Earnings to Watch Next Week: Coca-Cola, United Airlines, NetFlix and SVB Financial in Focus

Earnings Calendar For The Week Of April 19

Monday (April 19)

IN THE SPOTLIGHT: COCA-COLA, UNITED AIRLINES

COCA-COLA: The world’s largest soft drink manufacturer is expected to report its first-quarter earnings of $0.50 per share, which represents a year-over-year decline of about 2% from $0.51 per share seen in the same quarter a year ago.

The company’s revenue growth to be flat at $8.6 billion. However, in the last two years, on average, Coca-Cola has beaten revenue estimates over 70% and earnings estimates of nearly 90%.

Coca-Cola, which has still not seen a full recovery to its pre-COVID-19 level, may be a decent investment opportunity at the moment. The stock traded around $60 pre-COVID in February 2020 and is 11% below that level. However, the stock has gained 40% since its March lows of $37, following the Fed’s stimulus package and measures announced by other economies. The gradual lifting of lockdowns and successful vaccine rollout has further enthused markets in anticipation of faster economic recovery,” noted analysts at TREFIS.

“However, the stock is unlikely to surpass its pre-Covid level anytime soon, as most of its business depends on demand from people going to entertainment venues, sporting events, etc. These locations are not yet fully operational in most parts of the world. With the recent spike in Covid cases, there are some forms of lockdowns imposed again in certain economies, thus slowing the recovery in demand. Therefore, in the absence of another complete lockdown (as was seen in 2020) and implementation of the vaccination program the stock is likely to rise, but full recovery to February 2020 levels looks unlikely in the near term. KO stock has a potential upside of about 10%.”

UNITED AIRLINES: One of the largest airlines in the world is expected to report a loss for the fifth consecutive time of $6.91 in the first quarter of 2021 on April 19 as the aviation service provider continues to be negatively impacted by the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic and renewed travel restrictions.

That would represent a year-over-year decline of over 168% from -$2.57 per share seen in the same quarter a year ago. The Chicago-based airline’s revenue would decline about 60% to around $3.3 billion.

“Most of the US airlines will report 1Q21 earnings the week of April 19 and 26. We expect the focus to be on higher fuel costs, the nascent traffic recovery, and improving the balance sheet. Our focus remains on domestic leisure airlines while watching borders reopening to determine recovery for international traffic. We also expect airlines to talk about repairing their balance sheet,” said Helane Becker, equity analyst at Cowen and Company.

TAKE A LOOK AT OUR EARNINGS CALENDAR FOR THE FULL RELEASES FOR THE APRIL 19

Ticker Company EPS Forecast
KO Coca-Cola $0.50
PLD ProLogis $0.37
MTB M&T Bank $3.00
ONB Old National Bancorp $0.41
UAL United Airlines Holdings -$6.98
CCK Crown $1.37
STLD Steel Dynamics $1.84
ZION Zions Bancorporation $1.18
PNFP Pinnacle Financial Partners $1.43
ACC American Campus Communities $0.15
HXL Hexcel -$0.16
WTFC Wintrust Financial $1.40
FNB FNB $0.25
SFBS ServisFirst Bancshares $0.95
HDS HD Supply Holdings $0.39
IBM IBM $1.68
EIDX Eidos Therapeutics Inc -$0.80
LII Lennox International $1.25
CDNS Cadence Design Systems $0.74

 

Tuesday (April 20)

IN THE SPOTLIGHT: NETFLIX

The California-based global internet entertainment service company is expected to report its first-quarter earnings of $2.97 per share, which represents year-over-year growth of over 90% from $1.57 per share seen in the same quarter a year ago. The streaming video pioneer would post revenue growth of over 23% to around $7.15 billion.

“We expect paid net adds to be in line with guide, helped in part by ongoing COVID shutdowns in some markets. Our view is supported by our positive 1Q survey data, which implies NFLX continues to lead living room TV apps. We also view the 45% of survey respondents who share passwords as a LT opp’ty for incremental subs. Reiterate Outperform & $675 Price Target,” noted John Blackledge, equity analyst at Cowen and Company.

