Microsoft Could Hit New All-Time High on Strong Q4 Earnings; Target Price $308

The Redmond, Washington-based global technology giant, Microsoft, is expected to post its fiscal fourth-quarter earnings of $1.91 per share, which represents year-over-year growth of over 30% from $1.46 per share seen in the same quarter a year ago.

The world’s largest software maker would post revenue growth of over 15% to around $44.1 billion, up from the $38.03 billion a year earlier. In the last four consecutive quarters, on average, the company has delivered an earnings surprise of over 15%.

Microsoft’s better-than-expected results, which will be announced on Tuesday, July 27, would help the stock hit new all-time highs. Microsoft shares have surged more than 30% so far this year.

Analyst Comments

“Channel work and our CIO survey point to building momentum across the Cloud, Hybrid and On-premises portfolio, which should power a solid Q4. While investors seek reassurances margin expansion continues into FY22, our model suggests durable high-teens EPS growth and upside in the shares,” noted Keith Weiss, equity analyst at Morgan Stanley.

“Strong positioning for public cloud adoption, large distribution channels and installed customer base, and improving margins support a path well beyond $1T mkt cap. Durable double-digit NT rev growth is supported by Azure (winning in public cloud), data center (share gains and positive pricing trends), O365 (base growth and ARPU uplift) and LinkedIn. GM % improvement, continued opex discipline and strong capital return lead to durable teens total return profile. At ~29x CY22e GAAP EPS, Microsoft (MSFT) trades at a premium to the S&P, warranted due to MSFT’s premium return profile. Multiple expansion will likely come from gaining comfort in the durability of commercial business gross profit dollars.”

Microsoft Stock Price Forecast

Twenty-five analysts who offered stock ratings for Microsoft in the last three months forecast the average price in 12 months of $308.65 with a high forecast of $378.00 and a low forecast of $270.00.

The average price target represents a 6.78% change from the last price of $289.05. All of those 25 analysts rated “Buy”, none rated “Hold” or “Sell”, according to Tipranks.

Morgan Stanley gave the stock price forecast of $300 with a high of $380 under a bull scenario and $195 under the worst-case scenario. The firm gave an “Overweight” rating on the global technology giant’s stock.

Several other analysts have also updated their stock outlook. Microsoft had its target price lifted by Barclays to $325 from $288. The brokerage currently has an overweight rating on the software giant’s stock. Citigroup reissued a buy rating and issued a $378.00 price target. Jefferies Financial Group lifted their price target to $310 from $290 and gave the company a buy rating.

Microsoft’s (MSFT) been a significant outperformer YTD, up 30% vs software index up 15% (IGV), setting the bar slightly higher for MSFT shares going into the F4Q print. F4Q expectations are achievable, supported by MSFT’s diverse portfolio including Azure and Teams driving up selling. Key items to watch are FY22 margin pressure, elevated expectations and more color on recent M&A and broader aspirations. Maintain Buy, Raise PT to $335,” noted Brent Thill, equity analyst at Jefferies.

Check out FX Empire’s earnings calendar

Monstrous Earnings Week Ahead: Tesla, Google, Microsoft, Apple, Facebook and Amazon in Focus

Earnings Calendar For The Week Of July 26

Monday (July 26)

IN THE SPOTLIGHT: TESLA, LOCKHEED MARTIN

TESLA: The California-based electric vehicle and clean energy company is expected to report its second-quarter earnings of $0.94 per share, which represents year-over-year growth of over 113% from $0.44 per share seen in the same quarter a year ago.

The high-performance electric vehicle manufacturer would post revenue growth of about 90% to around $11.4 billion. The electric vehicle producer has beaten earnings three times in the last four quarters.

“A double-fly-wheel. We believe Tesla can leverage its cost leadership in EVs to aggressively expand its user base, over time generating a higher % of revenue from recurring/high-margin services revenue. Services drives the upside. We forecast Tesla’s network services EBITDA as a % of total TSLA EBITDA to reach 11% by 2025, ~18% by 2030 and ~35% by 2040. Tesla Service revenue includes automated driving, infotainment, upgrades, supercharging, maintenance, telematics, etc,” noted Adam Jonas, equity analyst at Morgan Stanley.

“Valuation supportive vs. tech. Including Network Services, Energy & Insurance to our core auto fcst, at $900 Tesla trades at ~29x EV/EBITDA in 2025 and ~6x 2025 sales. Expensive vs. auto but not vs. software/tech comps.”

LOCKHEED MARTIN: The Bethesda, Maryland-based global security and aerospace company is expected to report its second-quarter earnings of $6.53 per share, which represents year-over-year growth of about 13% from $5.79 per share seen in the same quarter a year ago.

The world’s largest defense contractor would post revenue growth of over 4% to around $16.9 billion. It is worth noting that the aerospace company has beaten earnings in all last eight quarters.

TAKE A LOOK AT OUR EARNINGS CALENDAR FOR THE FULL RELEASES FOR THE JULY 26

Ticker Company EPS Forecast
PSON Pearson £8.40
LMT Lockheed Martin $6.53
PHG Koninklijke Philips $0.47
CHKP Check Point Software Technologies $1.56
LII Lennox International $4.39
RPM RPM International $1.26
BOH Bank of Hawaii $1.31
DORM Dorman Products $1.04
TSLA Tesla $0.94
KOF Coca Cola Femsa Sab De Cv $14.53
ARE Alexandria Real Estate Equities $0.62
AMP Ameriprise Financial $5.20
SUI Sun Communities $0.57
BRO Brown & Brown $0.40
UHS Universal Health Services $2.69
PKG Packaging Of America $1.77
FFIV F5 Networks $2.46
AGNC American Capital Agency $0.65
ACC American Campus Communities -$0.07
AMKR Amkor Technology $0.45
CR Crane $1.39
ADC Agree Realty $0.47
SSD Simpson Manufacturing $1.61
AXTA Axalta Coating Systems $0.46
TNET TriNet $0.81
HXL Hexcel $0.01
RRC Range Resources $0.25
PCH Potlatch $2.55
JJSF J&J Snack Foods $0.76
IBTX Independent Bank $1.31
CATY Cathay General Bancorp $0.83
AIN Albany International $0.73
CALX Calix $0.27
IBA Industrias Bachoco Sab De Cv $1.22
ARI Apollo Commercial Real Est Finance $0.36
PPERY PT Bank Mandiri Persero TBK $0.18
CDNS Cadence Design Systems $0.76
OTIS Otis Worldwide Corp $0.72
RYAAY Ryanair -$1.46
HAS Hasbro $0.48
WWD Woodward $0.98
ACKAY Arcelik ADR $0.46
GT Goodyear Tire & Rubber $0.16
TTM Tata Motors -$0.31
CBU Community Bank System $0.80
SANM Sanmina $0.91
BDN Brandywine Realty $0.01
FRME First Merchants $0.91

Tuesday (July 27)

IN THE SPOTLIGHT: GOOGLE (ALPHABET), MICROSOFT, APPLE

GOOGLE (ALPHABET): The parent of Google and the world’s largest search engine that dominates internet search activity globally is expected to report its second-quarter earnings of $19.33 per share, which represents year-over-year growth of about 90% from $10.13 per share seen in the same quarter a year ago.

The Mountain View, California-based internet giant would post revenue growth of more than 45% to around $56.16 billion. It is worth noting that the company, on average, has delivered an earnings surprise of over 43% in the last four quarters.

Alphabet’s better-than-expected results, which will be announced on Tuesday, July 27, would help the stock hit new all-time highs. Alphabet shares surged more than 50% so far this year. On Friday, the stock closed at a fresh record high at $2,660.30, up 3.57%.

MICROSOFT: The Redmond, Washington-based global technology giant would report its fiscal fourth-quarter earnings of $1.91 per share, which represents year-over-year growth of over 30% from $1.46 per share seen in the same quarter a year ago. The world’s largest software maker would post revenue growth of over 15% to around $44.1 billion, up from the $38.03 billion a year earlier.

“Channel work and our CIO survey point to building momentum across the Cloud, Hybrid and On-premise portfolio, which should power a solid Q4. While investors seek reassurances margin expansion continues into FY22, our model suggests durable high-teens EPS growth and upside in the shares,” noted Keith Weiss, equity analyst at Morgan Stanley.

Microsoft’s better-than-expected results, which will be announced on Tuesday, July 27, would help the stock hit new all-time highs. Microsoft shares have surged more than 30% so far this year.

APPLE: The consumer electronics giant would post its fiscal third-quarter earnings of $1.01 per share, which represents year-over-year growth of over 55% from $0.65 per share seen in the same quarter a year ago.

The iPhone manufacturer would post revenue growth of over 20% to around $73.3 billion up from $59.69 billion a year earlier. It is worth noting that the company has beaten earnings in all last eight quarters.

TAKE A LOOK AT OUR EARNINGS CALENDAR FOR THE FULL RELEASES FOR THE JULY 27

Ticker Company EPS Forecast
SIRI Sirius XM $0.07
IEX IDEX $1.62
PCAR PACCAR $1.40
MMM 3M $2.29
MSCI Msci $2.31
ENPH Enphase Energy $0.42
LSXMK Liberty Media SiriusXM C $0.36
LSXMA Liberty Media SiriusXM A $0.48
CVLT Commvault Systems $0.52
LOGI Logitech Internationalusa $0.90
MXIM Maxim Integrated Products $0.85
ST Sensata Technologies $0.88
CNC Centene $1.22
UPS United Parcel Service $2.79
TRU TransUnion $0.91
SHW Sherwin-Williams $2.67
IVZ Invesco $0.70
FELE Franklin Electric $0.80
LW Lamb Weston Holdings Inc $0.42
IQV IQVIA Holdings Inc $2.07
RTX Raytheon Technologies Corp $0.93
ENTG Entegris $0.79
LECO Lincoln Electric $1.48
FISV Fiserv $1.28
DTE DTE Energy $1.36
GE General Electric $0.03
ROK Rockwell Automation $2.09
WM Waste Management $1.19
SWK Stanley Black & Decker $2.88
ADM Archer-Daniels Midland $1.02
HUBB Hubbell $2.16
PNR Pentair Ordinary Share $0.79
BSX Boston Scientific $0.37
ECL Ecolab $1.21
PPBI Pacific Premier Bancorp $0.71
GPK Graphic Packaging $0.28
PHM PulteGroup $1.73
AWI Armstrong World Industries $1.05
RGEN Repligen $0.52
SFNC Simmons First National $0.52
SSTK Shutterstock $0.68
ABG Asbury Automotive $4.60
MPWR Monolithic Power Systems $1.69
CHRW C.H. Robinson Worldwide $1.33
MANH Manhattan Associates $0.43
GOOG Alphabet $19.33
CB Chubb $3.00
AMD Advanced Micro Devices $0.54
PGRE Paramount Group -$0.05
SBUX Starbucks $0.77
CAKE Cheesecake Factory $0.72
EGP EastGroup Properties $0.67
AXS Axis Capital $1.42
WSBC WesBanco $0.75
HIW Highwoods Properties $0.33
STAG STAG Industrial $0.12
VIST Vista Oil Gas $0.15
NAVI Navient $0.85
EHC Encompass Health Corp $0.98
OMAB Grupo Aeroportuario Del Centro Nort $11.31
NOV National Oilwell Varco -$0.13
V Visa $1.34
GOOGL Alphabet $19.24
BXP Boston Properties $0.57
AAT American Assets $0.11
MSFT Microsoft $1.91
JNPR Juniper Networks $0.39
BYD Boyd Gaming $0.90
MASI Masimo $0.90
MTDR Matador Resources $0.75
CSGP CoStar $0.23
FIBK First Interstate BancSystem $0.72
OLN Olin $1.44
EQR Equity Residential $0.19
EXR Extra Space Storage $1.06
EPR EPR Properties $0.06
USNA USANA Health Sciences $1.72
THG Hanover $2.38
UMBF UMB Financial $1.75
CHE Chemed $4.29
SYK Stryker $2.13
MDLZ Mondelez International $0.65
MAT Mattel -$0.06
PFG Principal Financial $1.52
AAPL Apple $1.01
TER Teradyne $1.75
VIV Telefonica Brasil $0.13
ASH Ashland $1.31
GLW Corning $0.51
PII Polaris Industries $2.15
JBLU JetBlue Airways -$0.74
RDY Drreddys Laboratories $0.55
XRX Xerox $0.40
CIT CIT $0.86
SID Companhia Siderurgica Nacional $0.86
RNST Renasant $0.77

Wednesday (July 28)

IN THE SPOTLIGHT: FACEBOOK

The world’s largest online social network is expected to report its second-quarter earnings of $3.04 per share, which represents year-over-year growth of about 70% from $1.80 per share seen in the same quarter a year ago. The Menlo Park, California-based social media conglomerate would post revenue growth of over 49% to around $28.0 billion.

