European Equities: Eurozone Trade Data, Lagarde, and U.S Stats in Focus

Economic Calendar

Thursday, 16th September

Eurozone Trade Balance (Jul)

Friday, 17th September

Eurozone Core CPI (YoY) (Aug) Final

Eurozone CPI (MoM) (Aug) Final

Eurozone CPI (YoY) (Aug) Fina

The Majors

It was a bearish day for the European majors on Wednesday.

The CAC40 and the EuroStoxx600 fell by 1.04% and 0.80% respectively, with the DAX30 ending the day down by 0.68%.

A busier economic calendar provided the majors with direction on the day.

Ahead of the European open, economic data from China set the tone.

Industrial production was up by 5.3%, year-on-year, in August versus a forecasted 5.8% increase. In July, production had been up by 6.4%.

Fixed asset investment was up 8.9% versus a forecasted 9.0%. In July, fixed asset investments had been up 10.3%.

The disappointing numbers from China raised more red flags over the economic outlook.

The Stats

Wage growth and industrial production figures for the Eurozone were the key stats of the day.

In the 2nd quarter, wages fell by 0.4%, quarter-on-quarter. Wages had grown by 2.1% in the previous quarter.

In August, industrial production increased by 1.5%, month-on-month, reversing a 0.1% decline from July. Economists had forecast a 0.6% increase.

Other stats on the day included finalized inflation figures from France and Italy, which had a muted impact on the majors.

From the U.S

In September, the NY Empire State Manufacturing Index rose from 18.3 to 34.3. Economists had forecast a decline to 18.0.

Industrial production figures were also upbeat, with production up 0.4% in August versus a forecasted 0.4% increase. In July, industrial production had risen by 0.8%.

The Market Movers

For the DAX: It was a mixed day for the auto sector on Wednesday. Volkswagen fell by 0.31% to buck the trend. BMW rallied by 1.24%, however, with Daimler and Continental seeing gains of 0.17% and 0.60% respectively.

It was also a mixed day for the banks. Deutsche Bank rose by 0.23%, while Commerzbank fell by 1.65%.

From the CAC, it was a mixed day for the banks. BNP Paribas and Credit Agricole ended the day up by 0.45% and by 0.14% respectively. Soc Gen bucked the trend, however, falling by 0.17%.

It was also a mixed day for the French auto sector. Stellantis NV rallied by 2.29%, while Renault slipped by 0.75%.

Air France-KLM and Airbus SE ended the day down by 1.45% and by 0.35% respectively.

On the VIX Index

It was back into the red for the VIX on Wednesday, marking a 2nd loss in 5 sessions.

Reversing a 0.46% gain from Tuesday, the VIX fell by 6.58% to end the day at 18.18.

On Wednesday, the Dow rose by 0.68%, with the NASDAQ and S&P500 ending the day up by 0.82% and by 0.85% respectively.

VIX 160921 Daily Chart

The Day Ahead

It’s a quieter day ahead on the Eurozone’s economic calendar.

Trade data for the Eurozone will be in focus later this morning. With little else for the markets to consider in the early part of the day, expect the numbers to influence.

Economic data from the U.S will likely have a greater impact, however. Retail sales, jobless claims, and Philly FED Manufacturing PMI figures are due out later in the day.

On the monetary policy front, ECB President Lagarde is also scheduled to speak ahead of the U.S numbers.

The Futures

In the futures markets, at the time of writing, the Dow Mini was up by 28 points.

For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar.

European Stocks Under Pressure From Weak China Data

The benchmark STOXX 600 index fell 0.1% by 07:11 GMT.

Asian stocks tumbled after data showed China’s factory and retail sectors faltered in August following fresh coronavirus outbreaks and supply disruptions.

Travel & leisure stocks were the top decliners in Europe, down 1.1%, with gaming companies hit after Macau casino operator stocks plummeted as the government kicked off a public consultation that investors fear will lead to tighter regulations in the world’s largest gambling hub.

The owner of fashion brand Zara Inditex rose about 1% as its sales approached pre-pandemic levels, but Sweden’s H&M slipped 3% as quarterly sales increased less than expected.

UK’s FTSE 100 edged lower and mid-cap stocks fell 0.2% after data showed British inflation hit a more than nine-year high last month.

For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar.

(Reporting by Sruthi Shankar in Bengaluru; Editing by Shounak Dasgupta)

European Equities: Economic Data from China, the Eurozone, and the U.S in Focus

Economic Calendar

Wednesday, 15th September

French CPI (MoM) (Aug) Final

French HICP (MoM) (Aug) Final

Italian CPI (MoM) (Aug) Final

Eurozone Wages in euro zone (YoY) (Q2)

Eurozone Industrial Production (MoM) (Jul)

Thursday, 16th September

Eurozone Trade Balance (Jul)

Friday, 17th September

Eurozone Core CPI (YoY) (Aug) Final

Eurozone CPI (MoM) (Aug) Final

Eurozone CPI (YoY) (Aug) Fina

The Majors

It was a mixed day for the European majors on Tuesday.

The CAC40 and the EuroStoxx600 fell by 0.36% and by 0.01% respectively, while the DAX30 ended the day up by 0.14%.

With economic data from the Eurozone limited to inflation figures from Spain, economic data from the U.S was key on the day,

Softer inflation figures from the U.S did little to shift sentiment towards FED monetary policy, with concerns over economic growth also pegging the majors back.

The Stats

Finalized inflation figures from Spain were in focus on Tuesday.

In August, the annual rate of inflation accelerated from 2.9% to 3.3%, which was in line with prelim figures.

The numbers had a muted impact on the European majors, however.

From the U.S

In August, the annual rate of core inflation softened from 4.3% to 4.0%. Economists had forecast an annual core rate of inflation of 4.2%.

Month-on-month, core consumer prices rose by 0.1%, while consumer prices increased by 0.3%.

The Market Movers

For the DAX: It was a bullish day for the auto sector on Tuesday. Daimler gained 0.97%, with BMW and Continental rising by 0.66% and by 0.55% respectively. Volkswagen ended the day up by a modest 0.27%.

It was a bearish day for the banks, however. Deutsche Bank and Commerzbank fell by 0.77% and by 1.91% respectively.

From the CAC, it was a bearish day for the banks. Soc Gen and Credit Agricole ended the day down by 1.83% and by 2.54% respectively. BNP Paribas saw a more modest 1.17% loss on the day.

It was a mixed day for the French auto sector, however. Stellantis NV rose by 0.74%, while Renault fell by 0.63%.

Air France-KLM and Airbus SE ended the day down by 1.93% and by 2.02% respectively.

On the VIX Index

It was back into the green for the VIX on Tuesday, marking a 3rd day in the green from 4 sessions.

