SP500 Traders are Trying to Shift Through a Lot of “Noise”

The coronavirus situation in the U.S. is a clear bright spot with several health experts believing the country is close to reaching so-called “herd immunity” and expect to soon see a dramatic drop in new coronavirus cases.

Fundamental analysis

The good news is most people are getting back to normalcy and the economic activity is looking robust. That’s despite many businesses having a difficult time hiring help. As companies are having to offer higher and higher wages there is increasing worry about rising inflation. There is also more talk about the possible implications of looming tax hikes that are expected to pay for some of President Biden’s ambitious economic plans.

An investor note from Goldman Sachs warned that the planned corporate tax hike to 28% could decrease earnings for some of the mega-cap technology companies as much as -9% next year, while S&P 500 earnings overall could take an -8% hit.

The analysts also warned that the “FAAMG” stock complex (Facebook, Apple, Amazon, Microsoft and Google) could be at risk of a year-end selloff if the President’s capital gains tax hike is implemented.

These stocks account for nearly 30% of the S&P 500’s market cap gains over the last five years, meaning investors have earned close to $5 trillion over that time.

Investors may look to take some of those gains in 2021 to lock in the lower tax rate.

Some of the big money players and large funds have shifted to value and more traditional inflationary type plays. While the younger Robinhood and Wall Streets Bets crowd that was once pumping the high-flying tech sector are now looking at buying airline and concert tickets.

As always, you have to pay attention to money-flow and ask yourself who will provide the next round of big buying?

Today’s key economic data will be the Labor Department’s JOLTS report, which could provide a deeper look at what’s going on in the job market. Federal Reserve officials are also making the rounds today with at least five central bankers scheduled to speak, including Federal Reserve Governor Lael Brainard. Earnings on tap include Electronic Arts, Honda, Palantir, Toyota, and Vodafone

Continued Talk of Commodity Supercycle

The price of iron ore hit a record high on Monday in the latest sign of booming commodity markets, which have gone into overdrive in recent weeks as large economies recover from the pandemic. The steelmaking ingredient, an important source of income for the mining industry, rose 8.5 per cent to a record high of almost $230 a ton fueled by strong demand from China where mills have cranked up production. Other commodities also rose sharply, including copper. Keep in mind, in the past 12-months, corn and crude oil prices are up +95%, soybean oil up +125%, silver up +75%, lean hogs up +54%, cotton up +47%, sugar up +57%, lumber up +350%, stock market up +43%, Bitcoin up +215%.

Technical analysis

Yesterday’s levels played very well. SP500 is trading in a bearish zone now. The upper range is 4156. Middle-strength levels within this zone – 4124, 4092 and 4060. Weal levels – 4140, 4108 and 4076. Neutral zone 4156 – 4221. Middle strength level – 4188.5. Weak levels – 4172.25 and 4204.75. Keep in mind SP500 is close to first daily support around 4100. In order to place a trade, always watch price action at mentioned levels. Once level turns into support/resistance, consider going long/short.

Exclusive-Foxconn’s IPhone Output in India Down Amid COVID Surge

The Foxconn facility in the southern state of Tamil Nadu produces iPhones specifically for India, the world’s No.2 smartphone market.

Tamil Nadu is one of the worst hit states in the second coronavirus wave engulfing India. Officials imposed a full lockdown in the state from Monday, closing public transport and shuttering shops, to try slow surging infections.

More than 100 Foxconn employees in the state have tested positive for COVID-19 and the company has enforced a no-entry ban at its factory in the capital of Chennai until late May, one of the sources said.

“Employees are only allowed to leave but not to enter the facility since yesterday,” the person said. “Only a small part of output is being kept.”

More than 50% of the plant’s capacity had been cut, both sources said, declining to be named as they were not authorised to speak to the media.

They did not specify the plant’s capacity and it was unclear how many workers were at the facility, which provides dormitory accommodation for employees.

Taipei-based Foxconn, the world’s largest contract electronics maker and a major supplier to Apple, said a small number of employees at one of its facilities in India tested positive for COVID-19 and the company was providing them with support, including medical assistance.

“Foxconn places the health and safety of our employees as our highest priority and that is why we have been working closely with local government and public health authorities in India to address the challenges that we and all companies are facing in dealing with the COVID-19 crisis,” it said in a statement to Reuters.

Foxconn declined to comment on factory output or specific staffing levels. Apple did not immediately respond to a request for comment.

Foxconn’s shares fell as much as 6.2% after the Reuters report. The stock closed down 5.31%, outpacing a 3.8% fall in the broader market on concerns about rising COVID-19 cases in Taiwan.

India has benefited from Apple’s move to shift some areas of production from China to other markets as it navigates a trade war between Washington and Beijing, with Apple announcing in March it had started the assembly of the iPhone 12 in India.

While Apple’s share of the budget phone-dominated India market is small, CEO Tim Cook said in January that India business doubled in the December quarter compared to the previous year, helped by an online store launch.

Foxconn similarly said strong smartphone sales contributed to a stronger-than-expected performance in the fourth quarter amid the work-from-home trend.

Market research firm Canalys said that growth in India extended through the first quarter, with Apple shipping more than a million iPhones. Demand for the iPhone 12 was supported by local assembly and attractive finance offers, Canalys said.

COVID-19 CRISIS

However, the outlook has been dimmed by the coronavirus crisis engulfing India, where COVID-19 cases and deaths have surged at a record pace in recent weeks. The country has recorded around 22.66 million infections and more than 246,000 deaths, with experts saying the true figures could be far higher.

Foxconn is not the only producer affected. Nokia and Chinese smartphone maker OPPO last year suspended production at factories in India after workers tested positive for COVID-19.

Taipei-based tech research firm TrendForce on Monday trimmed its global smartphone production growth forecast to 8.5% from 9.4%, citing the coronavirus impact in India on major vendors including Samsung and Apple.

“Smartphone brands are therefore expected to closely monitor their inventories of whole devices and adjust their subsequent production plans accordingly,” TrendForce said in a report, adding it could revise the forecast lower still if the outbreak continues to hit local production and sales in the second quarter.

(Reporting by Taipei newsroom and Yimou Lee; editing by Jane Wardell)

Cirrus Logic Could Sell Off to 60

iPhone supplier Cirrus Logic Inc. (CRUS) is posting marginal gains in Tuesday’s pre-market following a tier one analyst upgrade. The Austin-based integrated circuits manufacturer fell 15% last week after missing Q4 2021 top and bottom line estimates, posting earnings-per-share (EPS) of $0.66 on a 5.1% revenue increase to $293.54 million. The company also issued downside guidance, blaming supply constraints that have caught the semiconductor industry off-guard.

Hurt By Supply Constraints

The company should benefit from US – China discussions intended to reduce export control-driven bottlenecks that have impacted dozens of industries dependent on the silicon chip. However, natural forces of supply and demand should eventually ease the crisis, with manufacturers now ramping up production. Meanwhile, Apple Inc.’s (AAPL) blowout iPhone sales this year raise odds that Cirrus Logic will recover lost ground once balance is returned.

Needham analyst Rajvindra Gill upgraded Cirrus Logic to ‘Buy’ with a $100 target this morning, noting “We’ve been on the sidelines owing to the high valuation and the concentration of revenues in Apple (70 to 80%+). The stock has fallen ~26% from its mid-January peak (underperforming the SOX by 29% over that period) and its P/E multiple has compressed 40%. While recent results/guidance was disappointing … new opportunities are emerging. Net, we expect revenue growth to accelerate in FY22 and believe stock is compelling here.”

Wall Street and Technical Outlook

Wall Street consensus has grown cautious so far in 2021 due to high valuation, yielding an ‘Overweight’ rating based upon 7 ‘Buy’ and 4 ‘Hold’ recommendations. Price targets currently range from a low of $80 to a Street-high $115 while the stock is set to open Tuesday’s session about $7 below the low target. While the upgrade should ease highly bearish sentiment, short-term technical damage will take time to overcome.

Cirrus Logic failed a breakout above the 2017 high at 71.97 in the first quarter of 2020, descending into the mid-40s. It bounced back to resistance in January 2021 and broke out but failed that advance as well. Price action is now caught between support in the 70s and resistance just above 100 while downside momentum after last week’s selloff favors a breakdown that could deep support near 60 before attracting committed buying interest.

For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar.

Disclosure: the author held no positions in aforementioned securities at the time of publication.

Apple Trading Higher After Blowout Quarter

Dow component Apple Inc. (AAPL) is trading higher by nearly 3% in Thursday’s pre-market after beating Q2 2021 top and bottom line estimates by wide margins, posting a profit of $1.40 per-share on $89.58 billion in revenue. The tech icon beats expectations across all product categories, led by iPhone sales of $47.9 billion, which fueled an overall 53.6% year-over-year   revenue increase. Guidance for double digit year-over-year Q3 growth and a 7% dividend increase capped off the highly bullish presentation.

