Earnings to Watch Next Week: Marriott, Electronic Arts, Alibaba and Walt Disney in Focus

Earnings Calendar For The Week Of May 10

Monday (May 10)

IN THE SPOTLIGHT: MARRIOTT

Marriott International, an American multinational diversified hospitality company, is expected to report its first-quarter earnings of $0.03 per share, which represents a year-over-year decline of over 88% from $0.26 per share seen in the same quarter a year ago.

The U.S. hotel operator’s revenue would slump about 50% to $2.36 billion. However, in the last quarter, the company has delivered an earnings surprise of over 20%.

“Largest hotel brand company globally creates economies of scale, but the spread of COVID-19 will pressure unit growth. With the stock trading near its historical average multiple, we see too wide a risk-reward to justify recommending, with upside/downside driven by how severe and quick business trends return to normal post-COVID-19,” noted Thomas Allen, equity analyst at Morgan Stanley.

Tuesday (May 11)

IN THE SPOTLIGHT: ELECTRONIC ARTS

Electronic Arts, one of the world’s largest video game publishers, is expected to report its fiscal fourth-quarter earnings of $1.04 per share, which represents a year-over-year decline of over 3% from $1.08 per share seen in the same quarter a year ago.

The world’s largest video game publishers would post revenue growth of about 15% to around $1.39 billion. However, in the last four quarters, the company has delivered an earnings surprise of over 500%.

“For the fourth quarter of fiscal 2021, EA expects GAAP revenues of $1.317 billion, cost of revenues to be $302 million, and operating expenses of $837 million. EA anticipates a loss per share of 7 cents for the fourth quarter. Net bookings are expected to be $1.375 billion, which indicates an increase of $75 million over the prior guidance. For fiscal 2021, EA expects revenues of $5.6 billion, cost of revenues to be $1.477 billion, and earnings per share of $2.54,” noted analysts at ZACKS Research.

Wednesday (May 12)

Ticker Company EPS Forecast
WEN Wendy’s $0.15
WIX WIX -$0.68
DT Dynatrace Holdings $0.14
WWW Wolverine World Wide $0.40
LITE Lumentum Holdings Inc $1.42
DOX Amdocs $1.13
JACK Jack In The Box $1.29
GOCO Gocompare.Com $0.00
SONO Sonos Inc -$0.22
PAAS Pan American Silver USA $0.30
MAURY Marui ADR $0.15
TM Toyota Motor $3.67
AEG Aegon $0.17
BRFS BRF $0.02
EBR Centrais Eletricas Brasileiras $0.27
BAYRY Bayer AG PK $0.73
TCEHY Tencent $0.53
DM Dominion Midstream Partners -$0.13
FLO Flowers Foods $0.37

Thursday (May 13)

IN THE SPOTLIGHT: ALIBABA, WALT DISNEY

ALIBABA: China’s Alibaba Group Holding, the largest online and mobile e-commerce company in the world, is expected to report its fiscal fourth-quarter earnings of $1.82 per share, up over 40% from the same quarter a year ago. China’s biggest online commerce company’s revenue to surge more than 70% to $27.7 billion.

“Heightened investments in Taobao Deal and Grocery for user acquisition in less-affluent regions in China, should support long-term growth in core e-commerce business. Merchants’ marketing budgets will continue to shift online given rising reliance on e-commerce and better conversion. Alibaba’s ad resources remain under-monetized,” noted Gary Yu, equity analyst at Morgan Stanley.

“Digitalization trend in China will also sustain AliCloud’s growth potential. Gradual margin expansion will be a long-term profit driver. We see limited near-term catalysts but F22e P/E valuation remains attractive. We also see further downside support from additional disclosure to separate losses from new investments from profitable core e-commerce businesses.”

WALT DISNEY: The world’s leading producers and providers of entertainment and information is expected to report its fiscal second-quarter earnings of $0.27 per share, which represents a year-over-year decline of over 50%. The Chicago, Illinois-based family entertainment company’s revenue would slump over 10% to $ 16.1 billion.

Disney is building content assets that enable it to take advantage of the significant direct-to-consumer streaming opportunity ahead. Disney’s underlying IP remains best-in-class, supporting long-term content monetization opportunities,” noted Benjamin Swinburne, equity analyst at Morgan Stanley.