Partially reversing a 7.54% fall from Monday, the VIX rose by 0.46% to end the day at 19.46.

On Tuesday, the NASDAQ slipped by 0.45%, with the Dow and S&P500 ending the day down by 0.84% and by 0.57% respectively.

VIX 150921 Daily Chart

The Day Ahead

It’s a busier day ahead on the Eurozone’s economic calendar.

Wage growth and industrial production figures for the Eurozone will be key stats on the day. Expect the industrial production figures to have a greater impact on the majors, however.

Finalized inflation figures for France and Italy are also due out but should have a muted impact on the majors.

From the U.S, NY Empire State Manufacturing and industrial production figures will also influence later in the day.

Ahead of the European open, however, economic data from China will set the tone.

Key stats include fixed asset investments and industrial production figures for August, with both needing to see a pickup to ease growth concerns.

The Futures

In the futures markets, at the time of writing, the Dow Mini was up by 7 points.

For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar.

Situation on Major Instruments Before the Inflation Data

The SP500 tries a reversal with an inverse head and shoulders pattern bouncing off a major up trendline.

The DAX is very close to breaking two major horizontal resistances.

Gold is on the way to test an important horizontal support at 1782 USD/oz.

Oil continues its upswing after escaping from the flag pattern.

The EURCHF needs to close the day above the down trendline in order to get a proper buy signal.

The EURJPY is in the process of creating a right shoulder of a very promising inverted Head and Shoulder pattern.

The EURNZD continues the drop after broken supports were tested as resistance.

The AUDCAD is going to test a major support level on the 38,2% Fibonacci.

The USDJPY is getting closer and closer to end the long-term symmetric triangle pattern.

For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar.

Luxury, Mining Stocks Weigh on Europe Ahead of U.S. Inflation Data

The pan-European STOXX 600 index was down 0.2% after a partial recovery on Monday from last week’s slump.

Luxury stocks including LVMH, Kering and Richemont fell between 1.6% and 2.0%, tracking their Asian peers lower on concerns about the spread of COVID-19 cases in China.

Jewellery maker Pandora rose 3.7% after it said it aims to achieve sales growth between 6.0% and 8.0% over the coming years.

Mining stocks dragged UK’s commodity-heavy FTSE 100 0.3% lower, even as data showed British employers added a record 241,000 staff to their payrolls last month.

Danish brewer Carlsberg fell 2.6% after a double downgrade to “sell” by Berenberg.

For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar.

(Reporting by Sruthi Shankar in Bengaluru; Editing by Shounak Dasgupta)

European Equities: Economic Data from the U.S in Focus Late in the Day…

Economic Calendar

Tuesday, 14th September

Spanish CPI (YoY) (Aug) Final

Spanish HICP (YoY) (Aug) Final

Wednesday, 15th September

French CPI (MoM) (Aug) Final

French HICP (MoM) (Aug) Final

Italian CPI (MoM) (Aug) Final

Eurozone Wages in euro zone (YoY) (Q2)

Eurozone Industrial Production (MoM) (Jul)

Thursday, 16th September

Eurozone Trade Balance (Jul)

Friday, 17th September

Eurozone Core CPI (YoY) (Aug) Final

Eurozone CPI (MoM) (Aug) Final

Eurozone CPI (YoY) (Aug) Fina

The Majors

It was a relatively bullish start to the week for the European majors on Monday.

The CAC40 and the EuroStoxx600 rose by 0.20% and 0.29% respectively, with the DAX30 ending the day up by 0.59%.

A particularly light economic calendar allowed the European markets to claw back some of the previous week’s losses.

Concerns over the economic recovery and outlook remained, however, pegging the majors back from more material gains.

The Stats

There were no major stats from the Eurozone to provide the majors with direction.

From the U.S

There were also no major stats from the U.S to influence the European majors later in the day.

The Market Movers

For the DAX: It was a bullish day for the auto sector on Monday. Volkswagen rose by a modest 0.97% on the day. Daimler rallied by 3.71%, however, with BMW and Continental seeing gains of 3.39% and 3.35% respectively.

It was also a bullish day for the banks. Deutsche Bank and Commerzbank rose by 1.63% and by 1.35% respectively.

From the CAC, it was a bullish day for the banks. Soc Gen and Credit Agricole ended the day up by 1.17% and by 1.29% respectively. BNP Paribas led the way, however, rallying by 2.27%.

It was also a bullish day for the French auto sector. Stellantis NV rose by 1.23%, with Renault rallying by 2.61%.

Air France-KLM ended the day up by 2.21%, with Airbus SE rising by 0.63%.

On the VIX Index

It was back into the red for the VIX on Monday, ending a 2-day winning streak.

Partially reversing an 11.44% jump on Friday, the VIX fell by 7.54% to end the day at 19.37.

On Monday, the NASDAQ slipped by 0.07%, while the Dow and S&P500 ended the day up by 0.76% and by 0.23% respectively.

VIX 140921 Daily Chart

The Day Ahead

It’s a quiet day ahead on the Eurozone’s economic calendar.

Finalized Spanish inflation figures for August will be in focus early in the European session. We don’t expect the numbers to trouble the European majors, however.

From the U.S, inflation figures for August will draw plenty of interest and influence, however. With the FED viewing the spike in inflation as transitory, another jump in inflation would question the policy outlook.

The Futures

In the futures markets, at the time of writing, the Dow Mini was up by 72 points.

For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar.

European Stocks Snap 4-Day Losing Streak as Oil, Banks Rise

By Sruthi Shankar and Shreyashi Sanyal

The pan-European STOXX 600 index was up 0.3% after hitting a three-week low last week. Asian stocks, however, fell following news of fresh regulatory crackdown on Chinese firms.

Global stocks have come under pressure recently after months-long gains on worries about inflation, tighter COVID-19 curbs in Asian economies, China’s regulatory moves, and growing views that central banks will soon start paring stimulus.

While those concerns remain, European investors took comfort as the European Central Bank last week raised its growth and inflation projections for this year and beyond, as the euro zone economy recovers quicker than expected from the pandemic shock.

“While we are used to seeing US markets lead the way, there is a feeling that we could see greater catch-up for Europe as high vaccination levels keep deaths relatively stable,” said Joshua Mahony, senior market analyst at IG.

Economy-sensitive sectors, including banks, oil and gas, and construction and materials, rose between 0.9% and 2.8%, while utilities climbed 1.6%.

All eyes will be on the U.S. consumer prices data on Tuesday after soaring producer prices last week raised doubts about the U.S. Federal Reserve’s view that inflation is transitory.

“Some central bankers will have you believe they are happy to hold back on tightening for now, we are seeing very clear signs that this spike in inflation is far from fleeting,” IG’s Mahony said.

Meanwhile, a September market sentiment survey published by Deutsche Bank showed an equity market correction of 5%-10% by the end of the year was the overwhelming consensus.

