, with sources telling Reuters the group is likely to keep its oil output policy unchanged and continue with its planned modest production increase.

Brent crude futures settled up 71 cents at $73.42 a barrel after touching four-week highs. They rose more than 11% last week in anticipation of disruptions to oil production from Hurricane Ida.

U.S. oil rose 47 cents to $69.21 a barrel, having jumped a little more than 10% over the last week.

“Hurricane Ida will dictate oil’s near-term direction,” said Jeffrey Halley, senior market analyst at OANDA. “If Ida weakens and its path of destruction is lower than expected, oil’s rally will temporarily lose momentum here.”

In bond and currency markets, it was the Fed’s dovish tone that held sway, with Friday’s key U.S. jobs report in focus.

U.S. Treasury yields retreated as the market looked ahead to the release this week of the August employment report and the possibility it could factor into the timing of the Fed’s tapering announcement.

The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield was around 1.2852% , while the dollar index – which measures the greenback against a basket of currencies – edged higher after touching a two-week low.

The euro edged up to $1.18, off a three-week peak touched earlier in the session.

“If we get a (U.S. payrolls) number close to a million that would increase the odds of taper being announced in September, but if the number is line with expectations then there’s a 50-50 chance for a September move,” said Vasileios Gkionakis, global head of FX strategy at Lombard Odier Group.

For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar.

(Reporting by Chris Prentice and Dhara Ranasinghe; additional reporting by Alex Lawler in London; editing by Mark Potter, Bernadette Baum, Pravin Char and Richard Chang)

S&P 500, Nasdaq nab all-time closing highs as Powell soothes taper fears

All three indexes posted weekly gains.

“I see two things happening,” said Mike Zigmont, head of research and trading at Harvest Volatility Management in New York. “I see a reflexive dip-buying validation and I see the market embracing a dovish Fed.”

Regarding the indexes’ recent string of all-time highs, including the S&P 500’s 52nd record high close so far this year, Zigmont said “The march north has been very consistent. The drawdowns are super shallow, and the recoveries are very fast.”

In his prepared remarks, Powell stopped short of providing a clearer picture regarding the timing of the central bank’s tapering of asset purchases or hiking interest rates, the key elements of its dovish monetary policy aimed at helping the economy recover from the pandemic recession.

Indeed, Powell appeared to strike a more dovish tone than other Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) officials, including St. Louis Fed President James Bullard and Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester, who said earlier in the day that they expect the tapering process to begin soon and wind down next year.

“The market is very happy that the Fed is pumping more liquidity into the economy every month,” Zigmont added. “The Fed is enabling asset prices to climb and the market is pleased with that.”

Economic data released on Friday delivered, in large part, precisely what economists expected – a pullback in consumer spending and sentiment due to the COVID-19 Delta variant, and signs that the current wave of price spikes will not morph into long term inflation, inline with Fed assurances.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 242.68 points, or 0.69%, to 35,455.8, the S&P 500 gained 39.37 points, or 0.88%, to 4,509.37 and the Nasdaq Composite added 183.69 points, or 1.23%, to 15,129.50.

Ten of the 11 major sectors of the S&P 500 advanced, with energy shares enjoying the largest percentage gain.

Chipmaker Nvidia’s shares rose 2.6% after sources said it would likely seek antitrust approval from the European Union to take over British chip designer Arm.

Workday Inc jumped 9.1% as brokerages upped their price targets after the company beat second-quarter revenue estimates.

Stay-at-home darling Peloton Interactive Inc slid 8.5% following its profit warning and its announcement it was being probed by U.S. regulators over an accident involving the safety of its treadmills.

Beijing continued its crackdown on its tech companies, threatening to curb their ability to list on U.S. exchanges.

U.S.-listed shares of Alibaba Group and Tencent Music Entertainment fell 3.5% and 1.4%, respectively, while the Invesco Golden Dragon ETF dropped 1.1%.

Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 5.21-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 3.40-to-1 ratio favored advancers.

The S&P 500 posted 60 new 52-week highs and one new low; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 132 new highs and 37 new lows.

Volume on U.S. exchanges was 8.67 billion shares, compared with the 8.95 billion average over the last 20 trading days.

(Reporting by Stephen Culp; Additional reporting by Devik Jain in Bengaluru; Editing by Marguerita Choy)

Half a Trillion Dollars Wiped from China Markets in a Week as Clampdowns Shatter Confidence

More than $560 billion in market value has been wiped off Hong Kong and mainland China exchanges in a week as funds capitulate out of once-favoured stocks, unsure which sectors regulators will target next.

The Hang Seng fell 1.8% and its weekly drop of 5.8% was the largest since the height of the pandemic panic in financial markets in March 2020.

Stocks in Shanghai also fell, while investors sold risky corporate debt and the Chinese currency. The yuan was poised for its biggest weekly loss in two months as investors rushed to safety amid global coronavirus concerns.

U.S.-listed shares of China-based tech-related companies gained ground as bargain hunters took advantage of recent sell-offs resulting from Beijing’s ongoing regulatory crackdown, which has wiped half a trillion dollars from Chinese markets this week.

Alibaba Holding Group, Tencent Music Entertainment Group, Didi Global and iQiyi Inc advanced between 1% and 4.5%.

“There isn’t really one trigger, but many bits and pieces that add to the narrative to stay away from China,” said Dave Wang, a portfolio manager at Nuvest Capital in Singapore.

“Almost on a daily basis you have negative news coming out, so it forms the impression there’s no end in sight.”

This week alone China announced tougher rules on competition in the tech sector, summoned executives at property developer Evergrande to warn them to reduce the firm’s massive debt and state media reported looming regulations for liquor makers, a favourite tipple for foreign fund managers.

On the heels of crackdowns spanning from steelmaking to e-commerce and education, the moves are sapping faith in a market that seems yet to find a floor after months of selling.

The Shanghai Composite dropped 1.1% to its lowest close in more than two weeks on Friday and blue chips fell 1.9%, with liquor makers leading losses.

China Telecom was a rare bright spot and surged on its debut in Shanghai.

The epicentre of the selloff has been the tech sector, which had been popular with foreign investors who are now afraid they can’t quantify the regulatory risk and are selling in droves.

Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Tech index, comprised of many one-time darlings, dropped 2.5% on Friday to a new record low and has shed about 48% since February.

E-commerce titan Alibaba’s Hong Kong shares fell 2.6% to a record closing low and have halved from an October peak. Internet giant Tencent touched a 14-month low and food deliverer Meituan hit a one-year low.

“There’s a herd mentality at the moment,” said Louis Tse managing director of Hong Kong brokerage Wealthy Securities. “People see one person selling and then they do the same.”

As a result, Alibaba now commands its lowest price-to-earnings ratio since its listing in New York in 2014 and Tencent its lowest in more than eight years.

“Tencent and Alibaba wouldn’t be trading around 20 times earnings if the general mood around them was optimism,” said Tariq Dennison, managing director at GFM Asset Management in Hong Kong, who was actually a buyer of both on Friday.

Adding to regulatory worries are concerns that China’s economic recovery is losing momentum and debt risks are rising, as data points to slowing demand and factory output and suggests authorities are cracking down at a delicate time.

Policymakers’ persistence with curbing red-hot property prices, for example, has markets on edge and corporate credit fell further on Friday with the news that heavily-indebted Evergrande had been rebuked by regulators.

The yuan has fallen through its 200-day moving average against a broadly rising U.S. dollar and weakened past the psychological 6.5 per dollar mark, hitting a three-week low of 6.5059 during onshore trade on Friday.

The Hong Kong dollar sits close to its weakest in a year and a half, also suggesting money is moving out of the city.

For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar.

(Reporting by Tom Westbrook in Singapore, Alun John in Hong Kong and Samuel Shen in Shanghai; Additional reporting by Stephen Culp in New York; Editing by Ana Nicolaci da Costa, Kim Coghill and Nick Zieminski)

Rocked by Sexual Assault Allegation, Alibaba Launches Investigation, Suspends Several Staff

The woman’s account, published via an eleven-page PDF that went on to circulate widely online, prompted a social media storm on China’s Twitter-like microblogging website Weibo. Police in the city of Jinan said on Sunday morning that they were investigating the incident.

Alibaba Group has a zero-tolerance policy against sexual misconduct, and ensuring a safe workplace for all our employees is Alibaba’s top priority,” a spokesperson said in a statement.

“We have suspended relevant parties suspected of violating our policies and values, and have established a special internal task force to investigate the issue and support the ongoing police investigation.”

Late on Saturday, a female Alibaba staffer’s account of an incident she said took place while on a business trip went viral on Chinese social media, with responses to her account figuring among the top-trending items on Weibo as of Sunday morning.

The woman, who did not reveal her identity, alleged that her boss coerced her into going on a business trip with him to meet one of her team’s clients in the city of Jinan, about 900 kilometres (560 miles) from Alibaba’s headquarters in Hangzhou.

According to the woman, on the evening of July 27, the client kissed her. After consuming alcohol, she woke up in a hotel room the following day with her clothes removed and no memory of what happened the evening before.

CCTV footage she obtained from the hotel showed that her boss entered the room four times over the course of the evening, she added.

Upon returning to Hangzhou, she said she reported the incident to human resources and upper management on Aug. 2, asking her boss be fired and for time off. While human resources initially agreed, ultimately they did not follow through, she said.

Alibaba CEO Daniel Zhang responded to the uproar late on Saturday on the company’s internal message board, according to a person who saw the post, though the company did not officially disclose the material posted on its intranet .

“It is not just Human Resources who should apologize. The related business department managers also hold responsibility and should apologize for their silence and failure to respond in a timely manner,” Zhang wrote.

“Starting from me, starting from management, starting from human resources, everyone at Alibaba must empathize, reflect, and take action.”

Alibaba announced on its intranet that the woman’s supervisor, her contact at human resources, and direct management of those individuals had been placed on suspension, according to the person who saw the posts.

Last month another sex scandal rocked China when Chinese-Canadian pop singer Kris Wu was publicly accused by an 18-year-old Chinese student of inducing her and other girls, some of them under the age of 18, to have intercourse with him.

The incident revived discussions of the #MeToo movement in China, and police in Beijing subsequently arrested Wu, who has denied the allegations.

(Reporting by Josh Horwitz in Shanghai and Hallie Gu in Beijing; Editing by Simon Cameron-Moore)

Key Events This Week: US Jobs Report Front and Centre

Monday, August 2

Tuesday, August 3

Wednesday, August 4

Thursday, August 5

Friday, August 6

For the US nonfarm payrolls print that’s due on 6 August, markets are forecasting that 900,000 jobs were added last month. Anything higher than 850,000 would be the highest NFP print since August 2020 and would score a third consecutive month of faster jobs growth.

