Gold Forecast – Expect A Bottom Next Week

In August, we laid the foundation for a Major Buying Opportunity Arriving in September. The final collapse below $1900 is now underway, and precious metals could bottom next week. We see tremendous potential in silver and platinum going into 2021 (see articles below). Energy is also becoming attractive.

Will Platinum be the Next to Breakout?

Silver Forecast – Major Buy Signal

Gold Price Target

Gold is dropping into an intermediate low precisely on schedule. Our work supports a bottom next week – possibly on or surrounding the October 2nd employment report. The final breakdown phase usually lasts 5 to 8 trading days.

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Why Follow Cycles

I started studying various cycles in financial assets about 10-years ago. Oblivious to them before, I recognized their importance. If you know where you are in a cycle – everything gets a lot easier.

Gold has two dominant cycles: The 8-year cycle and the intermediate 6-month cycle.

  • The 8-year cycle represents major turning points for gold, often marking multi-year bottoms (2000, 2008, 2016, 2024, etc.)
  • The intermediate cycle bottoms roughly every 6-months and offers multiple trading and investing opportunities. The previous low arrived in March.

Below is a snippet of an 8-year low (blue arrow) and multiple 6-month lows (green arrows). As you can see, cycles offer attractive buying opportunities.

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Gold Cycle Indicator

Armed with the knowledge of cycles and well-adept in technical analysis, I decided to create the gold cycle indicator. It simplifies investing. When it drops below 100 and enters cycle bottoming, the 6-month cycle is bottoming. Does it catch every low perfectly? No. But it gets most of them.

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Final Note: Initial support arrives around $1808, with an ideal C-wave target of $1765.

AG Thorson is a registered CMT and expert in technical analysis. He believes we are in the final stages of a global debt super-cycle. For more information visit here.

For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar.

Daily Gold News: Short-Term Consolidation Following Recent Declines

The gold futures contract gained 0.45% on Thursday, as it fluctuated following the decline after breaking below the price level of $1,900. The market reached the lowest since late July. Gold keeps retracing its rally from around $1,800 to August 7 record high of $2,089.20 in reaction to U.S. dollar rally, among other factors. Gold also broke below its mid-August local low, as we can see on the daily chart (the chart includes today’s intraday data):

Gold is 0.5% lower this morning, as it is trading within yesterday’s daily trading range. What about the other precious metals? Silver gained 0.39% on Thursday and today it is 2.0% lower. Platinum lost 0.59% and today it is 1.1% lower. Palladium lost 1.39% yesterday and today it’s 2.0% lower. So precious metals are extending their downtrend this morning.

Yesterday’s Unemployment Claims release has been slightly worse than expected at 870,000 and the New Home Sales number has been better than expected at 1,011 million. The main stock market indexes went sideways following the recent decline.

Today we will get the Durable Goods Orders release at 8:30 a.m.

Below you will find our Gold, Silver, and Mining Stocks economic news schedule for today:

Friday, September 25

  • 8:30 a.m. U.S. – Durable Goods Orders m/m, Core Durable Goods Orders m/m
  • 3:10 p.m. U.S. – FOMC Member Williams Speech

Thank you for reading today’s free analysis. We hope you enjoyed it. If so, we would like to invite you to sign up for our free gold newsletter. Once you sign up, you’ll also get 7-day no-obligation trial of all our premium gold services, including our Gold & Silver Trading Alerts. Sign up today!

For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar.

Paul Rejczak
Stock Selection Strategist
Sunshine Profits: Analysis. Care. Profits.

* * * * *

Disclaimer

All essays, research and information found above represent analyses and opinions of Paul Rejczak and Sunshine Profits’ associates only. As such, it may prove wrong and be a subject to change without notice. Opinions and analyses were based on data available to authors of respective essays at the time of writing. Although the information provided above is based on careful research and sources that are believed to be accurate, Paul Rejczak and his associates do not guarantee the accuracy or thoroughness of the data or information reported. The opinions published above are neither an offer nor a recommendation to purchase or sell any securities. Mr. Rejczak is not a Registered Securities Advisor. By reading Paul Rejczak’s reports you fully agree that he will not be held responsible or liable for any decisions you make regarding any information provided in these reports. Investing, trading and speculation in any financial markets may involve high risk of loss. Paul Rejczak, Sunshine Profits’ employees and affiliates as well as members of their families may have a short or long position in any securities, including those mentioned in any of the reports or essays, and may make additional purchases and/or sales of those securities without notice.

Platinum Price Forecast – Will Platinum be the Next to Breakout

The global health crisis triggered unprecedented stimulus and debt expansion. Platinum is sensitive to inflation (like silver) and should respond bullishly. Longer-term, I think platinum could double the price of gold due to supply constraints.

PLATINUM LONG-TERM

A breakout above $1050 is needed to confirm a new bull market. With all the money printing, we see it as only a matter of time.

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PLATINUM NEAR-TERM TARGET

We see platinum finding support between $700 – $800. A breakout above $1050 in 2021 could signal an advance to $1750+.

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Click here for my article – Gold Forecast: Prices Collapsing to Cycle Target as Predicted

AG Thorson is a registered CMT and expert in technical analysis. He believes we are in the final stages of a global debt super-cycle. For more information visit here.

Daily Gold News: Gold Breaking Lower, as Correction Deepens

The gold futures contract lost 2.05% on Wednesday, as it extended its short-term downtrend following breaking below the price level of $1,900. The market is the lowest since late July. Gold keeps retracing its rally from around $1,800 to August 7 record high of $2,089.20 in reaction to U.S. dollar rally, among other factors. Gold also broke below its mid-August local low, as we can see on the daily chart:

Gold is 0.6% lower this morning, as it is trading along yesterday’s low. What about the other precious metals? Silver lost 5.78% on Wednesday and today it is 2.8% lower. Platinum lost 1.7% and today it is 0.2% lower. Palladium gained 1.29% yesterday and today it’s 0.5% lower. So precious metals are mixed this morning.

Yesterday’s Flash Manufacturing/ Services PMI releases have been overall better than expected. But markets continued going risk-off as stocks extended their short-term downtrend.

Today we will have a Testimony from the Fed Chair Powell at 10:00 a.m. and a speech from Treasury Secretary Mnuchin. We will also get the Unemployment Claims release at 8:30 a.m. and New Home Sales number at 10:00 a.m.

Below you will find our Gold, Silver, and Mining Stocks economic news schedule for the next two trading days:

Thursday, September 24

  • 8:30 a.m. U.S. – Unemployment Claims
  • 10:00 a.m. U.S. – Fed Chair Powell Testimony, Treasury Secretary Mnuchin Speech, New Home Sales
  • 2:00 p.m. U.S. – FOMC Member Williams Speech

Friday, September 25

  • 8:30 a.m. U.S. – Durable Goods Orders m/m, Core Durable Goods Orders m/m
  • 3:10 p.m. U.S. – FOMC Member Williams Speech

Thank you for reading today’s free analysis. We hope you enjoyed it. If so, we would like to invite you to sign up for our free gold newsletter. Once you sign up, you’ll also get 7-day no-obligation trial of all our premium gold services, including our Gold & Silver Trading Alerts. Sign up today!

For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar.

Paul Rejczak
Stock Selection Strategist
Sunshine Profits: Analysis. Care. Profits.