“Monetization Potential: We are positive on FB’s monetization roll-out of Instagram as well as FB’s ability to continue to innovate and improve its monetization (Canvas Ads, Dynamic Ads, video). Combined with the high and growing engagement we see monetization upside going forward,” noted Brian Nowak, equity analyst at Morgan Stanley.

“Investing from Position of Strength to Drive Faster Long-Term Growth: We are modeling ~33% GAAP opex (excl. one-time items) growth in 2021, implying an incremental ~$18bn in opex. Our base case model implies opex per employee moderates in ’21 while FB hiring remains roughly flat on an absolute basis. We believe FB will grow EPS at a ~39% CAGR (2019-2022).”

TAKE A LOOK AT OUR EARNINGS CALENDAR FOR THE FULL RELEASES FOR THE JULY 28

Ticker Company EPS Forecast
PTC PTC $0.63
URI United Rentals $4.90
ENSG Ensign $0.88
ALKS ALKERMES $0.12
TYL Tyler Technologies $1.63
AMG Affiliated Managers $3.85
SF Stifel Financial $1.38
FIX Comfort Systems USA $0.91
MSA MSA Safety $1.04
CBD Companhia Brasileira De Distrib $0.04
ALGT Allegiant Travel $2.55
GD General Dynamics $2.55
HES Hess $0.11
PFE Pfizer $0.97
QCOM Qualcomm $1.68
HP Helmerich & Payne -$0.56
UMC United Microelectronics $0.14
BA Boeing -$0.81
EQIX Equinix $1.87
DB Deutsche Bank $0.33
RJF Raymond James Financial $2.27
SAN Banco Santander $0.13
HNP Huaneng Power International $0.86
LRCX Lam Research $7.59
APH Amphenol $0.55
EVR Evercore Partners $2.71
PPC Pilgrim’s Pride $0.52
R Ryder System $1.38
NSC Norfolk Southern $2.97
FORM FormFactor $0.33
SHOO Steven Madden $0.31
SCI Service International $0.67
ADP ADP $1.14
MNRO Monro Muffler Brake $0.52
SLAB Silicon Laboratories $0.93
BXMT Blackstone Mortgage $0.60
PAG Penske Automotive $2.76
ROL Rollins $0.18
BCS Barclays $0.54
CAJ Canon $0.33
XLNX Xilinx $0.78
HUM Humana $6.82
AVY Avery Dennison $2.05
NYCB New York Community Bancorp $0.30
SCL Stepan $1.84
GSK Glaxosmithkline $0.55
CME CME $1.61
TEVA Teva Pharmaceutical Industries $0.59
MCD McDonalds $2.11
BSBR Banco Santander Brasil $0.20
EXP Eagle Materials $2.07
DT Dynatrace Holdings $0.15
EEFT Euronet Worldwide $0.65
SPOT Spotify -$0.38
OC Owens Corning $2.14
FMX Fomento Economico Mexicano Sab $14.29
BMY Bristol-Myers Squibb $1.89
VRTS Virtus Investment Partners $8.11
GRMN Garmin $1.26
SIX Swiss Exchange -$0.22
CCJ Cameco USA -$0.05
TDY Teledyne Technologies $2.70
IART Integra LifeSciences $0.66
GNRC Generac $2.30
MCO Moody’s $2.77
VRT Veritas Pharma $0.24
EPD Enterprise Products Partners $0.50
GIB CGI Group USA $1.08
TMO Thermo Fisher Scientific $5.47
TEL TE Connectivity $1.58
SLGN Silgan $0.83
PB Prosperity Bancshares $1.39
ODFL Old Dominion Freight Line $2.17
BG Bunge $1.62
LFUS Littelfuse $2.24
CNMD CONMED $0.62
CP Canadian Pacific Railway USA $1.00
AVB AvalonBay Communities $0.74
ALGN Align Technology $2.52
AM Antero Midstream Partners $0.19
CNO CNO Financial Group $0.54
CINF Cincinnati Financial $0.99
SSNC SS&C Technologies $1.14
MTH Meritage Homes $3.28
TTEK Tetra Tech $0.88
MKSI MKS Instruments $2.95
ROIC Retail Opportunity Investments $0.06
SIGI Selective $1.23
VAC Marriottacations Worldwide $0.89
PDM Piedmont Office Realty $0.05
IRBT Irobot $0.32
UDR UDR $0.01
EXAS Exact Sciences -$0.75
MOH Molina Healthcare $3.39
EQT EQT $0.04
MXL MaxLinear $0.50
IR Ingersoll Rand $0.42
AGI Alamos Gold $0.11
MAA Mid-America Apartment Communities $0.55
KGC Kinross Gold USA $0.13
ESRT Empire State Realty -$0.01
BSMX Santander Mexico Fincl Gp Sab Decv $0.17
CRUS Cirrus Logic $0.39
MUSA Murphy USA $3.21
RE Everest Re $8.58
VALE Vale $1.47
DRE Duke Realty $0.19
PYPL PayPal $1.12
NOW ServiceNow $1.21
CCS Century Communities $2.84
NLY Annaly Capital Management $0.27
TROX Tronox $0.52
XPO XPO Logistics $1.66
SAVE Spirit Airlines -$0.86
PAC Grupo Aeroportuario Del Pacifico $1.14
CHX ChampionX Corp $0.10
NUVA NuVasive $0.44
FBHS Fortune Brands Home Security $1.39
NOVA Nova Mentis Life Science Corp -$0.24
FB Facebook $3.04
ACGL Arch Capital $0.84
CONE CyrusOne $0.04
AR Antero Resources $0.20
AEM Agnico Eagle Mines USA $0.59
RBC Regal Beloit Corporation $2.07
PEGA Pegasystems -$0.18
AFL Aflac $1.28
PKI PerkinElmer $2.44
CHDN Churchill Downs $2.51
PEB Pebblebrook Hotel -$0.65
CTSH Cognizant Technology Solutions $0.96
HOLX Hologic $1.12
KRC Kilroy Realty $0.29
ALSN Allison Transmission $0.93
F Ford Motor -$0.04
ASGN On Assignment $1.29
HIG Hartford Financial Services $1.34
ORLY O’Reilly Automotive $7.51
ISBC Investors Bancorp $0.31

Thursday (July 29)

IN THE SPOTLIGHT: AMAZON.COM

The eCommerce leader for physical and digital merchandise is expected to report its second-quarter earnings of $12.24 per share, which represents year-over-year growth of about 19% from $10.3 per share seen in the same quarter a year ago.

The Seattle, Washington-based multinational technology giant would post revenue growth of about 29% to around $115 billion. The company has beaten earnings per share (EPS) estimates at all times in the last four quarters.

TAKE A LOOK AT OUR EARNINGS CALENDAR FOR THE FULL RELEASES FOR THE JULY 29

Ticker Company EPS Forecast
RLGY Realogy $1.08
VSTO Vista Outdoor $0.90
AGCO AGCO $2.20
PCG PG&E $0.28
MATX Matson $2.96
PRFT Perficient $0.79
NATI National Instruments $0.05
GPI Group 1 Automotive $7.59
CFX Colfax $0.53
CMS CMS Energy Corporation $0.46
LYG Lloyds Banking $0.14
MHK Mohawk Industries $3.59
EBS Emergent BioSolutions $1.41
TXT Textron $0.65
AUOTY AU Optronics $0.56
CMCSA Comcast $0.66
VLO Valero Energy $0.17
CG Carlyle $0.60
ABEV Ambev $0.02
NLSN Nielsen $0.36
MTD Mettler Toledo International $7.62
ADS Alliance Data Systems $3.68
FTNT Fortinet $0.88
FTV Fortive Corp $0.60
ASX Advanced Semiconductor Engineering $0.16
LKQ LKQ $0.75
ERJ Embraer -$0.26
TFX Teleflex $2.87
CARR Carrier Global Corp $0.55
CX Cemex Sab De Cv $0.16
ORAN Orange $0.18
CVE Cenovus Energy USA $0.26
MT Arcelormittal $2.52
MA Mastercard $1.74
KBR KBR $0.50
HOCPY Hoya Corp $0.85
YUM Yum Brands $0.96
EIX Edison International $1.02
EME EMCOR $1.58
AGIO Agios Pharmaceuticals -$1.35
KPELY Keppel Corporation $0.18
BUD Anheuser-Busch $0.87
CS Credit Suisse $0.22
DANOY Danone PK $0.45
SNY Sanofi $0.77
AZN Astrazeneca $0.45
TEF Telefonica $0.14
STM Stmicroelectronics $0.37
GRFS Grifolsbarcelona $0.26
THRM Gentherm $0.65
WWW Wolverine World Wide $0.49
CNX Consol Energy $0.24
CBRE CBRE Group Inc $0.77
TAP Molson Coors Brewing $1.35
VC Visteon $0.05
KEX Kirby $0.14
TREE LendingTree -$0.63
SAH Sonic Automotive $1.38
HSY Hershey $1.42
AMT American Tower $1.27
TW Towers Watson $0.39
OSK Oshkosh $2.25
MAS Masco $1.04
MO Altria $1.18
TROW T. Rowe Price $3.19
CTXS Citrix Systems $1.22
SPGI S&P Global Inc $3.26
BAX Baxter International $0.75
ICE Intercontinental Exchange $1.16
SO Southern Co. $0.79
NTCT Netscout Systems $0.18
GOL Gol Linhas Aereas Inteligentes -$0.91
CFR Cullen/Frost Bankers $1.56
CWT California Water Service $0.41
FSS Federal Signal $0.45
AER AerCap $1.37
COLB Columbia Banking System $0.66
COR CoreSite Realty $0.45
WEX WEX $1.95
TMHC Taylor Morrison Home $0.96
XEL Xcel Energy $0.56
FLEX Flextronics International $0.38
SAIA Saia $2.05
OSTK Overstock $0.67
IDA IdaCorp $1.21
FCN FTI Consulting $1.52
LAWS Lawson Products $0.60
WST West Pharmaceutical Services $1.74
MLM Martin Marietta Materials $3.85
MTSI MACOM Technology Solutions $0.53
LH Laboratory Of America $5.62
EXLS ExlService $1.01
BSAC Banco Santander Chile $0.50
AOS A.O. Smith $0.65
TPX Tempur Sealy International $0.56
HBAN Huntington Bancshares $0.32
WAB Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies $0.96
NOC Northrop Grumman $5.83
MMP Magellan Midstream Partners $1.02
HLT Hilton Worldwide $0.39
KDP Keurig Dr Pepper $0.37
OMCL Omnicell $0.82
BC Brunswick $2.14
MRK Merck & Co $1.40
TRP Transcanada USA $0.77
KIM Kimco Realty $0.12
IP International Paper $1.06
MDC MDC $1.99
PRLB Proto Labs $0.44
SGEN Seattle Genetics -$0.61
CPT Camden Property $0.34
SIMO Silicon Motion Technology $1.25
CUBE CubeSmart $0.21
DLB Dolby Laboratories $0.28
BIO Bio-Rad Laboratories $2.66
CC Chemours Co $0.94
ZEN Zendesk $0.16
FWRD Forward Air $0.97
AJG Arthur J. Gallagher $1.08
SPSC SPS Commerce $0.40
ROG Rogers $1.89
ERIE Erie Indemnity $1.51
CUZ Cousins Properties $0.20
WELL Welltower Inc $0.15
PTCT PTC Therapeutics -$1.81
AUY Yamana Gold USA $0.06
LPLA LPL Financial $1.67
WWE World Wrestling Entertainment $0.25
WRE Washington Real Estate Investment -$0.04
TXRH Texas Roadhouse $0.98
ATR AptarGroup $0.97
GLPI Gaming And Leisure Properties $0.57
OFC Orate Office Properties $0.14
RSG Republic Services $0.95
TEX Terex $0.60
X United States Steel $3.08
LBTYA Liberty Global Class A Ordinary Shares $0.46
KLAC KLA-Tencor $3.99
SWKS Skyworks Solutions $2.14
DXCM Dexcom $0.44
HUBG HUB $0.70
VCYT Veracyte -$0.25
POWI Power Integrations $0.75
LGND Ligand Pharmaceuticals $1.38
FHI Federated Hermes Inc $0.66
FSLR First Solar $0.55
CWST Casella Waste Systems $0.24
DLR Digital Realty $0.24
MTX Minerals Technologies $1.25
VRTX Vertex Pharmaceuticals $2.37
PFPT Proofpoint $0.49
ESS Essex Property $0.88
GILD Gilead Sciences $1.73
WERN Werner $0.87
MMSI Merit Medical Systems $0.45
LBTYK LIBERTY GLOBAL $0.46
AMZN Amazon $12.24
QGEN Qiagen $0.65
EW Edwards Lifesciences $0.55
NRZ New Residential Investment $0.31
MSTR Microstrategy $0.81
SM SM Energy -$0.26
SWN Southwestern Energy $0.21
TMUS T-Mobile Us $0.51
DECK Deckers Outdoor -$0.15
CORT Corcept Therapeutics $0.17
TWOU 2U -$0.16
SBH Sally Beauty $0.62
MPW Medical Properties $0.29
CACC Credit Acceptance $10.36
SJW SJW $0.64
SHEN Shenandoah Telecommunications $0.86
ES Eversource Energy $0.80
KMPR Kemper $1.33
WRI Weingarten Realty Investors $0.10
OPK Opko Health $0.02
SU Suncor Energy USA $0.39
APELY Alps Electric $0.11
ACI AltaGas Canada $0.69
EXPO Exponent $0.42