TAKE A LOOK AT OUR EARNINGS CALENDAR FOR THE FULL RELEASES FOR THE APRIL 20

Ticker Company EPS Forecast
ABF Associated British Foods £17.31
XRX Xerox $0.29
AN AutoNation $1.85
DOV Dover $1.45
JNJ Johnson & Johnson $2.33
PG Procter & Gamble $1.19
ABT Abbott $1.27
PM Philip Morris International $1.40
LMT Lockheed Martin $6.31
DANOY Danone PK $0.46
TRV Travelers Companies $2.38
FITB Fifth Third Bancorp $0.69
EDU New Oriental Education Tech $0.06
NTRS Northern $1.49
KEY KEY $0.47
OMC Omnicom $1.13
CMA Comerica $1.38
SNV Synovus Financial $0.93
HOG Harley Davidson $0.90
IRDM Iridium Communications -$0.05
MAN ManpowerGroup $0.67
WBS Webster Financial $0.90
GATX GATX Corp $0.89
SFNC Simmons First National $0.52
BMI Badger Meter $0.42
NFLX Netflix $2.97
ISRG Intuitive Surgical $2.64
CSX CSX $0.96
EW Edwards Lifesciences $0.47
WRB W.R. Berkley $0.83
IBKR Interactive Brokers $0.87
THC Tenet Healthcare $0.73
HWC Hancock Whitney Corp $0.97
UCBI United Community Banks $0.64
FULT Fulton Financial $0.35
FMBI First Midwest Bancorp $0.37
EMR Emerson Electric $0.89
PCAR PACCAR $1.29
TER Teradyne $1.04
ENTG Entegris $0.72
CIT CIT $0.98
AVNT Avient Corp $0.71
ELS Equity Lifestyle Properties $0.35
PACW Pacwest Bancorp $0.91
BECN Beacon Roofing Supply $0.08

 

Wednesday (April 21)

IN THE SPOTLIGHT: SIGNATURE BANK

The New York-based full-service commercial bank is expected to report its first-quarter earnings of $2.85 per share, which represents year-over-year growth of over 50% from $1.88 per share seen in the same quarter a year ago. The bank would post revenue growth of about 18% to around $428 million.

SBNY has a unique business model, with its single-point-of-contact bankers, excellent credit culture, and a highly efficient operating structure. Its loan growth continues to outpace peers, given its relatively new focus on growing its PE/VC capital call lending business, while strategically de-emphasizing its NYC MF portfolio,” Ken Zerbe, equity analyst at Morgan Stanley.

“While we do expect losses in SBNY’s CRE portfolio, we believe the market is overly discounting this in the stock price, particularly given its strong underwriting history and conservative lending.”

TAKE A LOOK AT OUR EARNINGS CALENDAR FOR THE FULL RELEASES FOR THE APRIL 21

Ticker Company EPS Forecast
HCSG Healthcare Services $0.27
ERIC Ericsson $0.11
TEL TE Connectivity $1.48
NDAQ Nasdaq Omx $1.72
RCI Rogers Communications USA $0.53
BKR Baker Hughes Co $0.11
HAL Halliburton $0.17
RANJY Randstad Holdings $0.46
SBNY Signature Bank $2.85
FHN First Horizon National $0.35
KNX Knight Transportation $0.70
BOKF BOK Financial $1.92
NEP Nextera Energy Partners $0.33
FCFS FirstCash $0.70
ASML ASML $3.06
NEE NextEra Energy $0.58
ANTM Anthem $6.38
LAD Lithia Motors $4.74
CP Canadian Pacific Railway USA $4.35
CACI Caci International $3.68
CMG Chipotle Mexican Grill $4.89
KMI Kinder Morgan $0.24
DFS Discover Financial Services $2.81
WHR Whirlpool $5.04
GGG Graco $0.50
GL Globe Life Inc $1.63
SLM SLM $1.05
REXR Rexford Industrial Realty $0.06
LSTR Landstar System $1.63
FR First Industrial Realty $0.24
RLI RLI $0.66
VMI Valmont Industries $1.92
SLG SL Green Realty -$0.14
UFPI Universal Forest Products $0.87
UMPQ Umpqua $0.44
TCBI Texas Capital Bancshares $1.09
BXS BancorpSouth $0.63
SNBR Scs Group Plc $1.85
CNS Cohen & Steers $0.76
RUSHA Rush Enterprises $0.52
PLXS Plexus $1.25
TBK Triumph Bancorp $0.91
BDN Brandywine Realty $0.02
EFX Equifax $1.53
LRCX Lam Research $6.60
CCI Crown Castle International $0.53
STL Sterling Bancorp $0.46
CHDN Churchill Downs $0.64
NWE Northwestern $1.12
RHI Robert Half International $0.80
SEIC SEI Investments $0.88
CVBF CVB Financial $0.37
LVS Las Vegas Sands -$0.27
PKX Posco $2.22
URI United Rentals $3.08
BZLFY Bunzl plc $0.15
ELISA Elisa Oyj €0.51