* * * * *

Disclaimer

All essays, research and information found above represent analyses and opinions of Paul Rejczak and Sunshine Profits’ associates only. As such, it may prove wrong and be a subject to change without notice. Opinions and analyses were based on data available to authors of respective essays at the time of writing. Although the information provided above is based on careful research and sources that are believed to be accurate, Paul Rejczak and his associates do not guarantee the accuracy or thoroughness of the data or information reported. The opinions published above are neither an offer nor a recommendation to purchase or sell any securities. Mr. Rejczak is not a Registered Securities Advisor. By reading Paul Rejczak’s reports you fully agree that he will not be held responsible or liable for any decisions you make regarding any information provided in these reports. Investing, trading and speculation in any financial markets may involve high risk of loss. Paul Rejczak, Sunshine Profits’ employees and affiliates as well as members of their families may have a short or long position in any securities, including those mentioned in any of the reports or essays, and may make additional purchases and/or sales of those securities without notice.

 

Daily Gold News: Wednesday, September 23 – Gold Below $1,900

The gold futures contract lost 0.16% on Tuesday, as it fluctuated following its Monday’s sell-off of 2.6%. The precious metals’ market followed an advance in U.S. dollar and stocks’ sell-off early in the week. Recently gold retraced most of the decline from September 1 local high of $2,001.20. On Wednesday it has reached new short-term local high of $1,983.80 before coming back lower. This week it got close to $1,900 price mark, as we can see on the daily chart:

Gold is 0.6% lower this morning, as it is trading along its short-term local lows. What about the other precious metals? Silver gained 0.56% on Tuesday following Monday’s big decline of over 10% and today it is 3.4% lower. Platinum lost 2.13% and today it is 0.1% higher. Palladium lost 2.28% yesterday and today it’s 1.1% higher. So precious metals are mixed this morning.

Yesterday’s Existing Home Sales release has been as expected and the Richmond Manufacturing Index has been better than expected.

Today there will be another Testimony from the Fed Chair Powell at 10:00 a.m. We will also get the important Flash Manufacturing/ Services PMI releases at 9:45 a.m. The earlier Eurozone’s PMI releases have been pretty much mixed. The Manufacturing PMI numbers from Germany and France have been better than expected but the Services PMI have been worse than expected.

Below you will find our Gold, Silver, and Mining Stocks economic news schedule for the next two trading days:

Wednesday, September 23

  • 3:15 a.m. Eurozone – French Flash Manufacturing PMI, French Flash Services PMI
  • 3:30 a.m. Eurozone – German Flash Manufacturing PMI, German Flash Services PMI
  • 9:00 a.m. U.S. – FOMC Member Mester Speech, HPI m/m
  • 9:45 a.m. U.S. – Flash Manufacturing PMI, Flash Services PMI
  • 10:00 a.m. U.S. – Fed Chair Powell Testimony
  • 2:00 p.m. U.S. – FOMC Member Quarles Speech

Thursday, September 24

  • 8:30 a.m. U.S. – Unemployment Claims
  • 10:00 a.m. U.S. – Fed Chair Powell Testimony, Treasury Secretary Mnuchin Speech, New Home Sales
  • 2:00 p.m. U.S. – FOMC Member Williams Speech

Thank you for reading today’s free analysis. We hope you enjoyed it. If so, we would like to invite you to sign up for our free gold newsletter. Once you sign up, you’ll also get 7-day no-obligation trial of all our premium gold services, including our Gold & Silver Trading Alerts. Sign up today!

For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar.

Paul Rejczak
Stock Selection Strategist
Sunshine Profits: Analysis. Care. Profits.

* * * * *

Disclaimer

All essays, research and information found above represent analyses and opinions of Paul Rejczak and Sunshine Profits’ associates only. As such, it may prove wrong and be a subject to change without notice. Opinions and analyses were based on data available to authors of respective essays at the time of writing. Although the information provided above is based on careful research and sources that are believed to be accurate, Paul Rejczak and his associates do not guarantee the accuracy or thoroughness of the data or information reported. The opinions published above are neither an offer nor a recommendation to purchase or sell any securities. Mr. Rejczak is not a Registered Securities Advisor. By reading Paul Rejczak’s reports you fully agree that he will not be held responsible or liable for any decisions you make regarding any information provided in these reports. Investing, trading and speculation in any financial markets may involve high risk of loss. Paul Rejczak, Sunshine Profits’ employees and affiliates as well as members of their families may have a short or long position in any securities, including those mentioned in any of the reports or essays, and may make additional purchases and/or sales of those securities without notice.

Daily Gold News: Short-term Consolidation Following Monday’s Sell-off

The gold futures contract lost 2.62% on Monday, as it broke below its recent trading range. The precious metals’ market followed an advance in U.S. dollar and stocks’ sell-off. Recently gold retraced most of the decline from September 1 local high of $2,001.20. On Wednesday it has reached new short-term local high of $1,983.80 before coming back lower. Yesterday it got close to $1,900 price mark, as we can see on the daily chart:

Gold is 0.3% lower this morning, as it is fluctuating along yesterday’s closing price. What about the other precious metals? Silver lost 10.11% on Monday and today it is 1.3% lower. Platinum lost 6.65% and today it is 0.8% higher. Palladium lost 4.16% yesterday and today it’s 0.9% higher. So precious metals are fluctuating following yesterday’s sell-off this morning.

Today there will be a Testimony from the Fed Chair Powell at 10:30 a.m. We will also get the Existing Home Sales and Richmond Manufacturing Index releases at 10:00 a.m.

Below you will find our Gold, Silver, and Mining Stocks economic news schedule for the next two trading days:

Tuesday, September 22

  • 10:00 a.m. U.S. – Existing Home Sales, Richmond Manufacturing Index
  • 10:00 a.m. Eurozone – Consumer Confidence
  • 10:30 a.m. U.S. – Fed Chair Powell Testimony

Wednesday, September 23

  • 3:15 a.m. Eurozone – French Flash Manufacturing PMI, French Flash Services PMI
  • 3:30 a.m. Eurozone – German Flash Manufacturing PMI, German Flash Services PMI
  • 9:00 a.m. U.S. – FOMC Member Mester Speech, HPI m/m
  • 9:45 a.m. U.S. – Flash Manufacturing PMI, Flash Services PMI
  • 10:00 a.m. U.S. – Fed Chair Powell Testimony
  • 2:00 p.m. U.S. – FOMC Member Quarles Speech

Thank you for reading today’s free analysis. We hope you enjoyed it. If so, we would like to invite you to sign up for our free gold newsletter. Once you sign up, you’ll also get 7-day no-obligation trial of all our premium gold services, including our Gold & Silver Trading Alerts. Sign up today!

For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar.

Paul Rejczak
Stock Selection Strategist
Sunshine Profits: Analysis. Care. Profits.

* * * * *

Disclaimer

All essays, research and information found above represent analyses and opinions of Paul Rejczak and Sunshine Profits’ associates only. As such, it may prove wrong and be a subject to change without notice. Opinions and analyses were based on data available to authors of respective essays at the time of writing. Although the information provided above is based on careful research and sources that are believed to be accurate, Paul Rejczak and his associates do not guarantee the accuracy or thoroughness of the data or information reported. The opinions published above are neither an offer nor a recommendation to purchase or sell any securities. Mr. Rejczak is not a Registered Securities Advisor. By reading Paul Rejczak’s reports you fully agree that he will not be held responsible or liable for any decisions you make regarding any information provided in these reports. Investing, trading and speculation in any financial markets may involve high risk of loss. Paul Rejczak, Sunshine Profits’ employees and affiliates as well as members of their families may have a short or long position in any securities, including those mentioned in any of the reports or essays, and may make additional purchases and/or sales of those securities without notice.

 

Daily Gold News: Gold Going Lower as US Dollar Gains

The gold futures contract gained 0.63% on Friday, as it continued to fluctuate within a short-term consolidation. Recently gold retraced most of the decline from September 1 local high of $2,001.20. On Wednesday it has reached new short-term local high of $1,983.80 before coming back lower. Gold is still trading within a consolidation along $1,950-2,000, as we can see on the daily chart:

Gold is 0.8% lower this morning, as it is retracing Friday’s advance following U.S. dollar advance. What about the other precious metals? Silver gained 0.1% on Friday and today it is 1.4% lower. Platinum gained 0.82% and today it is 1.3% lower. Palladium gained 1.95% on Friday and today it’s 1.9% lower. So precious metals are going down this morning.