Friday (July 30)

Ticker Company EPS Forecast
KMTUY Komatsu $0.40
VFC VF $0.11
ABR Arbor Realty $0.42
PEXNY PTT Exploration & Production $0.16
LAZ Lazard $0.89
HRC Hill-Rom $1.35
XOM Exxon Mobil $1.00
COG Cabot Oil Gas $0.29
MFG Mizuho Financial $0.08
GCTAY Siemens Gamesa ADR $0.02
TU Telus USA $0.21
JCI Johnson Controls $0.83
CL Colgate-Palmolive $0.80
BAH Booz Allen Hamilton $0.97
TOTDY Toto $0.25
ASEKY Aisin Seiki Co $1.13
BBVA Banco Bilbaoizcaya Argentaria $0.06
E ENI $0.33
FMS Fresenius Medical Care $0.48
SMFG Sumitomo Mitsui Financial $0.21
SBGSY Schneider Electric SA $0.63
PG Procter & Gamble $1.09
CHD Church Dwight $0.70
ALNPY ANA Holdings ADR -$0.20
CVX Chevron $1.58
BNPQY BNP Paribas ADR $1.07
NMR Nomura $0.17
CHT Chunghwa Telecom $0.34
HUN Huntsman $0.81
LIN Linde PLC $2.55
AON AON $1.85
PNM PNM Resources $0.46
CAT Caterpillar $2.41
CPRI Capri Holdings Ltd $0.79
BLMN Bloomin’ Brands $0.66
CHTR Charter Communications $4.79
DAN Dana $0.50
ITW Illinois Tool Works $2.09
GWW Grainger $4.59
CERN Cerner $0.76
NWL Newell Brands Inc $0.45
POR Portland General Electric $0.37
ENB Enbridge USA $0.45
LYB LyondellBasell Industries $5.30
ABBV AbbVie $3.08
SHLX Shell Midstream Partners $0.35
WPC W. P. Carey $0.56
AVNT Avient Corp $0.81
WY Weyerhaeuser $1.37
IDXX Idexx Laboratories $2.02
BCPC Balchem $0.82
For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar.

Earnings vs Inflation – What Is The Right Bet?

As investment money will always be looking for a place to roost many stocks still look like the best opportunity for alpha, especially some of your bigger high-tech companies like Microsoft, Google, Facebook, etc… who don’t face the same headwinds created by supply chain dislocations, higher commodity prices, etc.

Fundamental analysis

Bulls are hoping to see more money lured into the market by strong Q2 earnings which have so far failed to ignite a meaningful rally. Analyst expectations for S&P 500 company earnings is still around +65%, something stock bears argue is lofty considering the extreme level of supply chain dislocations and labor shortages.

There is also a lot of debate about whether corporate profit gains are “peaking” in the face of slower growth in the quarters ahead as the reopening boom begins to fade. Remember, investors place bets on the future, not what happened last quarter.

The earnings pace really picks up next week with highlights including IBM on Monday; Chipotle and Netflix on Tuesday; ASML, CocaCola, Novartis, and Verizon on Wednesday; Abbott Labs, AT&T, Biogen, Capital One, Dow Inc., Intel, Snap, Southwest Airlines, Twitter, and Union Pacific on Thursday; and American Express, Honeywell, and Nextera on Friday.

Inflation

One of the biggest factors that seem to be weighing on investor sentiment continues to be inflation. The latest indication of rising costs was reflected last week in U.S. Import Prices, which climbed for an eighth straight month in June.

However, the year-on-year increase slid to +11.2%, down from +11.6% in May is an encouraging sign that some inflationary pressures might be starting to ease. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell, testifying before the Senate Banking Committee yesterday, repeated the script he’s stuck with for months, saying inflation will likely remain elevated in the coming weeks and months before moderating.

Powell also told lawmakers that the Fed is not in a hurry to start paring its monthly asset purchases but he stressed that the central bank is prepared to adjust policy if they see signs of inflation moving “materially and persistently beyond levels consistent with our goal.” Wall Street increasingly expects the Fed to start trimming asset purchases later this year and even start lifting rates as soon as Q4 2022.

The Fed meets next on July 27-28 but most analysts think Powell will wait to make any big policy change announcements at either the annual Jackson Hole symposium at the end of August or possibly the FOMC’s September policy meeting. Central banks in Canada and New Zealand this week scaled back their asset purchase schemes which some worry could start to put pressure on central bankers in other developed countries to also tighten.

The European Central Bank releases its latest policy decision next Thursday. Bulls still largely believe that U.S. growth will be able to outpace “transitory” inflation pressures but the outlook for some companies could dim if the Fed starts reining in its “easy money” policies sooner than investors have been anticipating.

sp500 analysis forecast 18 july 2020

SP500 technical analysis

SP500 pulled back last week after another attempt to break out. There is no surprise we see such choppiness in the middle of summer. Moreover, very likely this price activity will stay for a few more weeks. We are still in a bull market. However, the risk of deep pullback is rising. If that happens, SP500 will target to close the gap near 4000.

On the other hand, if the price sustains above Gann resistance 4400, bulls will target 4500 at least. Two of my favourite indicators are giving opposite signals now. So, I don’t have any strong bias at the moment. Advance Decline Line remains bearish. At the same time, Insider Accumulation is bullish. In general, swing traders have to focus on daily support and resistance. Likely it will take few more weeks to see a real direction. Short-term traders can use Gann levels and Cycles on 4h charts to find trading opportunities.

U.S. Tech Companies Disappointed with DACA Ruling, Urge Congress to Act

U.S. District Judge Andrew Hanen on Friday sided with a group of states suing to end the Deferred Action for Childhood Arrivals (DACA) program, arguing that it was illegally created by former President Barack Obama in 2012.

“We have long argued in support of this program, filing an amicus brief in this case, and we are very disappointed by the decision (from the judge)”, Google spokesperson Jose Castaneda said.

“Dreamers and immigrants make the United States — and Twitter — better”, a spokesperson from social media platform Twitter said in an emailed statement.

Twitter, Google, Microsoft and Photoshop maker Adobe urged the U.S. Congress to come together to protect Dreamers, with Google saying they wanted DACA to be “cemented” into law.

Microsoft President Brad Smith said that the “disappointing” ruling created “uncertainty yet again for Dreamers.”

The judge ruled on Friday that the program violated the Administrative Procedure Act (APA) when it was created but said that since there were so many people currently enrolled in the program – nearly 650,000 – his ruling would be temporarily stayed for their cases and their renewal applications.

Biden, who was vice president when Obama created the program, has said he wants to create a permanent pathway to citizenship for DACA recipients, known as “Dreamers.”

On Saturday, Biden vowed to preserve the program that protects from deportation hundreds of thousands of immigrants brought to the U.S. as children, promising to appeal the judge’s ruling invalidating it and urging Congress to provide a path to citizenship.

For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar.

(Reporting by Kanishka Singh in Bengaluru, Editing by Nick Zieminski)

Best Dividend Stocks July 2021

The hallmark way I go about finding the best dividend stocks…the outliers, is by looking for quiet Big Money trading activity. Oftentimes, that can be institutional activity. I’ll go over why following the Big Money is so important in a bit. But, the 5 stocks I see as long-term dividend growth candidates are DPZ, LRCX, MSFT, SBUX, & EXR.

Over decades, I’ve learned that the true tell on great stocks is that big money consistently finds its way into the best companies out there… especially dividend paying stocks. Some of the biggest returns ever have come from holding stocks for many years and reinvesting dividends.

I want the odds on my side when looking for the highest quality dividend stocks…and I own many of them.

So, let’s get into it.

Up first is Domino’s, Inc. (DPZ), which is a large pizza chain. They’ve been raising their dividend for years.

Let’s first start with the technical picture.

When deciding on a strong candidate for long-term dividend growth, I look for stocks leading in price:

  • 1 month performance (+8.82%)
  • Historical Big Money buy signals

Below are the Big Money signals Domino’s has made since 2015. Blue bars are showing that DPZ was seeing big buy activity according to MAPsignals. Typically, the more Big Money signals, the stronger the stock:

Chart, histogramDescription automatically generated
Source: MAPsignals, End of day data sourced from Tiingo.com

On top of technicals, when deciding on the best dividend stock, you should look under the hood to see if the fundamental picture supports a long-term investment. As you can see, DPZ has a strong dividend history:

  • 3-year dividend growth rate (+19.2%)
  • Current dividend per share = .94
  • Forward yield = .82%
  • 3-year earnings growth rate (+28.28%)

Next up is Lam Research Corp. (LRCX), which is a leading semiconductor company. They’ve also been a dividend grower for years.