Strong Sales Across the Board

Installed base upgrades to 5G iPhone 12 models added considerable revenue during the quarter while iPad posted the strongest March sales ever.  Even Mac got into the act, wrapping up the best three quarters in the company’s history. Sales grew by double digit percentages in all geographical regions, highlighting the impact of massive U.S. stimulus and a slow worldwide recovery from the COVID-19 pandemic.

Goldman Sachs analyst Rod Hall cried “Uncle” after the report, upgrading Apple from ‘Sell’ to ‘Neutral’, noting “We are upgrading our rating after Apple posted another large beat and implied a raise vs. our June revenue expectations. Our original view that the iPhone cycle would disappoint in the midst of COVID was clearly wrong. Not only has Apple done better than we expected on iPhone during the cycle but Mac and iPad have also materially outperformed our forecasts”.

Wall Street and Technical Outlook

Wall Street consensus currently stands at an ‘Overweight’ rating based upon 24 ‘Buy’, 4 ‘Overweight’, 10 ‘Hold’, 1 ‘Underweight’, and 1 ‘Sell’ recommendation. The blowout quarter should lift ratings and targets in coming sessions but it might not be enough to trigger a new trend advance. Price targets currently range from a low of $83 to a Street-high $185 while the stock is set to open Thursday’s session about $23 below the median $160 target.

Apple returned to February 2020 resistance in the low 80s in May and broke out, entering a strong uptrend that stalled at 138 on Sept 2, just two days after the 4-for-1 split. A swift decline to 103 got bought aggressively but a January breakout failed after just four sessions, reinforcing resistance between 138 and 145. Price action is now pushing against the lower edge of this zone but adverse cycles predict the trading range will be hard to break in the short term.

For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar.

Disclosure: the author held no positions in aforementioned securities at the time of publication. 

Apple, Facebook Drive Nasdaq Futures Higher as Earnings Roll In

By Shivani Kumaresan

Apple Inc gained 2.7% in premarket trading after posting sales and profits ahead of Wall Street estimates, led by much stronger-than-expected iPhone and Mac sales.

Facebook Inc jumped 7.3% on beating analysts’ expectations for both quarterly revenue and profit, helped by a surge in digital ad spending during the pandemic, along with higher ad prices.

Other megacap companies, including Microsoft Corp, Alphabet Inc and Netflix Inc, rose between 0.2% and 1.1%.

Official data is likely to show that the number of Americans filing new claims for jobless benefits rose last week, while the Commerce Department is expected to report a 6.1% rise in first-quarter GDP.

More earnings reports from Dow components rolled in, with Caterpillar Inc rising 2.8% after the heavy equipment maker reported a rise in adjusted first-quarter profit. Drugmaker Merck & Co Inc, however, slid 3.2% on posting a 1.2% fall in quarterly profit.

Global shares extended gains after the Federal Reserve said it was too early to consider rolling back emergency support for the economy, and U.S. President Joe Biden proposed a $1.8 trillion stimulus package.

At the conclusion of the U.S. central bank’s latest policy meeting on Wednesday, Fed Chair Jerome Powell acknowledged the economy’s growth, but said there was not yet enough evidence of “substantial further progress” toward recovery to warrant a change in policy.

At 6:44 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were up 177 points, or 0.52%, S&P 500 e-minis were up 30.25 points, or 0.72%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were up 138.75 points, or 1%.

Shares of electric vehicles companies, including Tesla Inc, Nikola Corp, rose 1.1% and 2.6%, respectively, as sales picked up speed in the first quarter, according to the International Energy Agency.

Amazon.com Inc, Twitter Inc, Mastercard Inc and Gilead Sciences Inc are also expected to report first-quarter earnings later in the day.

(Reporting by Shivani Kumaresan and Shreyashi Sanyal in Bengaluru; Editing by Saumyadeb Chakrabarty)

Samsung Takes Back Smartphone Crown from Apple; Xiaomi Surges

By Aakriti Bhalla

China’s Xiaomi Corp clocked its best quarterly performance ever, with shipments surging 62% to 49 million phones and market share to 14%, taking it to the third position after Samsung and Apple.

Overall, global sales surged 27% to 347 million units in the first quarter as the Chinese economy opened up after the pandemic and a swift vaccine rollout in the United States raised hopes of an economic recovery.

South Korea’s Samsung shipped 76.5 million smartphones in the quarter to grab a 22% share of the market, Canalys said. The company on Thursday reported a 66% surge in quarterly profit in its mobile business, thanks to robust sales of its flagship Galaxy S21 smartphone series.

Canalys said Apple shipped 52.4 million iPhones in the January-March period, falling to the second spot with a 15% marketshare, after it wowed Chinese shoppers in the December quarter with its new 5G-enabled iPhone 12.

People upgrading to the new iPhone still drove sales, though, and the company said on Wednesday that overall sales to China nearly doubled.

Last year, people shopped for smartphones and gadgets as they stayed indoors because of the coronavirus pandemic, fuelling a global shortage in semiconductor chips that has roiled industries including autos and white goods.

“Supply of critical components, such as chipsets, has quickly become a major concern, and will hinder smartphone shipments in the coming quarters,” Stanton said.

Apple said on Wednesday that the chip shortage could cost the company $3 billion to $4 billion in revenue in the April-June quarter, affecting primarily iPads and Macbooks.

March-quarter smartphone shipments for China’s Oppo and Vivo brands also surged, Canalys said.

China’s Huawei, the former No. 1 that remains shackled by U.S. sanctions, took the seventh place with 18.6 million units after selling its Honor brand last year.

(Reporting by Aakriti Bhalla in Bengaluru; Editing by Sayantani Ghosh and Saumyadeb Chakrabarty)

Google Battles Landmark UK Class Action Over Alleged IPhone Tracking

By Kirstin Ridley

Antony White, a lawyer for Google, told the first day of a two-day hearing that the maiden, U.S.-style data protection lawsuit could only seek redress under English laws if any data breach had led to claimants suffering damage.

“It is not my case that loss of personal data may not have serious consequences, but it may not always do so in a way that attracts compensation,” he said, adding that any uniform award would also fail to take into account differing phone usage.

Richard Lloyd, a former director at consumer rights group Which?, is leading the claim that seeks to extend Britain’s fledgling class action regime – and multi-billion pound data protection claims against tech giants, such as Facebook, TikTok and YouTube, rest on the judgment.

Lloyd has previously estimated that damages could run to 750 pounds per iPhone user, potentially bringing damages to more than 3 billion pounds ($4.2 billion) if any future trial succeeds.

The case, brought on behalf of more than four million Apple iPhone users, hinges on whether Google breached its duties as a data controller by clandestinely collecting browser-generated data and then offering it to advertisers in 2011 and 2012 – and whether such a class action can proceed in Britain.

Experts say the case is “hugely significant” and warn businesses that harvest and use troves of personal data for commercial gain to consider whether they are acting fairly and transparently.

“If the judgment goes in favour of the claimants, we will see the floodgates open to a tsunami of representative data class actions in the UK,” said Julian Copeman, a partner at Herbert Smith Freehills.

Critics of “opt out” class actions, which automatically bind a defined group into a lawsuit unless individuals opt out, say they can lead to claims without merit and lush profits for litigators and their funders.

Proponents say they allow easier access to justice, especially when individual claims are too small to pursue individually, and that alternative “opt in” lawsuits, where every claimant signs up, are costly and time-consuming.

The Confederation of British Industry, a trade body, says such cases could be “highly detrimental”, noting the risk of ruinous damages awards could prompt settlements regardless of the merits of a case.

(Reporting by Kirstin Ridley; editing by Barbara Lewis)

Best Dividend Stocks May 2021

The hallmark way I go about finding the best dividend stocks…the outliers, is by looking for quiet Big Money trading activity. Oftentimes, that can be institutional activity. I’ll go over why following the Big Money is so important in a bit. But, the 5 stocks I see as long-term dividend growth candidates are AAPL, BLK, LOW, AVGO, & GRMN.

Over decades, I’ve learned that the true tell on great stocks is that big money consistently finds its way into the best companies out there… especially dividend paying stocks. Some of the biggest returns ever have come from holding stocks for many years and reinvesting dividends.

I want the odds on my side when looking for the highest quality dividend stocks…and I own many of them.

So, let’s get into it.

Up first is Apple, Inc. (AAPL), which happens to be the largest company on planet earth. They are a technology firm with popular products like iPhones, iPads, & iTunes.

Let’s first start with the technical picture.