Friday’s Consumer Sentiment release has been slightly better than expected. However, the markets went risk off and stocks reached new short-term lows.

Today we will get a speech from the Fed Chair Powell at 10:00 a.m. There will also be speeches from the FOMC Members later in the day. The markets will be also waiting for Tuesday’s-Wednesday’s Powell’s Testimony. Take a look at our economic news schedule below to find out more.

Where would the price of gold go following Wedneday’s Fed news release? We’ve compiled the data since January of 2017, a 43-month-long period of time that contains of thirty FOMC releases.

The following chart shows average gold price path before and after the FOMC. The market was usually declining ahead of the FOMC day. Then it was going up for a week-long period. We can see that on average, gold price was 0.8% higher 10 days after the FOMC Statement announcement.

Below you will find our Gold, Silver, and Mining Stocks economic news schedule for the next two trading days:

Monday, September 21

  • 10:00 a.m. U.S. – Fed Chair Powell Speech
  • 12:00 p.m. U.S. – FOMC Member Brainard Speech
  • 6:00 p.m. U.S. – FOMC Member Williams Speech
  • All Day, Japan – Bank Holiday

Tuesday, September 22

  • 10:00 a.m. U.S. – Existing Home Sales, Richmond Manufacturing Index
  • 10:00 a.m. Eurozone – Consumer Confidence
  • 10:30 a.m. U.S. – Fed Chair Powell Testimony

Thank you for reading today’s free analysis. We hope you enjoyed it. If so, we would like to invite you to sign up for our free gold newsletter. Once you sign up, you’ll also get 7-day no-obligation trial of all our premium gold services, including our Gold & Silver Trading Alerts. Sign up today!

For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar.

Paul Rejczak
Stock Selection Strategist
Sunshine Profits: Analysis. Care. Profits.

* * * * *

Disclaimer

All essays, research and information found above represent analyses and opinions of Paul Rejczak and Sunshine Profits’ associates only. As such, it may prove wrong and be a subject to change without notice. Opinions and analyses were based on data available to authors of respective essays at the time of writing. Although the information provided above is based on careful research and sources that are believed to be accurate, Paul Rejczak and his associates do not guarantee the accuracy or thoroughness of the data or information reported. The opinions published above are neither an offer nor a recommendation to purchase or sell any securities. Mr. Rejczak is not a Registered Securities Advisor. By reading Paul Rejczak’s reports you fully agree that he will not be held responsible or liable for any decisions you make regarding any information provided in these reports. Investing, trading and speculation in any financial markets may involve high risk of loss. Paul Rejczak, Sunshine Profits’ employees and affiliates as well as members of their families may have a short or long position in any securities, including those mentioned in any of the reports or essays, and may make additional purchases and/or sales of those securities without notice.

Daily Gold News: Precious Metals Fluctuate After Yesterday’s Declines

The gold futures contract lost 1.05% on Thursday, as it retraced its recent advances. The market has reacted to Wednesday’s FOMC Statement release. Recently gold retraced most of the decline from September 1 local high of $2,001.20. On Wednesday it has reached new short-term local high of $1,983.80 before coming back lower. Gold is still trading within a consolidation along $1,950-2,000, as we can see on the daily chart:

Gold is 0.4% higher this morning, as it continues to trade within a consolidation. What about the other precious metals? Silver lost 1.37% on Thursday and today it is unchanged. Platinum lost 4.38% and today it is 0.6% higher. Palladium lost 3.40% yesterday and today it’s 0.4% lower. So precious metals are fluctuating following their yesterday’s sell-off this morning.

Yesterday’s Unemployment Claims release has been slightly worse than expected at 860,000. The Philly Fed Manufacturing Index, Building Permits and Housing Starts releases have also been slightly worse than expected. Today we will get the Consumer Sentiment number at 10:00 a.m.

Where would the price of gold go following Wedneday’s Fed news release? We’ve compiled the data since January of 2017, a 43-month-long period of time that contains of thirty FOMC releases.

The following chart shows average gold price path before and after the FOMC. The market was usually declining ahead of the FOMC day. Then it was going up for a week-long period. We can see that on average, gold price was 0.8% higher 10 days after the FOMC Statement announcement.

Below you will find our Gold, Silver, and Mining Stocks economic news schedule for today:

Friday, September 18

  • 8:30 a.m. U.S. – Current Account
  • 10:00 a.m. U.S. – Preliminary UoM Consumer Sentiment, CB Leading Index m/m

Thank you for reading today’s free analysis. We hope you enjoyed it. If so, we would like to invite you to sign up for our free gold newsletter. Once you sign up, you’ll also get 7-day no-obligation trial of all our premium gold services, including our Gold & Silver Trading Alerts. Sign up today!

For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar.

Paul Rejczak
Stock Selection Strategist
Sunshine Profits: Analysis. Care. Profits.

* * * * *

Disclaimer

All essays, research and information found above represent analyses and opinions of Paul Rejczak and Sunshine Profits’ associates only. As such, it may prove wrong and be a subject to change without notice. Opinions and analyses were based on data available to authors of respective essays at the time of writing. Although the information provided above is based on careful research and sources that are believed to be accurate, Paul Rejczak and his associates do not guarantee the accuracy or thoroughness of the data or information reported. The opinions published above are neither an offer nor a recommendation to purchase or sell any securities. Mr. Rejczak is not a Registered Securities Advisor. By reading Paul Rejczak’s reports you fully agree that he will not be held responsible or liable for any decisions you make regarding any information provided in these reports. Investing, trading and speculation in any financial markets may involve high risk of loss. Paul Rejczak, Sunshine Profits’ employees and affiliates as well as members of their families may have a short or long position in any securities, including those mentioned in any of the reports or essays, and may make additional purchases and/or sales of those securities without notice.

 

Daily Gold News – Gold Lower Following FOMC Release, Still Within a Consolidation

The gold futures contract gained 0.22% on Wednesday, as it slightly extended its small Tuesday’s advance of 0.13%. The market remained relatively calm despite the FOMC Statement release. Recently gold retraced most of the decline from September 1 local high of $2,001.20. Yesterday it has reached new short-term local high of $1,983.80 before coming back closer to the opening price. Gold is still trading within a consolidation along $1,950-2,000, as we can see on the daily chart:

Gold is 0.8% lower this morning, as it is trading along yesterday’s daily low. What about the other precious metals? Silver gained 0.04% on Wednesday and today it is 1.3% lower. Platinum lost 0.89% and today it is 2.4% lower. Palladium gained 0.13% yesterday and today it’s 0.4% lower. So precious metals are generally lower this morning.

Yesterday’s Retail Sales release has been worse than expected. And today we will get the Unemployment Claims along with the Philly Fed Manufacturing Index, Building Permits and Housing Starts releases at 8:30 a.m.

Where would the price of gold go following yesterday’s Fed news release? We’ve compiled the data since January of 2017, a 43-month-long period of time that contains of thirty FOMC releases. The first chart shows price paths 5 days before and 10 days after the FOMC release. We can see that the biggest 10-day advance after the NFP day was +10.5% after March 15, 2020 release and the biggest decline was -7.2% after March 3, 2020 release. However, we’ve had an increased volatility following coronavirus fear then.

The following chart shows average gold price path before and after the FOMC releases for the past 43 months and 30 releases. The market was usually declining ahead of the FOMC day. Then it was going up for a week-long period. We can see that on average, gold price was 0.8% higher 10 days after the FOMC Statement announcement.