Among individual stocks, German online pet supplies’ retailer Zooplus AG jumped 9.0% after Hellman & Friedman raised its takeover offer to 3.29 billion euros ($3.89 billion) from an initial offer of 3 billion euros.

Associated British Foods dropped 2.4% as fourth-quarter sales at its Primark fashion business were lower than expected, with shopper numbers hurt by public health measures in its major markets.

Valneva plunged 41.6% after the British government ended a COVID-19 vaccine supply deal with the French company, alleging a breach of obligations that Valneva denies.

For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar.

(Reporting by Sruthi Shankar and Shreyashi Sanyal in Bengaluru; Editing by Sherry Jacob-Phillips, Uttaresh.V, William Maclean)

European Equities: A Quiet Economic Calendar Will Leave the Majors in the Hands of the U.S Markets

Economic Calendar

Tuesday, 14th September

Spanish CPI (YoY) (Aug) Final

Spanish HICP (YoY) (Aug) Final

Wednesday, 15th September

French CPI (MoM) (Aug) Final

French HICP (MoM) (Aug) Final

Italian CPI (MoM) (Aug) Final

Eurozone Wages in euro zone (YoY) (Q2)

Eurozone Industrial Production (MoM) (Jul)

Thursday, 16th September

Eurozone Trade Balance (Jul)

Friday, 17th September

Eurozone Core CPI (YoY) (Aug) Final

Eurozone CPI (MoM) (Aug) Final

Eurozone CPI (YoY) (Aug) Fina

The Majors

It was a bearish end to the week for the European majors on Friday.

The CAC40 and the EuroStoxx600 fell by 0.31% and 0.26% respectively, with the DAX30 ending the day down by 0.09%.

Economic data from the Eurozone was limited to finalized inflation figures from Germany, which had a muted impact on the majors.

From the U.S, wholesale inflation figures for August also had a muted impact as the markets responded further to the ECB’s shift in stance on monetary policy.

The Stats

Finalized German inflation figures were in focus ahead of the European open.

In August, consumer prices stalled after having risen by 0.90% in July. Germany’s annual rate of inflation picked up from 3.8% to 3.9%, which was in line with prelim figures.

According to Destatis,

  • The prices of goods increased by 5.6% between August 2020 and August 2021.
  • Energy product prices were up 12.6%, with food prices up 4.6%.
  • Prices for transport equipment (+5.5%) and furniture & lighting equipment (+4.0%) also saw sizeable increases.
  • Year-on-year, services prices were up 2.5%, with the annual rate of inflation excluding energy up 3.0%.

From the U.S

Wholesale inflation was in focus late in the European session.

In August, the U.S annual rate of wholesale inflation accelerated from 7.8% to 8.3%. The core annual rate of wholesale inflation picked up from 6.2% to 6.7%. Month-on-month, the producer price index rose by 0.7% after having risen by 1.0% in July.

The Market Movers

For the DAX: It was another mixed day for the auto sector on Friday. Volkswagen fell by 0.39% to buck the trend on the day. BMW ended the day up by 0.40%, with Daimler and Continental rising by 0.58% and by 0.77% respectively, however.

It was a bearish day for the banks, however. Deutsche Bank and Commerzbank fell by 0.23% and by 0.15% respectively.

From the CAC, it was a mixed day for the banks. BNP Paribas and Credit Agricole fell by 1.71% and by 1.09% respectively, while Soc Gen ended the day up by 0.08%.

It was also a mixed day for the French auto sector. Stellantis NV rose by 0.10%, while Renault fell by 0.32%.

Air France-KLM slid by 2.24%, with Airbus SE falling by 0.73%.

On the VIX Index

It was a 2nd consecutive day in the green the VIX on Friday.

Following a 4.68% gain on Thursday, the VIX jumped by 11.44% to end the day at 20.95.

On Friday, the NASDAQ fell by 0.87%, with the Dow and S&P500 ending the day down by 0.78% and by 0.77% respectively.

VIX 130921 Daily Chart

The Day Ahead

It’s a particularly quiet day ahead on the Eurozone’s economic calendar.

There are no material stats due out of the Eurozone to provide the majors with direction at the start of the week.

From the U.S, there are also no major stats to provide the majors with direction late in the session.

The lack of stats will leave the majors in the hands of COVID-19 news updates and any central bank chatter on the day.

Late in the day, the majors will likely take direction from the U.S majors.

The Futures

In the futures markets, at the time of writing, the Dow Mini was up by 80 points.

For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar.

The Week Ahead – A Busy Economic Calendar to Test Market Risk Sentiment…

On the Macro

It’s a busy week ahead on the economic calendar, with 62 stats in focus in the week ending 17th September. In the week prior, 42 stats had also been in focus.

For the Dollar:

Inflation figures for August kick things off on Tuesday. We’ve seen labor market numbers disappoint. Another spike in inflation, however, would raise questions over whether the FED can stand pat on policy.

On Wednesday, industrial production figures will be in focus ahead of a particularly busy Thursday.

Retail sales, Philly FED Manufacturing PMI, and weekly jobless claims will be in focus on Thursday.

Expect retail sales and jobless claims to be key.

At the end of the week, consumer sentiment figures for September will also influence.

In the week ending 10th September, the Dollar Spot Index rose by 0.59% to 92.582.

For the EUR:

It’s a quieter week on the economic data front.

Eurozone 2nd quarter wage growth and July industrial production figures will be in focus on Wednesday.

In the 2nd half of the week, trade data and finalized inflation figures for the Eurozone will also influence.

For the week, the EUR fell by 0.56% to $1.1814.

For the Pound:

It’s a busier week ahead on the economic calendar.

Employment figures will draw attention on Tuesday. August claimant counts and July’s unemployment rate will be key.

On Wednesday, inflation figures will also draw plenty of attention ahead of retail sales figures on Friday.

The week’s data set should give the BoE enough data to make a more informed decision on the policy front.

The Pound ended the week down by 0.23% to $1.3839.

For the Loonie:

It’s another quiet week ahead on the economic calendar.

Manufacturing sales on Tuesday and wholesale sales figures on Thursday will influence.

For the week, however, August inflation figures due out on Wednesday will be key stat.

While the stats will influence, crude oil prices and OPEC’s monthly report will also provide direction.

The Loonie ended the week down 1.34% to C$1.2692 against the U.S Dollar.

Out of Asia

For the Aussie Dollar:

Consumer and business confidence figures will be key on Tuesday and Wednesday.

On Wednesday, inflation figures will also draw interest, though expect employment figures on Thursday to have a greater impact.

Following the latest lockdown measures and the RBA’s more dovish stance, the markets will be looking to assess the damage.