When deciding on a strong candidate for long-term dividend growth, it’s a good idea to look for many years of dividend increases.

Now let’s look at recent performance:

  • 1 month performance (-.24%)
  • Historical big money signals

Below are the big money signals that Lam Research has made since 2015. I expect more buy signals in the years to come.

Chart, histogramDescription automatically generated
Source: MAPsignals, End of day data sourced from Tiingo.com

On top of technicals, when deciding on the best dividend stock, you should look under the hood to see if the fundamental picture supports a long-term investment. As you can see, Lam Research has a nice dividend history. Their earnings growth has been stellar as well:

  • 3-year dividend growth rate (+40.7%)
  • Current dividend per share = 1.30
  • Forward yield = .82%
  • 3-year earnings growth rate (+15.48%)

Next, I’m looking at Microsoft Corp. (MSFT), which is a leading software company. They have a solid dividend history.

When deciding on a strong candidate for long-term dividend growth, recent performance in the shares is important:

  • 1 month performance (+7.63%)
  • Recent Big Money signals

Below are the big money signals that Microsoft has made since 2015. It’s clear the stock has been in a nice uptrend:

Chart, histogramDescription automatically generated
Source: MAPsignals, End of day data sourced from Tiingo.com

On top of technicals, when deciding on the best dividend stock, you should look under the hood to see if the fundamental picture supports a long-term investment. As you can see, MSFT has a strong dividend history:

  • 3-year dividend growth rate (+9.2%)
  • Current dividend per share = .56
  • Forward yield = .84%
  • 3-year earnings growth rate (+43.33%)

Next, I’m looking at Starbucks Corp. (SBUX), which is a global coffee chain. They operate over 32,000 restaurants globally.

When deciding on a strong candidate for long-term dividend growth, recent muted performance is not a bad thing:

  • 1 month performance (-1.44%)
  • Historical Big Money signals

Below are the Big Money signals that Starbucks has made since 2015.

Chart, histogramDescription automatically generated
Source: MAPsignals, End of day data sourced from Tiingo.com

On top of technicals, when deciding on the best dividend stock, let’s check up on the fundamentals. As you can see, Starbucks has a strong dividend history.

  • 3-year dividend growth rate (+17.9%)
  • Current dividend per share = .45
  • Forward yield = 1.61%
  • 3-year earnings growth rate (-6.23%)

Lastly, I’m looking at Extra Space Storage, Inc. (EXR), which is a leading storage company. They’ve been a leader in the Real Estate sector for years.

When deciding on a strong candidate for long-term dividend growth, I like to look for recent leaders:

  • 1 month performance (+11.22%)
  • Historical Big Money signals

Below are the Big Money signals that EXR has made since 2015.

Chart, histogramDescription automatically generated
Source: MAPsignals, End of day data sourced from Tiingo.com

On top of technicals, when deciding on the best dividend stock, you gotta see if the fundamental picture supports a long-term investment. EXR has been a steady grower:

  • 3-year dividend growth rate (+4.9%)
  • Current dividend per share = 1.00
  • Forward yield = 2.40%
  • 3-year earnings growth rate (-.11%)

The Bottom Line

DPZ, LRCX, MSFT, SBUX, & EXR represent solid dividend choices. Given the strong historical dividend growth and Big Money signals, these stocks could be worth an extra look for a dividend investor.

Disclosure: the author holds long positions in personal accounts in LRCX, MSFT, SBUX, & EXR and long positions in managed accounts in DPZ, LRCX, SBUX, & EXR.

To learn more about the MAPsignals process, click here.

Disclaimer

Microsoft, Becomes the Second Company after Apple with $2 Trillion Valuation

The software giant settled at $265.51 at the end of Tuesday’s trading session to close at exactly $2 trillion as it posted decent gains of about 1.1%.

This was the first time ever Microsoft will be reaching the $2 trillion milestones slightly after two years after it first passed the $1 trillion market valuation.

The Nasdaq listed stock closed at a record high Tuesday as macros revealed the Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell in his most recent testimony before Congress downplayed fears over the sharp pace of inflation, triggering tech stocks like Microsoft benefiting from the weakness in Treasury 10-Year bond yields, remaining below 1.5%.

The tech juggernaut has outperformed Apple and Amazon.com Inc. with year-to-date gains of 19% as global investors piled into the prized stock asset on expectations of decent earnings and revenue, in sectors such as like cloud computing and machine learning.

The valuable tech giant co-founded 46 years ago by Bill Gates, the fourth richest man, and his close confidant Paul Allen has seen its cloud-computing business becoming a central force with about 34% accounted of Microsoft’s 2020 revenue with remote work becoming the norm in the global economy.

Recent fundamentals show the stock is about to smash its 52-week high of $265.79, posting yearly gains of about 34% with corporate Information Technology spending gaining momentum at the post- COVID-19 pandemic.

A growing number of global investors have increased their buying pressures on the stock amid last week’s appointment of CEO Satya Nadella as chairman of Microsoft’s board further giving credence to his visionary leadership the digital transformation that came to play since his reign began in 2014.

The business leader is known for giving Windows away for free and shutting down Microsoft’s failing subsidiaries like Nokia, further freed up energy for promising domains (cloud computing and artificial intelligence) seems to pay off with the focus on empowering its customers.

Tech-Heavy Nasdaq Ignores Hawkish Fed News to Advance

The performance of the tech-heavy Nasdaq was in stark contrast to the S&P 500 and Dow, which slumped as investors reacted negatively to the Fedeignoral Reserve’s unexpectedly hawkish message on monetary policy on Wednesday.

Chipmaker Nvidia Corp jumped 5.4%, leading the charge among technology behemoths after Jefferies raised its price target on the stock.

Technology shares, which generally perform better when interest rates are low, powered a rally on Wall Street last year as investors flocked to stocks seen as relatively safe during times of economic turmoil.

The group has come under pressure this year on fears that rising inflation would lead the Fed to hike interest rates sooner than expected. The central bank on Wednesday moved its first projected rate increases from 2024 into 2023.

Still, shares of Apple Inc, Microsoft Corp, Amazon.com Inc and Facebook Inc reversed premarket declines to rise between 1.4% and 2% as investors bet that a steady economic rebound would boost demand for their products in the long run.

“Yes there is rising inflation but the market is focusing more on the positives of improving earnings, robust GDP growth and the wider economy getting stronger,” said Randy Frederick, vice president of trading and derivatives at Charles Schwab in Austin, Texas.

“Today’s action is indicative that the Fed hasn’t said anything that the market didn’t already know.”

The Nasdaq briefly advanced to within 16 points of its lifetime peak achieved on April 29, before pulling back a touch.

By 1:55PM ET, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 198.57 points, or 0.58%, to 33,835.1, the S&P 500 gained 0.24 points, or 0.01%, to 4,223.94 and the Nasdaq Composite added 127.04 points, or 0.9%, to 14,166.73.

Interest rate-sensitive bank stocks slumped -3.8% as longer dated U.S. Treasury yields dropped.

The strengthening dollar, another by-product of the previous day’s Fed news, pushed U.S. oil prices down from the multi-year high hit earlier in the week. The energy index, in turn, fell more than 3%, the biggest laggard among the 11 main S&P sectors.

Other economically sensitive stocks including materials and industrials fell 2.4% and 1.5% respectively, as data showed jobless claims rising last week for the first time in more than a month. Still, layoffs appeared to be easing amid a reopening economy and a shortage of people willing to work.

“In the balance of June and into the summer we anticipate continued volatility as we get more signals from economic data, Fed policy and as we get into the earnings season,” said Greg Bassuk, chief executive officer at AXS Investments in New York.

In corporate news, U.S.-listed shares of CureVac NV sank 41.5% after the German biotech said its COVID-19 vaccine was 47% effective in a late-stage trial, missing the study’s main goal.

For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar.

(Reporting by Shashank Nayar and Medha Singh in Bengaluru; Editing by Sriraj Kalluvila, Anil D’Silva, Maju Samuel and Dan Grebler)

 

Microsoft To Introduce Xbox Gaming On TVs Without The Console

Tech giant Microsoft is currently developing streaming hardware that people can hook up to their televisions to use its Netflix-like cloud gaming service. With this technology, Xbox gaming will now be available on TVs without using a console.

Connect Your Xbox To Your TV Without A Console

US-based Microsoft wants to make it easier for people to access their Xbox games on their televisions. Microsoft announced earlier today that it is developing dedicated streaming hardware that users can hook up to their televisions and access Xbox games directly without using a console.

The tech giant believes that the future of gaming is subscription-based. People will pay money and gain access to a wide range of games per month. The Xbox Game Pass is designed to offer such a service. It allows users to access games developed by Microsoft and by third-party studios. The introduction of the Xbox Cloud Gaming last year has turned it something like Netflix for games. The service allows gamers to play games hosted on remote servers and stream to users over the internet.

The company is now pushing its cloud gaming products to other platforms. Microsoft wants to make it possible for people to access its cloud gaming services via iPhones, iPads, PC and now televisions.

Microsoft is still working on ways to make this happen. One way the company proposes is to partner with manufacturers to add cloud gaming to smart TVs. The tech giant is also developing streaming devices that users can plug into their television or computer monitor to stream games directly from the cloud. However, Microsoft is yet to provide details on how the device will look like.

Microsoft Is Expanding Its Xbox Subscription Reach

Microsoft’s stock is up by 1% at the moment. It is currently trading at $256 per share. Despite the positive news, Microsoft’s stock price has been trading around the $250 region since the start of the week.

Microsoft
MSFT stock chart. Source: FXEMPIRE

Microsoft said is currently working with mobile carriers like Telstra in Australia in a bid to offer a new Xbox subscription model. Its cloud gaming service is also expected to launch in Australia, Brazil, Mexico and Japan before the end of the year.

For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar.

France Fines Google $267 Million for Abusing Position. The Probes in Europe Continues

France’s competition regulator has fined search engine giant Google $267 million after accusing it of abusing its market power in the online advertising sector. This latest development follows a tradition of US tech companies getting into trouble with European regulators.

France fines Google $267 million

The French Competition Authority announced earlier today that it had fined Google 220 million euros ($267 million). The search engine giant was accused of abusing its position in the market by unfairly sending business to its own service and discriminated against competitors in the online advertising industry.

According to the report, Google has agreed to pay the fine and is set to end some of its selfish practices. The investigation conducted by the regulatory agency revealed that Google favored its DFP advertising server and SSP AdX listing platform. By so doing, publishers of sites and applications favored doing business with Google. They also sold their impressions to the search engine giant. Hence, causing suffering to Google’s rivals and publishers.

Isabelle de Silva, head of the French Competition Authority, said this decision is the first of its kind in the world. France is the first country to critically look at the complex algorithmic auction processes that the online advertising space works with. She added that Google’s act has made it tough for competitors in the online advertising sector and increased the company’s dominant position.

Thanks to the fine and Google changing its policies, France is sure to create a level playing field for all advertisers and to enable publishers to make the most of their advertising spaces. The sanction came after French newspaper Le Figaro, the Belgian press group Rossel and US-based News Corp filed a complaint against the Alphabet Inc. company.

GOOG stock price. Source: FXEMPIRE
GOOG stock price. Source: FXEMPIRE

The stock price of Alphabet Inc., Google’s parent company, is down by two points during Monday’s pre-market session. The Alphabet shares are currently trading at $2,449.70.