Below you will find our Gold, Silver, and Mining Stocks economic news schedule for the next two trading days:

Thursday, September 17

  • 8:30 a.m. U.S. – Philly Fed Manufacturing Index, Unemployment Claims, Building Permits, Housing Starts

Friday, September 18

  • 8:30 a.m. U.S. – Current Account
  • 10:00 a.m. U.S. – Preliminary UoM Consumer Sentiment, CB Leading Index m/m

Thank you for reading today’s free analysis. We hope you enjoyed it. If so, we would like to invite you to sign up for our free gold newsletter. Once you sign up, you’ll also get 7-day no-obligation trial of all our premium gold services, including our Gold & Silver Trading Alerts. Sign up today!

For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar.

Paul Rejczak
Stock Selection Strategist
Sunshine Profits: Analysis. Care. Profits.

* * * * *

Disclaimer

All essays, research and information found above represent analyses and opinions of Paul Rejczak and Sunshine Profits’ associates only. As such, it may prove wrong and be a subject to change without notice. Opinions and analyses were based on data available to authors of respective essays at the time of writing. Although the information provided above is based on careful research and sources that are believed to be accurate, Paul Rejczak and his associates do not guarantee the accuracy or thoroughness of the data or information reported. The opinions published above are neither an offer nor a recommendation to purchase or sell any securities. Mr. Rejczak is not a Registered Securities Advisor. By reading Paul Rejczak’s reports you fully agree that he will not be held responsible or liable for any decisions you make regarding any information provided in these reports. Investing, trading and speculation in any financial markets may involve high risk of loss. Paul Rejczak, Sunshine Profits’ employees and affiliates as well as members of their families may have a short or long position in any securities, including those mentioned in any of the reports or essays, and may make additional purchases and/or sales of those securities without notice.

 

Gold too Passive, Risks Deeper Correction

What is our trading focus?

XAUUSD – Spot gold
XAGUSD – Spot silver
XPTUSD – Spot platinum
XAUXAG – Gold-Silver ratio
IGLN:xlon – iShares Physical Gold
ISLN:xlon – iShares Physical Silver
IPLT:xlon – iShares Physical Platinum


Gold as well as silver and platinum have seen renewed weakness following yesterday’s FOMC meeting. This after Fed chair Powell, as expected so close to the US elections, refrained from announcing new measures to stimulate and support an economic recovery which he described as still being highly uncertain. While the Fed has promised rock-bottom rates for longer than three years, the across market reaction with lower stocks and a stronger dollar, have raised some concerns that the Fed’s tool box has started to look empty with the element of surprise no longer there.

Gold’s post-FOMC reaction has mirrored the developments seen in weaker stocks and a stronger dollar. It shows that precious metals for now instead of being a safe-haven asset, chase the alternating risk sentiment being reflected through these key markets.

While U.S. ten year real yields, a key driver for gold, continue to stabilized around -1%, the short-term market direction is likely to be dictated by stock and currency market developments. Especially a break in the Nasdaq below 11,000 and a stronger dollar against the euro below €1.17 could increase the risk of a deeper correction in gold than the one seen already down to $1900/oz.

The rising inflation theme that in recent months helped drive demand for gold and inflation protected bonds have started to fade somewhat in recent weeks. This after seeing forward inflation projections move lower after reaching a cycle high at the end of August. Countering this potential short term headwind for gold, it is our worry that the optimistic views on when a vaccine against Covid-19 will be become widely available are too optimistic. With the case count continuing to rise around the world, recently also in the U.S., the global economic recovery look set to slow over the coming months.

With these developments and the potential for a very ‘ugly’ U.S. elections period ahead, we maintain our bullish outlook for gold. In the short-term however the performance of U.S. mega-caps and the dollar hold the key to the direction. As a result we are likely to see the two month consolidation period being extended further.

Gold remains stuck in the $1900’s with local support at $1937/oz ahead of the key $1900/oz level. Three previous lower highs point to fading upside momentum with the market in need of a break above $1200/oz to neutralise it.

Source: Saxo Group
Source: Saxo Group

Turning our attention to silver we have seen little in terms of fresh input to the market with most of the recent price action being dictated by mentioned outside markets. It is currently stuck in a $26/oz to $27.50/oz with no major changes seen in its relative value versus gold where the XAUXAG ratio has traded in a very tight range around 72 ounces of silver to one ounce of gold.

Source: Saxo Group

Platinum has rallied strongly since the World Platinum Investment Council last week changed its 2020 outlook from a supply surplus to a deficit. Having tried for a couple of days to break a key level against gold it also got hit by profit taking following yesterday’s FOMC meeting. Trading at a discount close to 1000 dollars to gold the metal has yet to challenge the recent highs which are $1005/oz and $1040/oz. For that to happen the XAUXPT ratio probably needs to break below 2, a key area of support where platinum’s further advance has been scuppered on several occasions since May (see small insert chart).

For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar.

Ole Hansen, Head of Commodity Strategy at Saxo Bank.

Start trading now

This article is provided by Saxo Capital Markets (Australia) Pty. Ltd, part of Saxo Bank Group through RSS feeds on FX Empire

Daily Gold New: Precious Metals Mostly Higher Ahead of the FOMC

The gold futures contract gained 0.13% on Tuesday, as it fluctuated following Monday’s advance. The market retraced most of the decline from September 1 local high of $2,001.20. Yesterday it has reached new short-term local high of $1,982.40 before coming back to the opening price. Gold is still trading within a consolidation along $1,950-2,000, as we can see on the daily chart:

Gold is 0.6% higher this morning, as it is trading along yesterday’s daily high. What about the other precious metals? Silver gained 0.40% on Tuesday and today it is 0.7% higher. Platinum gained 2.45% and today it is 0.2% higher. Palladium gained 3.88% yesterday and today it’s 0.7% lower. So precious metals are slightly higher ahead of today’s FOMC announcement.

Yesterday’s Empire State Manufacturing Index release has been better than expected and the Industrial Production number has been worse than expected at only +0.4%.

Today we will get the important FOMC Statement release. But we’ll also get the Retail Sales number at 8:30 a.m. and Business Inventories release at 10:00 a.m.

Where would the price of gold go following today’s Fed news release? We’ve compiled the data since January of 2017, a 43-month-long period of time that contains of thirty FOMC releases. The first chart shows price paths 5 days before and 10 days after the FOMC release. We can see that the biggest 10-day advance after the NFP day was +10.5% after March 15, 2020 release and the biggest decline was -7.2% after March 3, 2020 release. However, we’ve had an increased volatility following coronavirus fear then.

The following chart shows average gold price path before and after the FOMC releases for the past 43 months and 30 releases. The market was usually declining ahead of the FOMC day. Then it was going up for a week-long period. We can see that on average, gold price was 0.8% higher 10 days after the FOMC Statement announcement.

Below you will find our Gold, Silver, and Mining Stocks economic news schedule for the next two trading days:

Wednesday, September 16

  • 8:30 a.m. U.S. – Retail Sales m/m, Core Retail Sales m/m
  • 10:00 a.m. U.S. – Business Inventories m/m, NAHB Housing Market Index
  • 2:00 a.m. U.S. – FOMC Statement, FOMC Economic Projections, Federal Funds Rate
  • 2:30 p.m. U.S. – FOMC Press Conference
  • Tentative, Japan – Monetary Policy Statement, BOJ Policy Rate

Thursday, September 17

  • 8:30 a.m. U.S. – Philly Fed Manufacturing Index, Unemployment Claims, Building Permits, Housing Starts

Thank you for reading today’s free analysis. We hope you enjoyed it. If so, we would like to invite you to sign up for our free gold newsletter. Once you sign up, you’ll also get 7-day no-obligation trial of all our premium gold services, including our Gold & Silver Trading Alerts. Sign up today!