When deciding on a strong candidate for long-term dividend growth, I like to look for stocks seeing upward momentum:

  • 1 month performance (+10.98%)
  • Historical Big Money buy signals

Below are the Big Money signals Apple has made since 2017. Green bars are showing that AAPL was likely being bought by an institution according to MAPsignals. Typically, the more Big Money signals, the stronger the stock:

Chart, line chart Description automatically generated

Source: MAPsignals, End of day data sourced from Tiingo.com

On top of technicals, when deciding on the best dividend stock, you should look under the hood to see if the fundamental picture supports a long-term investment. As you can see, AAPL has a strong dividend history:

  • 3-year dividend growth rate (+9.8%)
  • Current dividend per share = .205
  • Forward yield = .61%
  • 3-year earnings growth rate (+13.26%)

Next up is BlackRock, Inc. (BLK), which is a leading asset manager company. They have a long dividend history and shares have been in an uptrend recently.

When deciding on a strong candidate for long-term dividend growth, it’s a good idea to look for many years of dividend increases.

Now let’s look at recent performance:

  • 1 month performance (+7.98%)
  • Historical big money signals

Below are the big money signals that BlackRock has made since 2017. It’s clear the stock has seen green recently.

Chart, line chart Description automatically generated

Source: MAPsignals, End of day data sourced from Tiingo.com

On top of technicals, when deciding on the best dividend stock, you should look under the hood to see if the fundamental picture supports a long-term investment. As you can see, BlackRock has a nice dividend history. Their earnings growth has been stellar as well:

  • 3-year dividend growth rate (+13.2%)
  • Current dividend per share = 4.13
  • Forward yield = 2.03%
  • 3-year earnings growth rate (+2.14%)

Next, I’m looking at Lowes Companies Inc. (LOW), which is a leading home improvements chain. They have a solid dividend history.

When deciding on a strong candidate for long-term dividend growth, recent performance in the shares is important:

  • 1 month performance (+5.92%)
  • Recent Big Money signals

Below are the big money signals that Lowe’s has made since 2017. It’s clear the stock has been in a nice uptrend:

Chart, line chart Description automatically generated

Source: MAPsignals, End of day data sourced from Tiingo.com

On top of technicals, when deciding on the best dividend stock, you should look under the hood to see if the fundamental picture supports a long-term investment. As you can see, LOW has a strong dividend history:

  • 3-year dividend growth rate (+13.3%)
  • Current dividend per share = .60
  • Forward yield = 1.19%
  • 3-year earnings growth rate (+34.66%)

Next, I’m looking at Broadcom, Inc. (AVGO), which is a leading semiconductor company. The shares have been on a tear this year.

When deciding on a strong candidate for long-term dividend growth, recent muted performance is not a bad thing:

  • 1 month performance (-.16%)
  • Recent Big Money signals

Below are the Big Money signals that Broadcom has made since 2017.

Chart Description automatically generated

Source: MAPsignals, End of day data sourced from Tiingo.com

On top of technicals, when deciding on the best dividend stock, let’s check up on the fundamentals. As you can see, Broadcom has a strong dividend history.

  • 3-year dividend growth rate (+47.2%)
  • Current dividend per share = 3.60
  • Forward yield = 3.09%
  • 3-year earnings growth rate (+174.18%)

Lastly, I’m looking at Garmin Ltd. (GRMN), which is a leading navigational company.

When deciding on a strong candidate for long-term dividend growth, I like to look for recent leaders:

  • 1 month performance (+8.99%)
  • Historical Big Money signals

Below are the Big Money signals that Garmin has made since 2017.

Chart, histogram Description automatically generated

Source: MAPsignals, End of day data sourced from Tiingo.com

On top of technicals, when deciding on the best dividend stock, you gotta see if the fundamental picture supports a long-term investment. Garmin has been a steady grower:

  • 3-year dividend growth rate (+5.6%)
  • Current dividend per share = .67
  • Forward yield = 1.9%
  • 3-year earnings growth rate (+13.09%)

The Bottom Line

AAPL, BLK, LOW, AVGO, & GRMN represent solid dividend choices. Given the strong historical dividend growth and Big Money signals, these stocks could be worth an extra look for a dividend investor.

Disclosure: the author holds long positions in personal and managed accounts in GRMN. He doesn’t hold positions in AAPL, BLK, LOW, & AVGO at the time of publication.

To learn more about the MAPsignals process, click here.

Disclaimer

 

Futures Hover at Record Levels as Focus Turns to Tech Earnings, Fed

By Medha Singh

Electric carmaker Tesla Inc dropped about 3% in premarket trading after it marginally beat analysts’ expectations for quarterly revenue, helped by a jump in environmental credit sales to other automakers and liquidating some bitcoins.

Focus is now on results from Microsoft Corp and Alphabet Inc when they report after markets close. Apple Inc, Facebook Inc and Amazon.com Inc are slated to report later in the week. The five companies combined account for about 40% of the S&P 500’s market capitalization.

Overall earnings for S&P 500 companies are expected to jump 33.3% in the first quarter from a year earlier, according to Refinitiv IBES data.

The S&P 500 and the Nasdaq ended at record levels on Monday, with the tech-heavy Nasdaq completing a full recovery from its 11% correction that began in February.

Recent data indicating that the U.S. economy was set for a strong rebound, backed by vaccine distributions and unprecedented monetary and fiscal support, has provided much of that support.

The Fed is not expected to change its policy guidance at the end of its two-day meeting on Wednesday but could shine some light on U.S. central bank’s thinking on inflation, bond buying and risks to the financial system posed by soaring asset prices.

At 06:19 a.m. ET, Dow E-minis were down 4 points, or 0.01%, S&P 500 E-minis were up 2.5 points, or 0.06% and Nasdaq 100 E-minis were up 11 points, or 0.08%.

(Reporting by Medha Singh in Bengaluru; Editing by Anil D’Silva)

Explainer: What Do Apple’s New IPhone Privacy Changes Mean for Consumers and Businesses?

By Stephen Nellis and Sheila Dang

For Apple’s more than 1 billion iPhone users, the change will mean a new pop-up notification in some apps seeking their permission to collect data that Apple believes could be used to track their browsing habits across third-party apps and websites.

For businesses, the rules could bring seismic changes to the nearly $100 billion mobile advertising market if most iPhone users decline to allow data collection, though the exact impact remains a question, according to industry experts.

WHAT IS APPLE DOING?

Apple is requiring app developers who want to collect a digital advertising identifier from iPhone users to show a pop-up saying that the app “would like permission to track you across apps and websites owned by other companies,” along with an explanation from the app developer about why permission is being sought. Some mobile advertising analysts believe that fewer than one in three users are likely to grant permission.

IPhone owners also have a “tracking” menu in their phone’s privacy settings where they can opt-out of tracking from all apps on their phone with a single switch, or pick and choose among apps to grant permission to.

WHAT DOES THIS MEAN FOR DEVELOPERS AND ADVERTISERS?

Both advertisers and app developers who sell ad inventory say if many iPhone users opt-out of tracking, it will make advertising less effective. The ad industry has long gathered data about people’s web browsing behavior in order to serve up ads, such as for clothes or cars, that users might be interested in.

A shrinking pool of user data could lead to lower sales for brands and lower ad revenue for mobile apps and publishers. Apple’s move has deepened a rift with Facebook Inc, which has said the change will hurt small businesses because it will impede their ability to cost-effectively find local customers to target with advertisements.

WHY DID APPLE MAKE THE CHANGE?

Apple has said it wanted to give its customers more control over whether data collected on them by apps is shared with third parties.

CAN APPS STILL COLLECT DATA ON IPHONE USERS?

Yes, data collection is still allowed if it is spelled out in an app’s privacy policy. The changes only affect whether app developers share data they collect with third parties, or mix their data with outside data from third parties, to help target ads. Apple has introduced privacy “nutrition labels” to its App Store to show users what data apps collect.

WILL IPHONE APPS STILL HAVE ADS?

Yes, iPhone users can still see ads even if they decline the new pop-up, as long as those ads are targeted using data the app developer has collected on its own. For example, a social network like Facebook Inc can still target ads based on first-party data such as which groups users join or which posts they like. But if Facebook wants to target ads based on data from which third-party websites users have used their Facebook credentials to log into, it will need to seek permission.

(Reporting by Stephen Nellis in San Francisco. Editing by Mark Potter)

Earnings to Watch Next Week: Tesla, Alphabet, Microsoft, Facebook, Apple and Amazon.com in Focus

Earnings Calendar For The Week Of April 26

Monday (April 26)

IN THE SPOTLIGHT: TESLA

The California-based electric vehicle and clean energy company Tesla is expected to report its first-quarter earnings of $0.79 per share, which represents year-over-year growth of over 240% from $0.23 per share seen in the same quarter a year ago.