 

Thursday (April 22)

IN THE SPOTLIGHT: SVB FINANCIAL

The parent of Silicon Valley Bank is expected to report its first-quarter earnings of $6.47 per share, which represents year-over-year growth of about 153% from $2.55 per share seen in the same quarter a year ago.

In the last four consecutive quarters, on average, the company has delivered an earnings surprise of over 45%. The Santa Clara, California-based company would post revenue growth of over 50% to about $1.24 billion.

SIVB is one of the fastest-growing banks in our coverage universe, with an average of 20%+ loan and deposit growth annually since 2010, with the growth driven by its unique niche of lending to the technology and life sciences industries, including PE and VC capital call lines. While we expect growth to slow, we still see low-teens loan growth (well above peers) for the next several years,” noted Ken Zerbe, equity analyst at Morgan Stanley.

“We are Equal-weight the shares due to valuation. SIVB is trading at just over 20x forward earnings and more than 10 P/E points above its peers (versus a 4-6x multiple premium that we believe it deserves). SIVB‘s earnings are highly sensitive to changes in Fed funds. Rate increases would drive higher EPS.”

TAKE A LOOK AT OUR EARNINGS CALENDAR FOR THE FULL RELEASES FOR THE APRIL 22

Ticker Company EPS Forecast
WSO Watsco $0.88
LUV Southwest Airlines -$1.88
VLO Valero Energy -$1.56
AAL American Airlines -$4.18
HCA HCA $3.31
SAP SAP $1.21
GPC Genuine Parts $1.14
FRME First Merchants $0.78
NUE Nucor $3.07
FCX Freeport-McMoran $0.51
PNR Pentair Ordinary Share $0.61
ALK Alaska Air -$3.68
SASR Sandy Spring Bancorp $1.02
ORI Old Republic International $0.46
DOW Dow Chemical $1.10
DHR Danaher $1.74
WNS Wns Holdings $0.69
FAF First American Financial $1.31
RS Reliance Steel & Aluminum $3.55
T AT&T $0.78
UNP Union Pacific $2.08
TPH Tri Pointe Homes $0.47
TAL TAL International -$0.23
HBAN Huntington Bancshares $0.32
AEP American Electric Power $1.18
BIIB Biogen $5.02
DHI DR Horton $2.18
EWBC East West Bancorp $1.25
BX Blackstone $0.75
DGX Quest Diagnostics $3.74
POOL Pool $1.14
ALLE Allegion $1.02
CLF Cliffs Natural Resources $0.35
TSCO Tractor Supply $0.97
TRN Trinity Industries $0.06
MKTX MarketAxess $2.12
BKU BankUnited $0.74
SNA Snap-On $3.03
IQV IQVIA Holdings Inc $1.85
SON Sonoco Products $0.86
ODFL Old Dominion Freight Line $1.58
SKX Skechers USA $0.49
INDB Independent Bank $1.09
HTH Hilltop $1.01
CE Celanese $2.98
OZK Bank Ozk $0.86
FFBC First Financial Bancorp $0.47
CSL Carlisle Companies $0.68
SAM Boston Beer $2.60
STX Seagate Technology $1.33
VICR Vicor $0.19
WWE World Wrestling Entertainment $0.20
ABCB Ameris Bancorp $1.13
ARI Apollo Commercial Real Est Finance $0.33
GBCI Glacier Bancorp $0.75
SBCF Seacoast Banking Of Florida $0.48
VRSN Verisign $1.34
MAT Mattel -$0.34
WSFS Wsfs Financial $0.86
SNAP Snap -$0.21
SIVB SVB Financial $6.47
ASB Associated Banc $0.43
FE FirstEnergy $0.69
ADS Alliance Data Systems $3.21
CTXS Citrix Systems $1.42
PBCT People’s United Financial $0.34
CAJ Canon $0.27
WST West Pharmaceutical Services $1.42
NVR NVR $61.90
FFIN First Financial Bankshares $0.37
VVV Valvoline Inc $0.37
SAFE 3 Sixty Risk $0.33
ASR Grupo Aeroportuario Del Sureste $23.55
ORAN Orange $0.24
INTC Intel $1.14
KPELY Keppel Corporation $0.14
SAVE Spirit Airlines -$2.55
CS Credit Suisse -$0.40