For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar.

Paul Rejczak
Stock Selection Strategist
Sunshine Profits: Analysis. Care. Profits.

* * * * *

Disclaimer

All essays, research and information found above represent analyses and opinions of Paul Rejczak and Sunshine Profits’ associates only. As such, it may prove wrong and be a subject to change without notice. Opinions and analyses were based on data available to authors of respective essays at the time of writing. Although the information provided above is based on careful research and sources that are believed to be accurate, Paul Rejczak and his associates do not guarantee the accuracy or thoroughness of the data or information reported. The opinions published above are neither an offer nor a recommendation to purchase or sell any securities. Mr. Rejczak is not a Registered Securities Advisor. By reading Paul Rejczak’s reports you fully agree that he will not be held responsible or liable for any decisions you make regarding any information provided in these reports. Investing, trading and speculation in any financial markets may involve high risk of loss. Paul Rejczak, Sunshine Profits’ employees and affiliates as well as members of their families may have a short or long position in any securities, including those mentioned in any of the reports or essays, and may make additional purchases and/or sales of those securities without notice.

 

Daily Gold News: Precious Metals Advancing Ahead of Tomorrow’s Fed Statement

The gold futures contract gained 0.81% on Monday, as it retraced its Friday’s decline. So gold is still trading within a consolidation along $1,950-2,000. The market retraced most of the decline from September 1 local high of $2,001.20 on Thursday, before going back below $1,950 recently. Gold price is trading within an over month-long consolidation, as we can see on the daily chart:

Gold is 0.7% higher this morning, as it is extending Monday’s advance. What about the other precious metals? Silver gained 1.85% on Monday and today it is 1.4% higher. Platinum gained 2.01% and today it is 1.1% higher. Palladium lost 0.27% on Monday and today it’s 1.5% higher. So precious metals are extending their yesterday’s advance this morning.

Yesterday we didn’t get any important economic data releases. Today there will be the Empire State Manufacturing Index release at 8:30 a.m. and then at 9:15 a.m. we will get the Industrial Production and Capacity Utilization Rate numbers. But markets will be waiting for Wednesday’s FOMC Statement release.

Let’s focus on tomorrow’s Fed announcement. Where would the price of gold go following the news release? We’ve compiled the data since January of 2017, a 43-month-long period of time that contains of thirty FOMC releases. The first chart shows price paths 5 days before and 10 days after the FOMC release. We can see that the biggest 10-day advance after the NFP day was +10.5% after March 15, 2020 release and the biggest decline was -7.2% after March 3, 2020 release. However, we’ve had an increased volatility following coronavirus fear then.

The following chart shows average gold price path before and after the FOMC releases for the past 43 months and 30 releases. The market was usually declining ahead of the FOMC day. Then it was going up for a week-long period. We can see that on average, gold price was 0.8% higher 10 days after the FOMC Statement announcement.

Below you will find our Gold, Silver, and Mining Stocks economic news schedule for the next two trading days:

Tuesday, September 15

  • 5:00 a.m. Eurozone – German ZEW Economic Sentiment
  • 8:30 a.m. U.S. – Empire State Manufacturing Index, Import Prices m/m
  • 9:15 a.m. U.S. – Industrial Production m/m, Capacity Utilization Rate

Wednesday, September 16

  • 8:30 a.m. U.S. – Retail Sales m/m, Core Retail Sales m/m
  • 10:00 a.m. U.S. – Business Inventories m/m, NAHB Housing Market Index
  • 2:00 a.m. U.S. – FOMC Statement, FOMC Economic Projections, Federal Funds Rate
  • 2:30 p.m. U.S. – FOMC Press Conference
  • Tentative, Japan – Monetary Policy Statement, BOJ Policy Rate

Thank you for reading today’s free analysis. We hope you enjoyed it. If so, we would like to invite you to sign up for our free gold newsletter. Once you sign up, you’ll also get 7-day no-obligation trial of all our premium gold services, including our Gold & Silver Trading Alerts. Sign up today!

For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar.

Paul Rejczak
Stock Selection Strategist
Sunshine Profits: Analysis. Care. Profits.

* * * * *

Disclaimer

All essays, research and information found above represent analyses and opinions of Paul Rejczak and Sunshine Profits’ associates only. As such, it may prove wrong and be a subject to change without notice. Opinions and analyses were based on data available to authors of respective essays at the time of writing. Although the information provided above is based on careful research and sources that are believed to be accurate, Paul Rejczak and his associates do not guarantee the accuracy or thoroughness of the data or information reported. The opinions published above are neither an offer nor a recommendation to purchase or sell any securities. Mr. Rejczak is not a Registered Securities Advisor. By reading Paul Rejczak’s reports you fully agree that he will not be held responsible or liable for any decisions you make regarding any information provided in these reports. Investing, trading and speculation in any financial markets may involve high risk of loss. Paul Rejczak, Sunshine Profits’ employees and affiliates as well as members of their families may have a short or long position in any securities, including those mentioned in any of the reports or essays, and may make additional purchases and/or sales of those securities without notice.

 

Gold’s Low Volatility, Markets Waiting for Wednesday’s Fed Talk

The gold futures contract lost 0.83% on Friday, as it continued to trade within a consolidation along $1,950-2,000. The market retraced most of the recent decline from September 1 local high of $2,001.20 on Thursday, before going back below $1,950. Gold price is trading within an over month-long consolidation, as we can see on the daily chart:

Gold is 0.2% higher this morning, as it is trading within its Friday’s range. What about the other precious metals? Silver lost 1.59% on Friday and today it is 0.4% higher. Platinum lost 0.15% and today it is 1.2% higher. Palladium was unchanged on Friday and today it’s 0.1% lower. So precious metals are mixed this morning.

Friday’s Consumer Price Index release has been slightly higher than expected. Today we won’t get any important economic data releases and the financial markets will be waiting for Wednesday’s FOMC Statement release.

Below you will find our Gold, Silver, and Mining Stocks economic news schedule for the next two trading days:

Monday, September 14

  • 10:00 p.m. China – Fixed Asset Investment ytd/y, Industrial Production y/y, Retail Sales y/y, Unemployment Rate

Tuesday, September 15

  • 5:00 a.m. Eurozone – German ZEW Economic Sentiment
  • 8:30 a.m. U.S. – Empire State Manufacturing Index, Import Prices m/m
  • 9:15 a.m. U.S. – Industrial Production m/m, Capacity Utilization Rate

Thank you for reading today’s free analysis. We hope you enjoyed it. If so, we would like to invite you to sign up for our free gold newsletter. Once you sign up, you’ll also get 7-day no-obligation trial of all our premium gold services, including our Gold & Silver Trading Alerts. Sign up today!

Paul Rejczak
Stock Selection Strategist
Sunshine Profits: Analysis. Care. Profits.

* * * * *

Disclaimer

All essays, research and information found above represent analyses and opinions of Paul Rejczak and Sunshine Profits’ associates only. As such, it may prove wrong and be a subject to change without notice. Opinions and analyses were based on data available to authors of respective essays at the time of writing. Although the information provided above is based on careful research and sources that are believed to be accurate, Paul Rejczak and his associates do not guarantee the accuracy or thoroughness of the data or information reported. The opinions published above are neither an offer nor a recommendation to purchase or sell any securities. Mr. Rejczak is not a Registered Securities Advisor. By reading Paul Rejczak’s reports you fully agree that he will not be held responsible or liable for any decisions you make regarding any information provided in these reports. Investing, trading and speculation in any financial markets may involve high risk of loss. Paul Rejczak, Sunshine Profits’ employees and affiliates as well as members of their families may have a short or long position in any securities, including those mentioned in any of the reports or essays, and may make additional purchases and/or sales of those securities without notice.