The high-performance electric vehicle manufacturer’s revenue would grow over 70% to $10.2 billion. The electric vehicle producer has beaten earnings per share and revenue estimates by over 60% of the time in the last two years.

“Updating the model for the 1Q deliveries of 184,800 which were over 20% above our forecast. We also made adjustments to our volume forecasts for the remainder of the year to account for the strong start while allowing for potential supply constraints and other factors. The net result is we raise our FY21 delivery forecast by 3% to 809k units,” noted Adam Jonas, equity analyst at Morgan Stanley.

“We note our FY volume is modestly below consensus as we allow for a ‘margin of safety’ given highly fluid supply chain issues impacting the industry. Our forward year volume forecast increases very slightly (approx. 1%) to 1.1mm units. This impact, along with some other minor adjustments to the model lifts our target to $900 from $880 previously. We do not change our bull or bear case valuations at this time.”

TAKE A LOOK AT OUR EARNINGS CALENDAR FOR THE FULL RELEASES FOR THE APRIL 26

Ticker Company EPS Forecast
CBU Community Bank System $0.81
BOH Bank of Hawaii $1.18
DORM Dorman Products $1.02
FBP First Bancorp FBP $0.24
PHG Koninklijke Philips $0.29
OTIS Otis Worldwide Corp $0.62
CHKP Check Point Software Technologies $1.49
LII Lennox International $1.29
ACI AltaGas Canada $0.50
CAJ Canon $0.24
TSLA Tesla $0.79
RRC Range Resources $0.27
HTLF Heartland Financial USA $1.14
OMF OneMain Holdings $2.04
AXTA Axalta Coating Systems $0.42
AMKR Amkor Technology $0.41
TNET TriNet $1.32
SSD Simpson Manufacturing $0.92
PCH Potlatch $1.71
WRI Weingarten Realty Investors $0.41
CATY Cathay General Bancorp $0.78
IBTX Independent Bank $1.30
JJSF J&J Snack Foods $0.12
AIN Albany International $0.62
CNI Canadian National Railway USA $0.99
NXPI NXP Semiconductors $2.21
SBAC SBA Communications $2.45
AMP Ameriprise Financial $4.73
ARE Alexandria Real Estate Equities $1.85
SSNC SS&C Technologies $1.10
SUI Sun Communities $1.16
BRO Brown & Brown $0.56
PKG Packaging Of America $1.47
UHS Universal Health Services $2.15
MKSI MKS Instruments $2.17
AGNC American Capital Agency $0.64
CDNS Cadence Design Systems $0.74
MASI Masimo $0.88
RMBS Rambus $0.28
WWD Woodward $0.80
SANM Sanmina $0.82
TOP Topdanmark A/S kr5.74
KOF Coca Cola Femsa Sab De Cv $13.82
BAYRY Bayer AG PK $0.77
FIX Comfort Systems USA $0.56
SCCO Southern Copper $0.85
AMG Affiliated Managers $4.26
TV Grupo Televisa Sab $0.10
EGOV NIC $0.23
TOWN Townebank $0.65

Tuesday (April 27)

IN THE SPOTLIGHT: ALPHABET, MICROSOFT

ALPHABET: The parent of Google and the world’s largest search engine that dominates internet search activity globally is expected to report its first-quarter earnings of $15.45 per share, which represents year-over-year growth of about 57% from $9.87 per share seen in the same quarter a year ago.

The Mountain View, California-based internet giant would post revenue growth of more than 25% to around $42.2 billion. It is worth noting that the company, on average, has delivered an earnings surprise of over 25% in the last four quarters.

Alphabet’s better-than-expected results, which will be announced on Tuesday, April 27, would help the stock hit new all-time highs. Alphabet shares surged more than 30% so far this year. On Friday, the stock closed 2.1% higher at $2,299.93 – close to the record high of $2,304.09.

GOOGL still favorable set up after strong YTD gains. GOOGL has outperformed major indices YTD as investor sentiment turned positive. Our checks have been broadly positive, indicating accelerating momentum in the ad business and sustained strength in Cloud,” noted Brent Thill, equity analyst at Jefferies.

GOOGL remains a top large-cap pick as we believe it should benefit in 2021 from ad spend recovery, pent-up demand for Google Cloud, and call options on Waymo and other non-advertising initiatives.”

MICROSOFT: The Redmond, Washington-based global technology giant would report its fiscal third-quarter earnings of $1.76 per share, which represents year-over-year growth of over 25% from $1.40 per share seen in the same quarter a year ago. The world’s largest software maker’s revenue would rise over 17% to around $41 billion, up from the $35.02 billion a year earlier.

“An improving spending environment drives several sources of potential upside to Q3, most prominently around the hybrid cloud engine (Azure + Server Products) and Windows OEM. Strong positioning for multiple secular trends and an attractive valuation make MSFT a Top Pick in Software,” noted Keith Weiss, equity analyst at Morgan Stanley.

TAKE A LOOK AT OUR EARNINGS CALENDAR FOR THE FULL RELEASES FOR THE APRIL 27

Ticker Company EPS Forecast
PCAR PACCAR $1.29
ENTG Entegris $0.72
NVS Novartis $1.57
CROX Crocs $0.88
MMM 3M $2.25
MSCI Msci $2.29
JBLU JetBlue Airways -$1.68
PII Polaris Industries $1.54
GLW Corning $0.42
HAS Hasbro $0.66
AWI Armstrong World Industries $0.96
UBS UBS Group $0.52
ABB ABB $0.28
BP BP $0.43
UPS United Parcel Service $1.63
ST Sensata Technologies $0.74
CNC Centene $1.65
SYF Synchrony Financial $1.50
IVZ Invesco $0.62
TRU TransUnion $0.80
SCL Stepan $1.43
FELE Franklin Electric $0.39
RTX Raytheon Technologies Corp $0.88
ABG Asbury Automotive $3.58
LECO Lincoln Electric $1.18
ROP Roper Industries $3.32
SHW Sherwin-Williams $1.65
DTE DTE Energy $2.09
FISV Fiserv $1.13
MMC Marsh & McLennan Companies $1.70
GE General Electric $0.02
WM Waste Management $1.00
CEQP Crestwood Equity Partners $0.34
LLY Eli Lilly $2.12
ADM Archer-Daniels Midland $1.00
ECL Ecolab $0.82
PHM PulteGroup $1.19
HUBB Hubbell $1.67
PPBI Pacific Premier Bancorp $0.63
SSTK Shutterstock $0.70
UMBF UMB Financial $1.47
GPK Graphic Packaging $0.25
PSB PS Business Parks $1.67
RNST Renasant $0.63
CHE Chemed $4.20
MANH Manhattan Associates $0.32
USNA USANA Health Sciences $1.58
TXN Texas Instruments $1.56
SYK Stryker $1.98
MDLZ Mondelez International $0.69
MXIM Maxim Integrated Products $0.75
COF Capital One Financial $4.17
TER Teradyne $1.04
PFG Principal Financial $1.35
APAM Artisan Partners Asset Management $1.10
CALX Calix $0.20
VALE Vale $1.01
MATX Matson $1.86
AMGN Amgen $4.00
EIX Edison International $0.67
ENPH Enphase Energy $0.41
SBUX Starbucks $0.52
ATRC AtriCure -$0.41
AMD Advanced Micro Devices $0.44
TRMK Trustmark $0.61
EGP EastGroup Properties $1.39
WSBC WesBanco $0.70
ROIC Retail Opportunity Investments $0.24
OKE ONEOK $0.77
IEX IDEX $1.41
V Visa $1.27
NOV National Oilwell Varco -$0.23
CSGP CoStar $2.40
OLN Olin $1.34
MSFT Microsoft $1.76
BYD Boyd Gaming $0.44
ESS Essex Property $3.04
EQR Equity Residential $0.68
TX Ternium $2.29
EHC Encompass Health Corp $0.80
GOOGL Alphabet $15.45
QTS QTS Realty $0.65
BXP Boston Properties $1.55
UDR UDR $0.48
FTI FMC Technologies -$0.08
GOOG Alphabet $15.45
CHRW C.H. Robinson Worldwide $0.97
FFIV F5 Networks $2.39
FEYE FireEye $0.07
CB Chubb $2.45
TENB Tenable Holdings Inc $0.06
ILMN Illumina $1.36
NAVI Navient $0.78
HIW Highwoods Properties $0.87
AAT American Assets $0.35
JNPR Juniper Networks $0.25
ACGL Arch Capital $0.50
FIBK First Interstate BancSystem $0.73
NCR NCR $0.47
TKC Turkcell $0.17
AJRD Aerojet Rocketdyne $0.46
ZBRA Zebra Technologies $4.39
MKL Markel $12.29
AMX America Movil Sab De Cv Amx $0.33
MSTR Microstrategy -$0.19
VIST Vista Oil Gas $0.07
IBA Industrias Bachoco Sab De Cv $1.54
BSBR Banco Santander Brasil $0.19
SAN Banco Santander $0.11
OMAB Grupo Aeroportuario Del Centro Nort $0.37
NMR Nomura -$0.21
IRBT Irobot $0.06
HSBC HSBC $0.60
ATLCY Atlas Copco ADR $0.40

Wednesday (April 28)

IN THE SPOTLIGHT: FACEBOOK, APPLE

FACEBOOK: The world’s largest online social network is expected to report its first-quarter earnings of $2.35 per share, which represents year-over-year growth of over 37% from $1.71 per share seen in the same quarter a year ago.