A larger-than-expected July jobs increase (think closer to one million jobs added) could translate into more upside for the equally-weighted US dollar index, and put it on a path back towards its year-to-date high.

Otherwise, a lacklustre print this Friday could ensure that this dollar index remains below its 200-day simple moving average for a while longer and pare more of its gains since the hawkish surprise at the June FOMC meeting.

Markets still guided by Fed’s tapering predictions

Arguably, the biggest theme in play across global financial markets right now is the predictions over the Fed’s tapering.

Considering the robust US economic recovery, the US central bank is expected to ease up on its bond purchases that have supported financial markets since the pandemic. Exactly when the Fed will embark on such a process, at what pace (how quickly it will unwind its bond purchases), and under what economic conditions – all those remain vague at this point in time.

What we do know is that, following last week’s July FOMC meeting, the Fed reiterated that it wants to see “substantial further progress” in the ongoing US economic recovery before it will taper. However, it remains unknown exactly what constitutes “substantial” enough for the Fed.

Conflicting tapering cues within FOMC and markets

This past Friday (30 July), Fed Governor Lael Brainard reminded global investors that the US jobs market is still a long way off from pre-pandemic levels. She highlighted the “shortfall of 6.8 million jobs” that needs to be restored before the Fed tapers.

On the other hand, there was the famed hawk, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis President James Bullard, who also on Friday expressed his desire for the tapering to begin this fall and wrapped up by March 2022. Most economists expect the tapering to only commence next year.

Amidst all these conflicting views, it remains to be seen how the forthcoming economic data guides, not just the consensus within the FOMC, but also investors’ predictions for when the tapering will actually commence.

More gains for stocks likely until tapering draws closer

As long as the Fed’s ultra-accommodative stance remains intact, that should allow for more upside for US equities in the interim. The S&P 500 is striving to carve out a sustainable presence above the psychologically-important 4400 mark, a feat made more achievable considering that bond yields have been relatively subdued of late.

However, a stellar US jobs report this Friday would shorten the runway for equity bulls, as an NFP print that far exceeds the media forecast (900k) would ramp up markets expectations that the Fed would have to ditch its dovish stance sooner rather than later.

Written by Han Tan, Market Analyst at FXTM

For more information, please visit: FXTM


Disclaimer: The content in this article comprises personal opinions and should not be construed as containing personal and/or other investment advice and/or an offer of and/or solicitation for any transactions in financial instruments and/or a guarantee and/or prediction of future performance. ForexTime (FXTM), its affiliates, agents, directors, officers or employees do not guarantee the accuracy, validity, timeliness or completeness, of any information or data made available and assume no liability as to any loss arising from any investment based on the same.

A Post-Covid Hangover – Should You Worry About Your Portfolio?

Amazon executives noted shifting consumer habits as the pandemic eases and people become more mobile. Amazon forecasted the next quarter’s sales at between $106 billion and $112 billion, compared to Wall Street expectations for right around $119 billion.

Amazon’s projections would still represent growth of +10% to +16%. Keep in mind, bears are also pointing to ongoing fears of supply chain hiccups, higher-trending inflation, and new coronavirus outbreaks. Earnings come at a busy pace again today with results from Caterpillar, Cerner, Chevron, CNH Industrial, Colgate Palmolive, Enbridge, Exxon Mobil, Johnson Control, and Procter & Gamble.

The worry on Wall Street is that this new normal rate of growth will be slower than many analysts and trading firms are forecasting coupled with higher inflation and or supply chain dislocations corporate profits could fall under some pressure or in this case be less than Wall Street is forecasting for the next few quarters. Bulls expect more consumer spending will shift from goods and pandemic-related services (delivery, video games, cloud/collaboration software) but are still betting on pent-up demand for things people missed out on during lockdowns, as well as goods and services that are currently in short supply.

Data to watch

Updated inflation data is also on tap with the ISM Manufacturing Index on Monday and the Services Index on Wednesday.

There will be plenty more earnings next week too, including Simon Properties and Zoom on Monday; Activision Blizzard, Alibaba, Amgen, Clorox, ConocoPhillips, Eli Lilly, Fidelity, Match Group, Monster Beverage, Occidental Petroleum, and Phillips 66 on Tuesday; Allstate, CVS, Etsy, General Motors, Kraft Heinz, Marathon Petroleum, MetLife, MGM Resorts, Rocket Companies, Roku, Trane, and Uber on Wednesday; Adidas, AMC, Carvana, Cigna, Cloudflare, Corteva, Duke Energy, Kellogg, Moderna, Nintendo, Novo Nordisk, Siemens, Square, Wayfair, Zillow, and Zoetis on Thursday; and Dish Network, Dominion Energy, and DraftKings on Friday.

Insider Accumulation

ES ##-## (Daily) 2021_08_01 (19_25_02)

I have mixed feelings about SP500. There are a few signs of weakness. However, it might be the result of low summer activity. Advance-Decline Line is clearly bearish. Insider Accumulation is also not that strong. Moreover, the Volatility Index is very low and potentially it could bring a pullback. In any case, SP500 futures failed to close the week above Gann resistance. And that is also a negative sign.

The Federal Reserve policy is still supportive. But keep in mind, that SP500 has rallied around 100% since the pandemic bottom without any pullback. And the retest of key support zones near 4200 and 4000 is realistic.

On the other hand, the continuation of the rally is also possible but only if price sustains above 4400. If that happens, bulls will target 4500 and 4600 in extension.

Earnings to Watch Next Week: Ferrari, Alibaba, Allstate and Nice Systems in Focus

Earnings Calendar For The Week Of August 2

Monday (August 2)

IN THE SPOTLIGHT: FERRARI

The luxury sports car maker Ferrari is expected to report earnings of $1.26 per share for the second quarter, representing a 3,050% increase over $0.04 per share a year earlier.

The company, known for its prancing horse logo, would post revenue growth of over 107% to around $1.3 billion. According to ZACKS Research, the company has beaten earnings per share (EPS) estimates in three of the last four quarters.

“Growth potential and strong execution. Global shipments of >11k units in 2021, growing at a 9.1% CAGR to 2030 ending at ~22k shipments. Adj. EBITDA margins rise to 35% in 2021 on improved mix and pricing after launching 5 new models in 2020 and 2 in 2021,” noted Adam Jonas, equity analyst at Morgan Stanley.

Ferrari trades at a justified premium to luxury brands, in line with luxury leader, Hermes, albeit with more opportunity to grow organically via: new customers, new segments and geographically in China & Asia-Pac, as well as exhibiting a unique moat with a world-renowned brand and a 12+ month customer order book.”

TAKE A LOOK AT OUR EARNINGS CALENDAR FOR THE FULL RELEASES FOR THE AUGUST 2

Ticker Company EPS Forecast
HSBA HSBC Holdings £0.13
HSBC HSBC $0.86
ON ON Semiconductor $0.49
GPN Global Payments $1.90
L Loews $0.83
CNA CNA Financial $1.12
TKR Timken $1.44
SPG Simon Property Group $1.12
SBAC SBA Communications $0.66
PXD Pioneer Natural Resources $2.56
WMB Williams Companies $0.28
AWK American Water Works $1.08
ANET Arista Networks $2.55
O Realty Ome $0.38
TTWO Take Two Interactive Software $0.90
NXPI NXP Semiconductors $2.31
ITUB Itau Unibanco $0.12
EMN Eastman Chemical $2.35
FANG Diamondback Energy $2.23
CLR Continental Resources $0.55
BRKR Bruker $0.38
TREX Trex $0.53
MOS Mosaic $1.00
OHI Omega Healthcare Investors $0.44
VNO Vornado Realty $0.14
VRNS Varonis Systems -$0.03
COLM Columbia Sportswear -$0.07
LEG Leggett & Platt $0.54
NSP Insperity $0.66
AWR American States Water $0.71
KMT Kennametal $0.40
RMBS Rambus $0.31
UCTT Ultra Clean $0.97
OTTR Otter Tail $0.54
ACHC Acadia Healthcare $0.63
BRX Brixmor Property $0.14
OGS One Gas $0.52
WWD Woodward $0.97
RIG Transocean -$0.16
RACE Ferrari $1.26
BCC Boise Cascade $4.75
RARE Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical -$1.31
SANM Sanmina $0.91
TGTX TG Therapeutics -$0.55

Tuesday (August 3)

IN THE SPOTLIGHT: ALIBABA

China’s Alibaba Group Holding, the largest online and mobile e-commerce company in the world, is expected to report its fiscal first-quarter earnings of 1.86 yuan per share, up from 1.85 yuan per share seen in the same period a year ago.

China’s biggest online commerce company’s revenue to surge more than 35% to 209.928 billion yuan. The company has beaten earnings per share (EPS) estimates in three of the last four quarters.

“All-in investments in domestic consumption, globalization and technology are likely to weigh on profitability but pave the way to reach long-term target of 2bn global AAC. Alibaba hopes to achieve growth in the user base, enhanced engagement as well as the provision of more value to merchants,” noted Gary Yu, equity analyst at Morgan Stanley.

“In cloud, Alibaba will continue to drive market share leadership and will focus on providing more AI-driven industry solutions and improving Data-as-a-Service (DaaS). We see limited near-term catalysts but F22e P/E valuation remains attractive. We also see further downside support from additional disclosure to separate losses from new investments from profitable core e-commerce businesses.”