US Tech Giants can’t seem to catch a break in Europe

European regulators are clamping down on major US tech companies due to the massive control they have within the EU. The need to regulate the activities of tech companies led to the roll-out of the GDPR in the region.

Last week, social media giant Facebook faced two antitrust probes in the United Kingdom and the EU. In recent months, EU regulators have also looked into the activities of Amazon, Apple, Microsoft, Facebook and Google.

Microsoft, Mastercard Sign on to Vp Harris’s Central America Strategy

By Nandita Bose

President Joe Biden has tasked Harris with leading U.S. efforts with Mexico and the Northern Triangle countries of Honduras, El Salvador and Guatemala, to deal with an increase in migration into the United States. Since then, Harris has taken a series of steps to improve conditions and lower migration from the region.

During the meeting on Thursday, Harris will urge businesses to make “new and significant commitments” to boost economic opportunities in the region, said the White House official, who spoke on the condition of anonymity.

The meeting will be attended by top executives from yogurt maker Chobani, food giant Nestle’s Nespresso unit, financial companies Bancolombia and Davivienda as well as language-learning website Duolingo.

Non-profits Accion and Pro Mujer, along with the Tent Partnership for Refugees and Harvard University’s T.H. Chan School of Public Health will also attend.

The 12 companies will announce measures to support such efforts, the official said. For example, Microsoft has agreed to expand internet access to as many as three million people in the region by July 2022 and Nespresso plans to begin buying some of its coffee from El Salvador and Honduras with a minimum regional investment of $150 million by 2025, the White House official said.

Chobani has agreed to bring its incubator program for local entrepreneurs to Guatemala while Mastercard will aim to bring five million people in the region who currently lack banking services into the financial system and give one million micro and small businesses access to electronic banking.

The U.S. vice president’s push to spur regional economic growth will focus on six areas.

These include expanding affordable internet access, combating food shortages by boosting farm productivity and backing regional efforts to fight climate change and make a transition to clean energy.

It will also aim to expand job training programs and improve public health access.

In April, Harris unveiled an additional $310 million in U.S. aid to Central America. She is expected to visit Guatemala and Mexico on June 7 and 8 – her first overseas trip as vice president.

U.S. officials see corruption as a major contributor to a migrant exodus from the region, along with gang violence and natural disasters, issues that represent hurdles for companies investing in the region.

Some Central American leaders recently pushed back on the Biden administration’s anti-corruption strategy, which included releasing a list labeling 17 regional politicians as corrupt.

(Reporting by Nandita Bose in Washington; Editing by Devika Syamnath and Chizu Nomiyama)

Eu Privacy Watchdog to Investigate Eu Institutions’ Use of Amazon, Microsoft Cloud Services

By Foo Yun Chee

The European Data Protection Supervisor (EDPS) said one of the investigations will focus on the use of Microsoft Office 365 by the European Commission.

The EU watchdog said EU bodies were relying more and more on cloud-based software and cloud infrastructure or platform services from large U.S. ICT providers which are subject to legislation that allows disproportionate surveillance activities by the U.S. authorities.

“Following the outcome of the reporting exercise by the EU institutions and bodies, we identified certain types of contracts that require particular attention and this is why we have decided to launch these two investigations,” EDPS head Wojciech Wiewiorowski said in a statement.

Market leader Amazon, Alphabet unit Google and Microsoft dominate the realm of data storage worldwide, fuelling concerns in Europe over the risk of surveillance by the United States.

Such worries prompted Europe’s highest court last year to toss out a transatlantic data transfer deal known as the Privacy Shield following a long-running dispute between Facebook and Austrian privacy activist Max Schrems.

(Reporting by Foo Yun Chee)

Best ETFs For June 2021

A portfolio of outlier stocks can become chock full of monster gains for years to come, if chosen wisely.

But wouldn’t it be great if there was already a collection of outliers we could buy without even having to think about it?

Well maybe there is a way to do just that… through outlier ETFs.

So, here I’m going to give you the best ETFs that big money is getting involved in this month.

First thing’s first: to find them, I looked at all the ETFs making Big Money signals. I did that by heading over to MAPsignals.com and then looked at the Big Money ETF Buys and Sells chart. I looked at days with the biggest buying, circled here:

Once I had all the ETFs, I wanted to know which were the best potential opportunities. ETFs are baskets of stocks. And because MAPsignals scores over 6,000 stocks every day, as long as I know which stocks make up the ETFs, I can rank them all.

Here are the 5 best ETFs with scores: The Composite score, Technical score, and Fundamental score. These were computed by accounting for each components stock’s score and its associated weighting in the ETF. (keep in mind that weightings will change from time to time)

Below we see each ETF, their recent Big Money activity, and their scores. XLF, ITB, and XLC are top ranked ETFs. That makes sense because financials, home builders, and communications stocks have been leading the market much of this year so far.

IGV and ARKG, however, rank low on our list of ETFs. But there is opportunity here because the low scores are due to weak technicals. Big Money has been selling these ETFs, largely because they are heavily concentrated in growth stocks. But these stocks have excellent fundamentals: growing sales and earnings and big profits. These weak ETFs represent great potential bargains.

Let’s quickly look at the year-to-date performance of these 5 ETFs:

  • XLF +29.3%
  • ITB +29.2%
  • XLC +13.5%
  • IGV -4.0%
  • ARKG -18.1%

Now let’s quickly look at Big Money buying in the ETFs. Each chart below has many green bars which represents unusually large buying. The few red bars represent unusually large selling. What jumps out is the huge buying in all the ETFs.

Only with IGV and ARKG, there was recent selling too. But again, selling on ETFs and stocks with great fundamentals represents a value opportunity.

Source: www.mapsignals.com, End of day data sourced from Tiingo.com

Here’s why I like these ETFs: they are highly concentrated with fundamentally superior stocks. Below we see a table of three stocks in each ETF. They are some of the highest weightings in each.

Notice their fundamental scores are very strong on a scale from 0-100. This means strong growing sales, earnings, and profits over one and three years. This is how MAPsignals boils down all its fundamental research into one elegant score.

Now with XLF, ITB, and XLC – we see the stocks also have strong technical scores. That means Big Money has been pouring into them, lifting them to new highs. They are buoyant with Big Money support. But in IGV and AKG, we see weak technical scores. This means Big Money has been exiting the stocks.

But before you get spooked, let’s keep the recent environment in mind: Growth has fallen out of favor while value and reopen stocks have become all the rage. But it’s essential to remember these growth companies create phenomenal products and services enhancing our lives. I don’t foresee that stopping in the future. The recent selling is temporary and thematic.

What really drives this home is looking at how long-term Big Money buying can lead to monstrous gains. Below are charts showing all the instances these stocks were Top stocks in our research since 2015: our weekly report of outliers. We don’t need to go into details on each chart.

I’d like you to notice a few things:

  • When Big Money buying pours in, stocks go up
  • Repeated outliers, especially for years often means outsized gains

Owning outlier stocks is the way I try to beat markets. Easy exposure to many stocks can be achieved by buying ETFs. But just like anything, you must be in the 1% if you want to be in the 1%.

We can find outlier ETFs by tracking the Big Money. But that alone isn’t enough: when we catalog the components and find outlier stocks underneath… that’s the winning recipe.

So, there you have it: the 5 best ETFs that Big Money has been trafficking in recently. Outlier ETFs hold outlier stocks. Finding them is the key to finding potentially outlier gains.

Now let’s look at what those look like:

Source: www.mapsignals.com, End of day data sourced from Tiingo.com

The Bottom Line

XLF, ITB, XLC, IGV, & ARKG represent top ETFs for June 2021. Financials, homebuilders, & Communications stocks have performed well lately, which should continue. Software and Genomics companies have reached interesting levels, too. Paying attention to the fundamental quality of ETF constituents is paramount.

To learn more about MAPsignals’ Big Money process please visit: www.mapsignals.com

Disclosure: the author holds long positions GOOGL, CRM, & REGN in managed accounts, but no positions in XLF, ITB, XLC, IGV, ARKG, BLK, SCHW, SPGI, DHI, LEN, LOW, FB, ATVI, ADBE, MSFT, TDOC, & VRTX at the time of publication.

Investment Research Disclaimer

SP500 Traders are Trying to Shift Through a Lot of “Noise”

The coronavirus situation in the U.S. is a clear bright spot with several health experts believing the country is close to reaching so-called “herd immunity” and expect to soon see a dramatic drop in new coronavirus cases.

Fundamental analysis

The good news is most people are getting back to normalcy and the economic activity is looking robust. That’s despite many businesses having a difficult time hiring help. As companies are having to offer higher and higher wages there is increasing worry about rising inflation. There is also more talk about the possible implications of looming tax hikes that are expected to pay for some of President Biden’s ambitious economic plans.

An investor note from Goldman Sachs warned that the planned corporate tax hike to 28% could decrease earnings for some of the mega-cap technology companies as much as -9% next year, while S&P 500 earnings overall could take an -8% hit.

The analysts also warned that the “FAAMG” stock complex (Facebook, Apple, Amazon, Microsoft and Google) could be at risk of a year-end selloff if the President’s capital gains tax hike is implemented.

These stocks account for nearly 30% of the S&P 500’s market cap gains over the last five years, meaning investors have earned close to $5 trillion over that time.

Investors may look to take some of those gains in 2021 to lock in the lower tax rate.

Some of the big money players and large funds have shifted to value and more traditional inflationary type plays. While the younger Robinhood and Wall Streets Bets crowd that was once pumping the high-flying tech sector are now looking at buying airline and concert tickets.

As always, you have to pay attention to money-flow and ask yourself who will provide the next round of big buying?

Today’s key economic data will be the Labor Department’s JOLTS report, which could provide a deeper look at what’s going on in the job market. Federal Reserve officials are also making the rounds today with at least five central bankers scheduled to speak, including Federal Reserve Governor Lael Brainard. Earnings on tap include Electronic Arts, Honda, Palantir, Toyota, and Vodafone

Continued Talk of Commodity Supercycle

The price of iron ore hit a record high on Monday in the latest sign of booming commodity markets, which have gone into overdrive in recent weeks as large economies recover from the pandemic. The steelmaking ingredient, an important source of income for the mining industry, rose 8.5 per cent to a record high of almost $230 a ton fueled by strong demand from China where mills have cranked up production. Other commodities also rose sharply, including copper. Keep in mind, in the past 12-months, corn and crude oil prices are up +95%, soybean oil up +125%, silver up +75%, lean hogs up +54%, cotton up +47%, sugar up +57%, lumber up +350%, stock market up +43%, Bitcoin up +215%.

Technical analysis

Yesterday’s levels played very well. SP500 is trading in a bearish zone now. The upper range is 4156. Middle-strength levels within this zone – 4124, 4092 and 4060. Weal levels – 4140, 4108 and 4076. Neutral zone 4156 – 4221. Middle strength level – 4188.5. Weak levels – 4172.25 and 4204.75. Keep in mind SP500 is close to first daily support around 4100. In order to place a trade, always watch price action at mentioned levels. Once level turns into support/resistance, consider going long/short.

Apple, Facebook Drive Nasdaq Futures Higher as Earnings Roll In

By Shivani Kumaresan

Apple Inc gained 2.7% in premarket trading after posting sales and profits ahead of Wall Street estimates, led by much stronger-than-expected iPhone and Mac sales.

Facebook Inc jumped 7.3% on beating analysts’ expectations for both quarterly revenue and profit, helped by a surge in digital ad spending during the pandemic, along with higher ad prices.

Other megacap companies, including Microsoft Corp, Alphabet Inc and Netflix Inc, rose between 0.2% and 1.1%.