The Menlo Park, California-based social media conglomerate would post revenue growth of over 33% to around $23.6 billion. It is worth noting that the company, on average, has delivered an earnings surprise of over 22% in the last four quarters.

“Monetization Potential: We are positive on FB’s monetization roll-out of Instagram as well as FB’s ability to continue to innovate and improve its monetization (Canvas Ads, Dynamic Ads, video). Combined with the high and growing engagement we see monetization upside going forward,” noted Brian Nowak, equity analyst at Morgan Stanley.

“Investing from Position of Strength to Drive Faster Long-Term Growth: We are modeling ~28% GAAP opex (excl. one-time items) growth in 2021, implying an incremental ~$15bn in opex. Our base case model implies opex per employee moderates in ’21 while FB hiring remains roughly flat on an absolute basis. We believe FB will grow EPS at a ~29% CAGR (2019-2022).”

APPLE: The consumer electronics giant would post its second-quarter earnings of $0.99 per share, which represents year-over-year growth of over 54% from $0.64 per share seen in the same quarter a year ago. The iPhone manufacturer would post revenue growth of over 33% to around $77.6 billion.

“We expect the strength of Apple’s broad portfolio of products & services to help re-rate AAPL shares, amplified by today’s product launch event. We forecast Product growth of 43% Y/Y and Services growth of 19% putting us at $80.2B in revs and $1.03 in EPS for the March Q, 4-5% ahead of consensus,” noted Katy Huberty, equity analyst at Morgan Stanley.

TAKE A LOOK AT OUR EARNINGS CALENDAR FOR THE FULL RELEASES FOR THE APRIL 28

Ticker Company EPS Forecast
SHOO Steven Madden $0.19
IPG Interpublic Of Companies $0.16
SNY Sanofi $0.83
GD General Dynamics $2.31
APH Amphenol $0.44
SIRI Sirius XM $0.06
LIVN LivaNova PLC $0.15
SLAB Silicon Laboratories $0.76
HUM Humana $7.21
AVY Avery Dennison $2.01
OSK Oshkosh $1.14
NYCB New York Community Bancorp $0.27
DAN Dana $0.46
MAS Masco $0.66
TEVA Teva Pharmaceutical Industries $0.58
ETR Entergy $1.24
BA Boeing -$1.17
EVR Evercore Partners $2.63
ROL Rollins $0.11
YUM Yum Brands $0.85
PAG Penske Automotive $1.81
BCO Brinks $0.71
R Ryder System $0.58
CIT CIT $0.98
TDY Teledyne Technologies $2.59
TKR Timken $1.20
OC Owens Corning $1.42
SAIA Saia $1.37
SWK Stanley Black & Decker $2.56
MCO Moody’s $2.80
PB Prosperity Bancshares $1.38
BSX Boston Scientific $0.30
GIB CGI Group USA $1.03
CME CME $1.75
ROK Rockwell Automation $2.15
SPOT Spotify -$0.57
GRMN Garmin $0.88
SIX Swiss Exchange -$1.29
IART Integra LifeSciences $0.56
BPOP Popular, Inc. $1.91
BXMT Blackstone Mortgage $0.61
AER AerCap $1.13
LFUS Littelfuse $1.92
VRT Veritas Pharma $0.12
SLGN Silgan $0.71
HELE Helen Of Troy $1.56
HES Hess $0.36
ADP ADP $1.82
NSC Norfolk Southern $2.55
SC Santander Consumer USA $1.45
RJF Raymond James Financial $2.09
PPC Pilgrim’s Pride $0.27
PSA Public Storage $2.70
FORM FormFactor $0.39
PTC PTC $0.72
EQIX Equinix $6.63
VVV Valvoline Inc $0.37
ESI Itt Educational Services $0.32
MXL MaxLinear $0.50
CLR Continental Resources $0.30
BSMX Santander Mexico Fincl Gp Sab Decv $0.17
PDM Piedmont Office Realty $0.47
WCN Waste Connections $0.67
AVB AvalonBay Communities $1.94
PGRE Paramount Group $0.21
AGI Alamos Gold $0.13
EBAY eBay $1.07
MAA Mid-America Apartment Communities $1.61
OI Owens-Illinois $0.28
QCOM Qualcomm $1.67
ALGN Align Technology $2.00
DRE Duke Realty $0.39
NGVT Ingevity Corp $1.07
AZPN Aspen Technology $1.16
NLY Annaly Capital Management $0.26
FB Facebook $2.35
MC Moelis & Company $0.87
NOVA Nova Mentis Life Science Corp -$0.34
MGM MGM Resorts International -$0.86
MTH Meritage Homes $2.52
GRUB GrubHub $0.03
CNO CNO Financial Group $0.50
WERN Werner $0.63
CONE CyrusOne $0.98
AR Antero Resources $0.39
AMED Amedisys $1.43
KRC Kilroy Realty $0.99
EXR Extra Space Storage $1.48
AFL Aflac $1.20
AVT Avnet $0.56
BLKB Blackbaud $0.63
WELL Welltower Inc $0.75
TROX Tronox $0.27
AUY Yamana Gold USA $0.07
AM Antero Midstream Partners $0.22
CNMD CONMED $0.43
CHX ChampionX Corp $0.05
RE Everest Re $4.55
HOLX Hologic $2.62
CDE CoEUR Mining $0.08
MOH Molina Healthcare $3.78
TYL Tyler Technologies $1.31
AXS Axis Capital $0.65
SIGI Selective $0.97
NOW ServiceNow $1.34
CAKE Cheesecake Factory -$0.15
MUSA Murphy USA $0.83
MTDR Matador Resources $0.37
ALSN Allison Transmission $0.90
RNR Renaissancere $0.74
PEGA Pegasystems $0.02
CCS Century Communities $1.52
UCTT Ultra Clean $0.82
TTEK Tetra Tech $0.75
CINF Cincinnati Financial $1.27
F Ford Motor $0.15
ASGN On Assignment $1.10
AAPL Apple $0.99
WH Wyndham Hotels & Resorts Inc $0.25
ORLY O’Reilly Automotive $5.27
ISBC Investors Bancorp $0.29
LOGI Logitech Internationalusa $0.96
SID Companhia Siderurgica Nacional $0.28
YMZBY Yamazaki Baking ADR $1.17
GSK Glaxosmithkline $0.59
LPL Lg Display $0.29
TS Tenaris $0.06
TOTDY Toto $0.51
UMC United Microelectronics $0.10
ASX Advanced Semiconductor Engineering $0.12
DB Deutsche Bank $0.49
FNF Fidelity National Financial $1.28
WWW Wolverine World Wide $0.38
DISCA Discovery Communications $0.66
DISCB Discovery Communications Discb $0.66
DISCK Discovery Communications Disck $0.66
EAT Brinker International $0.79
FCNCA First Citizens Bancshares $12.11
PAC Grupo Aeroportuario Del Pacifico $0.64

Thursday (April 29)

IN THE SPOTLIGHT: AMAZON.COM

The eCommerce leader for physical and digital merchandise is expected to report its first-quarter earnings of $9.98 per share, which represents year-over-year growth of about 100% from $5.01 per share seen in the same quarter a year ago.

The Seattle, Washington-based multinational technology giant would post revenue growth of about 40% to around $105.1 billion. It is worth noting that the company, on average, has delivered an earnings surprise of about 187% in the last four quarters.

“We expect strong 1Q21 results with revenue and Op Inc. 3% & 11% above consensus estimates. Key rev. drivers include eCommerce, AWS, Adv., & Sub. rev. Our 1Q21 Op Inc. est. is driven by AWS & Adv., offset partially by COVID-19 costs. 2Q21 revenue guide is key, we expect AMZN eCommerce growth of +15% y/y despite tough comps. We remain bullish on’21 Op margin expansion, our est. is 17% above consensus,” noted John Blackledge, equity analyst at Cowen.