TAKE A LOOK AT OUR EARNINGS CALENDAR FOR THE FULL RELEASES FOR THE AUGUST 3

Ticker Company EPS Forecast
EXPD Expeditors International Of Washington $1.62
LPX Louisiana Pacific $4.30
AKAM Akamai $1.38
YMZBY Yamazaki Baking ADR $1.06
SABR Sabre -$0.52
PSX Phillips 66 $0.64
PSXP Phillips 66 Partners $0.88
PACB Pacific Biosciences Of California -$0.21
CMI Cummins $4.07
MITSY Mitsui & Company $13.06
ATI Allegheny Technologies -$0.19
CLX Clorox $1.32
IGT International Game Technology $0.23
LSCC Lattice Semiconductor $0.22
LDOS Leidos $1.58
IX Orix $2.25
PSA Public Storage $1.92
ETRN Equitrans Midstream Corp $0.15
AMGN Amgen $4.09
ZBRA Zebra Technologies $4.12
LHX L3Harris Technologies Inc $3.18
LLY Eli Lilly $1.89
NNN National Retail Properties $0.39
BP BP $0.58
ZBH ZIMMER BIOMET HDG. $1.86
WAT Waters $2.27
UAA Under Armour Inc $0.06
XYL Xylem $0.63
UA Under Armour C share $0.06
DISCB Discovery Communications Discb $0.82
DISCK Discovery Communications Disck $0.82
DISCA Discovery Communications $0.82
MAR Marriott International $0.47
INGR Ingredion $1.59
WEC Wisconsin Energy $0.79
INCY YTE $0.58
SEE Sealed Air $0.78
ROCK Gibraltar Industries $0.87
PEG Public Service $0.71
SWI Solarwinds $0.11
RL Ralph Lauren $0.88
NE Noble Corporation -$0.31
MKL Markel $15.50
MYGN Myriad Genetics -$0.09
EC Ecopetrol $1,851.52
KAI Kadant $1.53
BEN Franklin Resources $0.78
EDU New Oriental Education Tech $0.02
HSIC Henry Schein $0.97
IT Gartner $1.73
PCRX Pacira $0.69
ETN Eaton $1.57
KKR KKR & Co LP $0.87
WLTW Willis $1.97
AY Atlantica Yield $0.40
IPGP IPG Photonics $1.40
FIS Fidelity National Information Services $1.55
COP ConocoPhillips $1.08
BABA Alibaba $14.37
RHP Ryman Hospitality Properties -$1.62
CWH Camping World Holdings $2.38
AME Ametek $1.10
DD DuPont $0.95
SUN Sunoco $0.95
J Jacobs Engineering Group Inc $1.53
ALNY Alnylam Pharmaceuticals -$1.60
WLK Westlake Chemical $3.49
LGIH LGI Homes $3.92
OMI Owens Minor $0.97
DNB Dun & Bradstreet $0.24
HEP Holly Energy Partners $0.48
JAZZ Jazz Pharmaceuticals $3.52
NBIX Neurocrine Biosciences $0.51
RDN Radian $0.70
RPAI Retail Properties Of America -$0.01
H Hyatt Hotels -$0.85
NCR NCR $0.62
OXY Occidental Petroleum -$0.01
FICO Fair Isaac $2.81
OKE ONEOK $0.74
MANT ManTech International $0.87
SATS EchoStar $0.07
LYV Live Nation Entertainment -$1.15
LYFT Lyft Inc -$0.24
KAR Kar Auction Services $0.19
PAYC Paycom Software $0.84
MTCH Match Group $0.54
TX Ternium $3.48
QTS QTS Realty $0.03
MCHP Microchip Technology $1.91
PSB PS Business Parks $0.84
SRC Spirit Realty Capital New $0.26
MRCY Mercury Systems $0.67
HPP Hudson Pacific Properties -$0.01
CZR Caesars Entertainment -$0.12
ENLC EnLink Midstream $0.01
DVA DaVita Healthcare Partners $2.17
GDOT Green Dot $0.42
HLF Herbalife $1.29
HST Host Hotels & Resorts -$0.22
BKH Black Hills $0.38
DVN Devon Energy $0.52
INFN Infinera -$0.05
FMC FMC $1.78
ATVI Activision Blizzard $0.75
XP XP Inc $1.27
OI Owens-Illinois $0.47
LPSN LivePerson -$0.13
PEAK Healthpeak Properties Inc $0.15
SHO Sunstone Hotel Investors -$0.21
LSI LIFE STORAGE $0.69
RNG RingCentral $0.28
DEI Douglas Emmett $0.06
CAR Avis Budget $1.22
CW Curtiss-Wright $1.54
AIZ Assurant $2.42
BLKB Blackbaud $0.70
TTEC TeleTech $0.97
VRSK Verisk Analytics $1.33
EVTC Evertec $0.57
IOSP Innospec $0.89
MCY Mercury General $1.17
KWR Quaker Chemical $1.44
SPWR SunPower $0.04
RGA Reinsurance Of America $1.90
UNM Unum $1.12
PRU Prudential Financial $3.11
APAM Artisan Partners Asset Management $1.25
BBD Banco Bradesco $0.13
AFG American Financial $1.67
FCNCA First Citizens Bancshares $11.98
FNF Fidelity National Financial $1.43
ARNC Arconic Inc $0.47

Wednesday (August 4)

IN THE SPOTLIGHT: ALLSTATE

The Northfield Township, Illinois-based insurance company is expected to report its second-quarter earnings of $3.17 per share, which represents year-over-year growth of about 30% from $2.46 per share seen in the same quarter a year ago.

“Acquisition of National General marks shift towards independent agent channel. The dominant captive auto underwriter has been losing market share to direct channel. We expect this to continue, but NGHC transaction and increased focus on direct channel should mitigate its impact. Allstate also continues to diversify overall portfolio offering by growing non-traditional segments,” noted Michael W. Phillips, equity analyst at Morgan Stanley.

“Margin challenges from focus on growth. Near-term core combined ratio benefit from recession-induced decrease in driving, partially offset by restructuring charges. Auto margins worsen modestly in 2021e-2023e, reflecting competitive operating environment.”

TAKE A LOOK AT OUR EARNINGS CALENDAR FOR THE FULL RELEASES FOR THE AUGUST 4

Ticker Company EPS Forecast
FLT Fleetcor Technologies $2.93
WYNN Wynn Resorts -$1.51
CENTA Central Garden Pet $1.01
MTG MGIC Investment $0.43
DOX Amdocs $1.18
TRMB Trimble Navigation $0.60
ETR Entergy $1.40
SBRA Sabra Health Care Reit $0.15
TRNO Terreno Realty $0.24
RICOY Ricoh Company $0.05
TM Toyota Motor $4.48
ATRC AtriCure -$0.34
CLH Clean Harbors $0.82
CDW CDW $1.80
MPLX MPLX $0.66
HZNP Horizon Pharma $0.87
CVS CVS Health $2.06
YAMCY Yamaha DRC $0.38
MPC Marathon Petroleum $0.39
CRTO Criteo $0.46
PBR Petroleo Brasileiro Petrobras $0.72
BWA Borgwarner $0.80
EXC Exelon $0.68
SSUMY Sumitomo ADR $0.44
ITOCY Itochu ADR $2.04
IONS Ionis Pharmaceuticals -$0.54
CIM Chimera Investment $0.34
NYT New York Times $0.27
HWM Howmet Aerospace Inc $0.22
AVA Avista $0.26
SBGI Sinclair -$4.34
JLL Jones Lang LaSalle $1.73
SPR Spirit AeroSystems -$0.72
GM General Motors $1.69
BGCP BGC Partners $0.16
GGB Gerdau $0.36
ENBL Enable Midstream Partners $0.18
HFC HollyFrontier $0.61
NXST Nexstar Broadcasting $3.71
CRL Charles River Laboratories $2.37
BDC Belden $0.93
NI NiSource $0.13
EMR Emerson Electric $0.98
VMC Vulcan Materials $1.65
KHC Kraft Heinz $0.72
ABC AmerisourceBergen $2.03
APO Apollo Global Management $0.70
ODP Office Depot $0.54
SMG Scotts Miracle-Gro $3.50
MAC Macerich -$0.09
UE Urban Edge Properties $0.07
AEIS Advanced Energy Industries $1.27
DOC Physicians Realty $0.09
FUN Cedar Fair -$1.60
ALE Allete $0.60
MFC Manulife Financial USA $0.62
ETSY ETSY Inc $0.63
CPA Copa -$1.29
FOX Twenty First Century Fox $0.57
ALB Albemarle $0.84
WU Western Union $0.47
WCN Waste Connections $0.77
EA Electronic Arts EA $0.62
MRO Marathon Oil $0.17
STAA STAAR Surgical $0.07
BFAM Bright Horizons Family Solutions $0.35
FRT Federal Realty Investment $0.39
TS Tenaris $0.16
WDC Western Digital $1.51
CCU Compania Cervecerias Unidas $83.30
GMED Globus Medical $0.44
NSTG NanoString Technologies -$0.59
PDCE PDC Energy $1.24
MCK McKesson $4.14
MWA Mueller Water Products $0.16
APA Apache $0.56
TWO Two Harbors Investment $0.19
BKNG Booking Holdings Inc -$1.98
TNDM Tandem Diabetes Care -$0.08
SLF Sun Life Financial USA $1.17
ANGI Angie’s List -$0.04
FOXA Twenty-First Century Fox $0.57
TTGT TechTarget $0.48
MGM MGM Resorts International -$0.38
ATO Atmos Energy $0.73
LHCG LHC $1.55
AMED Amedisys $1.67
EGHT 8X8 $0.00
RVLV Revolve $0.21
QTWO Q2 $0.07
CDAY Ceridian HCM Holding Inc $0.03
EOG EOG Resources $1.54
QRVO Qorvo $2.45
HI Hillenbrand $0.77
UHAL Amerco $7.95
ANSS Ansys $1.56
CCMP Cabot Microelectronics $2.00
RYN Rayonier $0.10
MET MetLife $1.68
LNC Lincoln National $2.46
ACAD Acadia Pharmaceuticals -$0.30
RCII Rent-A-Center $1.36
ORA Ormat Technologies $0.27
NUS Nu Skin Enterprises $1.05
HR Healthcare Realty $0.06
UGI UGI $0.10
MED Medifast $3.31
KLIC Kulicke And Soffa Industries $1.36
REGI Renewable Energy $1.28
SJI South Jersey Industries $0.00
STN Stantec USA $0.47
CMP Compass Minerals International -$0.06
JACK Jack In The Box $1.48
WTS Watts Water Technologies $1.28
KW Kennedy Wilson -$0.09
CPK Chesapeake Utilities $0.70
PTVE Pactiv Evergreen $0.19
ICUI ICU Medical $1.64
HHC Howard Hughes -$0.41
UBER Uber -$0.54
DXC DXC Technology Co $0.75
ALL Allstate $3.17
CIB Bancolombia $0.50
BAK Braskem $2.83
ADT ADT $0.25
RCL Royal Caribbean Cruises -$4.35
HMC Honda Motor $0.54
UTHR United Therapeutics $3.02
SRPT Sarepta Therapeutics -$1.30

Thursday (August 5)

IN THE SPOTLIGHT: NICE SYSTEMS

NICE, the worldwide leading provider of software solutions, is expected to report its second-quarter earnings of $1.51 per share, which represents year-over-year growth of over 10% from $1.37 per share seen in the same quarter a year ago.