“During this period of FCF pressure from Parks closures, ESPN’s FCF generation is key to driving down leverage. Historical cycles suggest a potential return to above prior peak US Parks revenues in FY23.”

TAKE A LOOK AT OUR EARNINGS CALENDAR FOR THE FULL RELEASES FOR THE MAY 13

Ticker Company EPS Forecast
CELH Celsius $0.00
HAE Haemonetics $0.69
BABA Alibaba $11.80
BAM Brookfield Asset Management USA $0.87
TAC TransAlta USA $0.06
UTZ Utz Brands $0.15
VERX Vertex Inc. Cl A $0.05
FTCH Farfetch -$0.28
DIS Walt Disney $0.27
AMAT Applied Materials $1.50
DDS Dillards $1.20
VNET 21Vianet -$0.02
TEF Telefonica $0.16
PBR Petroleo Brasileiro Petrobras $0.12
NICE Nice Systems $1.50
TYOYY Taiyo Yuden ADR $2.09
IX Orix $1.97
SGAMY Sega Sammy ADR -$0.02
SOMLY Secom ADR $0.27
OJIPY Oji ADR $1.57
SBS Companhia De Saneamento Basico $0.15

Friday (May 14)

Ticker Company EPS Forecast
MFG Mizuho Financial $0.06
CIG Companhia Energetica Minas Gerais $0.08
HMC Honda Motor $0.41
SMFG Sumitomo Mitsui Financial $0.12
RDY Drreddys Laboratories $0.52

 

Kellogg Shares Soar on Q1 Earnings Beat and Raised Outlook

Kellogg shares rose over 8% on Thursday after the leading worldwide manufacturer and marketer of ready-to-eat cereals, reported better-than-expected earnings and revenue in the first quarter and lifted the fiscal year 2021 guidance.

The U.S. second-largest biscuit maker reported net sales rose over 5% to $3.58 billion in the quarter ended April 3, up from $3.41 billion seen in the same period a year ago. That was higher than the Wall Street consensus estimates of $3.38 billion.

The Battle Creek, Michigan-based company said its diluted earnings per share rose over 12% to $1.11, beating analysts’ expectations of $0.95 per share.

Kellogg forecasts sales growth to finish 2021 nearly flat year-on-year, an improvement from the previous expectations of about a 1% decline. Adjusted earnings per share is expected to increase by nearly 1% to 2%, up from the previous forecast of a 1% rise.

Following the upbeat results, Kellogg shares rose as high as 8% to $68.14 on Thursday. The stock rose over 8% so far this year.

Analyst Comments

“We expect a positive stock reaction to Kellogg’s large Q1 topline/profit/EPS beat, despite the cycling of solid topline growth in 1Q20, along with slightly raised FY21 guidance. While the magnitude of the FY21 raise was small (organic sales +100 bps, OP/EPS growth +50 bps), it was unexpected as there were concerns about lower or lower-quality FY guidance with commodity pressure,” noted Dara Mohsenian, equity analyst at Morgan Stanley.

Kellogg Stock Price Forecast

Five analysts who offered stock ratings for Kellogg in the last three months forecast the average price in 12 months of $66.00 with a high forecast of $72.00 and a low forecast of $60.00.

The average price target represents a -2.73% decrease from the last price of $67.85. Of those five analysts, two rated “Buy”, three rated “Hold” while none rated “Sell”, according to Tipranks.

Morgan Stanley gave the base target price to $60 with a high of $71 under a bull scenario and $43 under the worst-case scenario. The firm gave an “Equal-weight” rating on the food manufacturing company’s stock.

Several other analysts have also updated their stock outlook. Kellogg had its price target cut by Deutsche Bank to $70 from $75. They currently have a buy rating on the stock. Citigroup reduced their price objective to $72 from $75. Jefferies Financial Group dropped their target price to $65 from $69 and set a hold rating. Piper Sandler lowered Kellogg from an overweight rating to a neutral rating and dropped their target price to $66 from $76.

Upside and Downside Risks

Risks to Upside: Higher US snacks growth on reinvestment/innovation, stabilized US cereal business with innovation and higher ad spend, higher-margin expansion on greater cost savings and moderate commodities – highlighted by Morgan Stanley.

Risks to Downside: Pricing pressure in the US (65% of sales) with retailer friction, COVID-related supply chain disruptions in 2020, lower operating profit growth on higher reinvestment needs and cost pressure.

Check out FX Empire’s earnings calendar