TAKE A LOOK AT OUR EARNINGS CALENDAR FOR THE FULL RELEASES FOR THE APRIL 29

Ticker Company EPS Forecast
RDSA Royal Dutch Shell £0.83
AGIO Agios Pharmaceuticals -$1.23
STM Stmicroelectronics $0.39
JHG Janus Henderson Group PLC $0.82
THRM Gentherm $0.58
FBC Flagstar Bancorp $2.65
CAT Caterpillar $1.93
TFX Teleflex $2.44
CNX Consol Energy $0.28
CBRE CBRE Group Inc $0.70
AMT American Tower $2.32
BLMN Bloomin’ Brands $0.34
TREE LendingTree -$0.21
TAP Molson Coors Brewing -$0.12
MO Altria $1.04
SAH Sonic Automotive $0.94
TROW T. Rowe Price $2.90
VC Visteon $0.32
TW Towers Watson $0.43
HSY Hershey $1.82
CCOI Cogent Communications $0.18
KEX Kirby $0.14
SPGI S&P Global Inc $3.13
BAX Baxter International $0.64
SO Southern Co. $0.83
SWI Solarwinds $0.19
BGCP BGC Partners $0.19
COHU Cohu $0.79
CWT California Water Service -$0.06
CFR Cullen/Frost Bankers $1.42
LH Laboratory Of America $7.34
TMHC Taylor Morrison Home $0.76
GPI Group 1 Automotive $4.39
NEM Newmont Mining $0.80
FMX Fomento Economico Mexicano Sab $8.67
AOS A.O. Smith $0.56
WAB Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies $0.85
WEX WEX $1.58
COLB Columbia Banking System $0.63
WLTW Willis $3.26
PATK Patrick Industries $1.32
VLY Valley National Bancorp $0.29
MMP Magellan Midstream Partners $0.87
KHC Kraft Heinz $0.60
IP International Paper $0.59
BC Brunswick $1.45
KIM Kimco Realty $0.30
KDP Keurig Dr Pepper $0.31
TMO Thermo Fisher Scientific $6.69
EEFT Euronet Worldwide $0.35
MTSI MACOM Technology Solutions $0.47
EXLS ExlService $0.99
AIT Applied Industrial Technologies $0.98
COR CoreSite Realty $1.33
STRA Strayer Education $1.49
IDA IdaCorp $0.83
GNRC Generac $1.87
ALNY Alnylam Pharmaceuticals -$1.73
XEL Xcel Energy $0.61
AIMC Altra Industrial Motion $0.76
TPX Tempur Sealy International $0.51
OSTK Overstock $0.07
NOC Northrop Grumman $5.48
FCN FTI Consulting $1.18
MDC MDC $1.37
SYNH Syneos Health Inc $0.74
BMY Bristol-Myers Squibb $1.83
DPZ Dominos Pizza $2.94
ATI Allegheny Technologies -$0.24
CMCSA Comcast $0.59
CG Carlyle $0.54
MRK Merck & Co $1.62
PCG PG&E $0.27
MA Mastercard $1.57
MCD McDonalds $1.81
LKQ LKQ $0.63
CMS CMS Energy Corporation $1.19
AGCO AGCO $1.11
ICE Intercontinental Exchange $1.30
PH Parker-Hannifin $3.75
CFX Colfax $0.39
BCE BCE (USA) $0.58
EME EMCOR $1.17
ABMD Abiomed $1.10
ERJ Embraer -$0.33
TXT Textron $0.47
CARR Carrier Global Corp $0.38
PRFT Perficient $0.68
KBR KBR $0.46
CHD Church Dwight $0.80
WST West Pharmaceutical Services $1.42
ADS Alliance Data Systems $3.23
CTXS Citrix Systems $1.42
NVT nVent Electric PLC $0.35
CUZ Cousins Properties $0.70
RMD ResMed $1.22
CUBE CubeSmart $0.45
TXRH Texas Roadhouse $0.59
GLPI Gaming And Leisure Properties $0.83
KLAC KLA-Tencor $3.59
OFC Orate Office Properties $0.55
FIVN Five9 $0.13
TEX Terex $0.22
X United States Steel $0.91
CRUS Cirrus Logic $0.69
SWKS Skyworks Solutions $2.34
WDC Western Digital $0.67
SWN Southwestern Energy $0.25
ACHC Acadia Healthcare $0.45
DLR Digital Realty $1.57
BVN Compania De Minas Buenaventura $0.11
GILD Gilead Sciences $2.02
AEM Agnico Eagle Mines USA $0.57
COLM Columbia Sportswear $0.33
TWTR Twitter $0.14
AJG Arthur J. Gallagher $1.83
FHI Federated Hermes Inc $0.77
PEB Pebblebrook Hotel -$0.44
CWST Casella Waste Systems $0.04
CXP Columbia Property $0.33
CPT Camden Property $1.23
COG Cabot Oil Gas $0.33
SGEN Seattle Genetics -$0.59
ATR AptarGroup $0.90
LPLA LPL Financial $1.58
EVTC Evertec $0.53
EXPO Exponent $0.43
DXCM Dexcom $0.31
ZEN Zendesk $0.12
PFPT Proofpoint $0.39
THG Hanover $0.75
FSLR First Solar $1.00
FBHS Fortune Brands Home Security $1.04
FWRD Forward Air $0.56
MMSI Merit Medical Systems $0.37
SPSC SPS Commerce $0.38
INT World Fuel Services $0.28
SKYW SkyWest $0.89
ERIE Erie Indemnity $1.41
POWI Power Integrations $0.55
ROG Rogers $1.79
OMCL Omnicell $0.67
BIO Bio-Rad Laboratories $2.50
HIG Hartford Financial Services $0.75
EMN Eastman Chemical $1.91
HP Helmerich & Payne -$0.61
EBS Emergent BioSolutions $1.55
PACB Pacific Biosciences Of California -$0.45
AMZN Amazon $9.98
FTNT Fortinet $0.74
NATI National Instruments $0.31
ALGT Allegiant Travel -$2.59
FTV Fortive Corp $0.60
MHK Mohawk Industries $2.80
BMRN BioMarin Pharmaceutical $0.27
VRTX Vertex Pharmaceuticals $2.76
MGNX MacroGenics -$0.51
KMPR Kemper $1.35
MDRX Allscripts Healthcare Solutions $0.15
COP ConocoPhillips $0.60
SHEN Shenandoah Telecommunications $1.01
USM United States Cellular $0.43
MTZ MasTec $0.77
GT Goodyear Tire & Rubber $0.08
TDS Telephone Data Systems $0.44
ETN Eaton $1.25
REGI Renewable Energy $0.20
PRAH PRA Health Sciences Inc $1.34
HUBG HUB $0.46
TPR Tapestry Inc $0.30
PRGO Perrigo $0.56
BLDR Builders Firstsource $0.81
BBD Banco Bradesco $0.10
TPL Texas Pacific Land $5.79
ASEKY Aisin Seiki Co $0.88
NLSN Nielsen $0.32
ARW Arrow Electronics $2.27
CLGX CoreLogic $0.97
TFSL Tfs Financial $0.07
UBSI United Bankshares $0.74
GRA W.R. Grace $0.73
PTCT PTC Therapeutics -$1.59
INSM Insmed -$1.02
TOELY Tokyo Electron Ltd PK $1.25
BBVA Banco Bilbaoizcaya Argentaria $0.15
GOL Gol Linhas Aereas Inteligentes -$0.91
SRCL Stericycle $0.59
AUOTY AU Optronics $0.33
CX Cemex Sab De Cv $0.03
PBR Petroleo Brasileiro Petrobras $0.12
TOT Total $0.85
AMRN Amarin -$0.03
TWOU 2U -$0.23
LYG Lloyds Banking $0.07
BEN Franklin Resources $0.74

Friday (April 30)

Ticker Company EPS Forecast
LYB LyondellBasell Industries $2.51
AVNT Avient Corp $0.72
BCPC Balchem $0.80
JCI Johnson Controls $0.49
HOCPY Hoya Corp $0.81
CL Colgate-Palmolive $0.79
BCS Barclays $0.41
AON AON $4.05
HUN Huntsman $0.58
PNM PNM Resources $0.19
XOM Exxon Mobil $0.60
CHTR Charter Communications $4.25
PSX Phillips 66 -$1.28
ITW Illinois Tool Works $1.90
GWW Grainger $4.31
HRC Hill-Rom $1.43
POR Portland General Electric $0.87
BSAC Banco Santander Chile $0.41
ABBV AbbVie $2.81
WY Weyerhaeuser $0.88
WPC W. P. Carey $0.51
SHLX Shell Midstream Partners $0.35
CVX Chevron $0.90
NWL Newell Brands Inc $0.13
MITSY Mitsui & Company $10.53
CLX Clorox $1.47
LAZ Lazard $0.88
LHX L3Harris Technologies Inc $2.96
KMTUY Komatsu $0.32
BNPQY BNP Paribas ADR $0.59
APELY Alps Electric $0.27
ALNPY ANA Holdings ADR -$0.90
PSXP Phillips 66 Partners $0.83
AZN Astrazeneca $0.68

 

Proliferation Of Acronyms In The Investment World

For example, home mortgages get packaged and sold as CMOs (collateralized mortgage obligations). Yet CMOs are only one type of CDO (collateralized debt obligation).