 

Friday (April 23)

Ticker Company EPS Forecast
SXT Sensient Technologies $0.75
ALV Autoliv $1.43
SLB Schlumberger $0.18
AXP American Express $1.60
KMB Kimberly Clark $1.93
HON Honeywell International $1.80
RF Regions Financial $0.47
GNTX Gentex $0.49
E ENI $0.42

 

3 Regional Banking Stocks Gaining After House Passes $1.9 Trillion Relief Bill

Regional banking stocks have outpaced the broader stock market by nearly 30% so far this year as investors bet on a domestic recovery on the heels of a successful vaccine rollout and additional stimulus measures.

On the latter front, the group added to recent gains Wednesday after Congress passed a highly anticipated $1.9 trillion Covid relief bill that includes payments for small businesses and a $1,400 stimulus check for many Americans, as well as a $300 per week emergency unemployment benefit that extends through September.

Here are three leading regional bank stocks that active traders should consider adding to their watchlist.

KeyCorp

With assets over $150 billion, KeyCorp (KEY) provides a variety of financial services in 16 states, with a key focus on Ohio and New York. The Cleveland-based bank grew its bottom line 24% from a year earlier in the fourth quarter, driven by higher loan balances and lower provisions. As of March 11, 2021, the shares offer a healthy 3.62% dividend yield and trade 28.95% higher on the year.

From a chart perspective, the price has formed a pennant pattern near the December 2019 high. Those who buy at current levels should use a trailing stop – such as a 15-day SMA – to let profits run.

SVB Financial Group

Headquartered in Santa Clara, SVB Financial Group (SIVB) offers a range of banking services through four segments: Global Commercial Bank, SVB Private Bank, SVB Capital, and SVB Leerink. The bank disclosed Q4 adjusted earnings of $7.40 per share on revenues of $1.21 billion, with both metrics coming in ahead of Wall Street forecasts and growing 46% and 43%, respectively, from the December 2019 quarter. Although SVB Financial stock does not issue a dividend, it has returned 36.43% since the start of the year as of March 11, 2021.

From a technical standpoint, traders who use the current retracement as a buying opportunity should place an initial stop under the recent swing low and trail it higher as the uptrend continues.

PNC Financial Services Group, Inc.

The PNC Financial Services Group, Inc. (PNC) operates as a diversified financial services company, providing its customers with everything from corporate and institutional banking to asset management. The company, which has 2,300 branches in 21 states and the District of Columbia, posted Q4 earnings per share (EPS) of $3.26, comfortably ahead of the $2.65 analysis had expected. Moreover, the bottom line improved 10% from the year-ago period, benefiting from a decline in expenses and a recapture of provisions. As of March 11, 2021, the stock yields 2.65% and has gained nearly 20% year to date (YTD).