The Aussie Dollar ended the week down by 1.39% to $0.7356.

For the Kiwi Dollar:

It’s another quiet week ahead.

2nd quarter GDP numbers are due out on Thursday ahead of Business PMI numbers on Friday.

Expect the GDP numbers to be key. While the RBNZ hit pause on lifting rates, the markets will be expecting solid numbers.

The Kiwi Dollar ended the week down by 0.63% to $0.7113.

For the Japanese Yen:

BSI large manufacturing conditions data for Q3 and trade data for August due out on Monday and Thursday will be key.

Finalized industrial production figures on Tuesday should have a muted impact on the Yen and the Asian markets…

The Japanese Yen fell by 0.21% to ¥109.94 against the U.S Dollar.

Out of China

Fixed asset investment, industrial production, and retail sales figures on Wednesday will be in focus.

Expect industrial production and retail sales figures to be the key numbers…

The Chinese Yuan ended the week up by 0.18% to CNY6.4443 against the U.S Dollar.

Geo-Politics

Iran, China, and Russia remain the main areas of interest for the markets. News updates from the Middle East, in particular, will need monitoring following recent events in Afghanistan.

European Equities: A Week in Review – 10/09/21

The Majors

It was a bearish week for the majors in the week ending 10th September. The DAX30 and the EuroStoxx600 slid by 1.09% and by 1.18% respectively. After bucking the trend in the previous week, the CAC40 saw a more modest 0.39% loss in the week.

Economic data from Germany failed to support the majors, in spite of the stats being skewed to the positive.

Concerns over the economic recovery, stemming from the spread of the Delta variant, weighed on the majors.

Economic data from China and the U.S also failed to support the majors, in spite of better-than-expected numbers.

In August, China’s U.S Dollar trade surplus widened from $56.59bn to $58.35bn, with exports up 25.6% year-on-year, and imports up 33.1%. In July, imports had been up by 28.1% and exports up by 19.3%. Economists had forecast the trade surplus to narrow from $56.59bn to $51.05bn.

The Stats

Economic data included factory orders, industrial production, and trade data from Germany.

While the stats were skewed to the positive, there was little support for the majors, with the markets looking ahead to the ECB policy decision.

ZEW Economic Sentiment figures for Germany and the Eurozone were disappointing, however, pegging the majors back.

At the end of the week, finalized inflation figures from Germany had a muted impact on the majors.

While there were plenty of stats for the markets to consider, it was ultimately the ECB monetary policy decision and press conference that was the main event.

In line with market expectations, the ECB held policy unchanged and talked of economic uncertainty stemming from the Delta variant. Lagarde did confirm plans to modestly reduce the asset purchasing program.

While supporting the majors on the day, the Thursday press conference marked the beginnings of the end to pandemic measures.

From the U.S

Early in the week, JOLT’s job openings for July were upbeat with openings rising from 10.185m to 10.943m. Economists had forecast a decline to 10.000m.

On Thursday, jobless claims were also impressive. In the week ending 3rd September initial jobless claims fell from 345k to 310k.

At the end of the week, wholesale inflation was in focus. In August, the core PPI rose by 0.6% versus a forecasted 0.5%, with the Producer Price Index rising by 0.7% versus a forecasted 0.6%. Both had risen by 1.0% in July.

The Market Movers

From the DAX, it was a bearish week for the auto sector. Volkswagen slid by 3.46%, with Continental and Daimler ending the week down by 2.84% and by 1.65% respectively. BMW saw a more modest 0.40% loss in the week.

It was a bullish week for the banking sector, however. Deutsche Bank rallied by 2.32%, with Commerzbank rising by 0.55%.

From the CAC, it was a bearish week for the banks. BNP Paribas and Credit Agricole fell by 1.95% and by 1.24% respectively, with Soc Gen ending the week down by 0.49%.

It was also a bearish week for the French auto sector. Stellantis NV and Renault slid by 2.46% and by 2.86% respectively.

Air France-KLM fell by a further 3.39%, with Airbus ending the week with a 0.1% loss.

On the VIX Index

It was a 2nd consecutive week in the green for the VIX in the week ending 10th September.

Following an 0.12% rise from the previous week, the VIX jumped by 27.67% to end the week at 20.95.

3-days in the green from 4 sessions, which included a 11.44% rise on Friday delivered the upside.

For the week, the Dow slid by 2.15%, with the NASDAQ and the S&P500 falling by 1.61% and by 1.69% respectively.

VIX 110921 Weekly Chart

The Week Ahead

It’s a relatively busy week ahead on the economic calendar.

Key stats include industrial production and trade data for the Eurozone, the numbers due out on Wednesday and Thursday.

Finalized inflation figures for member states and the Eurozone are also due out in the week.

Barring any marked revisions from prelim figures, expect the Eurozone’s numbers to have a greater influence.

From the U.S, it’s a busy week ahead, with inflation and industrial production in focus early in the week.

On Thursday, retail sales and jobless claims figures will also have a material impact on market risk sentiment.

Consumer sentiment figures for September wraps things up on Friday.

We can also expect economic data from China to influence in the week.

Industrial production, fixed asset investment, and retail sales figures will be in focus on Wednesday.

Away from the economic calendar, expect COVID-19 news updates and central bank chatter to also influence.

The Weekly Wrap – Dovish Central Banks and Concerns over the Recovery Delivered Dollar Support

The Stats

It was a quieter week on the economic calendar, in the week ending 10th September.

A total of 42 stats were monitored, which was down from 81 stats in the week prior.

Of the 42 stats, 20 came in ahead forecasts, with 21 economic indicators coming up short of forecasts. There was just 1 stat that was in line with forecasts in the week.

Looking at the numbers, 21 of the stats reflected an upward trend from previous figures. Of the remaining 21 stats, 21 reflected a deterioration from previous.

For the Greenback, dovish FOMC member chatter failed to deliver Dollar weakness. Concerns over the economic recovery and dovish central banks drove Dollar demand in the week. In the week ending 10th September, the Dollar Spot Index rose by 0.59% to 92.582. In the previous week, the Dollar had fallen by 0.59% to 92.137.

Out of the U.S

Early in the week, JOLT’s job openings for July were upbeat with openings rising from 10.185m to 10.943m. Economists had forecast a decline to 10.000m.

On Thursday, jobless claims were also impressive. In the week ending 3rd September initial jobless claims fell from 345k to 310k.

At the end of the week, wholesale inflation was in focus. In August, the core PPI rose by 0.6% versus a forecasted 0.5%, with the Producer Price Index rising by 0.7% versus a forecasted 0.6%. Both had risen by 1.0% in July.

Out of the UK

Economic data was on the busier side. Early in the week, construction PMI and BRC retail sales monitor figures were skewed to the negative.

