PNC Financial Shares Rise After Q1 Earnings Blow Past Estimates; Target Price $192

PNC  shares rose about 3% on Friday after the financial services company reported better-than-expected earnings in the first quarter of this year and said its profit rose on significant provision recapture, reflecting improved macroeconomic expectations.

The Pittsburgh-based regional bank reported adjusted earnings per share of $4.10, beating Wall Street’s expectations of $2.75 per share, which represents year-over-year growth of over 110% from $1.95 per share seen in the same quarter a year ago.

Net income of $1.8 billion increased by $370 million, or 25%, reflecting the impact of a substantial provision recapture. Total revenue of $4.2 billion increased $12 million compared with the fourth quarter of 2020 as higher noninterest income more than offset a decrease in net interest income. In comparison with the first quarter of 2020, total revenue decreased by $116 million due to lower net interest income.

PNC Financial shares, which slumped 6.6% last year, rebounded about 20% so far this year. At the time of writing, the stock traded about 3% higher at $179.29 on Friday.

Executive Comments

PNC had a solid start to 2021. We grew revenue, managed expenses and achieved positive operating leverage. We recorded a substantial provision recapture, saw improvement in our credit metrics and capital and liquidity are at record levels. Looking ahead we see significant growth opportunities as the economy recovers and rates improve,” said Bill Demchak, PNC Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer.

PNC Financial Stock Price Forecast

Twelve analysts who offered stock ratings for PNC Financial in the last three months forecast the average price in 12 months of $176.18 with a high forecast of $192.00 and a low forecast of $157.00.

The average price target represents a -1.86% decrease from the last price of $179.51. Of those 12 analysts, three rated “Buy”, nine rated “Hold” while none rated “Sell”, according to Tipranks.

Morgan Stanley gave the base target price of $182 with a high of $220 under a bull scenario and $100 under the worst-case scenario. The firm gave an “Equal-weight” rating on the bank holding company’s stock.

Several other analysts have also updated their stock outlook. BofA Global Research raised the price objective to $205 from $199. Barclays upped the price target to $182 from $171. Goldman Sachs lifted the price target to $184 from $166. Deutsche Bank increased the target price to $190 from $157. UBS raised the price target to $159 from $142. Credit Suisse lifted the stock price forecast to $170 from $157.

Analyst Comments

PNC accelerated its national expansion across the sunbelt with BBVA USA purchase, the combined company’s footprint now extends through nearly 30 states and the District of Columbia and will have a presence in 29 of the top 30 U.S. MSAs. What’s next? Merger integration and execution on the ~$900m of net cost saves in 2022 are key to the stock going forward,” noted Betsy Graseck, equity analyst at Morgan Stanley.

“With net cost saves in the price, next leg up on meaningful revenue acceleration as PNC increases its fee contribution from new MSAs and further expands into new markets. We stay Equal-weight as we prefer stocks with larger benefit from rising rates and improving consumer credit as the COVID-19 vaccine is distributed through 2021.”

Check out FX Empire’s earnings calendar

3 Regional Banking Stocks Gaining After House Passes $1.9 Trillion Relief Bill

Regional banking stocks have outpaced the broader stock market by nearly 30% so far this year as investors bet on a domestic recovery on the heels of a successful vaccine rollout and additional stimulus measures.

On the latter front, the group added to recent gains Wednesday after Congress passed a highly anticipated $1.9 trillion Covid relief bill that includes payments for small businesses and a $1,400 stimulus check for many Americans, as well as a $300 per week emergency unemployment benefit that extends through September.

Here are three leading regional bank stocks that active traders should consider adding to their watchlist.


With assets over $150 billion, KeyCorp (KEY) provides a variety of financial services in 16 states, with a key focus on Ohio and New York. The Cleveland-based bank grew its bottom line 24% from a year earlier in the fourth quarter, driven by higher loan balances and lower provisions. As of March 11, 2021, the shares offer a healthy 3.62% dividend yield and trade 28.95% higher on the year.

From a chart perspective, the price has formed a pennant pattern near the December 2019 high. Those who buy at current levels should use a trailing stop – such as a 15-day SMA – to let profits run.

SVB Financial Group

Headquartered in Santa Clara, SVB Financial Group (SIVB) offers a range of banking services through four segments: Global Commercial Bank, SVB Private Bank, SVB Capital, and SVB Leerink. The bank disclosed Q4 adjusted earnings of $7.40 per share on revenues of $1.21 billion, with both metrics coming in ahead of Wall Street forecasts and growing 46% and 43%, respectively, from the December 2019 quarter. Although SVB Financial stock does not issue a dividend, it has returned 36.43% since the start of the year as of March 11, 2021.

From a technical standpoint, traders who use the current retracement as a buying opportunity should place an initial stop under the recent swing low and trail it higher as the uptrend continues.

PNC Financial Services Group, Inc.

The PNC Financial Services Group, Inc. (PNC) operates as a diversified financial services company, providing its customers with everything from corporate and institutional banking to asset management. The company, which has 2,300 branches in 21 states and the District of Columbia, posted Q4 earnings per share (EPS) of $3.26, comfortably ahead of the $2.65 analysis had expected. Moreover, the bottom line improved 10% from the year-ago period, benefiting from a decline in expenses and a recapture of provisions. As of March 11, 2021, the stock yields 2.65% and has gained nearly 20% year to date (YTD).

Chart-wise, a pennant that has formed over the past few weeks indicates a continuation of the current uptrend. Traders who buy could use the measured move technique to book profits. To do this, calculate the distance – in dollars – of the leg that proceeded the pattern, and add that amount to the pennant’s top trendline. For example, add $38.90 to $179 for a target of $217.90.

For a look at today’s earnings schedule, check out our earnings calendar.