 

Platinum on Top as Gold Consolidates; Crude Remains Under Pressure

The Bloomberg Commodity Index, which tracks a basket of major commodities spread evenly across energy, metals and agriculture, traded lower for a second week. Risk appetite, as seen through the behavior among U.S. megacap stocks, has received a setback following the flurry of activity during July and August. This development, combined with a dollar that has stopped falling, rising coronavirus cases and concerns about the timing of a vaccine, have all played a part.

The hardest hit during the past week was the energy sector, which amid rising signs of wavering fuel demand, began seeing the price of oil and fuel adjusted lower to better reflect current fundamentals which are showing signs of weakening. The grains sector maintained strong momentum ahead of Friday’s U.S. Government report, which was expected to confirm a lower production due to adverse weather and lower ending stocks as a result of very strong demand from China.

Precious metals continued their consolidation within a relatively wide range, with gold and silver trading higher on the week. Signs of deteriorating relations between the U.S. and China, together with continued demand for inflation hedges as seen through the strong demand for gold via exchange-traded funds, helped to offset headwinds created by the general reduction in risk appetite.

At the top of the table this week we find platinum, which normally operates in gold’s shade. In their latest quarterly update the World Platinum Investment Council (WPIC) revised their 2020 outlook from a surplus to deficit. In it, they explain the changes caused by the pandemic which have reduced access to recycled material as well as supplies from South Africa, the world’s biggest producer – adding to heightened global risk which they, as well as Saxo Bank, expect will continue to drive investor demand for hard assets.

Platinum has, since the diesel scandal a few years ago, seen its spread to gold go from a premium to the current discount of more than 1000 dollars per ounce. While gold has reached a record high, platinum as well as silver (another semi industrious metal) remain well below their record highs. Platinum hit a $2300/oz peak in early 2008 before collapsing 68% during the Global Financial Crisis later that year.

From an investment perspective, platinum’s biggest challenge remains its lack of liquidity, being a much smaller market than gold. This is one of the likely reasons why it, despite an improved outlook, has seen a muted demand from asset managers who operate in sizes which platinum would struggle to manage.

The key area of resistance is currently between $1000/oz and $1040/oz where it has been rejected on several occasions during the past three years.

Source: Saxo Group

Agriculture

The grain sector has seen strong gains during the past five weeks with weather concerns, the weaker dollar and strong Chinese demand all having helped create a bullish backdrop. The combined long in Chicago traded corn, wheat and soybeans futures reached 214,000 lots during the week to September 1, some 325,000 lots above the five-year average seen for this period. This is interesting, because it is normally a time of year when funds tend to be net sellers given the lack of unknowns ahead of the arrival of the new harvest.

With these developments in mind, the market was looking ahead to Friday’s monthly update on production, yields and stocks from the U.S. Department of Agriculture. In the World Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE) – released after writing this – grain traders were looking for data to support the recent strong rally and elevated longs across the sector.

Source: Saxo Group

Crude oil remains under pressure from weaker fundamentals as the recovery in global energy demand continues to show signs of stalling. Many countries around the world, especially in Europe and Asia, are now in the midst of a second wave of coronavirus. As a result, the recovery in fuel demand has stalled with work-from-home and the lack of leisure and business travel – both signs that it will take longer than anticipated to get back to a pre-virus levels of energy demand.

During the period of sideways trading since June, data from the physical market had begun sending signals that the price and current fundamentals were moving out of sync. Among others, we have seen a rising contango with spot prices trading at a deepening discount to the next month(s) as storage tanks fill up in response to weak refinery margins, primarily due to an overhang of unwanted diesel and jet fuel. These developments have led to rising demand for tankers toward floating storage trades, while Saudi Arabia has reduced its official selling price for October as demand from key customers such as China begin to weaken.

What it took for the correction to occur was a deterioration in the overall risk appetite as seen through the correction in U.S. (tech) stocks and the dollar being bought. In Brent crude oil, the break of the uptrend from June was the technical trigger, which finally kicked off a move to bring price and fundamentals more in line.

We do not believe that we will see a new dramatic sell-off in crude oil, but have to accept that the coronavirus and doubts about the timing of a vaccine may continue to delay until next year the recovery back towards $50/b on Brent crude oil. The slowing recovery in demand will challenge the resolve of the OPEC+ group which in hindsight increased production before demand had recovered enough to absorb the additional barrels.

Fundamental oil market guidance will be provided by OPEC and the International Energy Agency when they publish their monthly oil market reports on September 14 and 15 respectively.

Brent has found support at its 100-day moving average at $39.50/b but with speculators only just having started to reduce bullish bets, the correction may take it down to towards $36.50/b before support can be established. The general level of risk appetite through stocks and the movement of the dollar will continue be a key source of inspiration for traders.

For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar.

Ole Hansen, Head of Commodity Strategy at Saxo Bank.

Start trading now

This article is provided by Saxo Capital Markets (Australia) Pty. Ltd, part of Saxo Bank Group through RSS feeds on FX Empire

Daily Gold News: Precious Metals Fluctuate Following Recent Gains

The gold futures contract gained 0.48% on Thursday, as it extended Wednesday’s advance of 0.6%. The market has retraced most of the recent decline from September 1 local high of $2,001.20. On Friday intraday volatility has been relatively low despite monthly jobs data release. And the stock market’s rout didn’t trigger any significant move in gold. Gold price is trading within a month-long consolidation, as we can see on the daily chart:

Gold is 0.1% lower this morning, as it is trading along yesterday’s closing price. What about the other precious metals? Silver gained 0.77% on Thursday and today it is 0.3% lower. Platinum gained 1.74% and today it is 0.4% higher. Palladium gained 0.55% on Thursday and today it’s 0.1% lower. So precious metals are slightly retracing their yesterday’s advances this morning.

Yesterday’s U.S. Producer Price Index release has been slightly higher than expected, and the Unemployment Claims have been at 884,000 vs. the expected number of 838,000. Today we will get the Consumer Price Index release at 8:30 a.m.

Below you will find our Gold, Silver, and Mining Stocks economic news schedule for today:

Friday, September 4

  • 4:00 a.m. Eurozone – German Buba President Weidmann Speech
  • 8:30 a.m. U.S. – CPI m/m, Core CPI m/m
  • 2:00 p.m. U.S. – Federal Budget Balance
  • All Day, Eurozone – Eurogroup Meetings

Thank you for reading today’s free analysis. We hope you enjoyed it. If so, we would like to invite you to sign up for our free gold newsletter. Once you sign up, you’ll also get 7-day no-obligation trial of all our premium gold services, including our Gold & Silver Trading Alerts. Sign up today!

For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar.

Paul Rejczak
Stock Selection Strategist
Sunshine Profits: Analysis. Care. Profits.

* * * * *

Disclaimer

All essays, research and information found above represent analyses and opinions of Paul Rejczak and Sunshine Profits’ associates only. As such, it may prove wrong and be a subject to change without notice. Opinions and analyses were based on data available to authors of respective essays at the time of writing. Although the information provided above is based on careful research and sources that are believed to be accurate, Paul Rejczak and his associates do not guarantee the accuracy or thoroughness of the data or information reported. The opinions published above are neither an offer nor a recommendation to purchase or sell any securities. Mr. Rejczak is not a Registered Securities Advisor. By reading Paul Rejczak’s reports you fully agree that he will not be held responsible or liable for any decisions you make regarding any information provided in these reports. Investing, trading and speculation in any financial markets may involve high risk of loss. Paul Rejczak, Sunshine Profits’ employees and affiliates as well as members of their families may have a short or long position in any securities, including those mentioned in any of the reports or essays, and may make additional purchases and/or sales of those securities without notice.