In August, the construction PMI fell from 58.7 to 55.2, with the BRC Retail Sales Monitor rising by just 1.5%. The Retail Sales Monitor had risen by 4.7%, year-on-year, in July.

At the end of the week, key stats included GDP, manufacturing and industrial production, and trade data.

In July, the UK economy expanded by 0.1% and grew by 7.5% year-on-year.

While industrial production rose by 1.2%, manufacturing production stalled in July.

Trade figures were mixed, however. The UK’s trade deficit widened from £11.99bn to £12.71bn in July, while the non-EU deficit narrowed from £7.19bn to £6.99bn.

In the week, the Pound fell by 0.23% to end the week at $1.3839. In the week prior, the Pound had risen by 0.78% to $1.3871.

The FTSE100 ended the week down by 1.53%, following a 0.14% loss from the previous week.

Out of the Eurozone

Economic data included factory orders, industrial production, and trade data from Germany.

While the stats were skewed to the positive, there was little support for the EUR, with the markets looking ahead to the ECB policy decision.

ZEW Economic Sentiment figures for Germany and the Eurozone were disappointing, however, pegging the EUR back.

At the end of the week, finalized inflation figures from Germany had a muted impact on the majors.

While there were plenty of stats for the markets to consider, it was ultimately the ECB monetary policy decision and press conference that was the main event.

In line with market expectations, the ECB held policy unchanged and talked of economic uncertainty stemming from the Delta variant. Lagarde did confirm plans to modestly reduce the asset purchasing program. The forward guidance was not enough to deliver a EUR rally, however.

For the week, the EUR fell by 0.56% to $1.1814. In the week prior, the EUR had risen by 0.70% to $1.1880.

The CAC40 fell by 0.39%, with the DAX30 and the EuroStoxx600 ending the week with losses of 1.09% and 1.18% respectively.

For the Loonie

Economic data included Ivey PMI and employment figures for August.

The stats were skewed to the positive. In August, the Ivey PMI rose from 56.4 to 66.0, with Canada’s unemployment rate falling from 7.5% to 7.1%.

While the stats were upbeat, the Bank of Canada’s monetary policy decision and forward guidance weighed.

In line with expectations, the BoC left policy unchanged, with the BoC also taking a cautious view on the economic recovery. Supply chain disruption and the Delta variant remained key concerns…

In the week ending 10th September, the Loonie fell by 1.34% to C$1.2692. In the week prior, the Loonie had risen by 0.76% to C$1.2524.

Elsewhere

It was a bearish week for the Aussie Dollar and the Kiwi Dollar.

The Aussie Dollar slid by 1.39% to $0.7356, with the Kiwi Dollar ending the week down by 0.63% to $0.7113.

For the Aussie Dollar

There were no major stats for the markets to consider.

On Tuesday, the RBA delivered it’s September monetary policy decision, which was in line with expectations.

The RBA left policy unchanged and talked of the likely impact of the latest lockdown measures on the economy.

For the Kiwi Dollar

It was a quiet week, with retail sales in focus.

In August, electronic card retail sales tumbled by 19.8%, with the decline attributed to the latest lockdown measures introduced in mid-August.

The markets were forgiving, however, with a material decline in retail sales expected.

For the Japanese Yen

It was a relatively busy week, with the numbers skewed to the positive.

In July, household spending rose by 0.7%, month-on-month, coming in ahead of a forecasted 0.1% rise. Spending had tumbled by 5.1% in June. Year-on-year, spending was down by 0.9%, however, versus a forecasted 1.1% increase. Spending had been down by 3.2% in June, year-on-year.

In the 2nd quarter, the Japanese economy expanded by 0.5%, which was up from a prelim 0.4%. The economy had contracted by 0.9% in the previous quarter. Year-on-year, the economy grew by 1.9%, which was up from a prelim 1.6%. In the 1st quarter, the economy had contracted by 3.7%.

The Japanese Yen fell by 0.21% to ¥109.94 against the U.S Dollar. In the week prior, the Yen had risen by 0.12% to ¥109.72.

Out of China

Trade and inflation figures were in focus in the week.

In August, China’s U.S Dollar trade surplus widened from $56.59bn to $58.35bn. Economists had forecast a narrowing to $51.05bn. Exports rose by 25.6% versus a forecasted 17.1% increase, with imports up 33.1%. Economists had forecast imports to rise by 26.8%.

Inflation figures were skewed to the negative, however, with the annual rate of inflation softening from 1.0% to 0.8%. In August, consumer prices rose by just 0.1% after having risen by 0.3% in July.

Wholesale inflationary pressures were still evident, however. The annual rate of wholesale inflation picked up from 9.0% to 9.5% in August.

In the week ending 10th September, the Chinese Yuan rose by 0.18% to CNY6.4443. In the week prior, the Yuan had ended the week up by 0.25% to CNY6.4560.

The CSI300 and the Hang Seng ended the week up by 1.17% and by 3.52% respectively.

European Equities: A Light Economic Calendar to Test Support ahead of the U.S Open

Economic Calendar

Friday, 10th September

German CPI (MoM) (Aug) Final

The Majors

It was a mixed day for the European majors on Thursday.

The DAX30 and the CAC40 saw modest gains of 0.08% and 0.24% respectively, while the EuroStoxx600 slipped by 0.04%.

Economic data had a limited impact on the majors, in spite of positive numbers from Germany and the U.S.

The ECB’s monetary policy decision and press conference delivered much-needed support to the majors, however.

Through the early part of the sessions, concerns over a more hawkish shift on monetary policy had weighed on the majors.

Plans to modestly cut the pandemic’s emergency bond purchasing program was good enough to leave the majors relatively flat.

The Stats

German trade data was in focus going into the European open.

In July, Germany’s trade surplus widened from €13.6bn to €17.9bn. Economists had forecast a narrowing to €13.0bn

According to Destatis,

  • Exports were up 0.5% on the previous month and up by 12.4% on the same month a year earlier.
  • Imports were down 3.8% on the previous month, while up 16.6% on the same month a year earlier.

Trade with EU Countries:

  • Goods exports to EU member states rose by 17.7%, year-on-year, with imports up 18.7%.
  • To euro area countries, exports rose by 17.4%, with imports from euro area countries up 22.4%.
  • Exports to EU countries not belonging to the euro area increased by 18.4%, while imports were up by 11.0%.

Trade with non-EU Countries:

  • Exports to third countries increased by 6.8%, with imports from third countries up 14.2%.

Trade with the UK:

  • Compared with the same month last year, exports were up 7.2% to the UK. Imports from the UK increased by 15.6%.

Elsewhere:

Exports to China fell by 4.3%, year-on-year, while exports to the U.S were up 15.7%.

From the U.S

Jobless claim figures were in focus, though the stats had a muted impact, with the release coinciding with the ECB press conference.