Chart-wise, a pennant that has formed over the past few weeks indicates a continuation of the current uptrend. Traders who buy could use the measured move technique to book profits. To do this, calculate the distance – in dollars – of the leg that proceeded the pattern, and add that amount to the pennant’s top trendline. For example, add $38.90 to $179 for a target of $217.90.

For a look at today’s earnings schedule, check out our earnings calendar.

SVB Financial Surges 9%, Hits New High on Strong Earnings  

SVB Financial Group, the parent of Silicon Valley Bank, reported better-than-expected earnings in the fourth quarter, largely benefitting from higher revenues, improving loan and deposit balances, sending its shares as high as 9% to a new record high on Friday.

Santa Clara, California-based company reported earnings per share of $7.40, comfortably beating the Wall Street consensus expectations of $3.80. Net revenues surged more than 40% year-on-year to $1.21 billion, beating the market consensus estimate of $863.4 million.

Following this upbeat data, SVB Financial shares surged as high as 9.2% to $497.85 on Friday; the stock rose nearly 55% in 2020.

“Taking the under on loan growth, but over on share buybacks; estimates hold. We leave our EPS forecast stable at $1.90/$2.20 for ’21/’22, respectively. We conservatively leave our ’21 growth forecast short of the $1b-1.5b guide given tepid backdrop though acknowledge that resi/MF headwinds are slowing. However, core NIM guide feels conservative (we model 3.22%) given 3.25% starting pt. with stable new money loan yields (~3.68%), further securities compression and further deposit cost reductions left,” said Casey Haire, equity analyst at Jefferies.

“The offset to underwhelming loan growth is our expectation for more share buybacks (2.5mm/qtr pace vs. 2mm guide) which drives total payout >50% with TCE ratio fairly stable. Fee/expense guides feel high (we model closer to low end for both). STL’s more expedient approach to credit cleanup has driven faster downgrades and higher NCOs vs. peers, that said ACL ratio should slowly release in coming quarters as migration has been largely contained within deferral buckets.”

SVB Financial Stock Price Forecast

Fifteen analysts who offered stock ratings for SVB Financial in the last three months forecast the average price in 12 months at $440.23 with a high forecast of $550.00 and a low forecast of $300.00.

The average price target represents a -8.65% decrease from the last price of $481.94. From those 15 analysts, nine rated “Buy”, six rated “Hold” and none rated “Sell”, according to Tipranks.

Morgan Stanley gave a base target price of $390 with a high of $490 under a bull scenario and $217 under the worst-case scenario. The firm currently has an “Equal-weight” rating on the financial services company’s stock.

“EPS beat due to upside in almost every line item. This was a very strong quarter for SIVB, with its revised 2021 guidance implying roughly 10% upside to EPS estimates,” said Ken Zerbe, equity analyst at Morgan Stanley.

Several other analysts have also recently commented on the stock. D.A. Davidson raised the price target to $465 from $400. Raymond James upped the price objective to $510 from $445. Truist Securities increased the stock price forecast to $500 from $420.

In addition, Barclays raised the target price to $470 from $440. JP Morgan upped the price objective to $550 from $440. KBW increased the target price to $525 from $380. Jefferies raised the target price to $525 from $475. RBC upped the target price to $508 from $494.

Analyst Comments

SVB Financial (SIVB) is one of the fastest-growing banks in our coverage universe, with an average of 20%+ loan and deposit growth annually since 2010, with the growth driven by its unique niche of lending to the technology and life sciences industries, including PE and VC capital call lines. While we expect growth to slow, we still see low-teens loan growth (well above peers) for the next several years,” said Ken Zerbe, equity analyst at Morgan Stanley.

“We are Equal-weight the shares due to valuation. SIVB is trading at just over 20x forward earnings and more than 10 P/E points above its peers (versus a 4-6x multiple premium that we believe it deserves). SIVB’s earnings are highly sensitive to changes in Fed funds. Rate increases would drive higher EPS.”