 

Daily Gold News: Precious Metals Mixed Ahead of ECB Release

The gold futures contract gained 0.60% on Wedsnesday, as it continued to fluctuate within a short-term consolidation following last week’s decline. The market bounced off $2,000 resistance level. On Friday the intraday volatility has been relatively low despite monthly jobs data release. And the stock market’s rout didn’t trigger any significant move in gold recently. Gold price is trading within a month-long consolidation, as we can see on the daily chart:

Gold is 0.1% higher this morning, as it is trading along yesterday’s closing price. What about the other precious metals? Silver gained 0.34% on Wednesday and today it is 0.5% higher. Platinum gained 1.60% and today it is 0.2% lower. Palladium gained 0.54% on Wednesday and today it’s 0.6% lower. So precious metals are mixed this morning.

Yesterday’s JOLTS Job Openings release has been better than expected at 6.62 million. Today we will get the ECB Monetary Policy Statement at 7:45 a.m. and the ECB Press Conference at 8:30 a.m. We will also get the U.S. Producer Price Index along with the Unemployment Claims releases at 8:30 a.m.

Below you will find our Gold, Silver, and Mining Stocks economic news schedule for the next two trading days:

Thursday, September 3

  • 7:45 a.m. Eurozone – Main Refinancing Rate, Monetary Policy Statement
  • 8:30 a.m. Eurozone – ECB Press Conference
  • 8:30 a.m. U.S. – PPI m/m, Core PPI m/m, Unemployment Claims
  • 10:00 a.m. U.S. – Final Wholesale Inventories m/m
  • 12:30 a.m. Canada – BOC Governor Macklem Speech
  • 1:00 p.m. Eurozone – ECB President Lagarde Speech

Friday, September 4

  • 4:00 a.m. Eurozone – German Buba President Weidmann Speech
  • 8:30 a.m. U.S. – CPI m/m, Core CPI m/m
  • 2:00 p.m. U.S. – Federal Budget Balance
  • All Day, Eurozone – Eurogroup Meetings

Thank you for reading today’s free analysis. We hope you enjoyed it. If so, we would like to invite you to sign up for our free gold newsletter. Once you sign up, you’ll also get 7-day no-obligation trial of all our premium gold services, including our Gold & Silver Trading Alerts. Sign up today!

For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar.

Paul Rejczak
Stock Selection Strategist
Sunshine Profits: Analysis. Care. Profits.

* * * * *

Disclaimer

All essays, research and information found above represent analyses and opinions of Paul Rejczak and Sunshine Profits’ associates only. As such, it may prove wrong and be a subject to change without notice. Opinions and analyses were based on data available to authors of respective essays at the time of writing. Although the information provided above is based on careful research and sources that are believed to be accurate, Paul Rejczak and his associates do not guarantee the accuracy or thoroughness of the data or information reported. The opinions published above are neither an offer nor a recommendation to purchase or sell any securities. Mr. Rejczak is not a Registered Securities Advisor. By reading Paul Rejczak’s reports you fully agree that he will not be held responsible or liable for any decisions you make regarding any information provided in these reports. Investing, trading and speculation in any financial markets may involve high risk of loss. Paul Rejczak, Sunshine Profits’ employees and affiliates as well as members of their families may have a short or long position in any securities, including those mentioned in any of the reports or essays, and may make additional purchases and/or sales of those securities without notice.

 

Daily Gold News: Wednesday, September 9 – Gold Still Sideways

The gold futures contract gained 0.46% on Tuesday, as it extended its short-term consolidation following last week’s Wednesday’s decline of over 1.7%. The market bounced off $2,000 resistance level. On Friday the intraday volatility has been relatively low despite monthly jobs data release. And the stock market’s rout didn’t trigger any significant move in gold recently. Gold price is trading within a month-long consolidation, as we can see on the daily chart:

Gold is 0.5% lower this morning, as it is trading within yesterday’s range. What about the other precious metals? Silver gained 1.04% on Tuesday and today it is 0.7% lower. Platinum gained 1.35% and today it is unchanged. Palladium lost 1.60% on Tuesday and today it’s 1.0% lower. So precious metals are lower this morning.

Today we will get the JOLTS Job Openings release at 10:00 a.m. At the same time, Bank of Canada’s monetary policy update will be released.

The market will wait for Thursday’s ECB Monetary Policy Statement along with the ECB Press Conference.

Below you will find our Gold, Silver, and Mining Stocks economic news schedule for the next two trading days:

Wednesday, September 2

  • 10:00 a.m. U.S. – JOLTS Job Openings
  • 10:00 a.m. Canada – BOC Rate Statement, Overnight Rate

Thursday, September 3

  • 7:45 a.m. Eurozone – Main Refinancing Rate, Monetary Policy Statement
  • 8:30 a.m. Eurozone – ECB Press Conference
  • 8:30 a.m. U.S. – PPI m/m, Core PPI m/m, Unemployment Claims
  • 10:00 a.m. U.S. – Final Wholesale Inventories m/m
  • 12:30 a.m. Canada – BOC Governor Macklem Speech
  • 1:00 p.m. Eurozone – ECB President Lagarde Speech

Thank you for reading today’s free analysis. We hope you enjoyed it. If so, we would like to invite you to sign up for our free gold newsletter. Once you sign up, you’ll also get 7-day no-obligation trial of all our premium gold services, including our Gold & Silver Trading Alerts. Sign up today!

For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar.

Paul Rejczak
Stock Selection Strategist
Sunshine Profits: Analysis. Care. Profits.

* * * * *

Disclaimer

All essays, research and information found above represent analyses and opinions of Paul Rejczak and Sunshine Profits’ associates only. As such, it may prove wrong and be a subject to change without notice. Opinions and analyses were based on data available to authors of respective essays at the time of writing. Although the information provided above is based on careful research and sources that are believed to be accurate, Paul Rejczak and his associates do not guarantee the accuracy or thoroughness of the data or information reported. The opinions published above are neither an offer nor a recommendation to purchase or sell any securities. Mr. Rejczak is not a Registered Securities Advisor. By reading Paul Rejczak’s reports you fully agree that he will not be held responsible or liable for any decisions you make regarding any information provided in these reports. Investing, trading and speculation in any financial markets may involve high risk of loss. Paul Rejczak, Sunshine Profits’ employees and affiliates as well as members of their families may have a short or long position in any securities, including those mentioned in any of the reports or essays, and may make additional purchases and/or sales of those securities without notice.

 

Daily Gold News: Tuesday, September 8 – Precious Metals Continue Lower

The gold futures contract lost 0.18% on Friday, as it continued to fluctuate following Wednesday’s decline of over 1.7%. The intraday volatility has been relatively low despite monthly jobs data release. Today gold price continues slightly lower, as it trades 0.5% below yesterday’s closing price. The yellow metal remains within a short-term consolidation, as Friday’s gold futures chart shows:

What about the other precious metals? Silver is 0.8% lower this morning. Platinum is 1.2% lower and Palladium is 0.1% lower. So precious metals are going down this morning.

Today we won’t get any important economic data releases.

The market will wait for Thursday’s ECB Monetary Policy Statement along with the ECB Press Conference.

Below you will find our Gold, Silver, and Mining Stocks economic news schedule for the next two trading days:

Tuesday, September 1

  • 6:00 a.m. U.S. – NFIB Small Business Index
  • 10:00 a.m. U.S. – IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism

Wednesday, September 2

  • 10:00 a.m. U.S. – JOLTS Job Openings
  • 10:00 a.m. Canada – BOC Rate Statement, Overnight Rate

Thank you for reading today’s free analysis. We hope you enjoyed it. If so, we would like to invite you to sign up for our free gold newsletter. Once you sign up, you’ll also get 7-day no-obligation trial of all our premium gold services, including our Gold & Silver Trading Alerts. Sign up today!