Official data is likely to show that the number of Americans filing new claims for jobless benefits rose last week, while the Commerce Department is expected to report a 6.1% rise in first-quarter GDP.

More earnings reports from Dow components rolled in, with Caterpillar Inc rising 2.8% after the heavy equipment maker reported a rise in adjusted first-quarter profit. Drugmaker Merck & Co Inc, however, slid 3.2% on posting a 1.2% fall in quarterly profit.

Global shares extended gains after the Federal Reserve said it was too early to consider rolling back emergency support for the economy, and U.S. President Joe Biden proposed a $1.8 trillion stimulus package.

At the conclusion of the U.S. central bank’s latest policy meeting on Wednesday, Fed Chair Jerome Powell acknowledged the economy’s growth, but said there was not yet enough evidence of “substantial further progress” toward recovery to warrant a change in policy.

At 6:44 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were up 177 points, or 0.52%, S&P 500 e-minis were up 30.25 points, or 0.72%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were up 138.75 points, or 1%.

Shares of electric vehicles companies, including Tesla Inc, Nikola Corp, rose 1.1% and 2.6%, respectively, as sales picked up speed in the first quarter, according to the International Energy Agency.

Amazon.com Inc, Twitter Inc, Mastercard Inc and Gilead Sciences Inc are also expected to report first-quarter earnings later in the day.

(Reporting by Shivani Kumaresan and Shreyashi Sanyal in Bengaluru; Editing by Saumyadeb Chakrabarty)

Futures Hover at Record Levels as Focus Turns to Tech Earnings, Fed

By Medha Singh

Electric carmaker Tesla Inc dropped about 3% in premarket trading after it marginally beat analysts’ expectations for quarterly revenue, helped by a jump in environmental credit sales to other automakers and liquidating some bitcoins.

Focus is now on results from Microsoft Corp and Alphabet Inc when they report after markets close. Apple Inc, Facebook Inc and Amazon.com Inc are slated to report later in the week. The five companies combined account for about 40% of the S&P 500’s market capitalization.

Overall earnings for S&P 500 companies are expected to jump 33.3% in the first quarter from a year earlier, according to Refinitiv IBES data.

The S&P 500 and the Nasdaq ended at record levels on Monday, with the tech-heavy Nasdaq completing a full recovery from its 11% correction that began in February.

Recent data indicating that the U.S. economy was set for a strong rebound, backed by vaccine distributions and unprecedented monetary and fiscal support, has provided much of that support.

The Fed is not expected to change its policy guidance at the end of its two-day meeting on Wednesday but could shine some light on U.S. central bank’s thinking on inflation, bond buying and risks to the financial system posed by soaring asset prices.

At 06:19 a.m. ET, Dow E-minis were down 4 points, or 0.01%, S&P 500 E-minis were up 2.5 points, or 0.06% and Nasdaq 100 E-minis were up 11 points, or 0.08%.

(Reporting by Medha Singh in Bengaluru; Editing by Anil D’Silva)

Earnings to Watch Next Week: Tesla, Alphabet, Microsoft, Facebook, Apple and Amazon.com in Focus

Earnings Calendar For The Week Of April 26

Monday (April 26)

IN THE SPOTLIGHT: TESLA

The California-based electric vehicle and clean energy company Tesla is expected to report its first-quarter earnings of $0.79 per share, which represents year-over-year growth of over 240% from $0.23 per share seen in the same quarter a year ago.

The high-performance electric vehicle manufacturer’s revenue would grow over 70% to $10.2 billion. The electric vehicle producer has beaten earnings per share and revenue estimates by over 60% of the time in the last two years.

“Updating the model for the 1Q deliveries of 184,800 which were over 20% above our forecast. We also made adjustments to our volume forecasts for the remainder of the year to account for the strong start while allowing for potential supply constraints and other factors. The net result is we raise our FY21 delivery forecast by 3% to 809k units,” noted Adam Jonas, equity analyst at Morgan Stanley.

“We note our FY volume is modestly below consensus as we allow for a ‘margin of safety’ given highly fluid supply chain issues impacting the industry. Our forward year volume forecast increases very slightly (approx. 1%) to 1.1mm units. This impact, along with some other minor adjustments to the model lifts our target to $900 from $880 previously. We do not change our bull or bear case valuations at this time.”

TAKE A LOOK AT OUR EARNINGS CALENDAR FOR THE FULL RELEASES FOR THE APRIL 26

Ticker Company EPS Forecast
CBU Community Bank System $0.81
BOH Bank of Hawaii $1.18
DORM Dorman Products $1.02
FBP First Bancorp FBP $0.24
PHG Koninklijke Philips $0.29
OTIS Otis Worldwide Corp $0.62
CHKP Check Point Software Technologies $1.49
LII Lennox International $1.29
ACI AltaGas Canada $0.50
CAJ Canon $0.24
TSLA Tesla $0.79
RRC Range Resources $0.27
HTLF Heartland Financial USA $1.14
OMF OneMain Holdings $2.04
AXTA Axalta Coating Systems $0.42
AMKR Amkor Technology $0.41
TNET TriNet $1.32
SSD Simpson Manufacturing $0.92
PCH Potlatch $1.71
WRI Weingarten Realty Investors $0.41
CATY Cathay General Bancorp $0.78
IBTX Independent Bank $1.30
JJSF J&J Snack Foods $0.12
AIN Albany International $0.62
CNI Canadian National Railway USA $0.99
NXPI NXP Semiconductors $2.21
SBAC SBA Communications $2.45
AMP Ameriprise Financial $4.73
ARE Alexandria Real Estate Equities $1.85
SSNC SS&C Technologies $1.10
SUI Sun Communities $1.16
BRO Brown & Brown $0.56
PKG Packaging Of America $1.47
UHS Universal Health Services $2.15
MKSI MKS Instruments $2.17
AGNC American Capital Agency $0.64
CDNS Cadence Design Systems $0.74
MASI Masimo $0.88
RMBS Rambus $0.28
WWD Woodward $0.80
SANM Sanmina $0.82
TOP Topdanmark A/S kr5.74
KOF Coca Cola Femsa Sab De Cv $13.82
BAYRY Bayer AG PK $0.77
FIX Comfort Systems USA $0.56
SCCO Southern Copper $0.85
AMG Affiliated Managers $4.26
TV Grupo Televisa Sab $0.10
EGOV NIC $0.23
TOWN Townebank $0.65

Tuesday (April 27)

IN THE SPOTLIGHT: ALPHABET, MICROSOFT

ALPHABET: The parent of Google and the world’s largest search engine that dominates internet search activity globally is expected to report its first-quarter earnings of $15.45 per share, which represents year-over-year growth of about 57% from $9.87 per share seen in the same quarter a year ago.

The Mountain View, California-based internet giant would post revenue growth of more than 25% to around $42.2 billion. It is worth noting that the company, on average, has delivered an earnings surprise of over 25% in the last four quarters.

Alphabet’s better-than-expected results, which will be announced on Tuesday, April 27, would help the stock hit new all-time highs. Alphabet shares surged more than 30% so far this year. On Friday, the stock closed 2.1% higher at $2,299.93 – close to the record high of $2,304.09.

GOOGL still favorable set up after strong YTD gains. GOOGL has outperformed major indices YTD as investor sentiment turned positive. Our checks have been broadly positive, indicating accelerating momentum in the ad business and sustained strength in Cloud,” noted Brent Thill, equity analyst at Jefferies.

GOOGL remains a top large-cap pick as we believe it should benefit in 2021 from ad spend recovery, pent-up demand for Google Cloud, and call options on Waymo and other non-advertising initiatives.”

MICROSOFT: The Redmond, Washington-based global technology giant would report its fiscal third-quarter earnings of $1.76 per share, which represents year-over-year growth of over 25% from $1.40 per share seen in the same quarter a year ago. The world’s largest software maker’s revenue would rise over 17% to around $41 billion, up from the $35.02 billion a year earlier.

“An improving spending environment drives several sources of potential upside to Q3, most prominently around the hybrid cloud engine (Azure + Server Products) and Windows OEM. Strong positioning for multiple secular trends and an attractive valuation make MSFT a Top Pick in Software,” noted Keith Weiss, equity analyst at Morgan Stanley.

TAKE A LOOK AT OUR EARNINGS CALENDAR FOR THE FULL RELEASES FOR THE APRIL 27

Ticker Company EPS Forecast
PCAR PACCAR $1.29
ENTG Entegris $0.72
NVS Novartis $1.57
CROX Crocs $0.88
MMM 3M $2.25
MSCI Msci $2.29
JBLU JetBlue Airways -$1.68
PII Polaris Industries $1.54
GLW Corning $0.42
HAS Hasbro $0.66
AWI Armstrong World Industries $0.96
UBS UBS Group $0.52
ABB ABB $0.28
BP BP $0.43
UPS United Parcel Service $1.63
ST Sensata Technologies $0.74
CNC Centene $1.65
SYF Synchrony Financial $1.50
IVZ Invesco $0.62
TRU TransUnion $0.80
SCL Stepan $1.43
FELE Franklin Electric $0.39
RTX Raytheon Technologies Corp $0.88
ABG Asbury Automotive $3.58
LECO Lincoln Electric $1.18
ROP Roper Industries $3.32
SHW Sherwin-Williams $1.65
DTE DTE Energy $2.09
FISV Fiserv $1.13
MMC Marsh & McLennan Companies $1.70
GE General Electric $0.02
WM Waste Management $1.00
CEQP Crestwood Equity Partners $0.34
LLY Eli Lilly $2.12
ADM Archer-Daniels Midland $1.00
ECL Ecolab $0.82
PHM PulteGroup $1.19
HUBB Hubbell $1.67
PPBI Pacific Premier Bancorp $0.63
SSTK Shutterstock $0.70
UMBF UMB Financial $1.47
GPK Graphic Packaging $0.25
PSB PS Business Parks $1.67
RNST Renasant $0.63
CHE Chemed $4.20
MANH Manhattan Associates $0.32
USNA USANA Health Sciences $1.58
TXN Texas Instruments $1.56
SYK Stryker $1.98
MDLZ Mondelez International $0.69
MXIM Maxim Integrated Products $0.75
COF Capital One Financial $4.17
TER Teradyne $1.04
PFG Principal Financial $1.35
APAM Artisan Partners Asset Management $1.10
CALX Calix $0.20
VALE Vale $1.01
MATX Matson $1.86
AMGN Amgen $4.00
EIX Edison International $0.67
ENPH Enphase Energy $0.41
SBUX Starbucks $0.52
ATRC AtriCure -$0.41
AMD Advanced Micro Devices $0.44
TRMK Trustmark $0.61
EGP EastGroup Properties $1.39
WSBC WesBanco $0.70
ROIC Retail Opportunity Investments $0.24
OKE ONEOK $0.77
IEX IDEX $1.41
V Visa $1.27
NOV National Oilwell Varco -$0.23
CSGP CoStar $2.40
OLN Olin $1.34
MSFT Microsoft $1.76
BYD Boyd Gaming $0.44
ESS Essex Property $3.04
EQR Equity Residential $0.68
TX Ternium $2.29
EHC Encompass Health Corp $0.80
GOOGL Alphabet $15.45
QTS QTS Realty $0.65
BXP Boston Properties $1.55
UDR UDR $0.48
FTI FMC Technologies -$0.08
GOOG Alphabet $15.45
CHRW C.H. Robinson Worldwide $0.97
FFIV F5 Networks $2.39
FEYE FireEye $0.07
CB Chubb $2.45
TENB Tenable Holdings Inc $0.06
ILMN Illumina $1.36
NAVI Navient $0.78
HIW Highwoods Properties $0.87
AAT American Assets $0.35
JNPR Juniper Networks $0.25
ACGL Arch Capital $0.50
FIBK First Interstate BancSystem $0.73
NCR NCR $0.47
TKC Turkcell $0.17
AJRD Aerojet Rocketdyne $0.46
ZBRA Zebra Technologies $4.39
MKL Markel $12.29
AMX America Movil Sab De Cv Amx $0.33
MSTR Microstrategy -$0.19
VIST Vista Oil Gas $0.07
IBA Industrias Bachoco Sab De Cv $1.54
BSBR Banco Santander Brasil $0.19
SAN Banco Santander $0.11
OMAB Grupo Aeroportuario Del Centro Nort $0.37
NMR Nomura -$0.21
IRBT Irobot $0.06
HSBC HSBC $0.60
ATLCY Atlas Copco ADR $0.40

Wednesday (April 28)

IN THE SPOTLIGHT: FACEBOOK, APPLE

FACEBOOK: The world’s largest online social network is expected to report its first-quarter earnings of $2.35 per share, which represents year-over-year growth of over 37% from $1.71 per share seen in the same quarter a year ago.