The company which provides enterprise software solutions worldwide in the previous quarter lifted its fiscal year 2021 EPS forecasts in the range of $6.19 and $6.39 per share, higher than the previous guidance of $6.12 to $6.32 per share. Full-year 2021 Non-GAAP total revenues are expected to be in a range of $1,800 million to $1,820 million, up from the previous guidance range of $1,790 million to $1,810 million.

TAKE A LOOK AT OUR EARNINGS CALENDAR FOR THE FULL RELEASES FOR THE AUGUST 5

Ticker Company EPS Forecast
HL Hecla Mining $0.06
NTLA Intellia Therapeutics Inc -$0.63
VSAT Viasat $0.22
MNST Monster Beverage $0.68
RVNC Revance Therapeutics -$0.96
PFSI Pennymac Financial Services $3.42
CVCO Cavco Industries $2.14
CYRX Cryoport Inc -$0.13
VGR Vector $0.26
ARNA Arena Pharmaceuticals -$2.20
STMP Stamps $1.84
PRTA Prothena $1.00
ZTS Zoetis $1.08
CNP CenterPoint Energy $0.25
TRI Thomson Reuters USA $0.43
VER VEREIT $0.31
MFA MFA Financial $0.10
NICE Nice Systems $1.51
NFG National Fuel Gas $0.87
HIMX Himax Technologies $0.57
IRWD Ironwood Pharmaceuticals $0.22
HBI Hanesbrands $0.39
HII Huntington Ingalls Industries $2.52
MAURY Marui ADR $0.27
NWSA News Corp $0.04
ABMD Abiomed $1.05
MRNA Moderna Inc $5.96
EPAM EPAM Systems $1.93
NWS News $0.04
ARWR Arrowhead Research -$0.14
VST Victory Square Tech $0.54
TECH Bio Techne $1.70
APTV Aptiv PLC $0.67
AL Air Lease $0.83
NRG NRG Energy $1.07
TYOYY Taiyo Yuden ADR $2.65
PPL PPL $0.33
GTN Gray Television $0.30
BCRX BioCryst Pharmaceuticals -$0.23
AES AES $0.29
WCC Wesco International $1.91
FOCS Focus Financial Partners Inc $0.95
AU Anglogold Ashanti $0.90
IHRT Iheartmedia -$0.10
ADNT Adient PLC $0.16
TOELY Tokyo Electron Ltd PK $1.22
ACIW ACI Worldwide $0.07
XRAY Dentsply International $0.67
BAYRY Bayer AG PK $0.46
BCE BCE (USA) $0.63
WPP WPP ADR $1.95
NJR New Jersey Resources -$0.13
ARW Arrow Electronics $2.96
MDU MDU Resources $0.53
NVO Novo Nordisk A Fs $0.78
SHCAY Sharp ADR $0.04
RMD ResMed $1.27
LXP Lexington Realty $0.03
BDX Becton, Dickinson and Co. $2.45
IRM Iron Mountain $0.35
CI Cigna $4.96
MMS Maximus $1.09
OGE OGE Energy $0.52
SRE Sempra Energy $1.59
DUK Duke Energy $1.10
BIP Brookfield Infrastructure $0.06
PENN Penn National Gaming $0.92
BLDR Builders Firstsource $1.63
CCOI Cogent Communications $0.21
PH Parker-Hannifin $4.33
K Kellogg $1.03
ITRI Itron $0.48
WRK WESTROCK $0.97
UFS Domtar USA $1.28
IDCC InterDigital -$0.09
BERY Berry Plastics $1.50
CHH Choice Hotels International $0.90
WD Walker & Dunlop $1.97
STWD Starwood Property $0.51
STFC State Auto Financial $0.00
EPC Edgewell Personal Care $0.83
GIL Gildan Activewear USA $0.51
TAL TAL International -$0.14
THS TreeHouse Foods $0.26
FLS Flowserve $0.42
EXPE Expedia -$0.60
INSM Insmed -$0.89
PZZA Papa John’s International $0.72
NKTR Nektar Therapeutics -$0.73
CNNE Cannae $0.01
XLRN Acceleron Pharma -$0.87
PHI Philippine Long Distance Telephone $0.69
VG Vonage $0.04
ROLL Rbc Bearings $1.00
ED Consolidated Edison $0.62
HTA Healthcare Of America $0.10
ENV Envestnet $0.54
OLED Universal Display $0.87
MTZ MasTec $1.23
CSOD Cornerstone OnDemand $0.52
POST Post $0.97
IOVA Iovance Biotherapeutics -$0.51
PCTY Paylocity $0.29
DIOD Diodes $1.11
ZNGA Zynga $0.09
BCH Banco De Chile $0.41
JCOM J2 Global $2.02
RBA Ritchie Bros. Auctioneers USA $0.61
ILMN Illumina $1.36
CGNX Cognex $0.42
ALTR ALTAIR ENGINEERING $0.01
Z Zillow $0.24
TRIP TripAdvisor -$0.10
FOXF Fox Factory $1.02
QDEL Quidel $1.25
IFF International Flavors Fragrances $1.48
VOYA Voya Financial $1.48
YELP Yelp -$0.09
TDC Teradata $0.46
MSI Motorola Solutions Msi $1.92
SQ Square $0.31
LOPE Grand Canyon Education $1.09
MUR Murphy Oil $0.31
CAH Cardinal Health $1.20
AMRS Amyris -$0.13
SEAS SeaWorld Entertainment $0.31
BLL Ball $0.83
BKI Black Iron Inc. $0.54
PRI Primerica $2.92
HASI Hannon Armstrong Sustnbl Infrstr Cap $0.38
SYNA Synaptics $2.00
FEYE FireEye $0.09
NNI Nelnet $1.64
MDRX Allscripts Healthcare Solutions $0.17
OUT Outfront Media -$0.11
SEM Select Medical $0.56
SFM Sprouts Farmers Market $0.45
RLJ RLJ Lodging -$0.32
AEL American Equity Investment Life $0.50
CYTK Cytokinetics -$0.66
NVAX Novavax -$3.63
BECN Beacon Roofing Supply $1.25
AAON AAON $0.32
TPL Texas Pacific Land $7.37
EXEL Exelixis $0.06
AIG AIG $1.20
LNT Alliant Energy $0.56
ITT ITT $0.90
AMH American Homes 4 Rent $0.05
PODD Insulet $0.13
REG Regency Centers $0.31
Y Alleghany $14.72
BRKS Brooks Automation USA $0.69
G Genpact $0.54
APLE Apple Hospitality -$0.01
AGO Assured Guaranty $0.76
PNW Pinnacle West Capital $1.63
PBH Prestige Brands $0.87
REGN Regeneron Pharmaceuticals $17.91
NSIT Insights $1.85
PWR Quanta Services $1.03
W Wayfair Inc. $1.17
XEC Cimarex Energy $1.89
EVRG Evergy Inc $0.74
COMM CommScope $0.43
TRGP Targa Resources $0.29
LAMR Lamar Advertising $0.86
CNQ Canadian Natural Resource USA $0.76
IBP Installed Building Products $1.47

Friday (August 6)

Ticker Company EPS Forecast
AEE Ameren $0.79
SGAMY Sega Sammy ADR -$0.01
MGA Magna International USA $1.42
D Dominion Resources $0.77
CHBAY Chiba Bank ADR $0.74
ING Ing Groep $0.35
NCLH Norwegian Cruise Line -$1.97
SRCL Stericycle $0.69
SPB Spectrum Brands $1.58
NUAN Nuance Communications $0.17
ESNT Essent $1.26
AMCX AMC Networks $1.80
LBRDA Liberty Broadband $1.03
LBRDK Liberty Broadband Lbrdk $1.03
MD Mednax $0.32
LEA Lear $2.40
FLR Fluor New $0.05
LSXMK Liberty Media SiriusXM C $0.36
LSXMA Liberty Media SiriusXM A $0.48
GT Goodyear Tire & Rubber $0.18
VTR Ventas -$0.08
IEP Icahn Enterprises -$0.05

 

China Tourism Aims for $7 Billion Hong Kong Listing

By Scott Murdoch

The Shanghai-listed company plans to sell 5% to 10% of its stock in the listing, which could take place as soon as the third quarter of this year, one of the people said.

The people declined to be identified as the information is not yet public. China Tourism did not respond to a request for comment on the size of the deal.

China Tourism, which Refinitiv data showed has market capitalisation of 577.9 billion yuan ($89.43 billion), filed for the listing with the Hong Kong bourse late on Friday.

Its Shanghai shares were trading 4% higher on Monday on news of the application. The stock is up 9.6% so far in 2021, versus the benchmark CSI300 index’s 0.6% increase, yet remains 23% below its 52-week high reached on Feb 18.

At $7 billion, the listing would be Hong Kong’s largest in nearly two years since Alibaba Group Holding Ltd raised $12.9 billion in November 2019.

The listing would also exceed the initial public offering of Kuaishou Technology – the largest in Hong Kong this year – which raised $6.2 billion in January.

In its filing, China Tourism said it was China’s only retail operator to cover all duty free channels – such as sales at airports and on cruise ships. It said it has 188 stores in 90 cities plus six outlets in Hong Kong, Macau and Cambodia.

The company recorded a 31% rise in net profit at 7.1 billion yuan in 2020, its filing showed.

($1 = 6.4621 Chinese yuan renminbi)

(Reporting by Scott Murdoch in Hong Kong; Additional reporting Sophie Yu in Beijing; Editing by Christopher Cushing)

China’s Ev Maker Xpeng Gets Approval to List in Hong Kong

A dual primary listing is different from secondary listing and will allow qualified Chinese investors to invest in the company through the Stock Connect regime linking mainland Chinese and Hong Kong markets, according to the exchange’s rules.

Reuters reported Xpeng’s Hong Kong listing plan in March, citing people familiar with the matter. Rival Nio Inc and Li Auto have similar plans, sources said.

Xpeng, which went public in New York last year, has a market capitalisation of $32 billion. It is based in the southern city of Guangzhou, and makes two sedan models and one sport-utility vehicle model at two domestic factories.

It sells mainly in China, the world’s biggest car market, where it competes with Tesla Inc and Nio.

Led by CEO He Xiaopeng, Xpeng is developing smart car technologies, such as autonomous driving functions, with an in-house team of engineers and plans two new car plants in China.

Xpeng’s backers include Alibaba Group and Xiaomi Corp.

Sales of new energy vehicle (NEV), including battery electric, plug-in hybrid and hydrogen fuel cell vehicles, in China are expected to grow more than 40% a year in the next five years, a senior official at the China Association of Automobile Manufacturers (CAAM) said last week.