Often described as financial abbreviations, the list is long and never-ending. It includes ARMs, CDs, ETFs, MMKTs, REITs, TSAs (no, not that TSA), UITs, etc.

Even individual stocks have their own trading symbols, such as BA (Boeing), AAPL (Apple), T (AT&T), TSLA (Tesla).

BANKING AND CORPORATE ACRONYMS

The banking world has its own terms of description. They include AIR, APR, EFT (not to be confused with ETF), FDIC.

Others terms of note include CAGR, CAPEX, COB, EPS, LLC, MTD, NAV, NDA, P&L, P/E, ROA, ROI, ROIC, RONA, ROS, SIV, and TSR.

Also, there are cute descriptive terms to describe various products. Some of these are general (strips and spreads); others are more specific (TGREs, pronounced ‘tigers’; and SPDRs, pronounced ‘spiders’).

And if all that isn’t enough, let’s go to the corporate world where officers in senior management are identified by their position. A CFO is Chief Financial Officer, a COO is Chief Operating Officer, and a CAO is Chief Accounting Officer.

More designations include CFA, CFM, CIA (Certified Internal Auditor), CMA, CPA, and CSO.

The corporate world’s tendency to assign three-letter designations to its officers also includes a CMO. This person’s full title is Chief Marketing Officer and has nothing to do with the CMO (collateralized mortgage obligation) referred to earlier in this article.

ACRONYMS FOR BROKERS

Apart from the tendency to describe and define using acronyms and financial abbreviations, there are brokers who in the investment world who identify themselves with various activities. Among these are stock brokers, bond brokers, commodity brokers, and foreign exchange brokers.

Yet the tendency persists. Foreign exchange is abbreviated as FOREX, or simply FX. And some FOREX brokers are known as ECN brokers, or, ECN Forex brokers.

The acronym ECN stands for Electronic Communication Network.

“ECN or Electronic Communication Network is a technology bridge built with the purpose to links retail Forex market participants or traders to liquidity providers. So eventually ECN is a non dealing desk bridge with straight-through processing execution that enables execution in a direct connection between the parties.”

There are also NDD Forex brokers and STP Forex brokers.

GOVERNMENT ACRONYMS AND MORE

No where is the proliferation of acronyms more prevalent than in government. Their use borders on excessive and the list is mind boggling. Here are some government agencies – NSA, NSC, CIA, NTSB, FDA, DEA, OMB, FAA, UST, IRS, HEW, OSHA, TSA, GAO, BATF, FBI, SBA, SEC and EPA.

The sports world is full of them: NBA, NFL, NHL, NCAA, PGA, NASCAR, NHRA.

Acronyms are all around us. Texting and social media reinforce their use for reasons of speed and expediency.

I suppose if there is an argument against their use, it is that we may have dampened our capacity for linguistics and conversation. I wonder how many of us know what a specific acronym stands for when we read something in which one or more of them are referenced; or when we hear them mentioned in a news report.

Kelsey Williams is the author of two books: INFLATION, WHAT IT IS, WHAT IT ISN’T, AND WHO’S RESPONSIBLE FOR IT and ALL HAIL THE FED!

For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar.

S&P 500 Moves Closer To The 4000 Level

Tech Stocks Gain Ground As Treasury Yields Decline

S&P 500 futures are gaining ground in premarket trading as traders are optimistic on Biden’s infrastructure plan.

Interestingly, Treasury yields are moving lower despite the announcement of a roughly $2 trillion plan, which is bullish for tech stocks. Apple, Facebook, Microsoft and other leading tech shares are gaining ground in premarket trading.

Meanwhile, the U.S. dollar pulls back against a broad basket of currencies which is bullish for precious metals which have a chance to continue their rebound. Gold managed to settle above the $1700 level and is moving towards the resistance at the 20 EMA at $1730, providing additional support to shares of gold miners.

WTI Oil Tries To Settle Below The $60 Level As Traders Wait For Results Of OPEC+ Meeting

Today, OPEC+ members meet virtually to discuss the current situation in the oil market. Europe is facing a third wave of the virus, and European countries have already extended virus-related restrictions until late April. The situation in Brazil and India is also moving in the wrong direction, so oil demand recovery remains fragile.

According to recent reports, OPEC+ will choose between keeping current production cuts in place and gradually increasing production. Obviously, the market would like to see the extension of current production cuts.

At the same time, it remains to be seen whether the potential gradual increase of production levels will put additional pressure on the oil market.

Initial Jobless Claims Increase To 719,000

The U.S. has just provided Initial Jobless Claims and Continuing Jobless Claims reports.

The Initial Jobless Claims report indicated that 719,000 Americans filed for unemployment benefits in a week compared to analyst consensus of 680,000. The previous report was revised from 684,000 to 658,000. Continuing Jobless Claims declined from 3.84 million (revised from 3.87 million) to 3.79 million, mostly in line with the analyst consensus.

The U.S. will soon release the final reading of Manufacturing PMI report which is projected to show that Manufacturing PMI grew from 58.6 to 59. Unless the report is much worse than the analyst estimate, it should not have a major impact on today’s trading.

For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar.

Apple to Build Battery-Based Solar Energy Storage Project in California

By Stephen Nellis

Apple said the project will store 240 megawatt-hours of energy, or enough to power more than 7,000 homes for one day. It is located next to the California Flats solar installation in southeastern Monterey County, about 100 miles southeast of Apple’s Cupertino, California headquarters.

The site sends 130-megawatts of electricity directly to Apple’s California facilities during daylight hours but does not provide power during dark hours. Lisa Jackson, Apple’s vice president of environment, policy and social initiatives, told Reuters in an interview the company intends to develop what it believes will be one of the largest battery-based storage systems in the United States.

“The challenge with clean energy – solar and wind – is that it’s by definition intermittent,” Jackson told Reuters. “If we can do it, and we can show that it works for us, it takes away the concerns about intermittency and it helps the grid in terms of stabilization. It’s something that can be imitated or built upon by other companies.”

Jackson said that Apple plans to share its findings from building the project with other companies, but said it was too early to say precisely how it would do so. Apple has other projects where it has shared environmental technology developments, including an aluminum smelting joint venture in Canada and an Apple recycling technology lab in Texas.

Apple on Wednesday also said that 110 of its suppliers are now moving to using clean energy for the work they do for Apple, with about 8 gigawatts of clean energy production planned as a result, or what Apple said was the equivalent of removing 3.4 million cars from the road. The figure is an increase from last year when Apple said 70 of its suppliers had made the transition to clean energy for Apple work when it set a goal to eliminate carbon emissions from its supply chain by 2030.

(Reporting by Stephen Nellis in San Francisco; Editing by Christopher Cushing)

Apple to Host Developers Event Online Again as COVID-19 Cases Surge

The iPhone maker’s Worldwide Developers Conference, usually held in San Jose, California with more than 5,000 people attending, was moved completely online for the first time in June last year due to the coronavirus outbreak.

Apple said the event will be streamed for free again on its developer app or website.

The United States surpassed 30 million total cases of COVID-19 on Sunday, and the seven-day average of new cases was slightly less than 60,000 per day, according to officials of the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.

(Reporting by Eva Mathews in Bengaluru; Editing by Ramakrishnan M.)

Stocks Gain Ground Ahead Of The Weekend

Stocks Move Higher In Premarket Trading

S&P 500 futures are gaining some ground in premarket trading as bank stocks gained upside momentum after Federal Reserve Board stated that it would eliminate temporary restrictions on banks’ dividends and buybacks after June 30, 2021.

Meanwhile, Treasury yields continue to rebound after the recent pullback and are moving closer to recent highs. Big tech shares remain sensitive to developments in the U.S. government bond markets, and stocks like Tesla and Apple are under some pressure in premarket trading.

U.S. dollar remains strong against a broad basket of currencies, and the U.S. Dollar Index is trying to get to the test of the 93 level. If Treasury yields continue to rise, the U.S. dollar may gain more upside momentum, which will be bearish for commodities and may be also bearish for the stock market.

Suez Canal Remains Blocked

WTI oil is currently trying to get back above the $60 level as Suez Canal remains blocked by the huge container ship Ever Given. At this point, it is not clear whether the canal will be unblocked before the end of the month, and some experts say that the whole operation may take several weeks.

This is bullish for oil as Suez Canal is an important route for oil traders. This catalyst is strong enough to offset worries about the third wave of the virus in Europe, which have put pressure on oil in the second half of this month. If WTI oil manages to settle above the $60 level and moves higher, oil-related equities will get additional support.