In the week ending 3rd September, initial jobless claims fell from 345k to a post-pandemic low 310k. Economists had forecast a decline to 335k.

The Market Movers

For the DAX: It was a mixed day for the auto sector on Thursday. Volkswagen and BMW ended the day up by 0.84% and by 0.03% respectively. Daimler and Continental fell by 0.15% and by 0.55% respectively, however.

It was also a mixed day for the banks. Deutsche Bank rose by 0.14%, while Commerzbank slid by 2.10%.

From the CAC, it was a relatively bullish day for the banks. BNP Paribas and Credit Agricole rose by 0.45% and by 0.17% respectively, with Soc Gen ending the day up by 0.57%.

It was a mixed day for the French auto sector, however. Stellantis NV rose by 0.40%, while Renault fell by 0.47%.

Air France-KLM joined airline stocks in the red, falling by 0.97%, while Airbus SE rose by 1.30%.

On the VIX Index

It was back into the green the VIX on Thursday.

Reversing a 0.99% fall from Wednesday, the VIX rose by 4.68% to end the day at 18.80.

On Thursday, the NASDAQ fell by 0.25%, with the Dow and S&P500 ending the day down by 0.43% and by 0.46% respectively.

VIX 100921 Daily Chart

The Day Ahead

It’s a quieter day ahead on the Eurozone’s economic calendar.

Finalized August inflation figures for Germany are due out going into the European open.

Barring a marked revision from prelim figures, however, the numbers should have a muted impact on the majors. On Thursday, the ECB stood by its transitory view on inflation. That should limit the impact of any marginal upward revision.

From the U.S, wholesale inflation figures will likely have a greater impact, however. A spike in wholesale inflation could give the FOMC hawks firmer footing for a near-term shift in policy, albeit a tapering to the asset purchasing program.

Following a pullback in the U.S markets on Thursday, concerns over the economic outlook will likely remain a factor with little on the economic calendar for the markets to consider.

The Futures

In the futures markets, at the time of writing, the Dow Mini was down by 9 points.

For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar.

U.S. Shares Retreat, European Shares end Little-Changed

Major U.S. indexes were lower, pulling back from earlier gains but still close to all-time highs.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 133.74 points, or 0.38%, to 34,897.33, the S&P 500 lost 14.45 points, or 0.32%, to 4,499.62 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 4.28 points, or 0.03%, to 15,282.36 by mid afternoon.

Federal Reserve Bank Governor Michelle Bowman added her voice Wednesday to the growing number of policymakers who say the weak August jobs report likely won’t throw off the central bank’s plan to trim its $120 billion in monthly bond purchases later this year.

Earlier in the day, U.S. data showed the number of Americans filing new claims for jobless benefits fell to the lowest level in nearly 18 months last week, offering more evidence that job growth was being hindered by labor shortages rather than cooling demand for workers.

After falling as much as 0.9% in morning trade, the pan-European STOXX 600 index ended largely unchanged around 467.57 points. The index had shed 1.5% over the past two days on fears of a more-hawkish-than-expected ECB.

Euro zone bonds yields tumbled as the European Central Bank took its first tentative step in withdrawing COVID-era stimulus. Southern Europe led a fall in euro zone sovereign bond yields.

The euro rose 0.15% against the dollar, climbing for the first time in four sessions, while bond markets cheered by sending French 10-yields negative again.

“We’re seeing some modest weakness mainly because the market is just in flux. There is no real clarity on when we will start to see the Fed and ECB start to pull back stimulus,” said Edward Moya, a senior market analyst with OANDA in New York.

Instead of hinting at any potential end date for its pandemic-era purchase programme, European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde instead channelled the spirit of former British Prime Minister Margaret Thatcher, saying: “The lady isn’t tapering.”

Germany’s 10-year yield, the benchmark for the bloc, fell. [GVD/EUR]

FRAGILE CHINA

MSCI’s benchmark for global equity markets fell 0.33% to 740.33. Emerging markets stocks fell 1.18%.

The UK’s FTSE 100 dropped 1% with low-cost airline easyJet tumbling over 10% as it tapped shareholders for 1.2 billion pounds ($1.7 billion). [.EU]

MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares ended down 1%, which was its worst daily performance since Aug. 19, the last time markets decided they were worried about the U.S. Federal Reserve tapering its massive asset purchase programme.

Chinese tech giants Tencent, NetEase and Alibaba had slumped 8.5%, 11% and 6% respectively after online gaming chiefs were summoned by authorities to check they are sticking to strict new rules for the sector.

“The global story is looking soft and it’s being hit by the Delta variant plus concern about potentially the Fed still moving towards a taper,” said Rob Carnell, Asia head of research at ING. “It’s an unsettling combination of things.”

The China angst had meant Hong Kong, where many heavyweight Chinese firms are also listed, shed 2.3%.

News that Chinese authorities had told gaming firms to resolutely curb incorrect tendencies such as focusing “only on money” and “only on traffic” had hurt companies with large gaming operations. Tencent fell 8.5%, Bilibili lost nearly 9% and NetEase slumped 11%.

There was more turbulence too for the country’s most indebted property giant, Evergrande.

Media reports the company would suspend some interest payments on loans and payments to its wealth management products sent its shares down more than 10% at one point, although they recovered almost half of the drop on news that some creditors had agreed to loan payment extensions.

Korea’s Kospi fell 1.5%, also under pressure from regulatory scrutiny of local tech players. In Korea’s case, fintech names such as Kakao Corp , which sank 7.2%, and Naver Corp, down 6.9%, were in the spotlight.

Australian stocks lost nearly 2% after payrolls data showed a sharp drop in jobs in the first half of August.

Gold steadied in choppy trading, buoyed by a slight retreat in the dollar. Spot bullion prices were up 0.4%.

Oil prices fell on China’s plan to tap state reserves and a smaller-than-expected drawdown in U.S. crude supplies.

Brent crude was last down $1.14, or down 1.57%, at $71.46 a barrel. U.S. crude was last down $1.16, or down 1.66% at %68.15.

($1 = 0.7246 pounds)

(Additional reporting by Alun John in Hong Kong; Editing by Carmel Crimmins and Nick Zieminski)

European Stocks Slide Ahead of ECB Meeting, EasyJet Tumbles

The continent-wide STOXX 600 index was down 0.8%, hitting a three-week low, with UK’s FTSE 100 leading losses with a 1.1% drop and Germany’s DAX touching over a one-month low.

British airline easyJet tumbled 13.8% after it revealed plans to raise 1.2 billion pounds ($1.7 billion) and said it had rejected a takeover offer.

Travel stocks, down 1.8%, fell the most among sectors, while miners, technology and automakers dropped between 1.0% and 1.4%.