(Reporting by Yilei Sun and Tony Munroe; Editing by Clarence Fernandez and Kim Coghill)

Alibaba to Develop Self-driving Trucks With Logistics Unit Cainiao

Cheng also said Cainiao aims to introduce 1,000 autonomous delivery robots in China over the next year.

The announcement comes as dozens of startups, automakers and large technology firms, such as internet search leader Baidu Inc, accelerate work on self-driving vehicle systems, which are widely expected to bring a sea change to the transportation industry.

Other self-driving truck makers include U.S. firm TuSimple Holdings Inc, which listed shares in April.

(Reporting by Yilei Sun and Tony Munroe; Editing by Christopher Cushing)

Why Shares Of Alibaba Dived To Yearly Lows Today?

Alibaba Video 13.05.21.

Alibaba Stock Is Down By 5% After The Release Of Quarterly Report

Shares of Alibaba moved towards the $210 level after the company released its quarterly report. Alibaba reported revenue of $28.6 billion, an increase of 64% on a year-over-year basis.

It should be noted that the first quarter of 2020 was very weak for Alibaba due to the negative impact of the pandemic, but the year-over-year growth is still impressive. The company expects to grow its revenue by about 30% in the fiscal year 2022.

Alibaba’s loss from operations totaled $1.17 billion due to the $2.78 billion anti-monopoly fine which has previously served as a bearish catalyst for Alibaba shares.

All in all, it was a decent report, although Alibaba missed analyst estimates on earnings. However, the stock found itself under significant pressure, and it looks that the market remains focused on Alibaba’s problems in China, where the government has started to limit power of big tech companies.

What’s Next For Alibaba?

Analysts expect that Alibaba will report earnings of $11.13 per share in the next year so the stock is trading at about 19 forward P/E. While this valuation looks rather cheap for the current market environment, it remains to be seen whether traders will be ready to buy more shares of Alibaba without an additional discount for the company’s problems in China which have put pressure on the stock since November 2020.

At this point, it looks that the market does not believe that the huge anti-monopoly fine marked the end of Alibaba’s problems, and expects stronger regulation from China’s authorities which may hurt growth and profits in the future.

At the same time, the stock has declined to valuation levels which may attract speculative traders. I’d note that Alibaba shares will likely ignore the direction of other tech giants in the near term as the company’s shares are moving on internal catalysts.

For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar.

Jack Ma Makes Rare are Visit to Alibaba Headquarters in Hangzhou

The billionaire has kept an extremely low profile since delivering a speech in October in Shanghai criticizing China’s financial regulators, which set off a chain of events that led to the shelving of what would have been a record $37 billion initial public offering of Alibaba’s affiliate Ant Group.

On Monday, Ma was seen in an open-air campus shuttle bus with a number of Alibaba executives, according to a photograph taken by an employee at the event, viewed by Reuters. Wearing a blue T-shirt, white trousers and a pair of Chinese-style cloth shoes, Ma was smiling.

“It’s so exciting to see Jack,” said the employee, declining to be named.

“It’s a pity there was no chance to take a photo with him.”

China’s most famous entrepreneur, Ma enjoyed cult-like status among staff even after stepping down as chairman in 2019.

Ma, who is based in Hangzhou, disappeared from public view for three months before surfacing in January, speaking to a group of teachers by video, which sent Alibaba shares surging, but has not made any other public appearances since then.

Last month, regulators imposed a sweeping restructuring on Ant Group, while Alibaba was hit with a record antitrust fine of 18.2 billion yuan ($2.84 billion) after an investigation found it abused its market dominance.

($1 = 6.4110 Chinese yuan renminbi)

(Reporting by Sophie Yu and Tony Munroe; Editing by Susan Fenton)

Sell in May But Do Not Go Away…

During the different meetings last month, the various Central Banks, the Fed, Bank of Japan, People Bank of China, and the ECB left rates and policies unchanged as expected.

While the tone was quite optimistic on both sides of the Atlantic, Chairman Powell remained dovish and said the “time is not yet” to talk about tapering. Regarding inflation, Powell emphasized again that the Fed’s focus is on actual numbers and not on forecasts, and even if higher this year, the inflationary pressure should only be transitory.

However, last week Treasury Secretary Yellen shook the markets when she said that rising rates would be a necessary tool against an overheating economy. At the end of the day, the decision-maker regarding the rates is the Fed, but since Powell and Yellen are close, we may legitimately ask ourselves if they do not start questioning the inflation’s “temporary” nature.

During its meeting, the ECB said it would expect to lower bond purchases by the end of the year if vaccine rollout is improving and new variants do not represent a threat to the reopening.

In addition, the European Union plans to launch a Recovery Fund in June, under which it will issue a total of 800 billion EUR within five years, in order to support the post COVID economy.

The Central Banks in China, the US, and Europe are planning or checking a potential launch of a digital currency of their own – a move which may counter the original purpose of the cryptocurrency, a non-regulated coin.

Biden seems decided to finance his plans with tax hikes

In the US, President Biden seems decided to finance his plans with tax hikes: his $2.25 trillion infrastructure plan should be financed with an up to 28% corporate tax hike. He announced a $1.8 trillion children and families plan that should be financed with a tax increase as well. In addition, he proposed a capital gains tax hike from 20% to a 39.6% maximum rate for households making more than $1 million per year.

Of course, with a narrow majority in Congress, such increases will likely be compromised, but still, the tone is set, tax hikes will happen for corporates and for investors. An interesting and historical fact though: US markets tend to perform better in years of tax increases than during years of tax reduction. Food for thought…

On the vaccination side, Biden missed his target of 60% for the end of April. Nevertheless, even with 45% of Americans have received their first dose, restrictions are being eased all over the country. The new target is for 70% of Americans to get vaccinated by July 4th. In Europe, the vaccine rollout accelerated and as of today, 25% of Europeans have received their first jab. Israel is still a world leader with more than 62% of the population vaccinated.

April saw also the kickoff of the earnings season for Q1: so far 87% of the S&P 500 have reported, with 87% beating estimates. US major banks and giant techs reported extraordinarily strong numbers with good guidance, but little or no change was observed in their stock prices.

In the meantime, in China, regulators are focused on giant tech companies, and in this framework, Alibaba was fined $2.8 billion for breaking anti-monopoly laws, the largest amount ever imposed on a company. However, to put things in perspective, it represents only 2.5% of the forecasted revenue of the company for 2021 and the company accepted and complied with the charge without complaint. But for now, big Chinese stocks are under pressure mainly for that reason.

Virtual Climate Summit and the clean energy sector

Finally, a world leaders’ virtual summit on climate took place last month, organized by President Biden, hosting heads of states as well as philanthropists and activists on this matter. They all committed to efforts of lowering carbon emissions. This commitment has supported temporarily the clean energy sector. However, this sector is now suffering again, because of supply chain issues, despite actual good numbers.

Like automakers, renewable energy companies are being hit by the global chip shortage and by the cost of transport which has more than doubled this year. All that weighs particularly on solar energy companies that are in a period of development and investment.

From our side, as volatility and yields stabilize, and market movements on good news are contained, we tend to think that the recovery is now priced in and not much upside is left, at least in the short term. In this context, any bad news could have a strong and unexpected impact. However, for the midterm, two factors are incredibly supportive of the equity markets: first, the huge increase in dividend rates, even to above the pre-COVID levels, and secondly, the huge inflows into equity ETFs.

Indeed, inflows for the first quarter were the largest ever and more than three times the inflows during Q1 2020. If this trend continues, we could reach a total of $1 trillion cash brought to US equity ETFs by the end of the year, more than twice the actual record set in 2017. These facts tell us that there is plenty of money around and it mostly goes to one place, and one place only.

As always, risk management combined with rigorous sector and geographical diversification will remain key factors for investment performance.

You are more than welcome to contact us to discuss our investment views or financial markets generally.

For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar.

Earnings to Watch Next Week: Marriott, Electronic Arts, Alibaba and Walt Disney in Focus

Earnings Calendar For The Week Of May 10

Monday (May 10)

IN THE SPOTLIGHT: MARRIOTT

Marriott International, an American multinational diversified hospitality company, is expected to report its first-quarter earnings of $0.03 per share, which represents a year-over-year decline of over 88% from $0.26 per share seen in the same quarter a year ago.

The U.S. hotel operator’s revenue would slump about 50% to $2.36 billion. However, in the last quarter, the company has delivered an earnings surprise of over 20%.

“Largest hotel brand company globally creates economies of scale, but the spread of COVID-19 will pressure unit growth. With the stock trading near its historical average multiple, we see too wide a risk-reward to justify recommending, with upside/downside driven by how severe and quick business trends return to normal post-COVID-19,” noted Thomas Allen, equity analyst at Morgan Stanley.

Tuesday (May 11)

IN THE SPOTLIGHT: ELECTRONIC ARTS

Electronic Arts, one of the world’s largest video game publishers, is expected to report its fiscal fourth-quarter earnings of $1.04 per share, which represents a year-over-year decline of over 3% from $1.08 per share seen in the same quarter a year ago.

The world’s largest video game publishers would post revenue growth of about 15% to around $1.39 billion. However, in the last four quarters, the company has delivered an earnings surprise of over 500%.

“For the fourth quarter of fiscal 2021, EA expects GAAP revenues of $1.317 billion, cost of revenues to be $302 million, and operating expenses of $837 million. EA anticipates a loss per share of 7 cents for the fourth quarter. Net bookings are expected to be $1.375 billion, which indicates an increase of $75 million over the prior guidance. For fiscal 2021, EA expects revenues of $5.6 billion, cost of revenues to be $1.477 billion, and earnings per share of $2.54,” noted analysts at ZACKS Research.

Wednesday (May 12)

Ticker Company EPS Forecast
WEN Wendy’s $0.15
WIX WIX -$0.68
DT Dynatrace Holdings $0.14
WWW Wolverine World Wide $0.40
LITE Lumentum Holdings Inc $1.42
DOX Amdocs $1.13
JACK Jack In The Box $1.29
GOCO Gocompare.Com $0.00
SONO Sonos Inc -$0.22
PAAS Pan American Silver USA $0.30
MAURY Marui ADR $0.15
TM Toyota Motor $3.67
AEG Aegon $0.17
BRFS BRF $0.02
EBR Centrais Eletricas Brasileiras $0.27
BAYRY Bayer AG PK $0.73
TCEHY Tencent $0.53
DM Dominion Midstream Partners -$0.13
FLO Flowers Foods $0.37

Thursday (May 13)

IN THE SPOTLIGHT: ALIBABA, WALT DISNEY

ALIBABA: China’s Alibaba Group Holding, the largest online and mobile e-commerce company in the world, is expected to report its fiscal fourth-quarter earnings of $1.82 per share, up over 40% from the same quarter a year ago. China’s biggest online commerce company’s revenue to surge more than 70% to $27.7 billion.