Personal Income Declined By 7.1% In February

The U.S. has just provided Personal Income and Personal Spending reports for February. Personal Income declined by 7.1% month-over-month compared to analyst consensus which called for a decline of 7.3%. In January, Personal Income increased by 10.1% due to stimulus payments.

Personal Spending declined by 1% compared to analyst estimates which called for a decline of 0.7%.

Today, traders will also have a chance to take a look at the final reading of Consumer Confidence report for March which is projected to indicate that Consumer Confidence increased from 76.8 in February to 83.6 in March.

For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar.

Stocks Mixed After Yesterday’s Sell-Off

Treasury Yields Move Lower

S&P 500 futures are swinging between gains and losses in premarket trading as traders evaluate their next moves after yesterday’s sell-off.

On Thursday, Treasury yields surged to new highs and put significant pressure on tech stocks. S&P 500 finished the session down by 1.5%, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq lost 3%.

Today, the situation in the bond market calmed down, and Treasury yields pulled back from recent highs. This pullback was signifiant as the yield of 10-year Treasuries declined from 1.75% to 1.68% while the yield of 30-year Treasuries moved from 2.51% to 2.42%.

This pullback provides some support to tech stocks, and shares of yesterday’s losers like Tesla or Apple are gaining ground in premarket trading. It should be noted that it is not clear whether the pullback in Treasury yields will be sustainable as bond traders will likely remain worried about higher inflation in the near term.

Oil Tries To Rebound After Major Sell-Off

Yesterday, WTI oil moved from the $64 level to the test of the 50 EMA at $58.65 on fears about new virus-related restrictions in Europe. France was forced to impose a lockdown on Paris as more contagious variants of COVID-19 caused the third wave of the virus. The situation is also challenging in Poland, Italy and Germany.

Another wave of lockdowns may hurt the recovery of oil demand and put pressure on oil prices which were boosted by Saudi Arabia’s decision to cut its production by an additional 1 million barrels per day.

Currently, WTI oil is trying to settle back above the psychologically important $60 level. If this attempt is not successful, oil-related equities will find themselves under pressure.

U.S. Dollar Attempts To Get Above The Major Resistance Level

The U.S. Dollar Index, which measures the strength of the U.S. dollar against a broad basket of currencies, is currently trying to settle above the resistance at the 92 level. This resistance level has already been tested many times in recent trading sessions and served as a major obstacle on the way up for the American currency.

If the U.S. dollar manages to settle above the 92 level, it may gain significant upside momentum. In this scenario, precious metals like gold and silver will likely move lower. Stronger dollar will be also bearish for other dollar-denominated commodities. In addition, stronger dollar may put some pressure on stocks although traders will likely stay more focused on the dynamics of Treasury yields.

For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar.

Apple Stock Price Testing Deep Fibonacci Support Levels

The Apple stock price (AAPL) has reached an interesting decision zone. Although Warren Buffet recently sold a part of his AAPL stocks, he still owns a substantial amount of stock.

The recent $28 decline represents a 20% discount compared to the recent high at $145 in January 2021. Are there signs for a bullish recovery or trend? Let’s review.

Price Charts and Technical Analysis

AAPL 19.03.2021 chart

The main question is whether price has completed a bearish ABC (purple) pattern at the -100% Fib target or is price developing a larger bearish 5 wave pattern (red). Our main analysis favors the ABC down and now a 5 wave up (pink).

  1. Apple made a bearish bounce at the 50% Fibonacci resistance.
  2. Price is now testing the Fibonacci support levels. A wave 2 (pink) could bounce at any of these FIbs.
  3. Only a break below the bottom at $116.27 invalidates (red circle) the wave 123 (pink).
  4. A bullish breakout above the resistance zone (red box) confirms the upside (blue arrows) towards the Fibonacci targets – if not higher.

On the 15 minute chart, price action could be building a bearish ABC (grey) pattern. But the upside does not look as strong.

  1. With a choppy and corrective wave 1, the wave patterns are unfortunately not as clear as we like.
  2. The bearish price action, however, is also corrective and does like an ABC down.
  3. The main decision will occur when price tests the Fibs. A bullish bounce (blue arrows) could confirm a reversal.
  4. Another confirmation could arrive if price action is able to break above the resistance zone for a bullish push (green arrows).
  5. A deeper push invalidates the immediate uptrend at least (red circle).

Apple 19.03.2021 chart

Good trading,

Chris Svorcik

The analysis has been done with the indicators and template from the SWAT method (simple wave analysis and trading). For more daily technical and wave analysis and updates, sign-up to our newsletter

For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar.

Stocks Retreat Ahead Of Fed Interest Rate Decision

It’s Fed Day

S&P 500 futures are losing ground in premarket trading while traders wait for the Fed Interest Rate Decision and the subsequent commentary.

The Fed has previously signaled that it was not going to change the interest rate anytime soon, so the market will remain focused on the commentary. Traders will pay special attention to Fed’s economic projections which will show whether Fed’s view of the economic rebound has changed.

The huge $1.9 trillion stimulus package may push inflation to higher levels, but the Fed was not concerned about higher inflation in its previous comments. Most likely, Fed Chair Jerome Powell will remain focused on the state of the job market which has not recovered from the blow dealt by the pandemic.

At the same time, Powell must find words to calm bond traders as Treasury yields have increased materially since the beginning of the year.

Treasury Yields Move To New Highs

Bond traders remain nervous ahead of the Fed Interest Rate Decision and sell U.S. government bonds, pushing their yields higher.

Currently, the yield of 10-year Treasuries is trying to settle above 1.66%, while the yield of 30-year Treasuries is testing the 2.41% level. It should be noted that Treasury yields have already recovered to pre-pandemic levels as traders expect higher inflation after the new round of economic stimulus.

Higher yields may put more pressure on tech stocks. Big tech stocks like Tesla, Apple, Facebook are down by more than 1% in premarket trading. If Jerome Powell fails to calm bond markets and yields continue to move higher, tech stocks will find themselves under more pressure.

Housing Starts Declined By 10.3% In February

The U.S. has just released Building Permits and Housing Starts reports. Building Permits decreased by 10.8% month-over-month in February compared to analyst forecast which called for a decline of 7.2%.

Housing Starts declined by 10.3% month-over-month while analysts expected that they would grow by 2.3%.

Housing market reports were weaker than expected, but it remains to be seen whether they will put additional pressure on the stock market as traders remain focused on the Fed.

For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar.

Apple Gets Boost in French Privacy Fight, but Still Faces Probe

By Mathieu Rosemain and Foo Yun Chee

Apple’s new ‘App Tracking Transparency’ feature allows users to block advertisers from tracking them across different applications.

The U.S. tech giant says it defends data privacy rights, but it faces criticism from Facebook, app developers and startups whose business models rely on advertising tracking.

French groups IAB France, MMAF, SRI and UDECAM complained to the French watchdog last year, saying the feature would not affect Apple’s ability to send targeted ads to users of its own iOS software without seeking their prior consent.

The head of the watchdog, Isabelle de Silva, said she had worked closely with France’s CNIL data privacy regulator in deciding to reject the request to suspend the feature.

She said CNIL estimated the pop-up box put in place by Apple could benefit users in an ever-more complex online advertising environment, and was presented in clear and unbiased way, as requested by the European Union’s GDPR data protection rules.

These rules weighed heavily on the watchdog’s decision, de Silva said, as the authority went against the recommendations of its own investigators, who favoured suspending Apple’s privacy features.

The lead investigator had even mentioned the risk of “privacy washing, de Silva said, or the possibility that Apple’s defence of privacy is more in appearance than substance.

“There may be privacy washing, we’re not naive,” she said. “However, the GDPR is binding on us and as a member of a European legal system, I believe that everyone must take it into account.”

Still, the watchdog said it would continue investigating whether Apple favours its own services and products, with a decision expected by early next year at the latest.

Apple was not immediately available to comment on de Silva’s remarks, but said in a statement it welcomed the watchdog’s decision that the ‘App Tracking Transparency’ feature was in the best interests of French customers.

The complainants said they were disappointed by that decision, but welcomed the probe into Apple’s conduct.

They have alleged Apple’s behaviour constitutes an abuse of its dominant position, because developers have to agree to Apple’s terms to see their apps appear on the company’s App Store and become available to iPhone users.

Two-thirds of the time French people spent online in 2020 was on smartphones, according to researchers Mediametrie.

Facebook’s CEO Mark Zuckerberg accused Apple earlier this year of having “every incentive to use their dominant platform position to interfere with how our apps and other apps work.”

(Reporting by Mathieu Rosemain. Additional reporting by Foo Yun Chee in Brussels. Editing by John Stonestreet and Mark Potter)