The ECB is expected to slow its bond buying via its Pandemic Emergency Purchase Programme (PEPP), according to a Reuters poll, but also reassure markets that this is not the start of a gradual exit from easy policy.

Asian shares dropped more than a percent, with Chinese gaming stocks coming under pressure from fresh regulatory scrutiny, while data showed China’s factory gate inflation hit a 13-year high in August.

For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar.

(Reporting by Sruthi Shankar in Bengaluru; Editing by Saumyadeb Chakrabarty and Shounak Dasgupta)

European Equities: Economic Data and the ECB in Focus

Economic Calendar

Thursday, 9th September

German Trade Balance (Jul)

ECB Interest Rate Decision (Aug)

ECB Press Conference

Friday, 10th September

German CPI (MoM) (Aug) Final

The Majors

It was another bearish day for the European majors on Wednesday.

The DAX30 and the EuroStoxx600 fell by 1.47% and by 1.06% respectively, with the CAC40 ending the day down by 0.85%.

Economic data from the Eurozone was on the lighter side, leaving the negative sentiment from Tuesday to linger.

Concerns over the resilience of the economic recovery weighed on the majors ahead of today’s ECB monetary policy decision.

How the ECB responds to inflationary pressures, previously considered transitory, has also left the markets on unsteady ground.

According to prelim figures, the Eurozone’s annual rate of inflation accelerated from 2.2% to 3.0% in August…

The Stats

French non-farm payrolls were in focus early in the session.

In the 2nd quarter, non-farm payrolls increased by 1.1% quarter-on-quarter. In the previous quarter, payrolls had risen by 1.2%.

From the U.S

JOLT’s job openings were in focus late in the European session.

In July, job openings jumped from 10.185m to 10.934m in July, coming in well ahead of a forecasted 10.000m.

The numbers failed to change the mood, however.

The Market Movers

For the DAX: It was a bearish day for the auto sector on Wednesday. Volkswagen slid by 3.05% to lead the way, with Daimler ending the day down by 2.44%. BMW and Continental both fell by 2.35% respectively.

It was also a bearish day for the banks. Deutsche Bank and Commerzbank saw losses of 0.46% and 2.35% respectively.

From the CAC, it was a bearish day for the banks. BNP Paribas and Credit Agricole fell by 1.53% and by 1.29% respectively, with Soc Gen ending the day down by 2.11%.

Things were not much better for the French auto sector. Stellantis NV slid by 2.86%, with Renault falling by 0.82%.

Air France-KLM bucked the trend, rising by 0.64%, while Airbus SE fell by 0.33%.

On the VIX Index

It was back into the red the VIX on Wednesday.

Following a 10.54% jump on Tuesday, the VIX fell by 0.99% to end the day at 17.96.

On Tuesday, the NASDAQ declined by 0.57%, with the Dow and S&P500 ending the day down by 0.20% and by 0.13% respectively.

VIX 090921 Daily Chart

The Day Ahead

It’s a busier day ahead on the Eurozone’s economic calendar.

Trade data from Germany will draw interest in the early part of the session. While we can expect market sensitivity to the numbers, the ECB will be the main area of focus on the day.

Later in the day, the ECB will deliver its 1st policy decision of the final quarter of the year. While the markets are expecting tapering to the asset purchasing program, there is some uncertainty over other policy measures.

There’s been plenty of hawkish chatter amidst persistent inflationary pressure. Economic uncertainty remains as a result of the Delta variant, however.

From the U.S, jobless claims will also influence, though the release coincides with Lagarde’s press conference.

The Futures

In the futures markets, at the time of writing, the Dow Mini was down by 12 points.

For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar.

Worries Over Economic Recovery Shake World Stocks, Wall Street

Accommodative central bank policies and optimism about reopening economies have pushed equities to record levels but concerns are growing about the impact of rising coronavirus infections due to the Delta variant.

Markets are also still assessing data from last week which showed the U.S. economy created the fewest jobs in seven months in August, and wondering how the U.S. central bank will respond.

The Fed should move forward with a plan to taper its massive asset purchase programme despite the slowdown in job growth, St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank President James Bullard said in an interview with the Financial Times on Wednesday.

“Everything is tapering, tapering, tapering. We are looking at every single central bank – when is the next one?” said Eddie Cheng, head of international multi-asset portfolio management at Wells Fargo Asset Management, though he added: “The Delta variant impact is still running like a wild card”.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 76.74 points, or 0.22 percent, to 35,023.26, the S&P 500 lost 7.8 points, or 0.17 percent, to 4,512.23 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 87.96 points, or 0.57 percent, to 15,286.37 by 2:17 p.m. EST (18:17 GMT).

MSCI’s world equity index fell 0.41% by after seven consecutive days of gains.

European stocks fell 1% and hit their lowest in nearly three weeks. Britain’s FTSE 100 struck two-week lows, down 0.75%.

“September is the month investors confront reality,” said Peter Tuz, president of Chase Investment Counsel in Charlottesville, Virginia, pointing to uncertainty over the Fed’s tapering plans and inflation fears as a reason investors are taking profits or reallocating funds.

The coronavirus Delta variant and concerns over the economic recovery were also weighing.

“What is likely ahead of us is a continued but temporary deceleration of economic activity of one to three months which likely started in August,” said Sebastien Galy, senior macro strategist at Nordea Asset Management.

Federal official Robert Kaplan was due to speak later on Wednesday.

In Europe, markets are focused on whether the European Central Bank will this week begin to scale back its bond purchase programme.

The dollar paired some gains after jumping to a one-week high against a basket of other major currencies. It also hit a one-week peak against the the single currency and was trading at $1.1826.

The dollar’s strength offset investors’ risk aversion to pressure bullion to a two-week low. Spot gold prices fell 0.1%.

Longer-dated U.S. government bond yields slipped on Wednesday coming off a two-day climb after labor market data and ahead of an auction by the Treasury in 10-year notes. Yields on 10-year Treasury notes fell to 1.3495%, retreating from this week’s eight-week highs.

Germany’s 10-year Bund yield also hit eight-week highs before edging lower to -0.32% .

“Fears that central banks might start to taper their asset purchases seems to have knocked away a little confidence, particularly given tomorrow’s ECB decision where many expect we’ll begin to see the start of that process, not least with inflation there running at its highest levels in almost a decade,” Deutsche Bank analysts said in a note.

MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan fell 0.77%, stemming an eight-session string of gains.

Chinese blue chips dropped 0.41%, weighed down by recent soft data in the world’s second-biggest economy.

But Japan’s Nikkei jumped 0.89% and hit a five-month high, helped by revised gross domestic product growth figures beating expectations.

Bitcoin continued its rout, down 1.1%.

Shares of Coinbase Global Inc dropped over 2% after the firm revealed it has received a legal notice from the top U.S. markets regulator.