“Heightened investments in Taobao Deal and Grocery for user acquisition in less-affluent regions in China, should support long-term growth in core e-commerce business. Merchants’ marketing budgets will continue to shift online given rising reliance on e-commerce and better conversion. Alibaba’s ad resources remain under-monetized,” noted Gary Yu, equity analyst at Morgan Stanley.

“Digitalization trend in China will also sustain AliCloud’s growth potential. Gradual margin expansion will be a long-term profit driver. We see limited near-term catalysts but F22e P/E valuation remains attractive. We also see further downside support from additional disclosure to separate losses from new investments from profitable core e-commerce businesses.”

WALT DISNEY: The world’s leading producers and providers of entertainment and information is expected to report its fiscal second-quarter earnings of $0.27 per share, which represents a year-over-year decline of over 50%. The Chicago, Illinois-based family entertainment company’s revenue would slump over 10% to $ 16.1 billion.

Disney is building content assets that enable it to take advantage of the significant direct-to-consumer streaming opportunity ahead. Disney’s underlying IP remains best-in-class, supporting long-term content monetization opportunities,” noted Benjamin Swinburne, equity analyst at Morgan Stanley.

“During this period of FCF pressure from Parks closures, ESPN’s FCF generation is key to driving down leverage. Historical cycles suggest a potential return to above prior peak US Parks revenues in FY23.”

TAKE A LOOK AT OUR EARNINGS CALENDAR FOR THE FULL RELEASES FOR THE MAY 13

Ticker Company EPS Forecast
CELH Celsius $0.00
HAE Haemonetics $0.69
BABA Alibaba $11.80
BAM Brookfield Asset Management USA $0.87
TAC TransAlta USA $0.06
UTZ Utz Brands $0.15
VERX Vertex Inc. Cl A $0.05
FTCH Farfetch -$0.28
DIS Walt Disney $0.27
AMAT Applied Materials $1.50
DDS Dillards $1.20
VNET 21Vianet -$0.02
TEF Telefonica $0.16
PBR Petroleo Brasileiro Petrobras $0.12
NICE Nice Systems $1.50
TYOYY Taiyo Yuden ADR $2.09
IX Orix $1.97
SGAMY Sega Sammy ADR -$0.02
SOMLY Secom ADR $0.27
OJIPY Oji ADR $1.57
SBS Companhia De Saneamento Basico $0.15

Friday (May 14)

Ticker Company EPS Forecast
MFG Mizuho Financial $0.06
CIG Companhia Energetica Minas Gerais $0.08
HMC Honda Motor $0.41
SMFG Sumitomo Mitsui Financial $0.12
RDY Drreddys Laboratories $0.52

 

Why Shares Of Alibaba Are Up By 8% Today?

Alibaba Video 12.04.21.

Alibaba Stock Gains Ground After A Record $2.75 Billion Fine

Shares of Alibaba gained strong upside momentum after Chinese regulators imposed a $2.75 billion fine on the company. Regulators accused Alibaba of violating anti-monopoly rules. The fine of $2.75 billion was calculated as 4% of the company’s 2019 revenues. Alibaba has already stated that it accepted the penalty and will comply with regulators’ demands.

Alibaba faced problems after Jack Ma criticized China’s regulators in October of 2020. Soon after Ma’s speech, IPO of fintech Ant Group was stopped, while Alibaba found itself under increased regulatory scrutiny.

Regulatory uncertainty put material pressure on Alibaba’s stock in 2021, and the company’s shares were down by about 4% year-to-date before today’s trading session despite the general bullish mood in the markets.

What’s Next For Alibaba?

The fine of $2.75 billion is not a material problem for a company with a market capitalization of more than $600 billion. In addition, the fine may mark the end of Alibaba’s problems, at least in the near term.

In this light, today’s strong performance of Alibaba’s shares is not surprising. Currently, the stock is up by about 8%, and it has decent chances to continue the upside move in the upcoming trading sessions.

Before the crisis with the Ant Group’s IPO, Alibaba shares were trading near the $310 level. If the market decides that the company’s problems are over, Alibaba shares will attract buyers who are willing to buy them at a significant discount to 2020 highs.

At the same time, traders will closely monitor news about Ant Group. China has recently directed Ant Group to register as a financial holding company, which will put it under regulation for financial companies. Jack Ma’s problems started after he stated that Chinese regulators hurt innovation, but now Ant Group will have to comply with stricter financial regulations.

For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar.

Why Shares Of Alibaba Are Down By 4%?

Alibaba 12.03.21.

Alibaba Stock Is Moving Lower As Regulatory Risks Increase

Shares of Alibaba found themselves under pressure after a Wall Street Journal report suggested that China’s regulators were ready to impose a record fine on the company for anticompetitive behavior.

Alibaba’s problems started when China’s regulators suspended the IPO of Ant Group. There were many reports about Jack Ma’s potential conflict with China’s leadership at that time, and Ant Group has been under material regulatory pressure ever since. Today, media reports indicated that the company’s CEO resigned, which may have contributed to pressure on Alibaba shares.

Concerns about the future of Jack Ma and his companies put significant pressure on Alibaba’s shares which were trying to settle above the $320 level before Ant Group’s IPO were cancelled.

The market is concerned with the continued pressure on Alibaba rather than with the fine itself. Chinese regulators have recently fined other big companies like Baidu and Tencent which indicated that regulatory environment became more hostile for big Chinese companies.

What’s Next For Alibaba?

Shares of Alibaba are currently trading at less than 20 forward P/E which is cheap for a company of this scale in today’s market.

However, traders need positive catalysts in order to focus on the company’s valuation. Right now, the market is worried about Jack Ma’s problems and also about the general regulatory trend for big Chinese companies.

In this light, any regulatory problems of other Chinese companies like the Tencent or Baidu may have a negative impact on Alibaba stock. If such problems emerge, Alibaba shares may gain additional downside momentum.

In the current market environment, Alibaba is attractive from the valuation point of view, but it remains to be seen whether traders and investors will be ready to use the current pullback amid risks of more conflicts with Chinese regulators.

For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar.

China’s Alibaba Beats Earnings Estimates; Target Price $387 in Best Case

China’s Alibaba Group Holding, the largest online and mobile e-commerce company in the world, reported better-than-expected revenue in the third quarter, led by a rapid recovery of China’s economy from the COVID-19 crisis and growth in e-commerce business due to the pandemic.

The multinational technology giant said its total revenue surged 37% to 221.08 billion yuan, beating the Wall Street consensus estimate of 214.38 billion yuan. Alibaba said its net income attributable to ordinary shareholders was 79.43 billion yuan, or 28.85 yuan per American depository share (ADS), up from 52.31 billion yuan, or 19.55 yuan per ADS, seen in the same period a year ago.

China’s biggest online commerce company said its diluted earnings per ADS was 28.85 yuan per share and non-GAAP diluted earnings per ADS was 22.03 per share, an increase of 21% year-over-year. That was also higher than the market expectations of 20.59 yuan.

In the December quarter, cloud computing revenue grew 50% year-over-year to 6.12 billion, primarily driven by robust growth in revenue from customers in the Internet and retail industries and the public sector.

However, the suspension of a $37 billion IPO of Ant Group pushed the Alibaba’s U.S.-listed shares about 3% lower to $257.88 on Tuesday.

Executive Comments

“We delivered another solid quarter, with revenue growth of 37% year-over-year and adjusted EBITDA up 22% year-over-year, while our strong free cash flow enabled us to further invest in strategic areas,” said Maggie Wu, Chief Financial Officer of Alibaba Group.

“We are pleased that our Alibaba Cloud business achieved positive adjusted EBITA during the quarter and Cainiao Network was operating cash flow positive. These progresses reflect our long-term approach to organically incubate and expand businesses from launch to profitability.”

Alibaba Stock Price Forecast

Twenty-three analysts who offered stock ratings for Alibaba in the last three months forecast the average price in 12 months at $324.56 with a high forecast of $387.00 and a low forecast of $270.00.

The average price target represents a 26.23% increase from the last price of $257.11. From those 23 analysts, 22 rated “Buy”, one rated “Hold”, and none rate “Sell”, according to Tipranks.

Morgan Stanley gave a base target price of $320 with a high of $375 under a bull scenario and $195 under the worst-case scenario. The firm currently has an “Overweight” rating on the mobile e-commerce company’s stock.

Several other analysts have also recently commented on the stock. Alibaba Group had its price objective cut by Deutsche Bank to $319 from $360. They currently have a buy rating on the specialty retailer’s stock. Sanford C. Bernstein assumed coverage and issued a market perform rating on the stock.

In addition, Robert W. Baird boosted their price target to $325 from $275 and gave the stock an outperform rating. Mizuho reduced their price target to $300 from $325 and set a buy rating. Loop Capital boosted their price target to $350 from $280 and gave the stock a buy rating.

Analyst Comments

COVID-19 has accelerated e-commerce penetration, especially in FMCG (fast-moving consumer goods), the next core category for e-commerce. Alibaba is set to benefit from this secular trend, given its leading position, and we expect it to maintain >50% market share over time, thanks to its strong ecosystem,” said Gary Yu, equity analyst at Morgan Stanley

“In addition, merchants’ marketing budgets will continue to shift online given the increasing reliance on e-commerce and better conversion. Alibaba‘s ad resources remain under-monetized. F2022e non-GAAP P/E is 19x, which we think is attractive given expanded addressable market for its e-commerce and cloud businesses. Profitability improvement in cloud serves as a key share price catalyst.”

Upside and Downside Risks

Risks to Upside: 1) Better core e-commerce monetization drives earnings growth upside. 2) Faster enterprise digitalization re-accelerates cloud revenue growth. 3) Stronger expansion of cloud margins -highlighted by Morgan Stanley.

Risks to Downside: 1) Intensified competition in less-developed regions would slow down GMV growth and pose downside to margins. 2) Lingering macro headwinds may pressure discretionary spending in China and affect our GMV and earnings forecasts.

Check out FX Empire’s earnings calendar

Three Big Tech Stocks Report Earnings This Week

Tech mega-caps highlight the last big reporting week of the fourth quarter earnings season, with Amazon.com Inc. (AMZN), Alphabet, Inc. (GOOG), and Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. (BABA) stepping to the plate. It’s a dangerous time for shareholders of these equity superstars, with market sentiment deteriorating at a rapid pace, following mind-boggling short squeezes on some of the U.S. market’s most downtrodden public companies.