The Menlo Park, California-based social media conglomerate would post revenue growth of over 33% to around $23.6 billion. It is worth noting that the company, on average, has delivered an earnings surprise of over 22% in the last four quarters.

“Monetization Potential: We are positive on FB’s monetization roll-out of Instagram as well as FB’s ability to continue to innovate and improve its monetization (Canvas Ads, Dynamic Ads, video). Combined with the high and growing engagement we see monetization upside going forward,” noted Brian Nowak, equity analyst at Morgan Stanley.

“Investing from Position of Strength to Drive Faster Long-Term Growth: We are modeling ~28% GAAP opex (excl. one-time items) growth in 2021, implying an incremental ~$15bn in opex. Our base case model implies opex per employee moderates in ’21 while FB hiring remains roughly flat on an absolute basis. We believe FB will grow EPS at a ~29% CAGR (2019-2022).”

APPLE: The consumer electronics giant would post its second-quarter earnings of $0.99 per share, which represents year-over-year growth of over 54% from $0.64 per share seen in the same quarter a year ago. The iPhone manufacturer would post revenue growth of over 33% to around $77.6 billion.

“We expect the strength of Apple’s broad portfolio of products & services to help re-rate AAPL shares, amplified by today’s product launch event. We forecast Product growth of 43% Y/Y and Services growth of 19% putting us at $80.2B in revs and $1.03 in EPS for the March Q, 4-5% ahead of consensus,” noted Katy Huberty, equity analyst at Morgan Stanley.

TAKE A LOOK AT OUR EARNINGS CALENDAR FOR THE FULL RELEASES FOR THE APRIL 28

Ticker Company EPS Forecast
SHOO Steven Madden $0.19
IPG Interpublic Of Companies $0.16
SNY Sanofi $0.83
GD General Dynamics $2.31
APH Amphenol $0.44
SIRI Sirius XM $0.06
LIVN LivaNova PLC $0.15
SLAB Silicon Laboratories $0.76
HUM Humana $7.21
AVY Avery Dennison $2.01
OSK Oshkosh $1.14
NYCB New York Community Bancorp $0.27
DAN Dana $0.46
MAS Masco $0.66
TEVA Teva Pharmaceutical Industries $0.58
ETR Entergy $1.24
BA Boeing -$1.17
EVR Evercore Partners $2.63
ROL Rollins $0.11
YUM Yum Brands $0.85
PAG Penske Automotive $1.81
BCO Brinks $0.71
R Ryder System $0.58
CIT CIT $0.98
TDY Teledyne Technologies $2.59
TKR Timken $1.20
OC Owens Corning $1.42
SAIA Saia $1.37
SWK Stanley Black & Decker $2.56
MCO Moody’s $2.80
PB Prosperity Bancshares $1.38
BSX Boston Scientific $0.30
GIB CGI Group USA $1.03
CME CME $1.75
ROK Rockwell Automation $2.15
SPOT Spotify -$0.57
GRMN Garmin $0.88
SIX Swiss Exchange -$1.29
IART Integra LifeSciences $0.56
BPOP Popular, Inc. $1.91
BXMT Blackstone Mortgage $0.61
AER AerCap $1.13
LFUS Littelfuse $1.92
VRT Veritas Pharma $0.12
SLGN Silgan $0.71
HELE Helen Of Troy $1.56
HES Hess $0.36
ADP ADP $1.82
NSC Norfolk Southern $2.55
SC Santander Consumer USA $1.45
RJF Raymond James Financial $2.09
PPC Pilgrim’s Pride $0.27
PSA Public Storage $2.70
FORM FormFactor $0.39
PTC PTC $0.72
EQIX Equinix $6.63
VVV Valvoline Inc $0.37
ESI Itt Educational Services $0.32
MXL MaxLinear $0.50
CLR Continental Resources $0.30
BSMX Santander Mexico Fincl Gp Sab Decv $0.17
PDM Piedmont Office Realty $0.47
WCN Waste Connections $0.67
AVB AvalonBay Communities $1.94
PGRE Paramount Group $0.21
AGI Alamos Gold $0.13
EBAY eBay $1.07
MAA Mid-America Apartment Communities $1.61
OI Owens-Illinois $0.28
QCOM Qualcomm $1.67
ALGN Align Technology $2.00
DRE Duke Realty $0.39
NGVT Ingevity Corp $1.07
AZPN Aspen Technology $1.16
NLY Annaly Capital Management $0.26
FB Facebook $2.35
MC Moelis & Company $0.87
NOVA Nova Mentis Life Science Corp -$0.34
MGM MGM Resorts International -$0.86
MTH Meritage Homes $2.52
GRUB GrubHub $0.03
CNO CNO Financial Group $0.50
WERN Werner $0.63
CONE CyrusOne $0.98
AR Antero Resources $0.39
AMED Amedisys $1.43
KRC Kilroy Realty $0.99
EXR Extra Space Storage $1.48
AFL Aflac $1.20
AVT Avnet $0.56
BLKB Blackbaud $0.63
WELL Welltower Inc $0.75
TROX Tronox $0.27
AUY Yamana Gold USA $0.07
AM Antero Midstream Partners $0.22
CNMD CONMED $0.43
CHX ChampionX Corp $0.05
RE Everest Re $4.55
HOLX Hologic $2.62
CDE CoEUR Mining $0.08
MOH Molina Healthcare $3.78
TYL Tyler Technologies $1.31
AXS Axis Capital $0.65
SIGI Selective $0.97
NOW ServiceNow $1.34
CAKE Cheesecake Factory -$0.15
MUSA Murphy USA $0.83
MTDR Matador Resources $0.37
ALSN Allison Transmission $0.90
RNR Renaissancere $0.74
PEGA Pegasystems $0.02
CCS Century Communities $1.52
UCTT Ultra Clean $0.82
TTEK Tetra Tech $0.75
CINF Cincinnati Financial $1.27
F Ford Motor $0.15
ASGN On Assignment $1.10
AAPL Apple $0.99
WH Wyndham Hotels & Resorts Inc $0.25
ORLY O’Reilly Automotive $5.27
ISBC Investors Bancorp $0.29
LOGI Logitech Internationalusa $0.96
SID Companhia Siderurgica Nacional $0.28
YMZBY Yamazaki Baking ADR $1.17
GSK Glaxosmithkline $0.59
LPL Lg Display $0.29
TS Tenaris $0.06
TOTDY Toto $0.51
UMC United Microelectronics $0.10
ASX Advanced Semiconductor Engineering $0.12
DB Deutsche Bank $0.49
FNF Fidelity National Financial $1.28
WWW Wolverine World Wide $0.38
DISCA Discovery Communications $0.66
DISCB Discovery Communications Discb $0.66
DISCK Discovery Communications Disck $0.66
EAT Brinker International $0.79
FCNCA First Citizens Bancshares $12.11
PAC Grupo Aeroportuario Del Pacifico $0.64

Thursday (April 29)

IN THE SPOTLIGHT: AMAZON.COM

The eCommerce leader for physical and digital merchandise is expected to report its first-quarter earnings of $9.98 per share, which represents year-over-year growth of about 100% from $5.01 per share seen in the same quarter a year ago.

The Seattle, Washington-based multinational technology giant would post revenue growth of about 40% to around $105.1 billion. It is worth noting that the company, on average, has delivered an earnings surprise of about 187% in the last four quarters.

“We expect strong 1Q21 results with revenue and Op Inc. 3% & 11% above consensus estimates. Key rev. drivers include eCommerce, AWS, Adv., & Sub. rev. Our 1Q21 Op Inc. est. is driven by AWS & Adv., offset partially by COVID-19 costs. 2Q21 revenue guide is key, we expect AMZN eCommerce growth of +15% y/y despite tough comps. We remain bullish on’21 Op margin expansion, our est. is 17% above consensus,” noted John Blackledge, equity analyst at Cowen.