U.S. crude oil jumped 1.39% to $69.32 a barrel and Brent crude rose 1.4% to $72.69 per barrel, with prices supported by a slow restart to production in the Gulf of Mexico after Hurricane Ida hit the region.

For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar.

(Additional reporting by Alun John in Hong Kong; Editing by Kenneth Maxwell & Shri Navaratnam, Editing by William Maclean and Nick Tattersall)

European Stocks Fall 1% on Growth Worries

The Europe-focussed STOXX 600 index fell 1% by 07:12 GMT – on course for its biggest daily decline in three weeks – after losses overnight on Wall Street’s benchmark S&P 500 and Asian stocks.

Swedish investment company EQT fell 5.9% after a share placing deal, while Stellantis dropped 2.5% after Dongfeng Motor Hong Kong said it had sold shares in the carmaker for about 600 million euros ($710 million).

French drugmaker Sanofi slipped 1.4% after it agreed to buy U.S. biopharmaceutical company Kadmon Holdings Inc in a $1.9 billion deal.

British industrial technology company Smiths Group rose 3.8% after it agreed to sell its medical unit to U.S.-based ICU Medical Inc for $2.4 billion.

For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar.

(Reporting by Sruthi Shankar in Bengaluru; Editing by Saumyadeb Chakrabarty)

 

European Equities: A Quiet Economic Calendar Leaves the Majors in the Hands of the U.S Markets

Economic Calendar

Wednesday, 8th September

French Non-Farm Payrolls (QoQ) (Q2)

Thursday, 9th September

German Trade Balance (Jul)

ECB Interest Rate Decision (Aug)

ECB Press Conference

Friday, 10th September

German CPI (MoM) (Aug) Final

The Majors

It was a bearish day for the European majors on Tuesday.

The DAX30 and the EuroStoxx600 fell by 0.56% and by 0.45% respectively, with the CAC40 ending the day down by 0.26%.

Economic data for the Eurozone failed to give the majors a boost, in spite of upbeat GDP numbers. Better than expected industrial production figures from Germany were also not enough as economic sentiment took an unexpected tumble.

From China, trade data had provided some support ahead of the European open.

In August, China’s trade surplus widened from US$56.56bn to US$58.35bn versus a forecasted narrowing to US$51.05bn. Exports were up 25.6%, year-on-year, with imports up 33.1%. In July, exports had been up by 19.3% and imports up by 28.1%. Both sets of figures came in ahead of forecasts.

The Stats

German industrial production and Eurozone 2nd quarter GDP numbers were in focus. ZEW Economic Sentiment figures for Germany and the Eurozone also influenced, however.

Industrial Production

In July, industrial production rose by 1.0%, reversing a 1.0% fall from June. Economists had forecast a 0.9% increase.

According to Destatis,

  • Production in industry excl. energy and construction was up 1.3%.
  • Within industry, the production of capital goods increased 3.2%, with the production of consumer goods up 0.9%.
  • By contrast, the production of intermediate goods fell by 0.5%.
  • Outside industry, energy production was down 3.2%, while production in construction increased 1.1%.

The Eurozone Economy

In the 2nd quarter, the Eurozone economy grew by 2.2%, quarter-on-quarter, which was up from 2nd estimate 2.0%. The economy had contracted by 0.3% in the previous quarter.

Year-on-year, the economy grew by 14.3%, which was up from a 2nd estimate 13.6%. In the 1st quarter, the economy had contracted by 1.3%.

Economic Sentiment

In August, the Germany’s ZEW Economic Sentiment Index slid from 40.4 to 26.5, with the Eurozone’s falling from 42.7 to 31.1. The numbers were enough to weigh on the majors as the continued spread of the Delta variant added further uncertainty.

From the U.S

There were no stats to influence the majors later in the session.

The Market Movers

For the DAX: It was a mixed day for the auto sector on Tuesday. Volkswagen slid by 1.11% to buck the trend on the day. BMW and Continental both rose by 0.68% respectively, with Daimler ending the day up by 0.41%.

It was a bullish day for the banks, however. Deutsche Bank and Commerzbank saw gains of 0.74% and 3.44% respectively.

From the CAC, it was a relatively bullish day for the banks. BNP Paribas and Credit Agricole rose by 0.39% and by 0.21% respectively, with Soc Gen ending the day up by 0.62%.

It was a bearish day for the French auto sector, however. Stellantis NV slid by 2.46%, with Renault down by 1.39%.

Air France-KLM slipped by 0.28%, with Airbus SE falling by 1.54%.

On the VIX Index

After having ended the day flat on Friday, the VIX rose by 10.54% on Tuesday to end the day at 18.14. The U.S markets were closed on Monday.

On Tuesday, the NASDAQ rose by 0.07%, while the Dow and S&P500 fell by 0.76% and by 0.34% respectively.

VIX 080921 Daily Chart

The Day Ahead

It’s a quieter day ahead on the Eurozone’s economic calendar.

French nonfarm payrolls are due out ahead of the European open. We don’t expect too much influence from the numbers, however.

With stats on the lighter side, expect the majors to take their cues from the U.S markets ahead of tomorrow’s ECB policy decision.

From the U.S, it’s another quiet day ahead on the economic calendar. JOLT’s job openings, due out late in the session, will draw some interest, however.

The Futures

In the futures markets, at the time of writing, the Dow Mini was down by 2 points.

For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar.

Tuesday is a Correction Day!

So far Tuesday looks like a correction day pretty much everywhere; on indices, currencies and commodities.

The SP500 dropped to test the lower line of the triangle pattern.

The DAX is staying strong above major supports.

Gold dropped removing all the post NFP gains.

The GBPUSD is in an important battle on the neckline of the Head and Shoulders formation. A breakout could be lethal.

The USDCAD is climbing up to test a crucial mid-term horizontal resistance.

The AUDCAD is also in correction mode but still above the absolutely crucial support on the 38,2% Fibonacci.

The EURNZD has managed to climb back above the horizontal resistance but is still below the lower line of the flag.

For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar.

European Shares Hover Below Record High, Telecom Stocks Jump

The pan-European STOXX 600 index slipped 0.1% by 07:19 GMT, after coming just a point below its record high in the previous session.

Media and utilities fell the most among sectors, while telecoms gained 0.8%.

Deutsche Telekom rose 2.5% after it struck a share-swap deal with Softbank Group to increase its stake in U.S. unit T-Mobile and sold its Dutch unit.

Shares in Sweden’s Tele2 rose 1%, while KPN gained almost 4%.

Germany’s Allianz slipped 0.5% after Reuters reported that regulators have launched an investigation into the company after the demise of some of its U.S. investment funds last year.

For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar.

(Reporting by Sruthi Shankar in Bengaluru; Editing by Shounak Dasgupta)