Best ETFs to Buy Now for June 2022

Investors continue to weather the market storms as volatility has become the norm. Selling is rampant, frightening investors with the uncertainty. Naturally, they’re seeking safety.

But money is flowing into certain sectors, which I’ll show you in a bit. First, let’s talk about Big Money – what it is, how it moves markets, and what it’s been doing lately.

Markets and Big Money in the Last 6 Months

My research firm, MAPsignals, measures Big Money investor activity. That includes institutions, pension funds, big individual investors, and so on. Our research shows Big Money moves markets. And right now, Big Money has been selling stocks and ETFs, driving markets downward:

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That’s making major indices dip along with the Big Money Index (BMI), which is a 25-day moving average of large-scale investor buy and sell activity. It’s nosedived recently and could be headed for more of the same:

In the face of uncertainty, investors seek safety. It’s coming in certain sectors, like energy, staples, utilities, and other traditionally defensive areas. Given these conditions, we’ve identified some ETFs we think have great long-term potential: IYE, FCG, FTXG, FXU, and XLP.

Long-term investors should look for ETFs (and their stocks), with great setups. Remember, ETFs are just baskets of stocks, so we need to look at them in detail. MAPsignals specializes in scoring more than 6,500 stocks daily. If I know which stocks compose the ETFs, I can apply stock scores to the ETFs. Then I can rank them all from strongest to weakest.

Let’s get to the five best ETF opportunities for June 2022.

iShares U.S. Energy ETF (IYE) Analysis

The current geopolitical situation has brought oil and gas back to the forefront while driving up prices for energy. As you can see, Big Money has been buying IYE in chunks over the past year, with heavy buying starting in October 2021 and really ramping up this year:

IYE holds several big stocks. One example is Occidental Petroleum Corp. (OXY), which has 1-year sales growth of 51.5% and a profit margin of 10.7%. Investing legend Warren Buffett recently announced a big stake in OXY too. Here is the one-year Big Money action for OXY:

First Trust Natural Gas ETF (FCG) Analysis

Natural gas is seen by some as a bridge energy source between fossil fuels and cleaner sources like wind, partly because of its ample supply. As global energy markets continue to shift, natural gas is becoming more popular. Big Money has been buying too, which always helps:

One great stock FCG holds is Coterra Energy Inc. (CTRA). This independent oil and gas company has seen big three-year sales growth of 41.5% and sports a profit margin of 31.6%. Earnings have been strong too, growing 106% over three years. The Big Money is jumping in on CTRA:

First Trust NASDAQ Food & Beverage ETF (FTXG) Analysis

We can always count on food demand, right? It’s biological. Well, in all seriousness, global demand for food as well as the products and services used to create it is strong and made stronger by geopolitical issues. That’s reflected in FTXG. While there have been some dips, the trend on this one points up:

A fantastic stock within FTXG is Archer-Daniels-Midland Company (ADM), the food processor and producer of agricultural commodities. It’s rocketed since the new year, which isn’t surprising given its growing sales (one-year sales growth of 32.4%) and three-year EPS growth of 19.1%. ADM has been drawing in lots of Big Money:

First Trust Utilities AlphaDEX Fund (FXU) Analysis

When investors seek safety, that often means utilities that pay dividends. As always with ETFs, fundamental strength within underlying assets is a high priority. We see that with FXU, which has peaks and valleys along the way, but an overall positive trajectory:

One rock-solid dividend stock within this ETF is NRG Energy, Inc. (NRG), an energy producer, seller, and distributor. Big Money has been all over it recently, with nine buy signals in the last month alone. NRG grew sales in one year by 200% and EPS by 314% over three years. It pays a nearly 3.1% current dividend and has jumped in price significantly since a year ago:

Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLP) Analysis

It’s rare to get excited about consumer staples, but it’s justified right now. XLP holds huge household names and has seen Big Money lifting its price recently. It’s clear that in the past year, buying at the low points has worked out:

One great stock in XLP is Costco Wholesale Corporation (COST), the bulk warehouse retailer. COST is fundamentally strong – it has one-year sales growth of 17.5% and a three-year EPS growth rate of 16.7%. But it’s down 24% this year so far. However, it wouldn’t surprise me to see this one rise again (it’s had 48 Top 20 Big Money buy signals since 1991):

Here’s a Big Money recap:

  • When Big Money buying heats up, stocks and ETFs tend to rise
  • Deep selling on great quality can be a phenomenal opportunity
  • Repeated buying usually means outsized gains

Bottom Line and Explanatory Video

 

IYE, FCG, FTXG, FXU, and XLP are my top ETFs for June 2022. They cover mostly defensive sectors where money is flowing in as investors seek shelter. These picks can rise higher, in my opinion, largely because they each hold great stocks. With markets rocky, safety is at a premium, and these ETFs are proving to be havens right now.

To learn more about MAPsignals’ Big Money process please visit: www.mapsignals.com

Disclosure: the author holds no positions in IYE, FCG, FTXG, FXU, XLP, OXY, CTRA, ADM, or NRG in at the time of publication, but holds long positions in COST in managed accounts.

Contact:

https://mapsignals.com/contact/

Financial Sector May Rally 11% – 15% Higher Before End Of January 2022

The US Federal Reserve is keeping interest rates low. At the same time, the US consumer continues to drive home purchases and holiday shopping. Strong economic data should drive Q4 results for the financial sector close to levels we saw in Q3:2021. If that happens, we may see a robust rally in the US Financial sector over the next 45 to 60+ days.

The strength of the recent rally in the US major indexes shows just how powerful the bullish trend bias is right now. Some traders focus on the downside risks associated with the US Federal Reserve actions and/or the concerns related to inflation and global markets. I, however, continue to focus on the strength in the US major indexes and various sector trends that show real opportunities for profits.

Comparing Sector Strength

The following two US market sector charts highlight the performance over the last 12 vs. 24 months. I want readers to pay attention to how flat the Financial Sector has stayed since just before the 2020 COVID event and how the Financial Sector has started to trend higher over the past 12 months. This is because the shock of COVID briefly disrupted consumer activity. Yet, consumers are coming back strong, driving retail sales, home sales, and the continued strong US economic data. Therefore, it makes sense that the Financial sector should continue to show firm revenue and earnings growth while the US consumer is active and spending.

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Over the past two years, Discretionary, Technology, and Materials drove market growth compared to other sectors. Remember, the initial COVID virus event disrupted market sector trends over the last 24+ months.

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(Source: StockChart.com)

Taking a look at this 1 Year US Market Sector chart shows how various sectors have rebounded and how the Discretionary and Materials sectors have flattened/weakened.

Pay attention to how the Energy and Real Estate sectors have been over the past 12 months. Also, pay attention to how the Financial sector is strengthening.

I believe that the continued deflation/deleveraging that is taking place throughout most of the world will continue to drive global central banks to stay relatively neutral regarding rising interest rates. This will likely prompt an easy money policy throughout most of 2022 and drive continued revenues/earnings for sectors associated with consumers’ engagement with the economy.

If inflation weakens into 2022 while wage and jobs data stays strong, we may see more moderate strength in the Financial, Healthcare, Discretionary, and Technology sectors over the next 6 to 12+ months.

Read more about Global Deleveraging Here: Delivering Covid Bubble Possible Volatility Risks In Foreign Markets

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(Source: StockChart.com)

Financials May Pop 11% Or More Over The Next 6+ Months

This Weekly IYG, IShares US Financial Service ETF, highlights the recent sideways price trend in the Financial sector and the potential for a 9% to 13% rally that may take place as the markets shift into focus for the Q4:2021 earnings. Yes, inflation is still a concern, but as long as the US consumer continues spending and engaging in the economy, the Financial Services and US Banks should show strong returns.

If the US markets rally into the end of 2021, possibly reaching new all-time highs again, this trend may carry well into 2022 and drive Q4:2021 and Q1:2022 revenues and earnings for the Financial sector even higher.