FAANG members Apple Inc. (AAPL), Facebook Inc. (FB), and Netflix Inc. (NFLX) have all turned lower despite beating fourth quarter top and bottom line estimates, substantially increasing risk for GOOG and AMZN shareholders. Big investors getting margin calls could be driving this downturn, with losses incurred on high short interest small caps forcing involuntary liquidation. Main Street investors are also hitting the exits, worried that last week’s bizarre events will mark a major top.

Amazon

Amazon is expected to report a Q4 2020 profit of $7.00 per-share on $119.6 billion in revenue. The stock posted an all-time high at 3,552 in September and eased into a symmetrical triangle, with support near 2,870. It’s traded within this classic pattern for more than four months now, wobbling back and forth across the 50-day moving average. Unfortunately, monthly relative strength readings are still forecasting lower prices, raising odds for an eventual breakdown.

Alphabet

Analysts are looking for Alphabet to post a Q4 2020 profit of $15.99 per-share on $52.9 billion in revenue. The stock broke out above the September high at 1,733 in November and tested new support into January, when it broke out once again and posted an all-time high at 1,934. It’s now pulled back to support near 1,800, raising odds that a strong quarterly report will generate a fresh trend advance to new highs.

Alibaba

Finally, look for Alibaba to report a fiscal Q3 2021 profit of $20.94 per-share on $214.4 billion in revenue. The stock failed a rally above the 2018 high at 211 in February 2020 and recouped those losses into a July breakout that hit an all-time high at 319.32 in October. Many shareholders have jumped ship since that time, dropping accumulation to 18-month lows. It’s now hovering at the 200-day moving average and could roll over after this week’s confessional.

For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar.

Disclosure: the author held no positions in aforementioned securities at the time of publication.

Earnings to Watch Next Week: Pfizer, Alibaba, Amazon, Alphabet and Qualcomm in Focus

Earnings Calendar For The Week Of February 1

Monday (February 1)

IN THE SPOTLIGHT: VERTEX PHARMACEUTICALS, NXP SEMICONDUCTORS, ON SEMICONDUCTOR

VERTEX PHARMACEUTICALS: The biopharmaceutical company is expected to report a profit of $2.55 in the fourth quarter, which represents year-over-year growth of 50% from the same quarter a year ago when the company reported $1.70 cents per share.

However, Wall Street forecasts the company’s revenue to grow about 12% to $1.58 billion.

“Q4 estimates for Vertex‘s CF franchise appear achievable based on recent trends. With industry-leading growth and its fundamentals largely intact despite COVID-19, we expect the current dislocation between Vertex Pharmaceuticals’ (VRTX) trading price and the value of its CF franchise to be only temporary. We would use the recent stock weakness to build a position,” said equity analysts at Cowen and Company, who also gave a price target of $300.

NXP SEMICONDUCTORS: Eindhoven, Netherlands-based semiconductor manufacturer will post earnings of $2.11 per share in the December quarter on revenue of $2.46 billion, up from $1.98 per share on revenue of $2.30 billion same quarter last year. For the December quarter, the forecasts revenue in the range of $2.375-$2.525 billion which, at the midpoint, represents growth of 8% sequentially and 6% year-over-year.

“Management remains upbeat about near-term demand, including 2021, especially regarding its mobile chip business as the firm’s ultra-wideband connectivity solutions are rapidly gaining adoption within newer smartphones. We raise our fair value estimate to $150 from $130, and with shares trading around $134, we view shares as slightly undervalued,” said equity analysts at Cowen and Company.

ON SEMICONDUCTOR: Phoenix, Arizona-based semiconductors supplier company will post earnings of $0.28 per share for last quarter of 2020. The revenue is expected to slump 3.0% on a year-over-year basis.

TAKE A LOOK AT OUR EARNINGS CALENDAR FOR THE FULL RELEASES FOR THE FEBRUARY 1

Ticker Company EPS Forecast
TMO Thermo Fisher Scientific $6.52
OTIS Otis Worldwide Corp $0.59
RYAAY Ryanair -$1.11
ON ON Semiconductor $0.28
AEIS Advanced Energy Industries $1.34
ITUB Itau Unibanco $0.10
CACC Credit Acceptance $7.22
WWD Woodward $0.68
NXPI NXP Semiconductors $2.11
RMBS Rambus $0.25
ARE Alexandria Real Estate Equities $0.48
KRC Kilroy Realty $0.36
CRUS Cirrus Logic $1.86
OMCL Omnicell $0.80
KMPR Kemper $1.55
PCH Potlatch $1.37
KMT Kennametal $0.09
FN Fabrinet $1.04
IBTX Independent Bank $1.33
CBT Cabot $0.87
VRTX Vertex Pharmaceuticals $2.55
BKRKY Bank Rakyat $0.17
BECN Beacon Roofing Supply $0.63
LBRDK Liberty Broadband Lbrdk $1.06
IX Orix $1.95
RBC Regal Beloit Corporation $1.57
MFG Mizuho Financial $0.08

 

Tuesday (February 2)

IN THE SPOTLIGHT: PFIZER, ALIBABA, AMAZON, ALPHABET

PFIZER: The world’s largest pharmaceutical giant is expected to report a profit of $0.52 in the fourth quarter, which represents a year-over-year decline of about 5.4% from the same quarter last year when the company reported $0.55 per share.

The pharmaceutical company, which ranked 64th on the 2020 Fortune 500 list of the largest U.S. corporations by total revenue, will report revenue of $12.85 billion, up 1.3% from the year-ago quarter. According to chief executive officer Albert Bourla, Pfizer is likely to post this year’s earnings in the range of $3 to $3.10 per share.

“We lowered our 4Qe revenue by 5% from $11.6B to $11.0B and EPS by 6% from $0.40 to $0.38 to reflect lower doses delivered in 4Q. We lowered our 4Q COVID vaccine revenues from $683M to $150M (assuming $19.50/dose). Our prior model assumed 35M doses, which we lowered to 7.7M doses based upon CDC distribution allocations,” said David Risinger, equity analyst at Morgan Stanley.

“Our 4Q projections are well below consensus, but we do not see 4Q results as a stock driver given all of the confounding factors. We are instead focused on management’s 2021 targets.”

ALIBABA: The largest online and mobile e-commerce company in the world is expected to earn $2.65 per share for the third quarter, according to equities analysts at Oppenheimer. Oppenheimer also set EPS estimates for FY2021 at $7.48 and FY2022 at $9.33.

The Chinese multinational technology company has surpassed consensus estimates with an average of about 25% in all four previous quarters.

“We expect healthy GMV growth of 16% to drive core of core revenue growth of 18% on better monetization, but slower adjusted EBITA growth of 11% due to continued investment in new initiatives. Stay Overweight on F2022e non-GAAP P/E of 19x; lower price target to $320,” said Gary Yu, equity analyst at Morgan Stanley.

“We forecast total revenue of Rmb216bn (+33.8% YoY, +39.3% QoQ), non-GAAP EBITA of Rmb61.5bn (+21.4% YoY, +49.2% QoQ) with margin at 28.5% and non-GAAP net profit of Rmb57.2bn (+17.7% YoY, +16.1% QoQ) with margin at 26.5%.”

AMAZON: The eCommerce leader for physical and digital merchandise is expected to report a profit of $7.16 in the fourth quarter, which represents a year-over-year decline of over 10% from the same quarter last year when the company reported $6.47 per share.

The Seattle, Washington-based multinational technology giant will report revenue of $120.4 billion, up over 37% from the year-ago quarter. The company expects net sales between $112- $121 billion during the quarter.

Amazon‘s high-margin businesses continue to allow Amazon to drive greater profitability while still continuing to invest (last-mile delivery, fulfilment, Prime Now, Fresh, Prime digital content, Alexa/Echo, India, AWS, etc),” noted Brian Nowak, equity analyst at Morgan Stanley.

Amazon Prime membership growth drives recurring revenue and a positive mix shift. Cloud adoption hitting an inflection point. Advertising serves as a key area for both further growth potential and profitability flow-through.”

ALPHABET: The parent of Google and the world’s largest search engine, which dominates Internet search activity globally will post earnings of $15.68 per share for last quarter of 2020. The consensus mark for revenues is pegged at $44.09 billion, implying growth of 17.3% from the year-ago reported figure, according to ZACKS Research.

TAKE A LOOK AT OUR EARNINGS CALENDAR FOR THE FULL RELEASES FOR THE FEBRUARY 2

Ticker Company EPS Forecast
HOG Harley Davidson $0.21
WAT Waters $2.87
ST Sensata Technologies $0.78
HUBB Hubbell $1.76
LITE Lumentum Holdings Inc $1.89
AMG Affiliated Managers $3.68
HAE Haemonetics $0.65
MAN ManpowerGroup $1.14
GPK Graphic Packaging $0.27
ABG Asbury Automotive $4.11
ATHM Autohome $9.54
MDC MDC $1.73
PFE Pfizer $0.52
XOM Exxon Mobil $0.01
UPS United Parcel Service $2.14
BP BP $0.08
HCA HCA $3.57
RACE Ferrari $1.24
EMR Emerson Electric $0.68
ETN Eaton $1.21
COP ConocoPhillips -$0.25
IDXX Idexx Laboratories $1.39
SYY Sysco $0.34
MCK McKesson $4.14
MPC Marathon Petroleum -$1.27
SIRI Sirius XM $0.06
MPLX MPLX $0.63
CTLT Catalent $0.55
BR Broadridge Financial Solutions $0.71
ENTG Entegris $0.66
TECH Bio Techne $1.37
BEN Franklin Resources $0.72
LII Lennox International $2.65
MMP Magellan Midstream Partners $0.85
BABA Alibaba $20.59
SANM Sanmina $0.81
MTCH Match Group $0.50
DOX Amdocs $1.14
MANH Manhattan Associates $0.32
POWI Power Integrations $0.44
MKL Markel $9.04
TENB Tenable Holdings Inc $0.05
FEYE FireEye $0.10
EPAY Bottomline Technologies $0.28
ATGE Adtalem Global Education Inc $0.67
MRCY Mercury Systems $0.51
BRKS Brooks Automation USA $0.42
GL Globe Life Inc $1.72
APAM Artisan Partners Asset Management $1.02
AMGN Amgen $3.39
CB Chubb $2.82
EA Electronic Arts EA $2.94
CMG Chipotle Mexican Grill $3.73
PKI PerkinElmer $2.95
STE Steris $1.52
AMCR Amcor PLC $0.17
FBHS Fortune Brands Home Security $1.16
ATO Atmos Energy $1.57
BCH Banco De Chile $0.31
AMZN Amazon $7.16
GOOG Alphabet $15.70
GOOGL Alphabet $15.68
SMFG Sumitomo Mitsui Financial $0.19
ASEKY Aisin Seiki Co $1.19
SNE Sony $0.80
RCL Royal Caribbean Cruises -$5.04
TDG TransDigm $2.09
IT Gartner $0.82
QGEN Qiagen $0.66
NPSKY NSK ADR $0.19
JKHY Jack Henry Associates $0.88
IPHI Inphi $0.88
SWI Solarwinds $0.25
BDC Belden $0.75
ILMN Illumina $1.10
BP BP £0.01

 

Wednesday (February 3)

IN THE SPOTLIGHT: QUALCOMM

QUALCOMM: San Diego, California-based multinational corporation that creates an intellectual property, semiconductors, software, and services related to wireless technology is expected to report a profit of $2.10 in the fiscal first quarter, which represents year-over-year growth of over 110% from the same quarter last year when the company reported $0.99 per share.