Upside and Downside Risks

Risks to Upside: 1) Higher interest rates. 2) Stronger-than-expected loan growth. 3) Credit costs remain at historically low levels. 4) An increase in PE/VC investment, driving an increase in capital call line demand – highlighted by Morgan Stanley.

Risks to Downside: 1) Significantly higher credit costs. 2) Lower-than-expected interest rates. 3) As the significant slowdown in P/E, VC, and Tech investment, leads to slower loan growth.

Check out FX Empire’s earnings calendar

SVB Financial to Acquire Boston Private in $900 Million Deal; Analysts Lift Target Price

SVB Financial Group, the parent of Silicon Valley Bank, announced that it will acquire a financial holding company Boston Private in a deal worth nearly $900 million to accelerate its private bank and wealth management offering.

This acquisition gives SVB Financial another avenue to expand deeper into its tech-focused client base. According to the deal, Boston Private shareholders will receive 0.0228 shares of SVB common stock and $2.10 of cash and it is expected to close in the middle of 2021.

“Overall, we applaud the deal given the strategic rationale is compelling and the financial metrics are favourable albeit modestly so. Our lone concern is that management appears open to pursuing Boston Private (BPFH) lending verticals like C&I, CRE and multi-family, which are all outside SVB Financial’s (SIVB) core focus. Although a more comprehensive loan product offering would help SIVB drive down excess liquidity (45% loan/deposit ratio) and mitigate capital call concentration (53% of loans), it would represent a  diversification into garden variety commercial bank products that run counter to SIVB’s core focus on innovation markets,” said Casey Haire, equity analyst at Jefferies.

“The BPFH loan portfolio is small (only 16% of pro forma loans) and thus not an immediate risk, but if management were to pursue aggressive diversification, it could potentially weigh on valuation metrics and/or expose the bank to higher credit loss.”

SVB Financial shares closed nearly flat at $387.34 on Monday. However, the stock rose over 50% in 2020.

SVB Financial Stock Price Forecast

Twelve analysts who offered stock ratings for SVB Financial in the last three months forecast the average price in 12 months at $377.00 with a high forecast of $440.00 and a low forecast of $300.00. The average price target represents a -2.67% decrease from the last price of $387.34. From those 12 equity analysts, six rated “Buy”, six rated “Hold” and none rated “Sell”, according to Tipranks.

Morgan Stanley gave a base target price of $385 with a high of $485 under a bull scenario and $212 under the worst-case scenario. The firm currently has an “Equal-weight” rating on the commercial bank’s stock.

Several other analysts have also recently commented on the stock. SVB Financial Group had its target price hoisted by analysts at Royal Bank of Canada to $437 from $320. The firm presently has an “outperform” rating on the bank’s stock. Barclays cut rating to an “equal weight” rating from an “overweight” and upped their price objective to $440 from $305. Wells Fargo upgraded to an “equal weight” from an “underweight” rating and upped their price target to $325 from $210.

Analyst Comments

“SVB Financial (SIVB) is one of the fastest-growing banks in our coverage universe, with an average of 20%+ loan and deposit growth annually since 2010, with the growth driven by its unique niche of lending to the technology and life sciences industries, including PE and VC capital call lines. While we expect growth to slow, we still see low-teens loan growth (well above peers) for the next several years,” noted Ken Zerbe, equity analyst at Morgan Stanley.

“We are Equal-weight the shares due to valuation. SIVB is trading at just over 20x forward earnings and more than 10 P/E points above its peers (versus a 4-6x multiple premium that we believe it deserves). SIVB’s earnings are highly sensitive to changes in Fed funds. Rate increases would drive higher EPS.”

Upside and Downside Risks

Risks to Upside: Higher interest rates. Stronger-than-expected loan growth. Credit costs remain at historically low levels. An increase in PE/VC investment, driving an increase in capital call line demand – highlighted by Morgan Stanley.

Risks to Downside: Significantly higher credit costs. Lower-than-expected interest rates. As significant slowdown in P/E, VC, and Tech investment, leads to slower loan growth.