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This Weekly XLF chart shows a very similar setup to IYG. I firmly believe the recent fear in the markets related to the US Federal Reserve, the new COVID variants, and the global markets deleveraging process is missing one critical component – the strength of the US markets and the strength of the US Dollar.

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As the rest of the world struggles to find support and economic strength, the US markets continue to rebound on the strength of the US consumer, the recovering economy, and the growth of these sectors. As long as the US Federal Reserve does not disrupt this trend, I believe Q1:2022 could be much more robust than many people consider. I also think the deflation/deleveraging process will work to take the pressures away from recent inflation trends.

What could this mean for 2022?

Early 2022 may well work as a “rebalancing” process for the global markets – possibly taking the pressures away from the strength in energy, commodities, and staple products/materials. This means pricing pressures will decrease while consumers are still earning and spending. The Financial sector should benefit from these trends over the next 6+ months.

Watch for the Financials to start to increase throughout the end of 2021 and into early 2022. There are many ways to consider trading this move, but ideally, I think the rally will take place before the end of February 2022.

Q1 is usually relatively strong, so that this trend may last well into April/May 2022. It all depends on what happens that could disrupt the current market sector trends. If nothing happens to disrupt the strength of the US Dollar and the strength of the US markets, then I believe the Financial Sector has a very strong opportunity for at least 10% to 11% growth.

Want to learn more about the potential for a financial sector rally?

Learn how I use specific tools to help me understand price cycles, set-ups, and price target levels. Over the next 12 to 24+ months, I expect very large price swings in the US stock market and other asset classes across the globe. I believe the markets are starting to transition away from the continued central bank support rally phase and may start a revaluation phase as global traders attempt to identify the next big trends. Precious Metals will likely start to act as a proper hedge as caution and concern start to drive traders/investors into Metals.

If you need technically proven trading and investing strategies using ETFs to profit during market rallies and to avoid/profit from market declines, be sure to join me at TEP – Total ETF Portfolio.

Have a great day!

Chris Vermeulen
Chief Market Strategist

 

iShares U.S. Energy ETF Continues its Impressive Performance, Up by 59% YTD

iShares U.S. Energy ETF (IYE) is one of the best performing funds in the energy sector and could record further gains before the end of the year.

IYE Up by 59% YTD

The iShares U.S. Energy ETF (IYE) is a passively managed exchange-traded fund that offers retail and institutional investors broad exposure to the Energy – Broad segment of the equity market. IYE is sponsored by BlackRock and currently has more than $2.46 billion in assets under management, making it one of the biggest ETFs seeking to match the performance of the Energy – Broad segment of the stock market.

The ETF is designed to align with the performance of the Dow Jones U.S. Oil & Gas Index before fees and expenses. The Dow Jones U.S. Oil & Gas Index is crucial as it measures the performance of the energy sector of the United States stock market.

For IYE, the annual operation expenses currently stand at 0.41%, making it one of the cheapest funds in the space. The fund also has a 12-month trailing dividend yield of 2.63%. IYE has the heaviest allocation in the energy industry, approximately 98.60% of its portfolio.

Since the start of the year, the iShares U.S. Energy ETF has recorded a 59% increase in value. Over the past 12 months, IYE’s value is up by 105.28%, making it one of the best performing funds in the energy sector. The fund has traded between $15.53 and $32.06 over the past 52-weeks.

IYE
IYE ETF chart. Source: FXEMPIRE

IYE Could Top $35 Soon

IYE has been very consistent with its performance over the past 12 months. In the past three months, the fund’s value has increased by more than 21%. If the ETF maintains this current level of performance, then it could surpass the $35 level over the coming weeks and months.

At the time of writing, IYE is up by 0.11% and trading at $31.50 per share. The fund currently has a beta of 1.69 and a standard deviation of 40.48% for the past three years, making it a high-risk fund in the energy sector. Despite that, the fund has a more concentrated exposure than peers.