For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar.

Paul Rejczak
Stock Selection Strategist
Sunshine Profits: Analysis. Care. Profits.

* * * * *

Disclaimer

All essays, research and information found above represent analyses and opinions of Paul Rejczak and Sunshine Profits’ associates only. As such, it may prove wrong and be a subject to change without notice. Opinions and analyses were based on data available to authors of respective essays at the time of writing. Although the information provided above is based on careful research and sources that are believed to be accurate, Paul Rejczak and his associates do not guarantee the accuracy or thoroughness of the data or information reported. The opinions published above are neither an offer nor a recommendation to purchase or sell any securities. Mr. Rejczak is not a Registered Securities Advisor. By reading Paul Rejczak’s reports you fully agree that he will not be held responsible or liable for any decisions you make regarding any information provided in these reports. Investing, trading and speculation in any financial markets may involve high risk of loss. Paul Rejczak, Sunshine Profits’ employees and affiliates as well as members of their families may have a short or long position in any securities, including those mentioned in any of the reports or essays, and may make additional purchases and/or sales of those securities without notice.

 

Daily Gold News: Monday, September 7 – Gold Price Continues Sideways

The gold futures contract lost 0.18% on Friday, as it continued to fluctuate following Wednesday’s decline of over 1.7%. The intraday volatility has been relatively low despite monthly jobs data release. And the stock market’s rout didn’t trigger any significant move in gold last week. Gold price is extending its consolidation, as we can see on the daily chart:

Gold is 0.3% lower this morning, as it is flucutating within its Friday’s daily trading range. What about the other precious metals? Silver lost 0.61% on Friday and today it is 0.5% lower. Platinum gained 0.97% and today it is 0.7% lower. Palladium gained 0.93% on Friday and today it’s 0.1% lower. So precious metals are slightly lower this morning.

Today we won’t get any important economic data releases. Because of the Labor Day holiday, there will be no regular trading in the U.S. today.

Friday’s Nonfarm Payrolls number has been as expected at +1,371 million. But the Unemployment Rate has declined to 8.4% vs. the expected 9.8%.

Where would the price of gold go after the monthly jobs data release? We’ve compiled the data since September of 2018, a 24-month-long period of time that contains of twenty four NFP releases. The first chart shows price paths 5 days before and 10 days after the NFP release. We can see that the biggest 10-day advance after the NFP day was +6.6% in February of 2020 and the biggest decline was -12.7% in March of 2020. However, we’ve had an increased volatility following coronavirus fear then.

The following chart shows the average gold price path before and after the NFP releases for the past 24 months. The market was usually fluctuating for a week before advancing and closing 0.5% higher on the 10th day after the monthly Nonfarm Payrolls release.

Below you will find our Gold, Silver, and Mining Stocks economic news schedule for the next two trading days:

Monday, September 7

  • All Day, U.S. – Bank Holiday

Tuesday, September 1

  • 6:00 a.m. U.S. – NFIB Small Business Index
  • 10:00 a.m. U.S. – IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism

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For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar.

Paul Rejczak
Stock Selection Strategist
Sunshine Profits: Analysis. Care. Profits.

* * * * *

Disclaimer

All essays, research and information found above represent analyses and opinions of Paul Rejczak and Sunshine Profits’ associates only. As such, it may prove wrong and be a subject to change without notice. Opinions and analyses were based on data available to authors of respective essays at the time of writing. Although the information provided above is based on careful research and sources that are believed to be accurate, Paul Rejczak and his associates do not guarantee the accuracy or thoroughness of the data or information reported. The opinions published above are neither an offer nor a recommendation to purchase or sell any securities. Mr. Rejczak is not a Registered Securities Advisor. By reading Paul Rejczak’s reports you fully agree that he will not be held responsible or liable for any decisions you make regarding any information provided in these reports. Investing, trading and speculation in any financial markets may involve high risk of loss. Paul Rejczak, Sunshine Profits’ employees and affiliates as well as members of their families may have a short or long position in any securities, including those mentioned in any of the reports or essays, and may make additional purchases and/or sales of those securities without notice.

 

Daily Gold News: Precious Metals Mixed Ahead of Important Jobs Data Release

The gold futures contract lost 0.35% on Thursday, as it slightly extended its Wednesday’s decline of over 1.7%. Precious metals went lower following U.S dollar’s advance. The stock market’s rout didn’t trigger any significant move in gold yesterday. Last month yellow metal has reversed from its new record high of $2,089.20 after much better than expected Nonfarm Payrolls release. The following upward correction reached local high of $2,024.60 on August 18. Since then gold has been fluctuating, as we can see on the daily chart:

Gold is 0.5% higher this morning, as it is retracing some of yesterday’s decline. What about the other precious metals? Silver lost 1.90% on Thursday and today it is 1.0% higher. Platinum lost 1.60% and today it is 2.2% higher. Palladium gained 2.39% on Thursday and today it’s 1.1% lower. So precious metals are mixed this morning.

Yesterday‘s ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI release has been as expected and the Unemployment Claims number has been slightly better (lower) than expected at 881,000.

The financial markets are waiting for today’s monthly jobs data release. The Nonfarm Payrolls number is expected to drop to +1,375 million from last month’s +1,763 million.

Let’s focus on today’s Nonfarm Payrolls number release. Where would the price of gold go following that news release? We’ve compiled the data since September of 2018, a 24-month-long period of time that contains of twenty four NFP releases. The first chart shows price paths 5 days before and 10 days after the NFP release. We can see that the biggest 10-day advance after the NFP day was +6.6% in February of 2020 and the biggest decline was -12.7% in March of 2020. However, we’ve had an increased volatility following coronavirus fear then.

The following chart shows the average gold price path before and after the NFP releases for the past 24 months. The market was usually fluctuating for a week before advancing and closing 0.5% higher on the 10th day after the monthly Nonfarm Payrolls release.

Below you will find our Gold, Silver, and Mining Stocks economic news schedule for today:

Friday, September 4

  • 8:30 a.m. U.S. – Non-Farm Payrolls, Unemployment Rate, Average Hourly Earnings m/m
  • 8:30 a.m. Canada – Employment Change, Unemployment Rate

Thank you for reading today’s free analysis. We hope you enjoyed it. If so, we would like to invite you to sign up for our free gold newsletter. Once you sign up, you’ll also get 7-day no-obligation trial of all our premium gold services, including our Gold & Silver Trading Alerts. Sign up today!

For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar.

Paul Rejczak
Stock Selection Strategist
Sunshine Profits: Analysis. Care. Profits.

* * * * *

Disclaimer

All essays, research and information found above represent analyses and opinions of Paul Rejczak and Sunshine Profits’ associates only. As such, it may prove wrong and be a subject to change without notice. Opinions and analyses were based on data available to authors of respective essays at the time of writing. Although the information provided above is based on careful research and sources that are believed to be accurate, Paul Rejczak and his associates do not guarantee the accuracy or thoroughness of the data or information reported. The opinions published above are neither an offer nor a recommendation to purchase or sell any securities. Mr. Rejczak is not a Registered Securities Advisor. By reading Paul Rejczak’s reports you fully agree that he will not be held responsible or liable for any decisions you make regarding any information provided in these reports. Investing, trading and speculation in any financial markets may involve high risk of loss. Paul Rejczak, Sunshine Profits’ employees and affiliates as well as members of their families may have a short or long position in any securities, including those mentioned in any of the reports or essays, and may make additional purchases and/or sales of those securities without notice.