The semiconductor company will report revenue of $80.3 billion, up over 60% from the year-ago quarter.

“We see an improvement in smartphone demand in 2021 after declining 5% in 2020 due to COVID-19. We also see 5G adding greater dollar content and supporting industry-wide handset volume growth. Qualcomm’s (QCOM) leadership in cellular technologies (3G/4G/5G) puts the company in a favourable position to maintain leading market share,” wrote Joseph Moore, equity analyst at Morgan Stanley.

“The potential elimination of a major competitor in the Chinese market, HiSilicon, should benefit QCOM as Huawei currently does not pay royalties. To the extent competitors that do pay royalties are able to pick up market share, that would be beneficial for QCOM.”

TAKE A LOOK AT OUR EARNINGS CALENDAR FOR THE FULL RELEASES FOR THE FEBRUARY 3

Ticker Company EPS Forecast
ABBV AbbVie $2.85
LAD Lithia Motors $5.23
APTV Aptiv PLC $1.01
HUM Humana -$2.37
BIP Brookfield Infrastructure $0.10
HWM Howmet Aerospace Inc $0.17
GWW Grainger $3.84
SC Santander Consumer USA $1.10
BIIB Biogen $4.75
CHKP Check Point Software Technologies $2.11
LFUS Littelfuse $1.58
BSX Boston Scientific $0.31
DT Dynatrace Holdings $0.13
SPOT Spotify -$0.53
APO Apollo Global Management $0.50
INGR Ingredion $1.46
SMG Scotts Miracle-Gro -$0.77
CPRI Capri Holdings Ltd $0.97
MSGS Madison Square Garden Sports -$1.67
EVR Evercore Partners $1.93
EPD Enterprise Products Partners $0.50
SLAB Silicon Laboratories $0.74
ASH Ashland $0.69
MUSA Murphy USA $2.14
ALGT Allegiant Travel -$2.27
BSMX Santander Mexico Fincl Gp Sab Decv $0.14
CENTA Central Garden Pet -$0.01
RGLD Royal Gold Usa) $0.86
ALGN Align Technology $2.14
AXTA Axalta Coating Systems $0.43
THG Hanover $2.34
AFL Aflac $1.05
KLAC KLA-Tencor $3.18
MAA Mid-America Apartment Communities $0.59
GRUB GrubHub $0.07
AVB AvalonBay Communities $0.85
CTSH Cognizant Technology Solutions $0.90
VVV Valvoline Inc $0.37
RYN Rayonier $0.05
QCOM Qualcomm $2.10
LNC Lincoln National $1.92
MET MetLife $1.52
CTVA Corteva Inc -$0.05
UHAL Amerco $0.12
QRVO Qorvo $2.66
MXL MaxLinear $0.36
ANGI Angie’s List -$0.02
HI Hillenbrand $0.73
CCMP Cabot Microelectronics $1.73
UGI UGI $1.13
KLIC Kulicke And Soffa Industries $0.71
AFG American Financial $2.13
IEX IDEX $1.31
FORM FormFactor $0.39
EBAY eBay $0.83
MITSY Mitsui & Company $7.96
LGND Ligand Pharmaceuticals $0.99
RAMP Liveramp Holdings Inc $0.06
NVO Novo Nordisk A Fs $0.60
TMHC Taylor Morrison Home $0.82
AVY Avery Dennison $2.08
SAVE Spirit Airlines -$1.40
GSK Glaxosmithkline $0.62
IRBT Irobot $0.21
COTY Coty $0.09
PAG Penske Automotive $2.11
COHR Coherent $0.78
DTE DTE Energy $1.33
ENSG Ensign $0.79
FLO Flowers Foods $0.24
SKM Sk Telecom $0.22
IBA Industrias Bachoco Sab De Cv $0.63
NEU NewMarket $5.60
BBD Banco Bradesco $0.11
PYPL PayPal $1.00
NMR Nomura $0.18
BSBR Banco Santander Brasil $0.17
SAN Banco Santander $0.06

 

Thursday (February 4)

Ticker Company EPS Forecast
GPI Group 1 Automotive $5.94
ALXN Alexion Pharmaceuticals $2.58
NYT New York Times $0.34
BCE BCE (USA) $0.59
BMY Bristol-Myers Squibb $1.41
NJR New Jersey Resources $0.46
PM Philip Morris International $1.21
CMI Cummins $2.80
TPR Tapestry Inc $0.99
ARW Arrow Electronics $2.67
CMS CMS Energy Corporation $0.55
BAX Baxter International $0.75
YUM Yum Brands $1.01
CG Carlyle $0.44
CLX Clorox $1.77
AGCO AGCO $1.12
MPW Medical Properties $0.27
ABB ABB $0.18
JHG Janus Henderson Group PLC $0.73
CI Cigna $3.66
MMS Maximus $0.91
MRK Merck & Co $1.38
WEC Wisconsin Energy $0.73
XYL Xylem $0.68
TW Towers Watson $0.33
PENN Penn National Gaming $0.26
HSY Hershey $1.43
PH Parker-Hannifin $2.60
ICE Intercontinental Exchange $1.08
BSAC Banco Santander Chile $0.34
RL Ralph Lauren $1.64
SNA Snap-On $2.94
DGX Quest Diagnostics $3.98
ODFL Old Dominion Freight Line $1.57
COR CoreSite Realty $0.45
WD Walker & Dunlop $1.47
TKR Timken $0.92
IP International Paper $0.81
AME Ametek $1.03
BLL Ball $0.78
PBH Prestige Brands $0.77
ABC AmerisourceBergen $1.94
APD Air Products & Chemicals $2.18
LEA Lear $3.43
LANC Lancaster Colony $1.48
PTON Peloton Interactive, Inc. $0.08
SU Suncor Energy USA -$0.17
SKX Skechers USA $0.32
MTD Mettler Toledo International $8.72
PCTY Paylocity $0.25
ARWR Arrowhead Research -$0.22
SNAP Snap -$0.07
FTV Fortive Corp $0.62
NWSA News Corp $0.09
DECK Deckers Outdoor $7.06
EXPO Exponent $0.28
FTNT Fortinet $0.97
ALL Allstate $3.83
MDU MDU Resources $0.54
SYNA Synaptics $2.13
TDC Teradata $0.25
FLT Fleetcor Technologies $2.82
NBIX Neurocrine Biosciences $0.59
POST Post $0.71
CSL Carlisle Companies $1.16
NOV National Oilwell Varco -$0.14
GILD Gilead Sciences $2.01
WERN Werner $0.78
ESS Essex Property $1.02
CPT Camden Property $0.35
MPWR Monolithic Power Systems $1.24
WWE World Wrestling Entertainment $0.29
LPLA LPL Financial $1.33
OFC Orate Office Properties $0.38
ZEN Zendesk $0.15
MTX Minerals Technologies $0.91
PFPT Proofpoint $0.42
MSI Motorola Solutions Msi $2.74
COLM Columbia Sportswear $1.24
ATVI Activision Blizzard $1.17
F Ford Motor -$0.08
UNM Unum $1.19
HIG Hartford Financial Services $1.33
PRU Prudential Financial $2.57
DXC DXC Technology Co $0.54
KB Kb Financial $1.50
CHT Chunghwa Telecom $0.36
MCHP Microchip Technology $1.58
NWS News $0.09
AIV Apartment $0.67
SSUMY Sumitomo ADR $0.26
DB Deutsche Bank -$0.03
OHI Omega Healthcare Investors $0.41
KWHIY Kawasaki Heavy Industries ADR -$0.18
PFSI Pennymac Financial Services $5.90
TRNO Terreno Realty $0.37
BCO Brinks $1.04
VSAT Viasat $0.02
YAMCY Yamaha DRC $0.47
RDSA Royal Dutch Shell £0.17
NRZ New Residential Investment $0.33
RICOY Ricoh Company -$0.06
WYNN Wynn Resorts -$2.29
ITOCY Itochu ADR $1.87
TOT Total $0.46
MYGN Myriad Genetics -$0.12
BDX Becton, Dickinson and Co. $3.07
ARNC Arconic Inc $0.32
TM Toyota Motor $3.65
RHHBY Roche Holding ADR $1.28
CDW CDW $1.53
ARRY Array Biopharma $0.05
HL Hecla Mining $0.02
TWOU 2U -$0.10
ALNY Alnylam Pharmaceuticals -$1.88
DD DuPont $0.85
CARR Carrier Global Corp $0.37
OMVJF OMV $0.74
TPL Texas Pacific Land $4.54
AUOTY AU Optronics $0.27

 

Friday (February 5)

Ticker Company EPS Forecast
HRC Hill-Rom $1.05
ADNT Adient PLC $0.87
TT Trane Technologies PLC $0.92
LAZ Lazard $0.97
SNY Sanofi $0.69
EL Estée Lauder $1.68
LIN Linde PLC $2.16
AON AON $2.46
ZBH ZIMMER BIOMET HDG. $2.07
ITW Illinois Tool Works $1.79
REGN Regeneron Pharmaceuticals $8.23
CAH Cardinal Health $1.44
SPB Spectrum Brands $0.75
BERY Berry Plastics $0.94
HMC Honda Motor $0.75
NFG National Fuel Gas $0.99
CHBAY Chiba Bank ADR $0.77
SOMLY Secom ADR $0.26
ASX Advanced Semiconductor Engineering $0.12
BNPQY BNP Paribas ADR $0.55
FE FirstEnergy $0.50