TAKE A LOOK AT OUR EARNINGS CALENDAR FOR THE FULL RELEASES FOR THE APRIL 29

Ticker Company EPS Forecast
RDSA Royal Dutch Shell £0.83
AGIO Agios Pharmaceuticals -$1.23
STM Stmicroelectronics $0.39
JHG Janus Henderson Group PLC $0.82
THRM Gentherm $0.58
FBC Flagstar Bancorp $2.65
CAT Caterpillar $1.93
TFX Teleflex $2.44
CNX Consol Energy $0.28
CBRE CBRE Group Inc $0.70
AMT American Tower $2.32
BLMN Bloomin’ Brands $0.34
TREE LendingTree -$0.21
TAP Molson Coors Brewing -$0.12
MO Altria $1.04
SAH Sonic Automotive $0.94
TROW T. Rowe Price $2.90
VC Visteon $0.32
TW Towers Watson $0.43
HSY Hershey $1.82
CCOI Cogent Communications $0.18
KEX Kirby $0.14
SPGI S&P Global Inc $3.13
BAX Baxter International $0.64
SO Southern Co. $0.83
SWI Solarwinds $0.19
BGCP BGC Partners $0.19
COHU Cohu $0.79
CWT California Water Service -$0.06
CFR Cullen/Frost Bankers $1.42
LH Laboratory Of America $7.34
TMHC Taylor Morrison Home $0.76
GPI Group 1 Automotive $4.39
NEM Newmont Mining $0.80
FMX Fomento Economico Mexicano Sab $8.67
AOS A.O. Smith $0.56
WAB Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies $0.85
WEX WEX $1.58
COLB Columbia Banking System $0.63
WLTW Willis $3.26
PATK Patrick Industries $1.32
VLY Valley National Bancorp $0.29
MMP Magellan Midstream Partners $0.87
KHC Kraft Heinz $0.60
IP International Paper $0.59
BC Brunswick $1.45
KIM Kimco Realty $0.30
KDP Keurig Dr Pepper $0.31
TMO Thermo Fisher Scientific $6.69
EEFT Euronet Worldwide $0.35
MTSI MACOM Technology Solutions $0.47
EXLS ExlService $0.99
AIT Applied Industrial Technologies $0.98
COR CoreSite Realty $1.33
STRA Strayer Education $1.49
IDA IdaCorp $0.83
GNRC Generac $1.87
ALNY Alnylam Pharmaceuticals -$1.73
XEL Xcel Energy $0.61
AIMC Altra Industrial Motion $0.76
TPX Tempur Sealy International $0.51
OSTK Overstock $0.07
NOC Northrop Grumman $5.48
FCN FTI Consulting $1.18
MDC MDC $1.37
SYNH Syneos Health Inc $0.74
BMY Bristol-Myers Squibb $1.83
DPZ Dominos Pizza $2.94
ATI Allegheny Technologies -$0.24
CMCSA Comcast $0.59
CG Carlyle $0.54
MRK Merck & Co $1.62
PCG PG&E $0.27
MA Mastercard $1.57
MCD McDonalds $1.81
LKQ LKQ $0.63
CMS CMS Energy Corporation $1.19
AGCO AGCO $1.11
ICE Intercontinental Exchange $1.30
PH Parker-Hannifin $3.75
CFX Colfax $0.39
BCE BCE (USA) $0.58
EME EMCOR $1.17
ABMD Abiomed $1.10
ERJ Embraer -$0.33
TXT Textron $0.47
CARR Carrier Global Corp $0.38
PRFT Perficient $0.68
KBR KBR $0.46
CHD Church Dwight $0.80
WST West Pharmaceutical Services $1.42
ADS Alliance Data Systems $3.23
CTXS Citrix Systems $1.42
NVT nVent Electric PLC $0.35
CUZ Cousins Properties $0.70
RMD ResMed $1.22
CUBE CubeSmart $0.45
TXRH Texas Roadhouse $0.59
GLPI Gaming And Leisure Properties $0.83
KLAC KLA-Tencor $3.59
OFC Orate Office Properties $0.55
FIVN Five9 $0.13
TEX Terex $0.22
X United States Steel $0.91
CRUS Cirrus Logic $0.69
SWKS Skyworks Solutions $2.34
WDC Western Digital $0.67
SWN Southwestern Energy $0.25
ACHC Acadia Healthcare $0.45
DLR Digital Realty $1.57
BVN Compania De Minas Buenaventura $0.11
GILD Gilead Sciences $2.02
AEM Agnico Eagle Mines USA $0.57
COLM Columbia Sportswear $0.33
TWTR Twitter $0.14
AJG Arthur J. Gallagher $1.83
FHI Federated Hermes Inc $0.77
PEB Pebblebrook Hotel -$0.44
CWST Casella Waste Systems $0.04
CXP Columbia Property $0.33
CPT Camden Property $1.23
COG Cabot Oil Gas $0.33
SGEN Seattle Genetics -$0.59
ATR AptarGroup $0.90
LPLA LPL Financial $1.58
EVTC Evertec $0.53
EXPO Exponent $0.43
DXCM Dexcom $0.31
ZEN Zendesk $0.12
PFPT Proofpoint $0.39
THG Hanover $0.75
FSLR First Solar $1.00
FBHS Fortune Brands Home Security $1.04
FWRD Forward Air $0.56
MMSI Merit Medical Systems $0.37
SPSC SPS Commerce $0.38
INT World Fuel Services $0.28
SKYW SkyWest $0.89
ERIE Erie Indemnity $1.41
POWI Power Integrations $0.55
ROG Rogers $1.79
OMCL Omnicell $0.67
BIO Bio-Rad Laboratories $2.50
HIG Hartford Financial Services $0.75
EMN Eastman Chemical $1.91
HP Helmerich & Payne -$0.61
EBS Emergent BioSolutions $1.55
PACB Pacific Biosciences Of California -$0.45
AMZN Amazon $9.98
FTNT Fortinet $0.74
NATI National Instruments $0.31
ALGT Allegiant Travel -$2.59
FTV Fortive Corp $0.60
MHK Mohawk Industries $2.80
BMRN BioMarin Pharmaceutical $0.27
VRTX Vertex Pharmaceuticals $2.76
MGNX MacroGenics -$0.51
KMPR Kemper $1.35
MDRX Allscripts Healthcare Solutions $0.15
COP ConocoPhillips $0.60
SHEN Shenandoah Telecommunications $1.01
USM United States Cellular $0.43
MTZ MasTec $0.77
GT Goodyear Tire & Rubber $0.08
TDS Telephone Data Systems $0.44
ETN Eaton $1.25
REGI Renewable Energy $0.20
PRAH PRA Health Sciences Inc $1.34
HUBG HUB $0.46
TPR Tapestry Inc $0.30
PRGO Perrigo $0.56
BLDR Builders Firstsource $0.81
BBD Banco Bradesco $0.10
TPL Texas Pacific Land $5.79
ASEKY Aisin Seiki Co $0.88
NLSN Nielsen $0.32
ARW Arrow Electronics $2.27
CLGX CoreLogic $0.97
TFSL Tfs Financial $0.07
UBSI United Bankshares $0.74
GRA W.R. Grace $0.73
PTCT PTC Therapeutics -$1.59
INSM Insmed -$1.02
TOELY Tokyo Electron Ltd PK $1.25
BBVA Banco Bilbaoizcaya Argentaria $0.15
GOL Gol Linhas Aereas Inteligentes -$0.91
SRCL Stericycle $0.59
AUOTY AU Optronics $0.33
CX Cemex Sab De Cv $0.03
PBR Petroleo Brasileiro Petrobras $0.12
TOT Total $0.85
AMRN Amarin -$0.03
TWOU 2U -$0.23
LYG Lloyds Banking $0.07
BEN Franklin Resources $0.74

Friday (April 30)

Ticker Company EPS Forecast
LYB LyondellBasell Industries $2.51
AVNT Avient Corp $0.72
BCPC Balchem $0.80
JCI Johnson Controls $0.49
HOCPY Hoya Corp $0.81
CL Colgate-Palmolive $0.79
BCS Barclays $0.41
AON AON $4.05
HUN Huntsman $0.58
PNM PNM Resources $0.19
XOM Exxon Mobil $0.60
CHTR Charter Communications $4.25
PSX Phillips 66 -$1.28
ITW Illinois Tool Works $1.90
GWW Grainger $4.31
HRC Hill-Rom $1.43
POR Portland General Electric $0.87
BSAC Banco Santander Chile $0.41
ABBV AbbVie $2.81
WY Weyerhaeuser $0.88
WPC W. P. Carey $0.51
SHLX Shell Midstream Partners $0.35
CVX Chevron $0.90
NWL Newell Brands Inc $0.13
MITSY Mitsui & Company $10.53
CLX Clorox $1.47
LAZ Lazard $0.88
LHX L3Harris Technologies Inc $2.96
KMTUY Komatsu $0.32
BNPQY BNP Paribas ADR $0.59
APELY Alps Electric $0.27
ALNPY ANA Holdings ADR -$0.90
PSXP Phillips 66 Partners $0.83
AZN Astrazeneca $0.68

 

Microsoft to Invest $1 Billion in Malaysia to Set up Data Centres – Malaysian PM

The announcement on what would be the U.S. tech giant’s biggest investment in Malaysia comes after the country in February gave conditional approvals for Microsoft, Google, Amazon and state telecoms firm Telekom Malaysia to build and manage hyper-scale data centres and provide cloud services.

It also comes after the country saw foreign direct investments (FDI) plunge by 68% last year, the biggest decline in Southeast Asia.

Malaysia has defended itself as an investment destination, with the finance minister recently saying it was looking at incentives to help attract more FDI.

It has said the investments from these cloud service providers will total between 12 billion ringgit and 15 billion ringgit ($2.91 billion-$3.64 billion) over the next five years.

As part of the Bersama Malaysia initiative, Microsoft will establish its first “datacentre region”, which consists of multiple data centres, in Malaysia to manage data from various countries, Prime Minister Muhyiddin Yassin told an event marking the launch of the programme.

“The upcoming datacenter region will be a game-changer for Malaysia,” Microsoft Executive Vice President Jean-Philippe Courtois said in a statement, adding it will enable the government and businesses to “transform” their operations.

Under the programme, Microsoft will also assist up to a million Malaysians in getting digital skills by the end of 2023.

(Reporting by Liz Lee; Editing by Muralikumar Anantharaman)

Twitter Gains Amid Clubhouse Buyout Speculation

Twitter, Inc. (TWTR) shares added nearly 3% Wednesday after Bloomberg reported that the social media giant considered acquiring popular invitation-only audio-chat app, Clubhouse. The platform allows users to host shows, listen to panel discussions and engage in live chats.

People familiar with the matter said both parties discussed a possible valuation of $4 billion for Clubhouse but added that the negotiations had ceased. A potential buyout would have brought across the app’s 10 million active weekly users and complemented Twitter’s own recently launched beta-stage audio offering, Spaces. Such is the success of the Clubhouse app, other tech companies, including Facebook, Inc. (FB), Microsoft Corporation (MSFT), and Salesforce.com, inc. (CRM) have begun to develop similar features on their social media platforms.

As of April 8, 2021, Twitter stock has a market value of $55.1 billion and trades up 27.41% YTD. Over the past 12 months, the shares have surged nearly 170%. From a valuation standpoint, the stock trades 46% above its five-year average forward earnings multiple of 49 times.

Wall Street View

In February, Piper Sandler analyst Thomas Champion bumped up the investment firm’s price target on the stock to $61 from $45 while reiterating his ‘Neutral’ rating. Champion believes the company sits well-positioned to capitalize on daily active user growth it gained from the U.S. election. He also likes improvements the social media giant has made to its products and advertising.

Elsewhere, the stock receives 25 ‘Hold’ ratings, 10 ‘Buy’ ratings, 4 ‘Sell’ ratings, and 1 ‘Underweight’ rating. Twelve-month price targets range from a Street-high $95 to a low of $30. Through Wednesday’s close, the shares trade 5% below the median analyst price target of $72.50.

Technical Outlook and Trading Tactics

Twitter’s share price has remained in a steady uptrend since the 50-day SMA crossed above the 200-day SMA last summer. After a recent retracement to the 50-day SMA, the stock has regained upside momentum, with the MACD moving above its trigger line to generate a buy signal.

Active traders who buy here should look for an initial retest of all-time high (ATH) at $80.75, followed by a possible move higher. Protect against losses by placing a stop-loss order either beneath the 50-day SMA or under last month’s swing low at $59.28, depending on personal risk tolerance.

For a look at today’s earnings schedule, check out our earnings calendar.

Microsoft Targets 50,000 Jobs with LinkedIn ‘re-skilling’ Effort

By Stephen Nellis

The jobs will be in what Microsoft calls its “ecosystem” of companies that use or help sell its products.

The effort started last year as pandemic-related business closures hit service workers much harder than technology workers and other white-collar employees who could work from home. LinkedIn made free many of its paid digital skills training courses, covering topics such as software development, data analysis and financial analysis.

LinkedIn said it will extend the free courses until the end of this year. Microsoft and LinkedIn had aimed to get 25 million people to try the courses and said Tuesday that the figure hit 30.7 million, most from the United States but with many from almost every other part of the world.

“I wasn’t expecting 91 participants from Antarctica,” Microsoft President Brad Smith said in a blog post announcing the results.

Microsoft, which said it found that digital training courses work best when supported by local nonprofit groups who help people learning new skills, said it would work with those groups to place 50,000 people in jobs that require technology skills over the next three years. The program will initially focus on the United States but expand beyond that starting next year.

The push is one of the first times that Microsoft has worked closely with LinkedIn and its GitHub software coding tool service, both of which Microsoft has allowed to operate with relatively autonomy.

(Reporting by Stephen Nellis in San Francisco; Editing by Leslie Adler)

Total, Microsoft to Cooperate on Net Zero Emissions

Total will sell some “green” electricity to Microsoft while Total will use more of Microsoft’s cloud software and technology platforms, they said in a joint statement.

Total said it would help Microsoft secure renewable energy through power purchase agreements (PPAs), and that a first such PPA of 47 MW had been agreed for Microsoft’s Spanish operations.

(Reporting by Sudip Kar-Gupta; editing by Jason Neely)